EPL Betting Guide 2006/07

dannyd20

I’m no stranger to police attention. I was once driving along with the wife when the boys in blue pulled me over. The copper asked me if I’d been drinking. “Not a drop” I replied, “Was I speeding?”

“No Sir, it’s the state of the bint in the passenger seat that aroused my suspicion.”

My run in with the Old Bill pigeon-holes me alongside young Wayne Rooney. The Scouse nutcase had his possessions lifted from his parent’s house recently; imagine that, a robbery in Liverpool. If anyone offers you a half-eaten Big Mac wrapped in losing betting slips, you should contact the filth immediately.

For Rooney, it’s been a summer to forget. The big lad’s temperament was called in to question at the World Cup, when after a couple of niggling challenges from the opposition players, Rooney decided to jump on Ricardo Carvalho’s testicles like they were a couple of hairy chicken nuggets.

Ricky ‘The Soprano’ Carvalho will have a thirst for vengeance as a result of his severe case of the ‘numb plum’ at the hands of the Roonatic. They say that revenge is a dish best served with two veg, depriving Wayne Rooney of a champion’s medal will be a little payback. Chelsea are 1/2 to retain their title; that’s a plum betting opportunity.

Luckily, there is a betting without Chelsea market, and I’m favouring Arsenal to pip Man U to the runners-up spot. It looks like Real Madrid have failed in their attempt to lure Fabregas from the Emirates (paying for Cesc is quite an appealing prospect), while United are set to lose Ronnie and the Ruud boy. 2/1 about the Gunners in a two horse race seems more than fair.

Ricardo Carvalho is not the first man to end up with an angry pair of plums, Neville Neville set the trend 30 years ago. Phil Neville’s Everton teammates look a decent bet at 14/1 to come out on top in the betting ‘without the big 4’.

One of the results of Chelsea’s ‘buy every good player in the world’ policy, is that the relegation battle has evolved into a ‘dolphin’ market; it’s more interesting than the title race for betting porpoises. Wigan performed miracles last season, but they’ve lost Chimbonda and bought Heskey, which is like swapping a Porsche for a wheelbarrow. Take 4/1 about Wigan dropping a division.

Paul Jewell managed to keep Bradford in the Premier League for a season a few years ago; before being relegated the following term, finishing rock bottom. Jewell may be a real character, but so is Homer Simpson, and you wouldn’t want him in charge of your football team. (Unless it was a straight choice between Simpson and Souness, then you’d have to seriously reconsider your position.) Wigan are worth a small nibble at 20/1 to finish bottom of the heap.

Thierry Henry believes that his appearance in the Champions League and World Cup finals prove that he is a winner, although technically, that makes him a double loser. It’s rare for an 11/4 shot to represent value in a 120 runner race, but you can’t look beyond the great man for the Golden Boot. Henry has topped the charts in four of the last five campaigns (he narrowly lost out to Van the man by a single goal four seasons ago); only a serious injury to the world’s greatest player will prevent you from collecting.

The following guide covers everything you need to know for the upcoming Premiership season, and in all likelihood, plenty more that you didn’t.

Arsenal

Winners 8/1; Relegation 1,500/1; Where they’ll finish – 2nd

Coming second is rarely enjoyable, but will represent a successful season for the Gunners.

Season Special – Arsenal to finish above Liverpool 10/11

Aston Villa

Winners 1,000/1; Relegation 5/1; Where they’ll finish – 12th

The Villa squad is one of the smallest in the Premiership, and as my wife always says, you can’t compose a symphony with a small organ. They could do with a billionaire to take over, I’m feeling Randy.

Season Special – Aston Villa to finish 15th or higher 4/7

Blackburn

Winners 350/1; Relegation 25/1; Where they’ll finish – 9th

Robbie Savage is on his way to Europe. God help those poor continentals.

Season Special – Blackburn to finish 7th or lower 4/11

Bolton

Winners 500/1; Relegation 22/1; Where they’ll finish – 7th

While England are lumbered with Steve McClaren, Bolton get to keep hold of the miracle man Sam Allardyce. The best result of the summer.

Season Special – Bolton to finish above Blackburn 6/5

Charlton

Winners 2,000/1; Relegation 3/1; Where they’ll finish – 17th

Darren Bent misses the start of the season as he hasn’t mastered the art of sandwich making. They’ll miss the Curb.

Season Special – Darren Bent to be Charlton’s top scorer Evs

Chelsea

Winners 1/2; Relegation 10,000/1; Where they’ll finish – 1st

The Lamp failed to shine in Germany, but always burns brightly in the Premiership. Ballack and Shevchenko can both play, Paddy Power will probably pay out at the end of August.

Season Special – Shevchenko to score 17 league goals or fewer 5/6

Everton

Winners 500/1; Relegation 16/1; Where they’ll finish – 5th

Andy Johnson is a quality striker, Tim Cahill is a quality midfielder and Phil Neville is a defender. I like their chances.

Season Special – Everton to win ‘without the big 4’ 14/1

Fulham

Winners 1,500/1; Relegation 5/1; Where they’ll finish – 16th

The antics of Jimmy Bullard should entertain the Cottagers. Somewhere, there’s a psychiatric unit missing a patient.

