Golf Betting

johnnywishbone

I'm up money at this stage of the US Open with money back on Karlsson & Jiminez, even though I got screwed as he was in a 3 way tie for 6th place. Whats the thoughts on the playoff? is anyone touching the BMW International Open?

lolkelly

johnnywishbone wrote: »

I'm up money at this stage of the US Open with money back on Karlsson & Jiminez, even though I got screwed as he was in a 3 way tie for 6th place. Whats the thoughts on the playoff? is anyone touching the BMW International Open?

I backed tiger on betfair for 100 at 4.4 and again for 50 at 6.6! I didn’t look to lay it off yesterday as I was out and convinced tiger would win it! Anyway im looking to lay some of it off today at 1.33! What do people recommend? I was thinking of laying for a 300 stake i.e. a 100 liability.

CHD

got mediate at 8/1 last night when he was 2 strokes behind i think.

one time!!

Mellor

PP have Roco at 7/1 just now, and won't let me place the bet

Trampas

hotspur wrote: »

What a putt!


How much did you make laying off Westwood?

Very little. Anytime I tried to lay the odds shot out.

It was very hard to judge it right.

Mellor

Mellor wrote: »

PP have Roco at 7/1 just now, and won't let me place the bet

changed computer and got it on at 5-1,
and just now I managed to hedge the bet on PP,
hedged, on PP :eek: :eek:

the tiger bet just covers roccos, so im bettin for free on rocco (well actually a few euro profit, but theres 40 times more profit on rocco)

Mellor

one time

hotspur

Feel sorry for Rocco, seems like a great guy, would like to have seen him do it.

nadasky08

Some finished! Gutted for Mediate! Backed him on Betfair playing the 18th at evens. Thought he had the bottle! Roll on the British Open!!

mfield

I put on a treble last week. I backed Tiger to win , 'No' in the Lisbon and Germany to beat Austria. Jaysus, my heart was in my mouth last night! Happy days now though!

nadasky08

Any bookie given a price on when Tiger will (if he does) surpass Nicklaus's record of Majors??

johnnywishbone

So I take it that the barge poles aren't going to be touching the BMW Open or the Travelers Champ' ?

Fulton Crown

johnnywishbone wrote: »

So I take it that the barge poles aren't going to be touching the BMW Open or the Travelers Champ' ?

Got to hand it to the Tigger ! Felt sorry for the Roc but he did OK.

My own selections ??? Hoped you wouldn't mention that - took a bit of a hammerin from the Power boy

The Rose was nowhere ,, but will still watch him for the Open - back to the practice ground for Kim an Podge - thought I might collect on Dinwiddie but he faded - keep an eye on him in Europe though.

Thoughts on BMW to follow.....

badbrian

Happy with my US Open naturally as Woods got there (eventually) and Weir threatened a place before just falling away at the end.

Not had much time to study anything. Going to go for an outsider in the Travelers just for a bit of interest. Kevin Na was 9th here last year (but was in better form than now) and at 125/1 will be my rather optimistic choice.

johnnywishbone

Hello All, my selections for The British Open:

Karlsson 28
Rose 20
Westwood 18
Jiminez 45
Sabbatini 80
Els 12
Garcia 14

Fulton Crown

Fulton Crown wrote: »

Got to hand it to the Tigger ! Felt sorry for the Roc but he did OK.

My own selections ??? Hoped you wouldn't mention that - took a bit of a hammerin from the Power boy

The Rose was nowhere ,, but will still watch him for the Open - back to the practice ground for Kim an Podge - thought I might collect on Dinwiddie but he faded - keep an eye on him in Europe though.

Thoughts on BMW to follow.....

Lickin my wounds a bit so went for small selections in BMW - got Kaymer at 20/1 so he may repay some past losses also have him as top european at 12s.

Travellers - stuk with the Rose - still there after poor 2nd round.

Also backed Dustin Johnson to make top 10

If Kaymer wins and Casey finishes top 5 - will recoup some losses !:D

Fulton Crown

johnnywishbone wrote: »

Hello All, my selections for The British Open:

Karlsson 28
Rose 20
Westwood 18
Jiminez 45
Sabbatini 80
Els 12
Garcia 14

Yeah - like those boney - all except the pigtailed Spaniard - cant see him winnin on links terrain in probable cold and wet weather.

