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The Snapper

Li'l Rory great outside bet @ 30/1 on Boylesports

elshambo

The Snapper wrote: »

Li'l Rory great outside bet @ 30/1 on Boylesports

Not doubting his chances but if he was a Yank or contential European he would be 50-66/1

He is an outside bet but priced as 7th favourite,
EVEN if he wins, in the long run, for your sanity thats a no no bet imo!

hopalong85

Hey guys, not really a sports bettor, usually stick to the pokerz. Can anyone tell me what is meant by 'paying 8'? Cheers, sorry for what I'm sure is a retarded question.:pac:

lee_arama

hopalong85 wrote: »

Hey guys, not really a sports bettor, usually stick to the pokerz. Can anyone tell me what is meant by 'paying 8'? Cheers, sorry for what I'm sure is a retarded question.:pac:

Not really if all you play are winner takes all poker games.

Means it pays to 8th place each way. Which is good since golf usually only pays to 6 ante post.

elshambo

hopalong85 wrote: »

Hey guys, not really a sports bettor, usually stick to the pokerz. Can anyone tell me what is meant by 'paying 8'? Cheers, sorry for what I'm sure is a retarded question.:pac:

if you back a guy each way (ew) its two bets
half the bet goes on the win, half the bet goes on the place, top 8 in this case so:

if you back Mr Dodgy Swing at $10ew 40/1
thats $20
$10 to win at 40/1
and
$10 to finish in top 8 at 10/1 (as generally 1/4 of the 40/1)

lee_arama wrote: »

Which is good since golf usually only pays to 6 ante post.

top 5 usually

lee_arama

elshambo wrote: »

if you back a guy each way (ew) its two bets
half the bet goes on the win, half the bet goes on the place, top 8 in this case so:

if you back Mr Dodgy Swing at $10ew 40/1
thats $20
$10 to win at 40/1
and
$10 to finish in top 8 at 10/1 (as generally 1/4 of the 40/1)


top 5 usually

Top 5? Where on earth do you bet? I've always gotten 6 ante, and 4 during the event. Though from what I gathered regards the PP vs Boyle ad, Boyle always paid one more than PP anyway.

KevIRL

Is the Boyles site working for people? After I placed a bet and go back to place another it wont let me

Hoki

Mine is working fine , iv just backed

Henrik Stenson
Rory Mcllroy
Justin Rose
Ian Poulter

& someone else whos name has left me

elshambo

Supposed to be a short list but:o

Tiger
Mahan
Stricker
Curtis (loves links, decent price)
Stenson(should always make short list)
Perry
Goosen (cobwebs last week)
Els(above)
Harrington (not happy, win in Ireland,course should suit, standard buildup etc)
Poulter
Furyk

gut
Dougherty
Kjeldsen
Shwartzel

Opnions welcome
All in dont think it will be a big bet on way or the other

tiptap

1k e/w on Adam Scott @ 50/1

elshambo

anyone got a good link to the weather forcast for the first two days

Draw could be VERY important

Tony_Montana

1. Sean o hair at 66/1 . playing really well at the moment.
2. Graeme MCD
3. Fisher
4. Toms
5. Wilson
6. Cabrera
7. Casey
8. Tiger

All in that order

mdwexford

Ive gotten good word for Tiger Woods, reliable source, seriously.

GKidd

McDowell & Fisher or I don't eat til end of month

premierstone

elshambo wrote: »

Not doubting his chances but if he was a Yank or contential European he would be 50-66/1

He is an outside bet but priced as 7th favourite,
EVEN if he wins, in the long run, for your sanity thats a no no bet imo!

How do you reckon he should be 50's - 66's?? He is ranked 14th in the world, mickelson doesnt play so really 13th, he learnt the game playing links golf and won the silver medal and finished in the top ten in he's only previous appearance and is 4th in the current european money list

elshambo

premierstone wrote: »

How do you reckon he should be 50's - 66's?? He is ranked 14th in the world, mickelson doesnt play so really 13th, he learnt the game playing links golf and won the silver medal and finished in the top ten in he's only previous appearance and is 4th in the current european money list

Fair points all (:o)

Maybe should have said 40-50's ( i see he is 40's with lads)

Just think its a small price on a young lad
a lad who hasnt won a lot of tourni's in what could/should be an er um open open:p (except for probably tiger)

its a bookie protecting price rather than a bookie looking for business price

Im probably way off though

*& in fairnes i was replying to someone who said 30/1 was an outside bet

The Snapper wrote: »

Li'l Rory great outside bet @ 30/1 on Boylesports

Amigomenor

Casey to win.

In the 3 ball tomorrow morning back the 2 player against garcia.

strewelpeter

There has of course been far more money made Laying Tiger over the years.
This year he has to face extremely dense rough and foul weather two of the things that affect him most.

Lay Tiger to finish in the top 5 @ 1.8 is superb value and the 25/1 about him missing the cut is way overpriced. IMO

TommyGunne

McIlroy is a terrible price. He really is.

