Lords of Kobol-please give us Blizzards

ninebeanrows

Yep and not developing it no precip further south than the tip of Ulster:(

To be honest

Looking at the TV forecasts tonight
I saw the one on BBC i just now and well it has rain, and rain and nothing in Ireland.
The rain with hill snow is in scotland,going nowhere and fizzling out..
Pressure is way too high,always was and always will be this week.

Have a look at the 1025 one on BBC1 in 10 mins and see for yourself and these are the experts,we are the amatuers.

Danno

Surely it will be back in the 00:00z runs - anyone online at 4am?

lucernarian

The easterly has almost crashed and burned at 72 hours... ironic. If the charts maintain this trend by tomorrow it's game set and match.

This GH had better come off;)

Danno

Sure it will, it has to - it owes us snow!

ninebeanrows

Ah come off it many a time to change yet.....

Its just one run and it will change..:)

Not according to Helen wilits on BBC 1 just now it wont.

6c on friday with Rain in Scotland and Mountain snow

Temps of 4 or 5 celcius in England and Wales on thursday and Friday
Imagine what a modification that will get as it passes over the Irish sea...

I'd imagine if the met office thought there was going to be a major snow event coming, they'd be telling us by now 48 hours out from the event.

The tools they have are struggling with the synoptics alright but they're not so bad that they cant tell whats going to happen in 48hrs time...

Scubadevils

Yeah, its looking more like winters final tease and slap in the face.

Supercell

One run, wait till tomorrow.

dloob

Looks like it's all going wrong again :rolleyes:
Ohh well probably wouldn't have amounted to much in Galway anyway.
You east coast fellas hog all the snow

Scubadevils

yeah, I stored a few grains in the freezer until we had to defrost it a few years back

ninebeanrows

Well still all up in the air this morning......

GFS ENS's paint a mixed picture 3 runs throwing a veyr well developed system
through on Thursday while 3 others through a smaller system over us while
4 others place it north.

Supercell

ECM still looking good, but its still will it/won't it at the moment.

Is http://www.met.ie down or is it just my isp ?

darkman2

Forget about this week. Its next week the REAL stuff begins;)

I'm sure I heard that last week...

darkman2

The mother of all Northeasterlies looks increasingly likely putting any snow risk this week in the shade.:D

:eek: Greenland high at its best:D

SpitfireIV

Theres a wind out there that'd cut the horns off a snail! The brief light shower passing too, rain mixed with sleety stuff.

darkman2

Latest Fax:D http://weather.noaa.gov/pub/fax/PPVP89.TIF

If only.....

redman

Well is it gonna snow this week?

darkman2

No, next week. In fairness I never thought it would snow this week. Just have to wait a little while longer;)

SpitfireIV

But.........I thought last week ye said it would snow this week, what about Thursday?? :rolleyes: ....oh well.

ninebeanrows

Terrible 6z in the short term as the system on Thursday would be RAIN
without a doubt if it came off..

Ah well still iffy bout the development of this feature and cold pool

I like commenting on various models.
But with their record getting worse and worse of late even at 96 hrs,thats all you can do.
T96 is for comment but its definitely not a forecast.

As for thursday,yesterdays output would have had snow-a case in point.

As we draw closer,I dont see where the deeper surface cold is going to come from
Ok its a degree colder today here and the wind is stronger

But 6c with a dewpoint above zero does not snow make
The Irish sea usually adds about 2 degree's onto surface temp in an Easterly ie we will be 2 degree's warmer than Britain.
So we would need a widespread ice day there to be honest in an Easterly before we could think of snow here at sea level and that aint going to happen

Pressure remains too high as well.

As for next week

I simply cant believe how people are relying on that output,given that the thing cant even get it right at 48hrs at the moment.

ninebeanrows

Its going to get much colder towards evening, 850's will move from -4,-5c
on the east coast to circa -7- -9c towards nightfall..

Showers will begin to affect Eastern areas from 4/5pm with some falls
of snow likely after dark, mostly hail and sleet with accumalation possible
above 200m's.

ninebeanrows

Oh and a more general band of sleety weather will push in from BI
tomorrow morning.. could be some falls of light snow in places..
temperatures expected to be from 3-5c tomorrow and cloudy

SpitfireIV

RTE weather at 1 said:

A few isolated 'wintery' showers along the east and south east coast for the rest of the evening and night.

Tomorrow, dry, but again with the chance of an isolated wintery shower or too and the same for Thursday.

Friday will bring an increase in cloud which could bring.......rain OR sleet.

Woop-di-doo :rolleyes:

CroppyBoy1798

darkman2

I wonder will this chart be the same come next Tuesday:

http://www.wetterzentrale.de/pics/Rtavn1681.png

Be great if it did come off.

If we could get that -45 line in over Ireland and a northnortheast.I'd like that

I've more or less given up the ghost on the next couple of days.
Some interesting weather above 600ft inland but other than that,just cold rain for here.


But from a cold point of view,I'd remain positive for the moment in that the trend is for temps to continue to drop and pressure too and thats a better combination than the southwesterlies for excitement value.

Gonzo

I really cant see anything happening except cool february days with rainly showers and maybe sleet on high ground, yet again this week we are doomed to failure time after time after time, something always happens, something always goes wrong even as soon as 24 hours beforehand. For conditons to be right for snowfall in Ireland the 'almost impossible' has to happen. Too many things have to fall into place for decent snow to happen here. We are situated in the most unlucky spot of Europe along with the Canary Islands for snow, we are on the warm western edge of Europe with water on all 4 sides of our country, our chances of getting snow are lower than any other part of Europe, even the mediterranean districts.

snow on high ground Gonzo not sleet.

Nothing ever goes wrong.
The weather does what the weather does.
These are only models-they cant outfox the weather.

FWIW I wouldnt have the same confidence as Darkman2 about next weeks Northerly here for lower levels.
I'd imagine ,snowfall and deep snow is possible inland above 600ft but wet snow mixed with rain at best for sea level and low ground.
It might stick at its heaviest to give a layer of 1cm of slush only to go again when it reverts to rain or when the sun comes out.