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End of November/start of December Forecast

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245

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    #32
    danni2
    Closed Accounts Posts: 252 ✭✭danni2


    A big downgrade from the 00z, it looks as the cold air will miss us completly, dam that high


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    #33
    Snowbie
    Registered Users Posts: 5,033 ✭✭✭Snowbie


    I feel this is still going to happen +12hrs out, The GFS 06Z has it upgraded slightly again but just for the east and on Saturday then Atlantic air rolls in later followed by a reload of cold for Sunday and Monday.


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    #34
    TheHairyFairy
    Closed Accounts Posts: 1,285 ✭✭✭TheHairyFairy


    Any updates on whether this will affect us or not?


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    #35
    nacho libre
    Registered Users Posts: 16,851 ✭✭✭✭nacho libre


    TheHairyFairy wrote: »
    Any updates on whether this will affect us or not?

    FRIDAY will start cloudy and still reasonably mild with some rain or drizzle. Brighter and noticeably cooler, fresher weather with scattered showers will become established as the day progresses. Temperatures initially up to 10 or 11 degrees will drop back into singles figures as a strong northerly wind develops throughout the afternoon and evening. A few showers on SATURDAY, but a lot of dry weather overall. Winds will be moderate to fresh northwest backing west. A spell of rain will follow on Saturday night and it will become fairly windy. SUNDAY looks like being a cool windy day with sunshine and showers.

    next wednesday looks to be a good day for snow:(


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    #36
    danni2
    Closed Accounts Posts: 252 ✭✭danni2


    There seems to be another shot of a northerly about T144 - T126 out, something too keep an eye on


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    #37
    Snowbie
    Registered Users Posts: 5,033 ✭✭✭Snowbie


    18Z has 850mb air on Saturday at -6C in Dublin while -11C in Liverpool otherwise not much change to last 18Z rollouts. Likely now the HP will ruin win out this time and keep the real cold air out east.


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    #38
    Supercell
    Registered Users Posts: 15,431 ✭✭✭✭Supercell


    Fascinating ensembles, this thing keeps reloading and getting colder and longer each time...well..it may keep reloading.....

    MT8_Dublin_ens.png
    https://www.loughlinstown.ie/

    Have a weather station?, why not join the Ireland Weather Network - http://irelandweather.eu/



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    #39
    arctictree
    Registered Users Posts: 4,329 ✭✭✭arctictree


    Monday morning looks very cold and wintry for the east coast:

    Rtavn961.png

    The next few runs will be interesting.
    We should have clearer picture by tomorrow/Saturday.


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    #40
    Supercell
    Registered Users Posts: 15,431 ✭✭✭✭Supercell


    Awesome charts, at this time of year things could really deliver with charts like that..
    Long way to go until Monday though.
    https://www.loughlinstown.ie/

    Have a weather station?, why not join the Ireland Weather Network - http://irelandweather.eu/



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    #41
    Kippure
    Closed Accounts Posts: 1,186 ✭✭✭Kippure


    How come our met service are not talking about the cold. Gerard fleming was even playing down the fact that it was not going to happen, last night after the nine news. Seems to me there is some sort of bias against cold weather to early on in the season, if it was mild it would be all over the news at how global warming was giving us " milder winters" .......


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    #42
    conceited
    Closed Accounts Posts: 891 ✭✭✭conceited


    Thats their job . There's no bias. Their the meteorologists, not you .:)


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    #43
    kerry1960
    Registered Users Posts: 589 ✭✭✭kerry1960


    conceited wrote: »
    Thats their job . There's no bias. Their the meteorologists, not you .:)

    ouch:rolleyes:


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    #44
    CianRyan
    Registered Users Posts: 14,721 ✭✭✭✭CianRyan


    That does not say, -23 over dublin does it? :O
    Or is that at higher altitudes?

    (weather noob, always been interested in it, but havent a clue about the terminoligy)

    Hey by the way. (:


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    #45
    Supercell
    Registered Users Posts: 15,431 ✭✭✭✭Supercell


    CianRyan wrote: »
    That does not say, -23 over dublin does it? :O
    Or is that at higher altitudes?

    (weather noob, always been interested in it, but havent a clue about the terminoligy)

    Hey by the way. (:
    It shows temperatures where the air pressure is 500hPa, which is roughly 5500 metres above sea level..so the temperatures up that high are going to be a lot cooler than down here.
    https://www.loughlinstown.ie/

    Have a weather station?, why not join the Ireland Weather Network - http://irelandweather.eu/



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    #46
    ninebeanrows
    Registered Users Posts: 12,778 ✭✭✭✭ninebeanrows


    Shot 1 of cold looks like only affecting England.

    Shot 2 of cold looks like it could bring some wintry showers to Ireland and it will be bitterly cold in a NNE wind.

    Shot 3 of cold towards late next week...........wellllll It could be EPIC..

