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responce to Ibid: Correct me if i'm wrong, but afaik the two biggest industries in ireland are the it and pharmaceutical industries. Which are all about research.0
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Ibid wrote:I'm not arsed at the moment sourcing the OECD report that says Ireland is crap at R&D and we should focus instead on implementing others' technology. I'm sure some of you can find it though. Dr. Constantine Gurdgiev argued about it in Business and Finance a couple of years ago.
off hand can you think of a title? a quick glance at the OECD website turned up nothing. it'd be useful for me studies...0 -
djpbarry wrote:What exactly are you basing that on if you have no experience of working in research?I’m sorry, but that’s just daft. When you undertake a research project, you are entering the unknown to a certain degree – otherwise it wouldn’t be worth doing. You cannot possibly project the potential monetary gain the research will provide, as this would depend on a whole range of factors.That is highly debateable.
Themole, you're right, pharmachem and IT are some of the largest industries, though not the largest. Construction and the HSE are the largest employers if I'm not mistaken. Many of these jobs are research and development based and pay their way. But firstly they're private sector, not government funded. Secondly, you don't need more than a third level qualification to "develop" a new software package, thus calling it "R&D" is a misnomer. Similarly researching for new drugs takes people with degrees in chemistry rather than doctorates therein. So again the "R&D" thing is a misnomer.
I can't think of the title, leninbenjamin, it's been at least a year since I read the report. Though this BoozeAllenHamilton report is good. The conclusion: R&D ain't the be all and end all. Throwing money at it is all too often a waste.0 -
Ibid wrote:Give me some evidence where government funding is more effective than private funding.
Space exploration and satellites, gps etc assoiated with.
Sometimes there are projects too big for a company to handle mainly as they will benefit everyone and not just the company that would develop them.
Tbh the us military has done a lot for the high tech industry, bit of a mixed blessing :cool:Ibid wrote:Themole, you're right, pharmachem and IT are some of the largest industries, though not the largest.
Some figures i came across put construction at 9% of GDP.0 -
themole wrote:The internet and all thats associated with it, developed for the us military.
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And you need to know the difference between GDP and GNP to analyze the difference between construction and ICT/Pharmachem in this country.0 -
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cheers for the link Ibid.Ibid wrote:And you need to know the difference between GDP and GNP to analyze the difference between construction and ICT/Pharmachem in this country.
on the subject of the above though, can that not be turned around and used as an argument FOR increased government investment in the area? should the government not be investing in the hope that our own researchers would come up with the breakthroughs and products and might possibly go out and establish their own business's or companies, instead of the current situation now where we have a huge over reliance on foreign owned investment?0 -
No. Just because we need an investment to work doesn't mean it will work.0
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Ibid wrote:That a single example of government inventing something. That's not evidence :rolleyes: Get me aggregate figures and we'll talk
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And you need to know the difference between GDP and GNP to analyze the difference between construction and ICT/Pharmachem in this country.
I'm not saying research should be all government or all private. But the case for government supported research in my mind is clear. There are numerous fields which were/are supported by governemnt funding.
Without doing any searching i can come up with, including the two i already gave:
Nuclear power industry, spawned from manhattan project, ups and down to everythingand currently the world leaders in nuclear energy are france where the government has funded edf.
Computer industry, developed from work done to break codes during ww2. Most of the early programmable computers were build with government money. The us military still funds a lot of research.
I'm not saying these fields would not exist without government intervention, but as they stand they have benefitted greatly from government funding.
Secondly, i stated that as far as i know IT and pharm ARE the biggest industries in Ireland in terms of money. If i am wrong on this why don't you come up with evidence to refute me?0 -
Ibid, the bottom line is that technology cannot possibly advance without research, be it state-funded or private.0
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themole wrote:I'm not saying these fields would not exist without government intervention, but as they stand they have benefitted greatly from government funding.
Do you not mean we have benefited from WAR, without WW1 and WW2 commercial flying for instance may have been delayed for 20 or 30 yearsA belief in gender identity involves a level of faith as there is nothing tangible to prove its existence which, as something divorced from the physical body, is similar to the idea of a soul. - Colette Colfer
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silverharp wrote:Do you not mean we have benefited from WAR, without WW1 and WW2 commercial flying for instance may have been delayed for 20 or 30 years
But there are lots of occasions were war was not involved and governments have stepped in to fund projects, take fusion power as an example. The iter projects is funded by a number of governments.0 -
themole wrote:First of all, i gave two examples.
