Tallies - Latest News

BoozyBabe

Any word on the Cavan / Monaghan constituency?

Villain

tvnutz wrote:

Aine Brady just elected in Kildare North for FF.

Looks like it will be FF2,LAB 1 and FG 1.

Tallies from RTE-Kildare North, FF 40%, FG 21%, LAB 18%, PD 2%, GP 5%, SF 2%, IND 12%, Prediction FF 2, LAB 1

They say only 3 seats bu there are actually 4 now.

Catherine Murphy is looking likely to hold her seat although FG may push for it yet although they have 800 votes to make up!

Crash

corrigan - 4278
culhane - 2867
kitt - 10124
mitchell - 8148
nic chormaic - 1021
o donnell - 4254
o gogain - 185
o leary - 2928
ryan - 6885
shatter - 5820
tracy - 864
white - 3629

tracy, nic chormaic, o gogain eliminiated, count 3 begins.

seamus

PDs are really taking a hammering.

If you look at 2002, FG lost loads of seats, generally to the benefit of the other non-FF parties (though FF did well out of it). Now the non-FF parties are being squeezed to add votes to the FG count.

If FG don't get in this time, they'll need to move away from the "Vote FG" focus to the "Stop voting FF" focus, as it would appear that it's the FF stalwart vote that keeps them in power.

smurfette2212

&#231 wrote: »

corrigan - 4278
culhane - 2867
kitt - 10124
mitchell - 8148
nic chormaic - 1021
o donnell - 4254
o gogain - 185
o leary - 2928
ryan - 6885
shatter - 5820
tracy - 864
white - 3629

tracy, nic chormaic, o gogain eliminiated, count 3 begins.

Sorry if this has already been asked/answered, but tv coverage seems to only be referring to 4 seats in Dublin South, and yet all the other sites are mentioning 5 - has DS lost a seat, or has it just not been mentioned yet??

EdgarAllenPoo

Just glanced at rte 1, it sounds to me like Pat Rabitte is ready, willing and able to kick Enda out of the bed and get cosy with Bertie. Again, I have no problem with that.

Crash

Ok quick weird thing - mitchell was announced with 1000 votes too many
those votes now seem to be in Shatters bunch.

what the hell is the returning officer actually at?

Time Magazine

irish1 wrote:

Catherine Murphy is looking likely to hold her seat although FG may push for it yet although they have 800 votes to make up!

These figures are being quoted on Politics.ie


brady ff = 11239
stagg lab = 7890
fitzpatrick ff = 6579
durkan fg = 5295
murphy ind = 5162
scully fg = 4196
fitzgerald grn = 2209
mcCauley sf = 1116
aherne pd = 967

I don't know where the 800 votes this is coming from, Durkan is 130 votes ahead and he can expect the bulk of Scully's vote (mine included). A lot of Fitzgerald's vote will go to Murphy though, both being Leixlip-based.

I still put it at Brady, Stagg, Fitzpatrick, Durkan.

Irish Wolf

DMC wrote:

Not yet, Irish Wolf.

From RTÉ at noon, Cavan-Monaghan, 95% Boxes Open, FF 38%, FG 31%, LAB 1%, GP 4%, SF 20%, IND 6%,

The IND is Paudge, he looks like toast. FF Margaret Conlan is polling well, tight between Seymour Crawford and Conlan, I'd say.

That's the last update BoozyBabe... don't think all the boxes are open yet...

Crash

Dublin South is a five seater, as far as I know.

what I can see is:

Brennan
Kitt
Mitchell
Ryan
Shatter

so 2 FF, 2 FG, 1 GP

EdgarAllenPoo

They're usually well sauced old farts so you have to expect mistakes.

gbh

RTE haved predicted 41 FG seats already and still in the running for a good number more....

BoozyBabe

Thanks Irish Wolf, that's the best I could get too. Though they did say on RTE that O'Caolain & someone else had been elected.

BMH

Newstalk said around 50, but it's coming from Labour and green instead of Fianna Fáil.

