The Tips Thread (fancies go elsewhere) - READ MOD NOTE in POST 1 before posting!

and2

bishops lane 2.25 down
tip from Ted Walsh

mike65

mike65 wrote: »

Sky gate (USA) went off a 10/1 won, helped by the fav blowing the start.

Check out Commandingpresence (USA) in the 8.20 wolverhampton.

Came home second.

ibanez777vbk

mike65 wrote: »

Sky gate (USA) went off a 10/1 won, helped by the fav blowing the start.

Check out Commandingpresence (USA) in the 8.20 wolverhampton.

unlucky mike only beat a neck.went off a good price aswell 17/2,one to watch next time out for deffo.

ibanez777vbk

2 for tommorow.punchestown 2-10 (ascot) im a decider 3-15 (ascot)

Nightowl84

Heading to Thurles on Sun

Any tips would be most welcome (sick of relying on Pat Keanes naps in the examiner)

aya14

Nightowl84 wrote: »

Heading to Thurles on Sun

Any tips would be most welcome (sick of relying on Pat Keanes naps in the examiner)

Solwhit in the Grade 2 hurdle. looks a super bet impressive form decent jumper and has speed.

Nightowl84

aya14 wrote: »

Solwhit in the Grade 2 hurdle. looks a super bet impressive form decent jumper and has speed.

Thanks Aya, will check out the form and have a gamble.

avillan

buddy of mine gave me a tip last week for solwith ,was he to run in cheltenham ?

el diablo

Lone Wolf - Great Leighs - 4.20

aya14

avillan wrote: »

buddy of mine gave me a tip last week for solwith ,was he to run in cheltenham ?

Had 3 entries ones in cheltenham,punchestown and thurles. they went for this race as its the softest.

ElCrapula

Its not often Noel Chance brings runners to the all weather and his Mister New York caught my eye when down to run at Wolverhampton on Friday.Over 7 furlongs he ran on to be a credible sixth going off at 100/30.Hes turned out quickly again and upped to a mile at Great Leighs today,a distance he has won over in the past.Chance has a decent record on the AW when he runs and the very able Jim Crowley rides.Didnt shine when last seen at this track,something I'm willing to overlook and is a player today with each way odds of 7/1(Powers).

shiibata

Not big into betting but was just wondering how far did that tip on No.18 Quatorro go on 1st today at Navan.. Bookies in Ballybofey cleaned over it. rest of country know about it?

Collie D

Bah! Backed a winner yesterday at 16/1. Knew I'd be busy yesterday so only had time to watch one race and this was the one I picked. He won and thought I was 200 up. Checked account and had only put ten cent each way on instead of ten euro.

mike65

USA debuts Lingfield

1.30 Lady Micklegate 8/1
1.30 Premier Angel 11/1 finished second went off at 8/1

ibanez777vbk

not a bad day for the u.s.a bred horses.musical script won 5/2 cavalry guard won 16/1 mutamared won 13/8 premier angel 2nd 8/1.1 or 2 out the frame aswell but you would still be well up on the day.

mike65

I've backed the two USA breds in the Kempton last, 1 euro e/w

ibanez777vbk

mike65 wrote: »

I've backed the two USA breds in the Kempton last, 1 euro e/w

ah well 5/2 winner:D

mike65

I like this system! Got him at 6/1 on PP.

ibanez777vbk

aye its not bad,wont make you a millionaire but does throw up some big priced winners.the only problem with this is sometimes theres 2-3 usa bred horses in the same race,what i do is back the one with best all weather form on that track,what i find best is horses with poor turf form that have there first run on all weather,ive seen this system through up some titanic priced winners.good luck all and a merry xmas and new year.rob

ElCrapula

Ibanez,My record of giving winners on this thread is nothing short of shocking,so am loathe to say anything negative,but...................... can I just point out something about this "system".
Its not a system.
These American bloodlines are bred to run on the aw surfaces,whether it be fibresand or polytrack.Its the surface most akin to the dirt tracks that are so prevalent stateside.In a manner of speaking,they are genetically predisposed to run well on it.You will not get as many American bred horses running on the turf for the same reasons and certainly not in late summer when the ground is getting more rain and its got more give in it.
If you keep your eye on the flat come the end of the season,September/October time,youll start seeing that the horses running and moreover winning are by sires or are out of mares that are more suited to getting their toe in to the softer ground.Kyllachy's progeny for example run far better on good to soft than they do on firm.Being aware of this is not a system,its just a fact.
Many of the horses that win during the winter would not be players during the turf season because of surface issues.Its no great surprise to see American bred horses win on the all weather regulary.It would be kind of like saying that betting on a F1 car that has wet tyres during a downpour is a system.Its not,its just got a better chance because of its ability to handle the ground.
Youve called alot of decent punts on this thread.Keep it up.

ibanez777vbk

ElCrapula wrote: »