Why do I mention this? I'm emphasizing how ridiculous it is to pour so much money into R&D. The ISS cost $130bn dollars. Had they successfully lowered costs by about 8% - the sort of gains the evidence public vs private is suggesting - that would have freed up $10bn. That's more than enough, by a conservative UN estimate, to bring running water to half those who do not have it. So an 8% cost saving measure on the one great white light elephant of space exploration could save 2,500 under-5s every day, from one disease alone. How many lives would it save in total? I dunno, maybe 10,000? How much longer would they live? I only dream to think of that.
The reality of the situation is that technology has not yet reached its capital saturation point. Far from it, there's is already a huge outstanding capital deficit on this planet. R&D, and particularly non-profit motivated R&D is a "black box" where money is put in and hoped something will come out. Furthermore the evidence suggests pouring more into this black box, not surprisingly, doesn't increase the productive outflow. Throwing money at it is not only not going to solve the problem, it causes other problems by withdrawing for our traditional capital fund.I'm not saying research should be all government or all private. But the case for government supported research in my mind is clear. There are numerous fields which were/are supported by governemnt funding.Without doing any searching i can come up with, including the two i already gave:
Nuclear power industry, spawned from manhattan project, ups and down to everythingand currently the world leaders in nuclear energy are france where the government has funded edf.
You cannot evaluate any investment without knowing the underlying cost structure. Not surprisingly, academic research has been undertaken to investigate the effectiveness of government and private R&D. Evidence of thousands of projects were taken and averages analyzed. The results? R&D is not an amazing investment by any means. Another result? Public funding is not as effective as private funding.Computer industry, developed from work done to break codes during ww2. Most of the early programmable computers were build with government money. The us military still funds a lot of research.I'm not saying these fields would not exist without government intervention, but as they stand they have benefitted greatly from government funding.Secondly, i stated that as far as i know IT and pharm ARE the biggest industries in Ireland in terms of money. If i am wrong on this why don't you come up with evidence to refute me?djpbarry wrote:Ibid, the bottom line is that technology cannot possibly advance without research, be it state-funded or private.0 -
What i am saying is that there are many cases where the research might not habe been done at all due to the prohibitive costs which no company is willing to bear.
How do you know the ISS was a waste of money? , or could have been done cheaper? The case is not clear cut. It might bear fruition in decades to come.
I will agree that you know more about the economics than me. But my point is that just looking at the costs does not tell the full story. Its easy to cost a project after it has been done and say, that wasn't worth it. But a harder figure to come up with is what would be the benefit of not doing the project. Maybe it will have been worth it taken on a longer scale.
My point is taken on a grander scale all knowledge is valuable.0 -
themole wrote:What i am saying is that there are many cases where the research might not habe been done at all due to the prohibitive costs which no company is willing to bear.How do you know the ISS was a waste of money? , or could have been done cheaper? The case is not clear cut. It might bear fruition in decades to come.I will agree that you know more about the economics than me. But my point is that just looking at the costs does not tell the full story. Its easy to cost a project after it has been done and say, that wasn't worth it. But a harder figure to come up with is what would be the benefit of not doing the project. Maybe it will have been worth it taken on a longer scale.My point is taken on a grander scale all knowledge is valuable.0
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Ibid wrote:How many lives per day do you reckon it will save? By saying "How do you know the ISS was a waste of money?" what you're effectively doing is putting your head in the sand, claiming nobody can conduct a cost-benefit analysis of any project but still saying "Despite our inability to be sure of these investments, and the overwhelming evidence that R&D isn't that great and firms do it better, I think it would be good to pour more money into it."Ibid wrote:You're politely saying "I'm ignoring all the hitherto evidence" here.0
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Ibid wrote:Why do I mention this? I'm emphasizing how ridiculous it is to pour so much money into R&D. The ISS cost $130bn dollars. Had they successfully lowered costs by about 8% - the sort of gains the evidence public vs private is suggesting - that would have freed up $10bn. That's more than enough, by a conservative UN estimate, to bring running water to half those who do not have it. So an 8% cost saving measure on the one great white light elephant of space exploration could save 2,500 under-5s every day, from one disease alone. How many lives would it save in total? I dunno, maybe 10,000? How much longer would they live? I only dream to think of that.
