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Laois/Offaly tactical vote

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    #32
    SeanW
    Registered Users Posts: 8,830 ✭✭✭SeanW


    I've just been thinking about this and indeed post question and got an answer on another thread so here's my advice.

    Consider
    1: Whos party wants to/has the best chance of doing business with Fianna Fail?
    2: The relative strengths and weaknesses of each candidate in the polls. PaddyPower.ie can give you the bookies projection for who's going to get a seat.
    3: How many preferences are you going to give to the block you really want in gov, and how many later preferences you'll give to miscellaneus others.
    4: Which of the desired candidates represent your county.

    Then consider the coherence of the "rainbow" and if you view it to be a total bloc, with no possibility of any party doing business with FF, vote tactically by voting for the weakest candidate number 1, and so on until you get to the strongest.

    But this isn't an absolute because you will have to consider the fact that the rainbow isn't a 100% absolute. Also you will no doubt desire local representation so you may to give your closest, preferred candidate a better preference even if they may not need it as much as others.


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    #33
    Badabing
    Registered Users Posts: 1,907 ✭✭✭Badabing


    In Laois Offaly Fianna Fail have a great party machine and they always get the vote out so it would be a major suprise if they lost a seat, i reckon 3ff 2fg with parlon losing by a few hundread votes.


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    #34
    Wicklow Boy
    Closed Accounts Posts: 17 ✭Wicklow Boy


    I think Charlie Flanagan has lost a lot of kudos in Laois Offaly after losing the last time he desided against standing in the local elections and now he has appeared again.

    Sean Fleming is far better established than the last time and has been the only TD showing any interest in Graiguecullen, Carlow which now has a very sizeable population. I go for 3 FF Olwyn for FG and Parlon shading Flanagan for the last seat


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    #35
    JackieChan
    Closed Accounts Posts: 1,829 ✭✭✭JackieChan


    Wicklow Boy wrote:
    I think Charlie Flanagan has lost a lot of kudos in Laois Offaly after losing the last time he desided against standing in the local elections and now he has appeared again.

    Sean Fleming is far better established than the last time and has been the only TD showing any interest in Graiguecullen, Carlow which now has a very sizeable population. I go for 3 FF Olwyn for FG and Parlon shading Flanagan for the last seat
    WB, I'm a bit lost by the reference to Graiguecullen, its not like they can vote for Fleming, but I do agree that he'll get in but more likely IMO at the expense of Parlon than Flanagan.


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