Fulton Crown

Fulton Crown wrote: »

Lickin my wounds a bit so went for small selections in BMW - got Kaymer at 20/1 so he may repay some past losses also have him as top european at 12s.

Travellers - stuk with the Rose - still there after poor 2nd round.

Also backed Dustin Johnson to make top 10

If Kaymer wins and Casey finishes top 5 - will recoup some losses !:D

Whew !!! Good man Kaymer cleared circa €400 - also had Casey e/w - jeeze was I sweatin !!
Drinks all round at club!!!

badbrian

I see we are already looking ahead to the Open. Having had a quick review I thought Stenson was the stand out price. 74 on BF and 45's with PP paying 6 places.

coylemj

Let's face it folks, golf is a punters graveyard. When you see PP paying 6 places it just highlights the difficulty in making any money on the sport and now I see the Sunday Tribune is offering a bundle of cash if someone can predict the first 4 in the British Open - yeah and they can have my house as well - some chance!

Whatever you might think about horse racing or tennis, the fact is that every so often some guy comes out of the woodwork and steals a golf major thereby making pots of money for the bookies. They say that Monty has made gazillions for the bookies because patriotic Brits put money on him time after time to win the British Open but he never pulled it off, ditto Greg Norman.

Just look at the US Open a few weeks ago, that guy Rocco Mediate was a qualifier who got into the tournament by the skin of his teeth in a play-off at the end of one of the regional qualifiers. He was outside the world's top 100 yet he came within a whisker of wiping out virtually every punter who had money on the competition.

Fulton Crown

Yeah - agree Golf betting is tricky ..but can be lucrative if you follow the various tournaments ..secret is to shortlist sat 4 or five who will be in the shakeup an lay off from there --bettin has to be eachway an bookies offer options like top 10 - best European / Aussie etc..

badbrian

coylemj wrote: »

Just look at the US Open a few weeks ago, that guy Rocco Mediate was a qualifier who got into the tournament by the skin of his teeth in a play-off at the end of one of the regional qualifiers. He was outside the world's top 100 yet he came within a whisker of wiping out virtually every punter who had money on the competition.

In theory he could have won. In reality Tiger the favourite won. I read that PP laid him to lose a million before cutting their odds of 7/2.

I don't disagree that outsiders win and that is particularly why i like betting on golf. I posted up here a few weeks ago I was backing Jiminez for the BMW. He duly obliged at 40/1.

kincsem

The Open Championship

Hunter Mahan 80 €51.00 €4,029.00
Richard Sterne 320 €24.06 €7,675.14
Jeff Quinney 306.72 €18.47 €5,646.73

kincsem

Age of winners 1970-2006

1970 Jack Nicklaus 30
1971 Lee Trevino 31
1972 Lee Trevino 32
1973 Tom Weiskopf 30
1974 Gary Player 38
1975 Tom Watson 26
1976 Johnny Miller 29
1977 Tom Watson 28
1978 Jack Nicklaus 38
1979 Severiano Ballesteros 22
1980 Tom Watson 31
1981 Bill Rogers 30
1982 Tom Watson 33
1983 Tom Watson 34
1984 Severiano Ballesteros 27
1985 Sandy Lyle 27
1986 Greg Norman 31
1987 Nick Faldo 30
1988 Severiano Ballesteros 31
1989 Mark Calcavecchia 29
1990 Nick Faldo 33
1991 Ian Baker-Finch 30
1992 Nick Faldo 35
1993 Greg Norman 38
1994 Nick Price 37
1995 John Daly 29
1996 Tom Lehman 37
1997 Justin Leonard 25
1998 Mark O'Meara 41
1999 Paul Lawrie 30
2000 Tiger Woods 24
2001 David Duval 29
2002 Ernie Els 32
2003 Ben Curtis 26
2004 Todd Hamilton 38
2005 Tiger Woods 29
2006 Tiger Woods 30

Grouped by age when they won
Age Count
22 1
23 0
24 1
25 1
26 2
27 2
28 1
29 5
30 7
31 4
32 2
33 2
34 1
35 1
36 0
37 2
38 4
39 0
40 0
41 1

37

Many of the winner were 29, 30, 31 when they won.