Opportunity cost is a great concept for a single country but on a global basis I am not sure how useful/workable it is. Apart frim the general concept of "the needs of the many outweighing the needs of the few" it is too simplistic to talk about the cost of clean water in the 3rd world as measured against some gold plated R&D project which if politically driven may or may not be useful. In your example somehow sorting out clean water in the third world tomorrow in isolation could create all kinds of problems if demographics suddenly changed.A belief in gender identity involves a level of faith as there is nothing tangible to prove its existence which, as something divorced from the physical body, is similar to the idea of a soul. - Colette Colfer
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themole wrote:There is money spent on worse things.I'm saying that its hard to quantify. Its easier to calculate the cost of developing a tech than it is to calculate the benefitand that looking at the cost you can calculate vs the benefit you can calculate will leave a lot out of the benefit side.silverharp wrote:Opportunity cost is a great concept for a single country but on a global basis I am not sure how useful/workable it is.Apart frim the general concept of "the needs of the many outweighing the needs of the few" it is too simplistic to talk about the cost of clean water in the 3rd world as measured against some gold plated R&D project which if politically driven may or may not be useful.In your example somehow sorting out clean water in the third world tomorrow in isolation could create all kinds of problems if demographics suddenly changed.0
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Ibid wrote:Nowhere did I propose not spending any money on R&D. Everywhere I have suggested that its economic capabilities have been shown to be limited, that belief in R&D is mis-guided as a pro-R&D bubble has expanded, that government funding for R&D is not as effective as private R&D, that Ireland is particularly bad in garnering results from R&D, that there is an outstanding capital deficit that should be addressed prior to seeking the advance of better capital, that "competitiveness" and "innovation" do not require R&D per se and we really should consider the alternatives before potentially wasting our money and particularly scare time.
On the issue of Ireland being "particularly bad in garnering results from R&D", I must ask what you are basing that statement on?
One area in particular where Ireland has the potential to become a world-leader is in the development of renewable/alternative energy sources. Now, this IS a necessity, as fossil fuels will only be around for so long and hence requires (probably large amounts of) funding.
Another pertinent example is the pharma industry, which is almost exclusively privately funded. The development of a new drug can cost anything up to $2 billion, but it is necessary. It should also be pointed out that this is an area where government funding is badly needed. Why? Well because, for example, there is not a single pharma company anywhere in the world that is developing a malaria vaccine, as it would not be in their interest to do so. Just an example of where private R&D doesn’t necessarily work.
I should point out that I do agree with Ibid on the issue of space exploration, at least in principle. It is incredible how much money gets poured into these programs, but then the same could be said for the military, or the pharma industry, who are more interested in finding treatments for obesity than treatments for AIDS, malaria or TB.
Finally Ibid, I agree with themole, not everything can be measured in monetary terms. I find this to be a major flaw among economists such as David McWilliams and Philippe Legrain.
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djpbarry wrote:Can we agree that sometimes, research IS a necessity?For example, there comes a point when a car, computer, processor or whatever, becomes obsolete and no amount of marketing know-how is going to sell you more units.Now, you appear to be making a case for private R&D, which is what I was getting at – there is virtually no private research in this country.BUT, it is still necessary for an individual to obtain a research degree before they can pursue a career in this area, which is where government funding comes in. Now, while it is sometimes possible to obtain a PhD or MPhil in industry, it is not possible to do this in Ireland due to the aforementioned lack of private research.
Secondly who says the government should fund fourth level? You're the one looking at this from the competitive strategy dimension; why shouldn't people cough up funds themselves to earn these high-paying jobs because they're selling so many new processors? Why should the government intervene? Or if firms need these super-talented PhD students, why don't they fund the research themselves and get people to sign preemptive contracts?On the issue of Ireland being "particularly bad in garnering results from R&D", I must ask what you are basing that statement on?One area in particular where Ireland has the potential to become a world-leader is in the development of renewable/alternative energy sources.Now, this IS a necessity, as fossil fuels will only be around for so long and hence requires (probably large amounts of) funding.
Why should the government think it's best at funding?Another pertinent example is the pharma industry, which is almost exclusively privately funded. The development of a new drug can cost anything up to $2 billion, but it is necessary. It should also be pointed out that this is an area where government funding is badly needed. Why? Well because, for example, there is not a single pharma company anywhere in the world that is developing a malaria vaccine, as it would not be in their interest to do so. Just an example of where private R&D doesn’t necessarily work.I should point out that I do agree with Ibid on the issue of space exploration, at least in principle. It is incredible how much money gets poured into these programs, but then the same could be said for the military, or the pharma industry, who are more interested in finding treatments for obesity than treatments for AIDS, malaria or TB.Finally Ibid, I agree with themole, not everything can be measured in monetary terms.economists such as David McWilliamsI find this to be a major flaw among economists such as David McWilliams and Philippe Legrain.0 -
Ibid wrote:.
