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Dublin Tallies

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    #32
    Voipjunkie
    Registered Users Posts: 1,062 ✭✭✭Voipjunkie


    monkeyfudge wrote:
    It's looking something like this in North Central:

    Richard Bruton FG 25.5%
    Sean Haughey FF 24.64%
    Ivor Callely FF 19.34%
    Finian McGrath IND 14.22%
    Derek McDowell LAB 7.2%
    Bronwen Maher GP 5.2%
    Peter Lawlor SF 3.78%

    It's not looking good for McGrath... I was hoping he'd be able to knock Callely out of it.



    Disagree Haughey has no surplus for Callely and there is 16% of lower candidates to be distributed which should favour Mcgrath who is only 5% behind Callely.
    I would be surprised if Callely took enough of Green labour and shinner votes to get him to the quota


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    #33
    Voipjunkie
    Registered Users Posts: 1,062 ✭✭✭Voipjunkie


    seansouth wrote:
    Yeah, by the looks of it Callely will get elected on transfers form Haughey.

    McGrath's problem is the fact that he's a Shinner in all but name, and a lot of people felt that he lied to them last time out, that's where he's losing ground.


    Its a 3 seater haughey will not have a surplus

    And McGraths vote is well up on his vote in 2002


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    #34
    Marshy
    Registered Users Posts: 1,601 ✭✭✭Marshy


    Pat Rabitte seems utterly deflated despite being elected


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    #35
    Money Shot
    Closed Accounts Posts: 603 ✭✭✭Money Shot


    Voipjunkie wrote:
    Disagree Haughey has no surplus for Callely and there is 16% of lower candidates to be distributed which should favour Mcgrath who is only 5% behind Callely.
    I would be surprised if Callely took enough of Green labour and shinner votes to get him to the quota

    Please god let your analysis be correct - I want to believe it so much... Callely going, Mary Lou not getting in, Sean Crowe out, McDowell and co. going would provide some comfort for me in what has otherwise been a tragedy of a day.


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    #36
    mwrf
    Registered Users Posts: 523 ✭✭✭mwrf


    Marshy wrote:
    Pat Rabitte seems utterly deflated despite being elected

    he does. not happy.


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    #37
    MementoMori
    Closed Accounts Posts: 5,492 ✭✭✭MementoMori


    McGrath looked pretty happy when on RTE earlier - cant see Callely getting many transfers at all


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    #38
    JC 2K3
    Closed Accounts Posts: 7,794 ✭✭✭JC 2K3


    KevIRL wrote:
    likewise
    +1


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    #39
    Marshy
    Registered Users Posts: 1,601 ✭✭✭Marshy


    Boyd barrett has the iniative. Cuffe will need to get the vast majority of the FG transfers to overtake him.


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    #40
    Marshy
    Registered Users Posts: 1,601 ✭✭✭Marshy


    Cuffe made it quite easily in the end. So that makes 6 seats for the greens in total I think. But will they go with FF?


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    #41
    JC 2K3
    Closed Accounts Posts: 7,794 ✭✭✭JC 2K3


    Phew, I thought Boyd Barrett was going to get in for a while, now that'd be odd.

    C'mon FF-Greens!


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