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Carroller16 · 25-08-2009 11:27am

Nico22 wrote: »

Check these prices out!!!!!!!!!!!

Lisa is 5/2 to come in the first four!!
David is 7/2 to come in the first four!!!

There are only seven left!!??

I tell you, you wouldn't get prices like that in a seven horse race ..

Lisa one is quite good...

wouldn't touch david with a bargepole

He wont finish ahead of Marcus, Siavash, Rodrigo and Sophie

ibarelycare · 25-08-2009 11:28am

Nico22 wrote: »

Check these prices out!!!!!!!!!!!

Lisa is 5/2 to come in the first four!!
David is 7/2 to come in the first four!!!

There are only seven left!!??

I tell you, you wouldn't get prices like that in a seven horse race ..

Where are you getting these prices from?? I wanna put on a bet! Lisa will defo be in top 4!

ArmaniJeanss · 25-08-2009 11:29am

Nico22 wrote: »

Check these prices out!!!!!!!!!!!

Lisa is 5/2 to come in the first four!!
David is 7/2 to come in the first four!!!

There are only seven left!!??

So even if they both survive to the final week, who exactly can they beat when it goes to Vote to Win?

If they survive this week they look nailed on for 5th and 6th, and the only reason they are such short prices is because of the chances of something 'left field' happening, (a double eviction this week, another housemate walking, being expelled or whatever).

On their own merits neither David or Lisa can get into the top 4.

ibarelycare · 25-08-2009 11:30am

Think top 4 will be Marcus, Lisa, Rod and Sophie. Think percentages will all be very close. I wouldn't be too uncertain about David though, he could surprise. And Siavash actually. Ah feck it, I haven't a clue!

ibarelycare · 25-08-2009 11:31am

ArmaniJeanss wrote: »

So even if they both survive to the final week, who exactly can they beat when it goes to Vote to Win?

If they survive this week they look nailed on for 5th and 6th, and the only reason they are such short prices is because of the chances of something 'left field' happening, (a double eviction this week, another housemate walking, being expelled or whatever).

On their own merits neither David or Lisa can get into the top 4.

I disagree. Lisa's popularity has risen loads in the past couple of weeks.

fintonie · 25-08-2009 11:34am

ArmaniJeanss wrote: »

So even if they both survive to the final week, who exactly can they beat when it goes to Vote to Win?

If they survive this week they look nailed on for 5th and 6th, and the only reason they are such short prices is because of the chances of something 'left field' happening, (a double eviction this week, another housemate walking, being expelled or whatever).

On their own merits neither David or Lisa can get into the top 4.

I would of put lisa with an outside chance of winning (depending if there are any twists as you have said)

but for me to think she might have an outside chance would allow me bet on her being in the last four, as it gets close to the end some of our more liked HMs seem to be losing the plot a bit.

while the older members of the group keep there heads about them.

OutlawPete · 25-08-2009 11:36am

ibarelycare wrote: »

Where are you getting these prices from?? I wanna put on a bet! Lisa will defo be in top 4!

So do I but I can't get money into my Betfair account until tomorrow

Dammit! :mad:

Prices from Betfair.ie

ArmaniJeanss · 25-08-2009 11:36am

ibarelycare wrote: »

I disagree. Lisa's popularity has risen loads in the past couple of weeks.

Agreed, but she started off at a very low base. Its like she has risen from previously being a Myra Hindley to now just being a Rosemary West.

People tolerate her more than before but I doubt she is enough peoples no1 to finish ahead of Marcus/Siavash/Roger or Sophie. So she needs one of them to go this week and then to beat Charlie.

She trails a distant 5th in the polls.
http://www.digitalspy.co.uk/forums/showthread.php?t=1109612.

Odds of 2/1 top 4 are not good at all, 4/1 might be tempting.

OutlawPete · 25-08-2009 11:41am

ArmaniJeanss wrote: »

On their own merits neither David or Lisa can get into the top 4.

Lisa is nailed on to come in Top 4 .. unless they do a Stu

ibarelycare · 25-08-2009 11:43am

ArmaniJeanss wrote: »

Agreed, but she started off at a very low base. Its like she has risen from previously being a Myra Hindley to now just being a Rosemary West.

People tolerate her more than before but I doubt she is enough peoples no1 to finish ahead of Marcus/Siavash/Roger or Sophie. So she needs one of them to go this week and then to beat Charlie.

She trails a distant 5th in the polls.
http://www.digitalspy.co.uk/forums/showthread.php?t=1109612.

Odds of 2/1 top 4 are not good at all, 4/1 might be tempting.

The second most popular person in that poll is Siavash and I have a feeling he'll be gone this week. Charlie will be out next and then she'll be left with Marcus, Siavash, Sophie and David. She'll beat David and voila, top 4!

I know they're not fantastic odds but feck it, a few extra drinks at the weekend

OutlawPete · 25-08-2009 11:44am

ArmaniJeanss wrote: »

Odds of 2/1 top 4 are not good at all, 4/1 might be tempting.

