Hey mods, sorry if this is the wrong forum but anyway!

I did my LC in '06, course wasn't for me, left, took a year out and reapplied this year 2008.
I recieved an early round offer of a course in the post yesterday, however it isn't my first choice of course. From what I gather from CAO because it's not my first choice I can accept it and wait for the next three rounds to be offered and if I then get offered my first choice I can take it.
And so I come to the actualy point of this post, sorry, my first choice of course had points requirements of 435-460, and I have exactly 435, the course has jumped slightly in points in the past few years but over all has come down a lot, so I'm just wondering if anyone knows of any of the predictions on points this year, whether they'll rise or fall?
thank you!