Chris (Three)

billy the squid

New tropical storm in this very slow season, well in comparison to last year.



Latest Advisory

ZCZC MIATCPAT3 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM CHRIS INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 2A
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL032006
800 AM AST TUE AUG 01 2006

...CHRIS HEADED TOWARD THE NORTHERN LEEWARD ISLANDS...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE ISLANDS OF
ANTIGUA...BARBUDA...ANGUILLA...ST. KITTS... NEVIS...SABA...ST.
EUSTATIUS...ST. BARTHELEMY...ST. MARTIN...AND ST. MAARTEN. A
TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS.

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR PUERTO RICO
AND THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS...AND FOR THE BRITISH VIRGIN ISLANDS. A
TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 36 HOURS.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE
INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED
BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.

AT 800 AM AST...1200Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM CHRIS WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 16.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 59.8 WEST OR ABOUT
135 MILES...215 KM...EAST OF ANTIGUA.

CHRIS IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 9 MPH...15 KM/HR...
AND THIS GENERAL HEADING IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE OVER THE NEXT 24
HOURS. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...CHRIS IS EXPECTED TO MOVE OVER OR
NEAR THE NORTHERNMOST LEEWARD ISLANDS LATER TONIGHT OR EARLY
WEDNESDAY MORNING.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 40 MPH...65 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. SOME STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. AN
AIR FORCE RESERVE RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT IS SCHEDULED TO
INVESTIGATE THE TROPICAL STORM THIS AFTERNOON TO PROVIDE A MORE
ACCURATE ESTIMATE OF THE STRENGTH AND LOCATION OF CHRIS.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 35 MILES...55 KM
FROM THE CENTER.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1009 MB...29.80 INCHES.

RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 3 TO 5 INCHES...WITH ISOLATED HIGHER AMOUNTS TO
NEAR 8 INCHES...ARE POSSIBLE OVER THE NORTHERN LEEWARD ISLANDS IN
ASSOCIATION WITH CHRIS.

REPEATING THE 800 AM AST POSITION...16.8 N...59.8 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 9 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40
MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1009 MB.

THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL
HURRICANE CENTER AT 1100 AM AST.

$$
FORECASTER PASCH

Advisory
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/refresh/MIATCPAT3+shtml/011149.shtml

NHC Forcast Map
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/refresh/graphics_at3+shtml/115550.shtml?5day?large

All other models
http://www.sfwmd.gov/org/omd/ops/weather/plots/storm_03.gif

Radar - Leeward Islands
http://www.meteo.fr/temps/domtom/antilles/pack-public/animation/animMOSAIC2.html

Radar Puerto Rico
http://radar.weather.gov/radar.php?rid=JUA&product=N0Z&overlay=11101111&loop=no

Current forcasts take it into Miami area of Florida

To compare with last year, GERT had been gone six days and HARVEY formed on 2nd August.

billy the squid

An update on the last 24 hours.

The tropical storm watch for Puerto Rico has been upgraded to a tropical storm warning. Chris is currently over the leeward islands.

The forcast map now takes it just south of Florida and crossing the florida keys as a hurricane.

will update the map shortly.

billy the squid

Chris has weakened over night and is on the verge of becoming a tropical depression again.

It is currently heading in the direction of the Bahamas islands and is forcast to go straight into the gulf of mexico as a tropical storm.

Tropical storm watches for the dominican republic and the eastern bahamas are in effect. all other watches and warnings have been discontinued.

billy the squid

Chris has weakened to a tropical depression according to the 12Z intermediate advisory. however it is forcast to strengthen again to a tropical storm before it passes over northern Cuba.

Tropical storm watches and warnings have been discontinued for the Dominican Republic, but remain in effect for the Bahamas.

media - more94 Bahamas
http://www.more94fm.com