You want 4/1 on Lisa to come in the first four in a seven horse race??

Wouldn't mind that myself :pac:

ArmaniJeanss · 25-08-2009 11:46am

Nico22 wrote: »

Lisa is nailed on to come in Top 4 .. unless they do a Stu

I'm not sure what you mean -
There'll be 6 left after Friday, it'll then be positive voting and 1 will go next Wednesday leaving 5 for the final night. Basically the way they've done it the last few times and the fact that Stu was unannounced and didn't get to say goodbye didn't make any difference to the overall result?

Having thought about it over a cigggie though 2/1 Lisa isn't actually that bad*, but she would really need one of the Big 4 to go this week.

* Though to be honest I'd be a layer rather than a backer at 2/1.

ibarelycare · 25-08-2009 11:48am

One of the big 4 WILL go this week.

ibarelycare · 25-08-2009 11:49am

Up for eviction

Siavash and Marcus

Link

OutlawPete · 25-08-2009 11:53am

ArmaniJeanss wrote: »

she would really need one of the Big 4 to go this week.

They will

Seriousily though. You would not get a seven horse race where a horse was 5/2 to come in the first four. If you did - then the horse would be the rank 100/1 outsider.

If it were a horse race with seven runners the place market would be to come in the first two ..

That 5/2 won't last long ..

answer me · 25-08-2009 11:54am

I hope Charlie wins but after yesterdays show Sophie was so funny so now i want her to win to

I do not want Siavash to win no way:mad:

fintonie · 25-08-2009 11:54am

ibarelycare wrote: »

Up for eviction
Siavash and Marcus

Link

jasus this could be a tight one, all the best Marcus he deserves to stay over siavash.

ibarelycare · 25-08-2009 11:57am

answer me wrote: »

I hope Charlie wins but after yesterdays show Sophie was so funny so now i want her to win to

Wow I disagree with you soooo much!

ArmaniJeanss · 25-08-2009 11:58am

Its rather difficult to talk about Lisa chances in the Top4 race now that we know (in spoiler form) who is up. Obviously the value of that price has now changed.

Will discuss it further at 10 tonight maybe.

fintonie · 25-08-2009 11:59am

ArmaniJeanss wrote: »

Its rather difficult to talk about Lisa chances in the Top4 race now that we know (in spoiler form) who is up. Obviously the value of that price has now changed.

Will discuss it further at 10 tonight maybe.

that for me has put her in the top four for sure

OutlawPete · 25-08-2009 12:04pm

Forgot to Spoiler my last post there - sorry if anyone read it before I deleated it

:o:o:o

Anyway ..

Marcus will just about be okay I'd say. Vote To Save and I'd be sure but I've seen fav's go before in Vote To Evict.

The more fans you have the more people want you out also. Hmmmmm

I'd say his price will go out to 5/1 to win now at least .. tomorrow might be the time to back him if the bookies overreact to him being up for eviction.

ArmaniJeanss · 25-08-2009 12:05pm

fintonie wrote: »

that for me has put her in the top four for sure

Yet 2/1, in fact near enough to 5/2 is still available even though in theory she now just has to beat David (which is close to a certainty) and Charlie (which is probably close to 50/50). This may yet turn out to be a false spoiler?

OutlawPete · 25-08-2009 12:07pm

fintonie wrote: »

that for me has put her in the top four for sure

I know!! I hope that price is available at midnight .. can't place the bet till then :mad:

OutlawPete · 25-08-2009 12:11pm

ArmaniJeanss wrote: »

Yet 2/1, in fact near enough to 5/2 is still available even though in theory she now just has to beat David (which is close to a certainty) and Charlie (which is probably close to 50/50). This may yet turn out to be a false spoiler?

False?

OutlawPete · 25-08-2009 12:21pm

ArmaniJeanss wrote: »

* Though to be honest I'd be a layer rather than a backer at 2/1.

You wanna give me 9/4 on Lisa Top 4? If so I'll take 100 squids on it ..

ArmaniJeanss · 25-08-2009 12:26pm

Nico22 wrote: »

You wanna give me 9/4 on Lisa Top 4? If so I'll take 100 squids on it ..

That was before the eviction spoiler. :pac:

OutlawPete · 25-08-2009 12:30pm

ArmaniJeanss wrote: »

That was before the eviction spoiler. :pac:

fintonie · 25-08-2009 12:34pm

Nico22 wrote: »

Nico do you really look like that or is it just a coincidence you look like a

popular tv cleb

fintonie · 25-08-2009 12:37pm

boy is he gona get the buck

OutlawPete · 25-08-2009 12:41pm

fintonie wrote: »

Nico do you really look like that or is it just a coincidence you look like a
popular tv cleb

You mean David Letterman or Homer Simpson?

I like to think I have a little peice of both in me

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