NewApproach

KevIRL wrote: »

Is the Boyles site working for people? After I placed a bet and go back to place another it wont let me

Hmm not surprised. Boyles, despite being a bookie, dont really like taking bets of more than say a 5er ew......


Try refreshing etc.

premierstone

TommyGunne wrote: »

McIlroy is a terrible price. He really is.

The 30's in boyles is skimpy alright but I think 40/1 available on betfair is spot on, even though i have been argueing like im backing him im not actually cos i thinl he has actually played a bit too much recently and has looked tired but if i was a bookie i wouldnt want to be taking him on at any bigger than 40's tbh

elshambo

NewApproach wrote: »

Hmm not surprised. Boyles, despite being a bookie, dont really like taking bets of more than say a 5er ew......


Try refreshing etc.

Crashing on me now
been trying to get on before the 8 places disapear at 12

shock horror:rolleyes:

Didnt get on before 12
trying for ages, off to get the better prices elsewhere and an abusive email me thinks

Whyno

mdwexford wrote: »

Ive gotten good word for Tiger Woods, reliable source, seriously.

Heard this too..Its believed that hes showing up well on the fairways...

Whyno

tiptap wrote: »

1k e/w on Adam Scott @ 50/1

were you using monopoly money

elshambo

I asked for the thread, better post tip in it i suppose

pp
1 pt each way
Perry 55/1 70's with will hill
Curtis 55/1 66/1 with less place's paid
Kjeldsen 100/1 1 pt ew

2pts each way
Mahan 30/1

US tourni
boyles
2pt each way
Kelly at 22/1 is the class (if you can call him that) of the field and will be looking to win his home tourni which is apparently in trouble (according to RPost)
.5 pts each way
Chris Riley 80/1

few 1$ doubles for the fun of it while yer at it


ASHES at 11/10 for a draw is a decent bet, expecting rain

TommyGunne

premierstone wrote: »

The 30's in boyles is skimpy alright but I think 40/1 available on betfair is spot on, even though i have been argueing like im backing him im not actually cos i thinl he has actually played a bit too much recently and has looked tired but if i was a bookie i wouldnt want to be taking him on at any bigger than 40's tbh

Well lol at thinking that the Boyle's price on an Irish player would ever be close to correct, and I've invested to a medium, size that McIlroy should be longer than 35/1. I would say elshambo's view of his price is much more accurate.

I'm planning to start modelling the golf pretty seriously in the next while once I get a few things out of the way if anyone has any experience of this? Would be a good experience if nothing else, and i have the experience in non-gambling fields to have a respectable model.

elshambo

TommyGunne wrote: »

Well lol at thinking that the Boyle's price on an Irish player would ever be close to correct, and I've invested to a medium, size that McIlroy should be longer than 35/1. I would say elshambo's view of his price is much more accurate.

Ta very much:p

TommyGunne wrote: »

I'm planning to start modelling the golf pretty seriously in the next while once I get a few things out of the way if anyone has any experience of this? Would be a good experience if nothing else, and i have the experience in non-gambling fields to have a respectable model.

Well I posted this in the BBV about golf betting a few days ago, looking to get into it again

elshambo wrote: »

Least favourite
Tiger Woods:eek::rolleyes:
Gladly Watch him play all day BUT

least fav for purely selfish reasons:rolleyes:, i was making nice change for a skint kid betting on golf before Woods came along and the bookies started taking it serious:mad:
Pre Tiger; Faldo, Normans, Monty's etc were always fav, even if they hated the course

the days of getting 33/1 on the likes of Corey Pavin or Payne Stewart to win an event on his favourite course, in his home town, where he finished 2nd the week before and 5th last year :Betting Heaven;):(

When i worked in leeson st area
Every thursday the lads in Baggot racing used to get the golf prices up on the board just before i came in:D
1st year and a half or so in dublin, bookies payed my rent:D

*note to self, must get back into golf betting

**Anyone here who bets on golf know of anything like the old
Keith Elliot's "Golf Form" books?
he stopped publishing his a few years ago

You would have to tell me what you mean by modelling:o
having worked in engineering and quit im phobic to words such as modelling even when i really should know what they mean:o

Personally think the money is in spreads with regard to finishing positions etc
www.pgatour.com is a fantastic resourse for all stats etc

charlesanto

I like this...

Tiger Woods (13/5) 100pts win
Retief Goosen (40/1) 10pts E/W
Sergio Garcia (25/1) 20pts E/W
Padraig Harrington (28/1) 20pts E/W


GL all

babymaker6

Stenson 33/1 e/w
A Romero 110/1 e/w
Harrington 28/1 e/w
S Garcia 25/1
R Sterne 16/1 top s/african e/w
O Wilson 18/1 top english e/w
R Allenby 9/1 top aus e/w
and my heart is telling me to back the big easy at 45/1
as much as i respect rory think he s bad value and poulter is even worse value again, proven major winners in the field at bigger odds represent
better value gl to everyone who has a bet

Imposter

Poulter is looking like a good bet!