The leaders in the betting
Name Age
Richard Sterne 25
Sean O'Hair 25
Justin Rose 26
Adam Scott 27
Graeme McDowell 27
Sergio Garcia 27
Luke Donald 29
Geoff Ogilvy 30
Paul Casey 30
Henrik Stenson 31
Ian Poulter 31
Tiger Woods 31
Lee Westwood 34
Niclas Fasth 35
Padraig Harrington 35
Stuart Appleby 36
Thomas Björn 36
Angel Cabrera 37
Ernie Els 37
Jim Furyk 37
Kj Choi 37
Mike Weir 37
Phil Mickelson 37
Retief Goosen 37
Darren Clarke 38
David Toms 40
Scott Verplank 43
Colin Montgomerie 44
Vijay Singh 44

The above was a post I put on the Betfair forum in 2007 about the age of Open Championship winners. Below is the top ten in 2007. Harrington was old for a winner.

pos players holes par
1 Padraig HARRINGTON 18 -7 .... 35 years
2 Sergio GARCIA 18 -7 .... 27
3 Andres ROMERO 18 -6 .... 26
T4 Richard GREEN 18 -5 .... 36
T4 Ernie ELS 18 -5 .... 37
T6 Hunter MAHAN 18 -4 .... 25
T6 Stewart CINK 18 -4 .... 34
T8 Ben CURTIS 18 -3 .... 30
T8 Mike WEIR 18 -3 .... 37
T8 KJ CHOI .... 37

badbrian

Won't be for everyone but I like to have a look at the Seniors Golf. This Week I like the look of Lonnie Nielsen. Can't say I know much about Lonnie Nielsen but I can tell you he was 3rd here last year and he has gone 7/2 in his last 2 events.
Bruce Betting are doing 6 places on this event and are offering 14/1.
Langher is the fav but doesn't appear to have been playing competitively recently and in these 54 hole events you really have to be up to speed from the off.

Andthebeatgoeso

Anybody have a preferred bet on the European open. My money is on

Garcia 14/1 e/w
Poulter 28/1 e/w
Harrington 33/1 e/w

Put my bets on yesterday and looking healthy at present.

Pighead

Andthebeatgoeso wrote: »

Anybody have a preferred bet on the European open. My money is on

Garcia 14/1 e/w
Poulter 28/1 e/w
Harrington 33/1 e/w

Put my bets on yesterday and looking healthy at present.

Don't believe you. Sorry but thats just the way I feel.

I think you just checked the leaderboard and picked a couple of names who are in the top 5 and said to yourself "Ha ha i'll impress the gambling lads by making up a lie saying I backed Garcia and Poulter, i'll stick in Harrington as well as he's out of the running and it'll make my lie more believable"

Frankly you make me sick. You should change your name to Andthecheatgoeson.

callaway92

Any websites that do betting for Ladies European Tour golf..Or local bookies that do betting on it, thanks

badbrian

callaway92 wrote: »

Any websites that do betting for Ladies European Tour golf..Or local bookies that do betting on it, thanks

Try oddschecker - if there's betting on it - it'll be there. Odds typically available 2 days before the event. If by local you mean independent local bookies I'd likely say they take their odds from one of the bigger operators.


Anyway no joy for me on the Seniors this week. I've had a look at the Scottish Open and there's a few big names this week. Els, although a double winner, I just think is always poor value as he just doesn't win enough. Mickelson was second last year after blowing it. Stenson is supposedly building his season around the big events so may be fine tuning his game for the Open (and as I've backed him for it I'm glad to see him playing). Scott is in and will likely to be short enough and not proven on course.
If I can get any sort of price I will back Donald (4th 2007, 2nd 2006, 5th 2005) and Poulter (2007 8th; 2006 14th; 2005 4th; 2003 10th).

Edit. Donald not playing. Poulter available at 40/1 with Ladbrokes

Edit II Daniel Chopra playing. Been doing very well in the States. Excellent Putter. available at 66/1 or 60 with Boyles paying 6 places.

badbrian

Poulter looked good to challenge for a place at worst but let me down. Chopra was shocking. Only hit 18 greens in regulation over the first 2 days. Would probably explain why he is one of the top putters on the PGA - he has to be!

Just to let people know Bruce Betting are going 7 places in the Open this week. Powers, Boyles and Bet365 paying 6 places at the moment.
Have backed Stenson already, and will back Weir and Kaymer e/w @ 66/1 and have a saver on Garcia at 10/1.

Good luck all.