Fierce Cold Spell from Sunday (February 1st)

Doyler1981

Thanks BB. How can I keep track of the Dew point in Kilcock?

arctictree

arctictree wrote: »

LOL - It sure does get cold up here!

This week will be a real litmus test of how bad the weather can actually be here. Lets see what happens!

hehe
You'll be the envy of most on here I'd say

@doyler how far are you from newbridge ?


http://homepage.eircom.net/~osprey/

Thats updated every 5 minutes.

Ideally dp must be below 0 but we'd like it to be below -1c for comfort.

That site will be your guide through tuesday when dp becomes really important.

jay28

Deleted User wrote: »

hehe
You'll be the envy of most on here I'd say

@doyler how far are you from newbridge ?


http://homepage.eircom.net/~osprey/

Thats updated every 5 minutes.

Ideally dp must be below 0 but we'd like it to be below -1c for comfort.

That site will be your guide through tuesday when dp becomes really important.

BB do we have anything like that for the Avoca or Wicklow area?

Doyler1981

About 25 Miles. I'm about the same distance to Dublin city. Thanks for that. Being 25 miles away is it likely to be same here?

IrishHomer

I can't wait to watch the weekly forecast close to midday on BBC 1 tv on Countryfile, then an hour later the weekly farming forecast on RTE 1 TV :D:confused::eek::D:confused:

jay28

jay28 wrote: »

BB do we have anything like that for the Avoca or Wicklow area?

yup

Mine for starters

www.arklowweather.com

updates every 5 minutes from a weather station in the field at the back of my house

And this one also from mine that updates every other 30 seconds or so

http://arklow.741.com/live.html

You can as a rule of thumb drop a degree off the temp for Conary jay-maybe more if you have deep snow cover

ninebeanrows

GFS 6z with regards to the marginality for Monday night/ Tuesday snow event.

Has Dewpoints rising to 1 or 2c along the eastern coastal fringes from 4am to 10am before retreating back below 0c.

Places inland never get higher than 0 or 1c DP.

This is the GFS the most marginal model, but has to be looked at.

Would give a snow to sleet to snow event for here.

Although with the liklyhood of snowcover on the ground at the time temperatures may react different.

Potential for a signifigant amount of snow to fall in some areas, i'd say the likes of Kildare, could see a dumping. Might just compact the snow in the east.

jay28

Great job BB thanks for that.......I'll be keeping an eye on it

Mothman

jay28 wrote: »

BB do we have anything like that for the Avoca or Wicklow area?

I suggest keep an eye here. http://www.irelandsweather.com/index.php
3 stations in south Wicklow, all with reliable Dp reporting.
Supercell's station in Annamoe,
BB's inland of Arklow and my own in Ashford.

For your location I suggest you'll be slightly warmer than Annamoe but colder than both Arklow and Ashford. I'm low down a mile from sea and will be heavily influenced by the maritime air.

Doyler1981

Doyler1981 wrote: »

About 25 Miles. I'm about the same distance to Dublin city. Thanks for that. Being 25 miles away is it likely to be same here?

How about Casement aerodrome in balldonnell?

the table in this list contains 5 minute updates.
they will probably lag a bit behind but will give you an idea.

http://www.wunderground.com/weatherstation/WXDailyHistory.asp?ID=IDUBLIN2

My dp is hitting a nice -1c now.

Doyler1981

I think between that one and the one in New Bridge it will give me a good idea. Thanks again for you help, keep up the good work:D

Mothman

BTW ground temperature were down to 3C at 5cm to 5C at 20cm this morning.
Not too bad but I'd like to see them colder and they will be later in week for any snow events then.
Snow will readily settle on grass as the layer of grass is a layer of insulation from the heat in the soil below.

Just in relation to conary again.
Theres a good chance that the precip will stay as snow throughout up there on tuesday if it's changing to sleet on the coast.

HashSlinging

Mothman wrote: »

I suggest keep an eye here. http://www.irelandsweather.com/index.php
3 stations in south Wicklow, all with reliable Dp reporting.
Supercell's station in Annamoe,
BB's inland of Arklow and my own in Ashford.

For your location I suggest you'll be slightly warmer than Annamoe but colder than both Arklow and Ashford. I'm low down a mile from sea and will be heavily influenced by the maritime air.

I live 5 mins from Annamoe great.