Why? It's a single planet.
There is no mechanism or motivation to come around to this way of thinking. And even if there was it wouldn’t work, the world bank and such institutions are so corrupt that they have done nothing but impoverish third world countries.Ibid wrote:I was using the water example to give people some idea of the waste of money R&D has already been
An interesting point of view I came across is from Richard Heinberg where he says that we are past Peak innovation. Basically if you were to graph development with R&D money the peak would have been in the 19th Century, I don’t know enough to agree or disagree with the argument but it has some merit.Ibid wrote:
You don't understand the "economics" these guys espouse because it's not real economics. You're making the faux pas of calling Joe Duffy a sociologist. They're journalists with degrees in economics.
That’s not a fair comment in McWilliams case, he worked for the Irish central bank I believe. Given that economics is not a hard science most economists tend to be just mouthpieces for the institutions they work for.A belief in gender identity involves a level of faith as there is nothing tangible to prove its existence which, as something divorced from the physical body, is similar to the idea of a soul. - Colette Colfer
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silverharp wrote:There is no mechanism or motivation to come around to this way of thinking. And even if there was it wouldn’t work, the world bank and such institutions are so corrupt that they have done nothing but impoverish third world countries.An interesting point of view I came across is from Richard Heinberg where he says that we are past Peak innovation. Basically if you were to graph development with R&D money the peak would have been in the 19th Century, I don’t know enough to agree or disagree with the argument but it has some merit.That’s not a fair comment in McWilliams case, he worked for the Irish central bank I believe. Given that economics is not a hard science most economists tend to be just mouthpieces for the institutions they work for.
), worked a while in the CB then went into banking. Just like an economist who becomes the keyboardist for The Thrills can hardly be called an economist any more, McWilliams is a journalist.
Regardless, this is off-topic nonsense.0 -
Ibid wrote:Try to stop thinking about it from a competitive firm's opinion and see it as a societal view.bid wrote:We don't need private research in this country if we're crap at it.Ibid wrote:There are plenty of people researching with bachelors and taught mastersIbid wrote:Secondly who says the government should fund fourth level? You're the one looking at this from the competitive strategy dimension; why shouldn't people cough up funds themselves to earn these high-paying jobs because they're selling so many new processors? Why should the government intervene? Or if firms need these super-talented PhD students, why don't they fund the research themselves and get people to sign preemptive contracts?Ibid wrote:What are you basing that on? Why are you assuming that we're not better than the Norwegians, or the Spanish or the Angolans at this?Ibid wrote:In fact I'd say people are averse to oil because of its carbon residual. If a firm X manages to make extremely efficient solar power, I'd rather use that resource than buying off the oil-dependent ESB. And then firm X can make the billions and billions of dollars every year. So why aren't they pouring the money into R&D? Why aren't Google and Goldman Sachs funding in such a great opportunity?
Why should the government think it's best at funding?
I don’t think the government does think "it’s best at funding", but it has to address the shortfall.Ibid wrote:That's nice to know. No offense, but what's your point?. My point is that often, the goal of research, particularly in biological fields, is the pursuit of knowledge that will benefit society, rather than monetary gain. For example, the HSE is planning on introducing free cervical screening to all women in Ireland aged 25-60 years. This program is being introduced based largely on the recommendations of state-funded researchers in Trinity, St James’ Hospital and DIT. The state has little to gain financially from offering this service, but it is of huge importance to our society.
Ibid wrote:You don't understand the "economics" these guys espouse because it's not real economics. You're making the faux pas of calling Joe Duffy a sociologist. They're journalists with degrees in economics.
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Gah this is just painful.Ibid wrote:Because we're crap at it. And if we're crap at it we shouldn't even try, regardless of the fact that everyone else is mediocre at it. We don't need private research in this country if we're crap at it.Ibid wrote:So government funding is not as essential as you say.
As for your comments regarding the space program, you are talking about a technology largely funded by two superpowers, Russia and the US, in an environment of national competitiveness, during the cold war. The perspective I would put on this is, at the time, people dying of thirst in third world countries were not their responsibility, never mind that most of their problems were caused by their own leaders in the first place. You can't feed the world because the world's dictators will take your food for their own soldiers.
From a commerial point of view, sales and marketing investment will of course produce far better results than R&D, in terms of profit. However if you don't invest in R&D, sooner or later you end up with nothing to sell.Ibid wrote:Why should the government think it's best at funding?0 -
Just so ye know, I'm not avoiding this thread; my ratio of too busy to not arsed is too high at the moment.0
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:rolleyes:0
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