Storm's development and path 09/10/11 March '08

Snowbie

Satellite loops of the storms due to hit Ireland over the coming days.





NOAA visible loop

bold_defender

I like the second chart, shows the global view, esp. those sothern ocean systems.

ivanthehunter

Sky news were making a ref to 1990 storm in the uk in terms of damage levels and insurance. Do you think its going to be that bad or is there cautionaty tales only global warming porn GWP:D

M.T. Cranium

The most recent model run and the satellite imagery point to the Monday storm reserving its strongest winds for the southwest and offshore waters, as the relatively calm centre seems to be tracking a little further south with every new run. Now I would say Tuesday night is the more significant windstorm for most parts of Ireland and the U.K., but this second low is also showing a tendency to shift south with time, so that could actually ramp up wind speeds on Tuesday evening for Ireland. Having said that, would be on alert anywhere from Galway south just in case, although I think it will be from the mouth of Shannon around to Cork seeing the damaging wind potential with this Monday storm. When it gets out of the way late Monday, although weakening over the North Sea, gradient picks up over Ireland so some places will see increasing winds Monday night.

Paddy.1

Nice development on that low now Snowbie on that animation sat you posted above. What is interesting is the cloud formation to the north of main low. Could this contain some pockets of snow given the intense mixing of various air types?

Snowbie

As you can see by the loop Paddy, the mixing is of air is on the north and south.There is dry air to its north(clear) while the south you can see CB formations already swinging in under the circulation so mixing of air is very evident there.( cold air over SST)

Within the circulation GFS 850mb temps are indicating -3c to 0c air so snow be embedded in that but mainly for the higher elevations as it moves in over land but then it be dark and temps should be a bit lower so wet snow could fall at lower elevations but very unlikely to settle.The colder 850mb -6c temps are staying to the SW of the country when the core is over us and to the north.

So if the LP moved where it was first progged off the north coast, winds would have been stronger countrywide while snow would have been less marginal.

The tax man

bold_defender wrote: »

I like the second chart, shows the global view, esp. those sothern ocean systems.

Get yourself DesktopEarth and have the same looking picture as your desktop wallpaper. Live cloud position will update every 3 hours. Plenty of other cool features to also mess with.
I reckon Ireland will disappear off my desktop under the approaching lump with the next update.:D