Weathercheck

Weathercheck wrote: »

GFS 6z with regards to the marginality for Monday night/ Tuesday snow event.

Has Dewpoints rising to 1 or 2c along the eastern coastal fringes from 4am to 10am before retreating back below 0c.

Places inland never get higher than 0 or 1c DP.

This is the GFS the most marginal model, but has to be looked at.

Would give a snow to sleet to snow event for here.

Although with the liklyhood of snowcover on the ground at the time temperatures may react different.

Potential for a signifigant amount of snow to fall in some areas, i'd say the likes of Kildare, could see a dumping. Might just compact the snow in the east.

WC I can remember a similar set up to now from when I lived in Dublin in the 80's.
It was either january or february of 85.
Basically we had a few days of heavy snow showers[they dumped a good 4 or 5 inches at ucd!] followed by a weather system at the end of that week on the friday night into saturday iirc that moved up from the south that fell as snow.
By mid afternoon it was falling as sleet in UCD but up in Goatstown and Dundrum just 2 miles away it stayed as snow.

HashSlinging

HashSlinging wrote: »

I live 5 mins from Annamoe great.

By tuesday night I think You are going to be plastered!

[with snow not drink...well maybe both ]

Supercell

HashSlinging wrote: »

I live 5 mins from Annamoe great.

Laragh?, if so add about 0.5°C to the Annamoe temperature, I've noticed that appears to be a pretty consistent difference over the time I've lived here (from watching the car temperature gauge like a hawk drive from there to here and back). Its also wetter there, and as all precip in both places is likely to be snow/hail over the next few days i reckon you could do well

jay28

Deleted User wrote: »

Just in relation to conary again.
Theres a good chance that the precip will stay as snow throughout up there on tuesday if it's changing to sleet on the coast.

Well thats good news.......i noticed in winters gone by that there is a big difference between Avoca and Conary........Snow up here and nothing in Avoca, even though it's only 3 miles down the road, although it is downhill all the way to Avoca.

HashSlinging

Great stuff lads, just a couple of days ago my three year old was watching the skynews weather forecast and shouted at the weatherman "give me some snow ya dork" so it looks like her wish is coming through.

tommmy1979

where can i find the dp for cork?

Mothman

jay28 wrote: »

.Snow up here and nothing in Avoca, even though it's only 3 miles down the road, although it is downhill all the way to Avoca.

A bit of height means so much both for precipitation type (higher = snow) and in most cases higher = more precipitation.
A win win situation until you want to get home from Avoca...

Cork city?

You could try the airport but remember thats on high ground circa 6 or 700 feet or so.
The city will be warmer.

http://www.wunderground.com/history/airport/EICK/2009/2/1/DailyHistory.html?req_city=NA&req_state=NA&req_statename=NA

You'll need to change the date tomorrow if it doesnt do it automatically for you

Supercell

Mothman wrote: »

A bit of height means so much both for precipitation type (higher = snow) and in most cases higher = more precipitation.
A win win situation until you want to get home from Avoca...

Indeed, I'm working nights this week, am NOT looking forward to tomorrow mornings drive home if things pan out as forecast..as for Tuesday....

tommmy1979

Deleted User wrote: »

Cork city?

You could try the airport but remember thats on high ground circa 6 or 700 feet or so.
The city will be warmer.

http://www.wunderground.com/history/airport/EICK/2009/2/1/DailyHistory.html?req_city=NA&req_state=NA&req_statename=NA

You'll need to change the date tomorrow if it doesnt do it automatically for you

I'm down at sea level unfortunately but cheers that'l give me an idea, dp for cork airport is 1 now

ninebeanrows

MetO going for an extreme weather event with upto 30cm's of snow in parts of England:eek:

opr

Site for anyone in Dundalk/Louth area.

http://dundalkweather.athost.net/DundalkWeather.html

Opr

ninebeanrows

Apparently on BBC:

Jay Wynne, BBC just now said the event tomorrow/Tues is turning from a severe event into an "extreme event" with 25cm plus down South and 30cm plus widely up North.

maquiladora

6Z GFS looks good for snow showers from about midnight tonight to about midday on Tuesday. It's a real shame that it appears the heavy precip on Tuesday will start to turn to rain and sleet.

GFS has been locked into this in the past couple of runs, is there any hope that it's wrong?

I have the country file forecast on BBC one recorded and am going to watch it now.
There are positive comments about it on the UK fora.