Ibanez,My record of giving winners on this thread is nothing short of shocking,so am loathe to say anything negative,but...................... can I just point out something about this "system".
Its not a system.
These American bloodlines are bred to run on the aw surfaces,whether it be fibresand or polytrack.Its the surface most akin to the dirt tracks that are so prevalent stateside.In a manner of speaking,they are genetically predisposed to run well on it.You will not get as many American bred horses running on the turf for the same reasons and certainly not in late summer when the ground is getting more rain and its got more give in it.
If you keep your eye on the flat come the end of the season,September/October time,youll start seeing that the horses running and moreover winning are by sires or are out of mares that are more suited to getting their toe in to the softer ground.Kyllachy's progeny for example run far better on good to soft than they do on firm.Being aware of this is not a system,its just a fact.
Many of the horses that win during the winter would not be players during the turf season because of surface issues.Its no great surprise to see American bred horses win on the all weather regulary.It would be kind of like saying that betting on a F1 car that has wet tyres during a downpour is a system.Its not,its just got a better chance because of its ability to handle the ground.
Youve called alot of decent punts on this thread.Keep it up.

i know what you are saying and yes i agree.and your correct it isnt a system.this is the result of months of observation of the all weather tracks.for years and years i picked my horses out of the newspaper NEVER AGAIN, MUGS GAME BETTING BLIND.im not saying im fantastic at tipping horses but i do know my stuff.ive no idea how other folk pick there horses but heres the way i do it.ok say cheltenham is on today the going is heavy (my fav for having a bet) now ill scan each race at a time,every runner is scrutonised, remember this can take up a lot of your time but its worth it and it narrows the feild down dramaticly,ok first off ill go right through a horses profile from first run to its last,looking for wins and places on soft or heavy (ok everyone does this its common sense) but more important than that is ITS RATING,heres a example redfox won off 100 on heavy going 5 starts ago, its last 4 starts ran on good to soft or good and been unplaced running off marks of 108-115,now then his mark has dropped between 95-100 and is next run is on heavy, thats what im looking for.if you eat your greens and do your homework you should be aware of all this,i use the sportinglife racecards to select my horses its totaly top notch check it out if you havent all ready.merry xmas folks

ibanez777vbk

fancy this today HONOUR HIGH. loves it round fontwell 4 wins and places to its name all at fontwell,all on good/soft or soft.trading between 6/1 8/1 looks sure to be in the mix.

mike65

Have him in a place accu, seems to be a bit of a word for him.

ibanez777vbk

ibanez777vbk wrote: »

fancy this today HONOUR HIGH. loves it round fontwell 4 wins and places to its name all at fontwell,all on good/soft or soft.trading between 6/1 8/1 looks sure to be in the mix.

aaahhhhh that little shilling scores again.thought we were on a winner 2 out,was money about for honour high aswell was availible 8s this morning.

ElCrapula

ibanez777vbk wrote: »

fancy this today HONOUR HIGH. loves it round fontwell 4 wins and places to its name all at fontwell,all on good/soft or soft.trading between 6/1 8/1 looks sure to be in the mix.

Great call

ibanez777vbk

it looks very hard to oppose kauto star but i think ive found some value and give kauto a good race.OUR VIC has a outstanding first time out record.december 2002 1st.december 2003 2nd.december 2004 fell at the last when 2 lengths clear.november 2005 1st.feb 2006 1st.jan 2007 2nd.the going is good for the king george,kauto star is a better horse with a bit cut as all 17 of his wins and places have been on good/soft or soft/heavy,hes only raced on good going once and won by 8 lengths,but he is a better horse on good/soft soft/heavy.the same can be said about our vic but does have better form than kauto star on good going,proving this last time they met at aintree last season,where our vic won in a photo,going that day good,good/soft in places.kauto will take some beating but 8/1 is a cracking price about our vic,ew

biscuits1981

just to let ye all know lad and lassies have a tip for a horse today at 3 25 in doncaster BIG FELLA THANKS comes from a good source sorry for postin so late just got it there he is about 9 to 2 best of luck

biscuits1981

sorry for postin the thread so late hope so one backed it

ibanez777vbk

biscuits1981 wrote: »

sorry for postin the thread so late hope so one backed it

i had it on a lucky fifteen but nothing to go with it.good call though biscuits

mitsubishi

I am backing Simple rythm today 2.30 woverhampton 12,s E/W Small stakes

ibanez777vbk

i like the look of itsalegend at kempton.beat big fella thanks last time out,and big fella thanks won a good race on saturday.im not having a bet today,but i thought ill put this one up as i think it will take all the beating.even though theres a odds on shot in the race.

johnculloty

mullitovermaurice is well over priced in the 3.40 today

ibanez777vbk

johnculloty wrote: »

mullitovermaurice is well over priced in the 3.40 today

aye i nearly put that 1 up myself.sod it im having a bet lol.itsalegend and mullitovermaurice £10 double.

