Elections tallies/guesswork/results catch all thread

floydmoon1

Party Candidate Votes 2nd Count 3rd Count 4th Count 5th Count
FG DEMPSEY RICHARD 256 286 319 324 331
NP FINN EDDIE 87 94 96 98 100
FF FITZGERALD DAN JOE 414 439 456 461 463
NP GRIFFIN JOHNNY “BOTTLES” 287 307 314 318 322
Lab KENNEDY JAMES 726
Lab LUCEY RÓISÍN 267 352 372 386 396
Lab MULLALLY JERRY 522
FG O’CONNOR NOEL 601
SF O’REGAN WILLIE 406 442 451 458 463
FG O’RIORDAN BREDA 95 105 122 123 124
SF O’SULLIVAN STELLA 94 98 100 100 101
Lab SHEEHAN RONAN 509
FG WARD EDDIE 128 141 151 154 157
FF WILLIS DAVID 141 149 152 154 155
FF WILLIS ROY 207 220 226 230 232




Quota 475

KnifeWRENCH

Knife-WREEENCH wrote: »

Cork County Council, Mallow Area:

.....

The remaining 3 seats look like they'll be going to FG candidates Tom Barry, Tom Sheahan and Noel O'Connor.

Predicted outcome:
3 Fine Gael
1 Fianna Fail
1 Independent

Well I got that wrong! Labour's Ronan Sheehan has become the 3rd candidate elected (after Fitzgerald and O'Shea.) He must have done very well on transfers.

http://www.rte.ie/news/elections/local/l0508.html

Chardee MacDennis

Parodi(L), Flynn(IND), Humphries(L) and Noone(FG) all take seats in South-East Inner City

Higgins(SP), Loftus(FG), Murray(FF) and Hamill(L) elected in Fingal - Castleknock

eamo12

BastardPrince wrote: »

sick, shows how retarded the general public is...

Actually, shows how independent minded the public is. Not just euro sheep towing the socialist line. Go Ganley!

Chardee MacDennis

eamo12 wrote: »

Actually, shows how independent minded the public is. Not just euro sheep towing the socialist line. Go Ganley!

yes backing a party with no policies, dubious affiliations and funding, independent minded idiots alright...

aidan24326

George Lee walked away with that by-election seat anyway. Predictable enough I suppose.

sceptre

Knife-WREEENCH wrote: »

Well I got that wrong! Labour's Ronan Sheehan has become the 3rd candidate elected (after Fitzgerald and O'Shea.) He must have done very well on transfers.

http://www.rte.ie/news/elections/local/l0508.html

Knowing Mallow relatively well (though not so much since I left there in 1993) that'll have been the GAA transfers coming through as well as people out that side of town being happy to throw their second preference at the most local candidate (Quartertown isn't a million miles away from Joe Sherlock's core stomping ground, I'm sure Sean was out knocking on doors out there).

KnifeWRENCH

sceptre wrote: »

Knowing Mallow relatively well (though not so much since I left there in 1993) that'll have been the GAA transfers coming through as well as people out that side of town being happy to throw their second preference at the most local candidate (Quartertown isn't a million miles away from Joe Sherlock's core stomping ground, I'm sure Sean was out knocking on doors out there).

Yeah I'm sure Sean Sherlock did a lot of work for him there alright. I wonder why Sheehan has come out ahead of Mullally though? Mullally was the sitting councillor - I think he came in when Sherlcok went to the Dail.
It all means Sheehan has been elected to both county and town councils, whereas Mullally will probably only get the town seat as there are 3 strong Fine Gael candidates (Barry, O'Connor and Sheahan) in the running for the last 2 county seats.

floydmoon1 wrote: »

