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Lastest Poll shows gap shrinks

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  • 25-05-2008 1:39pm
    #1
    mike65
    Closed Accounts Posts: 88,978 ✭✭✭✭


    The YES side has seen an increase of 3 per cent in support bringing them to 41 per cent, while the NO side has seen a jump of five per cent with 33 per cent now planning to vote against the Treaty.

    Yes 41% (+3)
    No 33% (+5)
    Don’t Know 26% (-8)

    Could be sqeaky bum time for the government, to borrow a phrase

    Mike.


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    #2
    [Deleted User]
    Posts: 16,720 ✭✭✭✭ [Deleted User]


    I still think that a large part of "Don't Know" will vote YES.


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    #3
    mike65
    Closed Accounts Posts: 88,978 ✭✭✭✭mike65


    Its hard to know, do nays shrug and stay at home (esp if its raining!) more than yays?

    Whatever the merits of the treaty there is a distinct lack of passion from both sides.

    Mike.


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    #4
    is_that_so
    Registered Users Posts: 32,136 ✭✭✭✭is_that_so


    Here's a breakdown on turnout for referenda , although the first numbers are from 1992 onwards. Topic seems to dictate turnout, abortions and divorce referenda have had turnouts in excess of 60% whereas the Bail
    referendum(I don't even remember this :o), had less than 30%.

    The Nice 1 rejection had an embarrassing 35% turnout. Generally Nays are seen as more motivated and more likely to vote so the lower the turnout the higher the possibility it may be rejected.


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