Season Special – Fulham to finish above Wigan 10/11

Liverpool

Winners 17/2; Relegation 1,500/1; Where they’ll finish – 4th

I read that Craig Bellamy remains polemical, I’m not bilingual, I assume polemical is Welsh for a tool.

Season Special – Gerrard to score more league goals than Bellamy 7/4

Man City

Winners 750/1; Relegation 9/1; Where they’ll finish – 15th

City have signed Hamann from Liverpool via Bolton in the strangest transfer tale since David Unsworth’s wife told him he couldn’t stay in the Midlands. It won’t help.

Season Special – Samaras to score more league goals than Vassell 8/11

Man United

Winners 8/1; Relegation 2,500/1; Where they’ll finish – 3rd

Fergie may end up needing a taxi out of Old Trafford by the end of the season. He should have kept his Van.

Season Special – Man U to earn 75 league points or less 11/8

Middlesbrough

Winners 500/1; Relegation 16/1; Where they’ll finish – 10th

Even a novice manager such as Gareth ‘paint-dryingly dull’ Southgate inspires more confidence than Steve ‘what’s he ever done’ McClaren; they’ll improve on last year.

Season Special – Boro to finish above Newcastle 6/4

Newcastle

Winners 175/1; Relegation 40/1; Where they’ll finish – 11th

Roeder was given the job although he lacks the necessary coaching qualifications. Luckily, Duff-man will prevent a relegation battle. Oh yeah.

Season Special – Duff to be Newcastle’s top scorer 8/1

Portsmouth

Winners 1,000/1; Relegation 8/1; Where they’ll finish – 13th

Harry Redknapp is no stranger to a little punt, if he backs Pompey to stay up he’ll have landed another touch.

Season Special – Pompey to stay up 1/7

Reading

Winners 2,500/1; Relegation 6/4; Where they’ll finish – 14th

Steve Coppell once walked out of Manchester after 33 days, what took him so long? Reading can be last season’s Wigan.

Season Special – Reading to finish above Sheff Utd and Watford 5/4

Sheffield United

Winners 5,000/1; Relegation 4/6; Where they’ll finish – 18th

Neil Warnock will be an exciting addition to the Premiership, there’s a severe shortage of managers who want to break opponent’s legs.

Season Special – Sheff U to finish 18th 7/2

Tottenham

Winners 80/1; Relegation 200/1; Where they’ll finish – 6th

In Defoe and Berbatov, they have a pair of quality strikers. I like a nice pair.

Season Special – Tottenham to finish 6th or lower 8/11

Watford

Winners 5,000/1; Relegation 4/7; Where they’ll finish – 19th

Watford are like Big Brother’s Imogen, they’re not very attractive, they may go down at Christmas.

Season Special – Watford to finish in the bottom two Evs

West Ham

Winners 750/1; Relegation 9/1; Where they’ll finish – 8th

Lee Bowyer should be a good signing; now that’s what I call an attacking midfielder.

Season Special – Dean Ashton to be the top English goal scorer 20/1

Wigan

Winners 1,500/1; Relegation 4/1; Where they’ll finish – 20th

Bought Heskey to score goals, I’ll predict three.

Season Special – Wigan to finish bottom of the league 20/1


source: www.kumb.com

PHB

Thierry Henry believes that his appearance in the Champions League and World Cup finals prove that he is a winner, although technically, that makes him a double loser. It’s rare for an 11/4 shot to represent value in a 120 runner race, but you can’t look beyond the great man for the Golden Boot. Henry has topped the charts in four of the last five campaigns (he narrowly lost out to Van the man by a single goal four seasons ago); only a serious injury to the world’s greatest player will prevent you from collecting.

I don't agree. Henry woulda lost last year to Van Nist had Van Nist continued to play. Arsenal don't supply him with the service he used to get, and I could well see any of Shev, Bent or Rooney pipping him to the post.

shepthedog

Some nice and entertaining stuff in there Dannyd20...
Cheers for posting..

Some interesting bets in there...
I have a feeling Reading will do a good job and as u said be last years Wigan.. U gotta feel for Wigan, had a gr8 last season and still cant attract any good players.. 5 mil on Emile.. For Shame..

dannyd20

shepthedog wrote:

Some nice and entertaining stuff in there Dannyd20...
Cheers for posting..

Thanks! I thought there were some interesting bits anyway, and its a good read. I don't usually place bets but its nice to see what other people think is worth putting money on. I don't necessarily agree with everything in the article but it certainly whets my appetite for the new season!

@ PHB - You can't argue with Thierry Henry's record - top scorer in 4 out of the last 5 seasons!

el rabitos

dannyd20 wrote:

Thanks! I thought there were some interesting bits anyway, and its a good read. I don't usually place bets but its nice to see what other people think is worth putting money on. I don't necessarily agree with everything in the article but it certainly whets my appetite for the new season!

@ PHB - You can't argue with Thierry Henry's record - top scorer in 4 out of the last 5 seasons!

but rvn is better, way better, better than everyone ever

its getting harder to predict the top 4 every year. which makes it more aof a pitty that chelsea are bankrolled how they are, because it would make for a very unpredictable title race and thus more interesting.

if 2nd was the new 1st i'd really be looking forward to the season. as it stands i'm mildly looking forward to it in the hope that spurs keep up and newcastle get their ass into gear, the more top teams, the more points can be taken from chelski imo