Party Candidate Votes 2nd Count 3rd Count 4th Count 5th Count
FG DEMPSEY RICHARD 256 286 319 324 331
NP FINN EDDIE 87 94 96 98 100
FF FITZGERALD DAN JOE 414 439 456 461 463
NP GRIFFIN JOHNNY “BOTTLES” 287 307 314 318 322
Lab KENNEDY JAMES 726
Lab LUCEY RÓISÍN 267 352 372 386 396
Lab MULLALLY JERRY 522
FG O’CONNOR NOEL 601
SF O’REGAN WILLIE 406 442 451 458 463
FG O’RIORDAN BREDA 95 105 122 123 124
SF O’SULLIVAN STELLA 94 98 100 100 101
Lab SHEEHAN RONAN 509
FG WARD EDDIE 128 141 151 154 157
FF WILLIS DAVID 141 149 152 154 155
FF WILLIS ROY 207 220 226 230 232




Quota 475

Obviously we won't know for sure until the counts are finished but from those figures it looks like Mallow Town will be:

4 Labour (Kennedy, Mullally, Sheehan and Lucey)
2 Fine Gael (O'Connor and Dempsey)
1 Fianna Fail (Fitzgerald)
1 Sinn Fein (O'Regan)
1 Independent (Griffin)

Glad to see O'Regan retaining his seat and seeing all 4 Labour candidates doing so well. I was worried because I had it in my head that there were only 5 seats - 9 makes a lot more sense.
I'm surprised that Johnny Bottles is doing so well!

Pythia

Congrats to Jim O'Leary on topping the Dundrum poll, as well as all the others elected and about to be from FG.

Red Sleeping Beauty

Is there a nice easy to use concise website with some kind of map so you can see who's been elected to which Local Council ? Or something like that ?

chopperbyrne

Alan Rouge wrote: »

Is there a nice easy to use concise website with some kind of map so you can see who's been elected to which Local Council ? Or something like that ?

www.southdublin.ie

Can't say the same for other CCs, but that site has been excellent all day.

Big congratulations to 26 year old Dermot Looney (Labour) who got the fourth seat in Tallaght Central in his first ever election.

Red Sleeping Beauty

chopperbyrne wrote: »

www.southdublin.ie

Can't say the same for other CCs, but that site has been excellent all day.

Big congratulations to 26 year old Dermot Looney (Labour) who got the fourth seat in Tallaght Central in his first ever election.

Thanks. RTE actually have something up on their site with some fancy little graphics. It's not an easy site to navigate what with the poxy ads.

Horrible turn out . Average of about 50% ? I wouldn't know what's classed as a "good" turn out but what where the other 40 odd percent of people doing ?

Less than 200 votes between Looney and sitting clr. Mick Murphy on the first count.

chopperbyrne

He had an excellent campaign. Very active. He thoroughly deserves it.

punchdrunk

when can we expect to see results for howth-malahide?

tribulus

http://www.rte.ie/news/elections/local/l0903.html

Only on the first count according to RTE so should be a while yet.

nesf

Alan Rouge wrote: »

Horrible turn out . Average of about 50% ? I wouldn't know what's classed as a "good" turn out but what where the other 40 odd percent of people doing ?

It was 56.4% in 2004 and 48.75% in 1999 so this is around average and not a bad turnout tbh. A fair percentage of people couldn't be bothered voting except for General elections and more again couldn't be bothered voting in general.

In European terms 50% is actually quite good compared to the likes of the circa 20% turnouts in Poland and Slovakia in 2004. Details on European trends on voting in the 2004 European election versus their most recent general election here: http://www.economist.com/research/articlesBySubject/displaystory.cfm?subjectid=7933596&story_id=13768993

In my opinion

Castlerea first count quota 1162


Callaghan 743
Creaton 761
Fitzmaurice 647
Flanaghan 1556*
Frain 501
Kelly 2230*
Kilcoyne 550
Mc Greal 909
Morris 244
Mulligan 695
Murray 430
O Brien 23

Athlone area Quota 1144 3rd Count

Finneran 656 20 676 7 683
Geraghty 452 33 485 4 489
Kelly 555 67 622 15 637
Kenny 1007 65 1072 21 1093
Keogh A 362 31 393 11 404 -404 Eliminated
Keogh J 715 29 744 16 760
Kilduff 675 36 711 9 720
Moore 832 38 870 60 930
Naughton 1287 1287 -143 1144 Elected
Ward 1463 -319 1144 Elected