    Stay tuned folks:pac::D


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    #47
    Kippure
    Closed Accounts Posts: 1,186 ✭✭✭Kippure


    conceited wrote: »
    Thats their job . There's no bias. Their the meteorologists, not you .:)







    Have a nice day :)


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    #48
    CianRyan
    Registered Users Posts: 14,721 ✭✭✭✭CianRyan


    Supercell wrote: »
    It shows temperatures where the air pressure is 500hPa, which is roughly 5500 metres above sea level..so the temperatures up that high are going to be a lot cooler than down here.

    Hahaha, i knew i couldnt be right.
    Thanks man.


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    #49
    Danno
    Registered Users Posts: 8,913 ✭✭✭Danno


    Weathercheck wrote: »
    Shot 1 of cold looks like only affecting England.

    Shot 2 of cold looks like it could bring some wintry showers to Ireland and it will be bitterly cold in a NNE wind.

    Shot 3 of cold towards late next week...........wellllll It could be EPIC..

    Stay tuned folks:pac::D


    I have not got a chance to view the charts as of yet, but if this is what is coming then it is really exciting for the developments of proper wintry weather. A build up like this will give the cold a great chance to pool to the east and over N Europe - dig in so to speak. Any N, E or even SE winds feeding off this developed pool will certainly deliver. It looks like December, that is being touted around the place, is possibly a contender for serious winter weather.


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    #50
    shamwari
    Closed Accounts Posts: 2,142 ✭✭✭shamwari


    As far as next Monday is concerned, this is what Met Eireann is saying in their outlook:

    It'll stay cold on Monday too, but mostly dry.


    Meanwhile, the lads in the UK are saying the following
    Little change for Saturday, cold with wintry showers in the north and east. Wet for a time Sunday, with sleet & snow in places. Sunny spells and showers [rain] on Monday.

    They have a severe weather warning from Scotland tomorrow and the East coast of the UK for Saturday warning of Snow Showers and blizzard conditions. Theres nothing showing for Monday though. :(


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    #51
    patneve
    Closed Accounts Posts: 260 ✭✭patneve


    Weathercheck wrote: »
    Shot 1 of cold looks like only affecting England.

    Shot 2 of cold looks like it could bring some wintry showers to Ireland and it will be bitterly cold in a NNE wind.

    Shot 3 of cold towards late next week...........wellllll It could be EPIC..

    Stay tuned folks:pac::D

    The third looks intense....the charts remind me of late December 2000 when most of Ireland got battered by intense snow showers:D


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    #52
    forkassed
    Closed Accounts Posts: 311 ✭✭forkassed


    12z :eek: T168-T324 in 528dam air or less.

    Week long snow fest--yum (hopefully)


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    #53
    danni2
    Closed Accounts Posts: 252 ✭✭danni2


    I remember that very well, in late Dec 2000 we had snow for hours nonstop and after it settled for about 5 days, the best snow experience of my life so far, how id love to see that again.
    maybe i will if the charts stay the same


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    #54
    nacho libre
    Registered Users Posts: 16,851 ✭✭✭✭nacho libre


    ah yes late december 2000... i have fond of memories of that time too. there was six inches of lying snow by the time it had finished:D


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    #55
    patneve
    Closed Accounts Posts: 260 ✭✭patneve


    Rtavn1922.png
    wonderful charts - 1 week away:) it'll be interesting to follow the updates:D


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    #56
    patneve
    Closed Accounts Posts: 260 ✭✭patneve


    patneve wrote: »
    Rtavn1922.png
    wonderful charts - 1 week away:) it'll be interesting to follow the updates:D

    Basically from this Sat/Sun GFS show cool/cold conditions for a long time! up the snow!


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    #57
    ninebeanrows
    Registered Users Posts: 12,778 ✭✭✭✭ninebeanrows


    Yep cold from Monday onwards and getting colder as she progresses with a chance of a mighty blast from the north late in the week :D:D


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    #58
    Sierra Oscar
    Moderators, Category Moderators, Computer Games Moderators, Society & Culture Moderators Posts: 8,503 CMod ✭✭✭✭Sierra Oscar


    Weathercheck wrote: »
    Yep cold from Monday onwards and getting colder as she progresses with a chance of a mighty blast from the north late in the week :D:D

    So, is this looking like a snow event then? For the whole country?


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    #59
    Danno
    Registered Users Posts: 8,913 ✭✭✭Danno


    Looking at the 18z and it is quite the jem. As always, further model outputs are required. But, at face value, the ingredients are there for some wintry spells. The dew points look like they'll play ball too - this is the most vital component IMHO.


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    #60
    Danno
    Registered Users Posts: 8,913 ✭✭✭Danno


    Sierra Oscar wrote: »
    So, is this looking like a snow event then? For the whole country?

    The forecasted model outputs would be leaning towards a snow event for all living 30 or 40 miles inland of the west coastline from Galway south. Higher altitudes in West Munster will suffice.


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    #61
    CianRyan
    Registered Users Posts: 14,721 ✭✭✭✭CianRyan


    Danno wrote: »
    The forecasted model outputs would be leaning towards a snow event for all living 30 or 40 miles inland of the west coastline from Galway south. Higher altitudes in West Munster will suffice.

    Does this mean no snow for Dublin?


This discussion has been closed.
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