EdgarAllenPoo

Time to play silly buggers, imagine if Labour were to get more seats than Fine Gael, would enda and Bertie go in together, nver mind.

I once considered going into politics but I have an unfortunate tendency to give straight answers to questions so that knocked that career choice on the head.

Villain

Ibid wrote:

These figures are being quoted on Politics.ie


brady ff = 11239
stagg lab = 7890
fitzpatrick ff = 6579
durkan fg = 5295
murphy ind = 5162
scully fg = 4196
fitzgerald grn = 2209
mcCauley sf = 1116
aherne pd = 967

I don't know where the 800 votes this is coming from, Durkan is 130 votes ahead and he can expect the bulk of Scully's vote (mine included). A lot of Fitzgerald's vote will go to Murphy though, both being Leixlip-based.

I still put it at Brady, Stagg, Fitzpatrick, Durkan.

Sorry I read them wrong but Those figures are wrong also, the correct ones are:

AHERNE, Jeff 983
BRADY, Aine 11245
BROWNE, Gerry 145
CORISH, Dr. John F. 234
DURKAN, Bernard* 5340
FITZGERALD, Shane 2215
FITZPATRICK, Michael 6606
McCAULEY, Cristin 1103
MURPHY, Catherine* 5188
SCULLY, Darren 4250
STAGG, Emmet* 7882

Time Magazine

Cool, thanks. My figures must have been tallies. Fairly accurate. Thing my analysis still holds though - 9500 FPV for FG with only 5188 for Catherine. Interesting to see where Stagg's transfers go.

scojones

Bob the Seducer wrote:

Working from memory here but the lay of land in Clare is Dooley (FF) top with Killeen (FF) Pat Breen (FG) and Carey (FG) looking most likely to take the other three seats. It looks like current TD James Breen (IND) may loose his seat. Transfers from the bottom two FG and the Greens will probably come into play.

I think Mulcahy was the lowest of the FG firsts. Dooley definitely top but not elected yet.

Yeah it's pretty bad. Just got off the phone with Mulcahy's son. Only 63% of people registered to vote in Shannon showed up. He was hoping to get around 5000 votes but only got 2800(ish). It could change, but it doesn't look good at all.

EdgarAllenPoo

Caoimhghín Ó Caoláin is in as is Brendan Smith for Cavan/Monaghan.

Villain

Ibid wrote:

Cool, thanks. My figures must have been tallies. Fairly accurate. Thing my analysis still holds though - 9500 FPV for FG with only 5188 for Catherine. Interesting to see where Stagg's transfers go.

Yes I think you are correct FG have more than enough for one seat unless some really strange happens.

EdgarAllenPoo

Waterford

quota - 9906

Martin Cullen is in

Villain

Amazing the people of Ireland never seize to amaze me ah well if nothing else the people of Waterford have given us someone to laugh at for the next 5 years.

EdgarAllenPoo

Wexford

quota - 11437

John Brown/Fianna Fail is in

Jonny Arson

GDM wrote:

Waterford

quota - 9906

Martin Cullen is in

LOL

ah Waterford people.......

Villaricos

&#231 wrote: »

corrigan - 4278
culhane - 2867
kitt - 10124
mitchell - 8148
nic chormaic - 1021
o donnell - 4254
o gogain - 185
o leary - 2928
ryan - 6885
shatter - 5820
tracy - 864
white - 3629

tracy, nic chormaic, o gogain eliminiated, count 3 begins.

heya crash, whats the quota for Dublin South? And have they decided what Mitchell and Shatters numbers are yet?

Dutz

any news on dublin south west ? ? ?

EdgarAllenPoo

Meath East

quota- 10752
Mary Wallace/Fianna Fail is in.

yomchi

Dutz wrote:

any news on dublin south west ? ? ?

Lenihan tops poll,

Hayes comes in second

Rabbitte elected on 2nd count

Crowe loses seat.

Probably O'Connor for the final

Oracle

Martin Cullen back in oh NOOOOOO!!!!

gbh

From what has happened so far it seems, the more ineffective a politician you are, the more popular you are...