Mid Roscommon 2nd Count

Brennan 702 50 752
Connaughton Ind. 143 3 146
Connaughton Martin FF 1239 -203 1036 Elected
Connolly 884 54 938
Fallon 894 28 922
Leyden 1012 63 1075
Mc Namara 1222 0 1222 Elected
Stevens 119 5 124

Long day only gone this far all suspended till 10am.

floydmoon1

Mallow Town Council

1st Count:

KENNEDY JAMES (LAB)
O’CONNOR (FG)
MULLALLY JERRY (LAB)
SHEEHAN RONAN (LAB)

7th Count:

FITZGERALD DAN JOE(FF)
O’REGAN WILLIE(SF)

11th Count:

LUCEY RÓISÍN (LAB)
DEMPSEY RICHARD(FG)
GRIFFIN JOHNNY “BOTTLES” (IND)

Didnt Get Elected:

FINN EDDIE (IND)
O’RIORDAN BREDA(FG)
O’SULLIVAN STELLA(SF)
WARD EDDIE(FG)
WILLIS DAVID(FF)
WILLIS ROY (FF)

sceptre

Limerick city results are just done, 17 seats in total
FG - 8 (8 from 8 candidates, 100% success rate)
LAB - 4 (4 from 6 candidates, 66% success rate)
FF - 1 (1 from 7 candidates, 14% success rate)
SF - 1 (first SF councillor in rather a significant time)
IND - 3

is_that_so

The Greens have lost ALL their Dublin seats, city and county. By my reckoning that is 8 seats - 1 on DCC, 4 in DL and Rathdown and 3 in Fingal.

mike65

The Greens do not have a single seat in Dublin, Cork, Limerick, Galway or Waterford.

Dr Galen

thats incredibly bad news. no like really really bad news. much worse than i would have predicted for them. i think we can expect some Greens to be out and about in the media today, talking abot what happens next

road_high

is_that_so wrote: »

The Greens have lost ALL their Dublin seats, city and county. By my reckoning that is 8 seats - 1 on DCC, 4 in DL and Rathdown and 3 in Fingal.

Brilliant news . I think you can add Carlow county council to that as well

is_that_so

I am also surprised at the extent of it but it makes sense. FF can afford a large drop in its core vote and just do badly. Small parties, as the PDs implosion showed, cannot afford to annoy the electorate and go below that 4-6% that keeps them in a race. Once they do, any transfers that come won't help them. Labour in 1997 went from 33 to 17, a fair warning of how the voting public can and will punish parties.

EDIT : Forgot about South Dublin - another 2 seats. Mary White claims that the Greens' performance was expected.

Tricity Bendix

Speaking of the PDs, former members seem to have done very well for themselves. Over 20 cllrs have been elected from their gene pool. Goes to show you how poisonous the PD title was.

Dr Galen

Tricity Bendix wrote: »

Speaking of the PDs, former members seem to have done very well for themselves. Over 20 cllrs have been elected from their gene pool. Goes to show you how poisonous the PD title was.

also shows how blinkered the electorate is as I'd assume that many of the candidates still hold many of the belief/ideologies that they had when they were PD's!

mike65

I suspect its not the PD tag that was the problem rather its the association with FF thats been the issue. Stand by for a rash of ex-Greens to do okay next time out.

is_that_so

Full recount in the Cabra/Glasnevin where Maurice Ahern is fighting to hold onto his seat.

makl

eu dublin - hopin for joe, but if forced to stick money on it, would prob say mary lou. she's only woman with half a chance and could well get the female mckenna n de burca transfers. they could split 50 50 wit joe but. reckon ryan will stall on 15/16% and finish 5th. here's hopin 4 joe anyway.

ninebeanrows

There is a real danger to the government if the Greens grow despondent, which they should.

That is the main danger, FF will be happy in a way with the limited damage of a 24% taking, and the fact that Fine Gael only look like getting 32/33%