ibanez777vbk

mitsubishi wrote: »

I am backing Simple rythm today 2.30 woverhampton 12,s E/W Small stakes

great call.3rd 16s.hope you didnt take 12s

mitsubishi

ibanez777vbk wrote: »

great call.3rd 16s.hope you didnt take 12s

I always take GP Price with powers

ibanez777vbk

mitsubishi wrote: »

I always take GP Price with powers

ah well at least it finished in the frame my tip was 3rd never looked like winning.the fav make a mistake at every fence bar 1,worest jumping performance ive ever seen.even worse than my spelling

mitsubishi

Avoca Dancer e/w @ 8,s small stakes as usual

johnculloty

mitsubishi wrote: »

Avoca Dancer e/w @ 8,s small stakes as usual

how do you fancy that one? just tryin to make money is all ha

ibanez777vbk

the 1 mitsubishi put up yesterday looked to have little chance on paper,but he nailed it 16/1 3rd ew advised,and his tip was the only one to oblige.im not having a bet today the racings crap.might have a look at the last few races on the all weather see if theres any value about.

ibanez777vbk

ive just had a look at avoca dancer.its running off 56,last few runs before today were as follows 57,60,61.its last winning mark was off 57.if you dig into the ratings you can give it a decent chance,whereas if your looking at it in a newspaper looks to have little chance.i wouldnt back horses only looking in the newspaper,MADNESS betting blind.shame theres 2 non runners in the race got to be in first 2 now,good luck anyways

mitsubishi

He is on my my tracker that al, SMALL STAKES !!

ibanez777vbk

ok ill stick this up for today mconnell last race at southwell.stepping back in trip running off a fair mark.u.s.a bred so should thrive around southwell.has ran on aw before but southwell is the closest you can get to a usa dirt track,meaning usa bred horses run better at southwell than any other uk aw venue.trading around 10/1 ew

Browney7

Super Call. Pity I didn't listen:(

ibanez777vbk

ibanez777vbk wrote: »

ok ill stick this up for today mconnell last race at southwell.stepping back in trip running off a fair mark.u.s.a bred so should thrive around southwell.has ran on aw before but southwell is the closest you can get to a usa dirt track,meaning usa bred horses run better at southwell than any other uk aw venue.trading around 10/1 ew

oooo er 10/1 lovely jubbley.hope you's were on

ibanez777vbk

mitsubishi wrote: »

Avoca Dancer e/w @ 8,s small stakes as usual

bit unlucky with that 1 mate.3rd staying on last furlong.

ibanez777vbk

afternoon folks.ok i fancy these today ANDEAN MARGIN 2-05 win,LEONALDO 2-40 ew,STREET POWER 7-20 win.good luck

jimi_t

ibanez777vbk wrote: »

afternoon folks.ok i fancy these today ANDEAN MARGIN 2-05 win,

I dunno about the win - the three dangers are ANDEAN MARGIN, LUCKY FORTUNE and NIGHT LILY. Wouldn't be making such a definitive call myself but if it came from the mouth of the stable boy...


LEONALDO 2-40 ew,STREET POWER 7-20 win.good luck

A very reliable source did a TTC @ Lingfield for me... Neither hit. I'll throw up the info for postereity simply because this is my 2000th post. Remember to stop at a winner; mch love folks

LINGFIELD (AW) 12:30 6f
Scarlet Oak
C´Mon You Irons
LINGFIELD (AW) 1:00 6f
Auld Arty
Only Hope
LINGFIELD (AW) 1:30 5f
Sorrel Ridge
You´Relikemefrank
LINGFIELD (AW) 2:05 7f
Lucky Fortune*
Duke Of Normandy
LINGFIELD (AW) 2:40 1m
Pegasus Again
Ocean Legend
LINGFIELD (AW) 3:15 1m 5f
Star Choice*
Drum Major
LINGFIELD (AW) 3:50 1m 2f
Barton Sands
Chalice Welcome
LINGFIELD (AW) 4:25 1m
Wooden King
Red Current

mitsubishi

Our Kes 3.30 lingfield 16,s small e/w

mike65

This a one for the small e/w types

Two at Lingfeild making handicap debuts

Duke Of Normandy 6/1 in the 2.05 (finishes nowhere - 5th?)
Middle of Nowhere 11/1 in the 3.50 2nd

I reckon both are in with a shout.

opr

ibanez777vbk wrote: »

afternoon folks.ok i fancy these today ANDEAN MARGIN 2-05 win,LEONALDO 2-40 ew,STREET POWER 7-20 win.good luck

Nice call went off 25/1 (I think he was bigger when you posted) with the bookies and 9-1 for a place on betfair before the race.

Edit - Pity i don't back horses was just having a read of the tips and checked the results

Opr