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Ministers approve draft NAMA legislation

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  • 28-07-2009 9:27pm
    #1
    Registered Users Posts: 2,070 ✭✭✭


    The Cabinet has approved the draft National Asset Management Agency legislation which will be published by the Government on Thursday.
    A Cabinet meeting yesterday heard a detailed presentation from Minister for Finance Brian Lenihan on the provisions of the Bill, which runs to almost 150 pages.
    http://www.rte.ie/news/2009/0728/nama.html

    I can not see this being a good thing can you!


«1

Comments

  • Closed Accounts Posts: 272 ✭✭Salvelinus


    Baby75 wrote: »
    The Cabinet has approved the draft National Asset Management Agency legislation which will be published by the Government on Thursday.
    A Cabinet meeting yesterday heard a detailed presentation from Minister for Finance Brian Lenihan on the provisions of the Bill, which runs to almost 150 pages.
    http://www.rte.ie/news/2009/0728/nama.html

    I can not see this being a good thing can you!

    You're obviously not a propert developer. Anyway i hope Lenihan reads it.


  • Registered Users Posts: 877 ✭✭✭Mario007


    Salvelinus wrote: »
    You're obviously not a propert developer. Anyway i hope Lenihan reads it.

    after so many hours spend discussing it, its obvious lenihan learned from his mistake and rather made all the colleagues read it as well, thats why they took so long:D

    on a more serious note, NAMA has to work, otherwise we're screwed...simple as that.


  • Registered Users Posts: 2,070 ✭✭✭Baby75


    Mario007 wrote: »
    after so many hours spend discussing it, its obvious lenihan learned from his mistake and rather made all the colleagues read it as well, thats why they took so long:D

    on a more serious note, NAMA has to work, otherwise we're screwed...simple as that.


    Why do you think we are screwed!


  • Registered Users Posts: 13,186 ✭✭✭✭jmayo


    Mario007 wrote: »
    after so many hours spend discussing it, its obvious lenihan learned from his mistake and rather made all the colleagues read it as well, thats why they took so long:D

    on a more serious note, NAMA has to work, otherwise we're screwed...simple as that.

    You really do like the guy or are you just hoping he has actually learned something ?
    150 odd pages, with probably very complex financial details are a bit much to expect our glorious governmnet to read nevermind understand :rolleyes:
    They probably got nice bullet pointed headlines on a single A4 page.
    First line probably read ...
    Our good friends and donors need a dig out and we owe it to them
    Note that line was probably missing or rephrased on the page given to the greens ;)
    Baby75 wrote: »
    Why do you think we are screwed!

    Ahh so you reckon the state can afford the two big banks to continue as they are at the moment not really doing business and providing viable businesses with credit.
    Do you reckon in the long run we can afford to take on board perhaps anything upto 60 odd billion in useless unrecoverable debt.
    I know the debts are more but I am being a bit opitmistic they might be able to offload some of the properties used as security.

    Also I am not even countenancing the fact that if the deposit guarantees were called in they couldn't be covered :rolleyes:

    I am not allowed discuss …



  • Closed Accounts Posts: 12,382 ✭✭✭✭AARRRGH


    Mario007 wrote: »
    on a more serious note, NAMA has to work, otherwise we're screwed...simple as that.

    I'm ready and waiting to emigrate... just like plenty of other young Irish people no doubt.


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  • Closed Accounts Posts: 695 ✭✭✭RealityCheck


    NAMA is a complete con job plain and simple. We the taxpayer will be paying over the odds for developments worth probably half of what they are worth in reality simply to ensure that the banks dont collapse. The price we are all going to pay for this will be felt by future generations.

    Please dont believe the spin about the Government making a profit in 10 or 12 years time as this is based on too many simplifications that are in many cases detrimental for the Irish economy. For example, for the taxpayer to make a profit we require property prices to remain artificially high. In the essence the Irish people must get screwed again by paying over the odds for houses etc.

    Time for people to make a bit of noise about this racket!!


  • Registered Users Posts: 2,809 ✭✭✭edanto


    As I remember reading, NAMA will have us all paying about 10% more tax each year for at least the next decade.

    I for one, welcome our new overlords. I woke up this morning and I thought, "you know what, I don't pay enough tax! Maybe if I was to pay a bit more tax then wealthy people with huge business empires and property portfolios and bank shares would sleep a little better." So, I'm all for NAMA.


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 10,012 ✭✭✭✭thebman


    We'll probably pay hopefully close to half of what they are worth on paper.


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 695 ✭✭✭RealityCheck


    My estimation would be 2/3 of there book value i.e. about 60bn of the 90bn or so. This would be viewed as well above the amount they would fetch if they were sold on the market now. The reason for paying over the odds is due to the losses the banks will make by writing down the difference between book value and the NAMA value, and hence reducing the recapitalisation requirement. I mean if we pay less, we will end up recapitalising the banks anyway to prevent them from collapse. And thats before you talk about their ability to lend to the economy :(.


  • Registered Users Posts: 877 ✭✭✭Mario007


    jmayo wrote: »
    You really do like the guy or are you just hoping he has actually learned something ?

    i do like the guy but that comment was more of a joke than anything:D
    (and i also do hope he learned something...for everyone's sake)
    jmayo wrote: »
    150 odd pages, with probably very complex financial details are a bit much to expect our glorious governmnet to read nevermind understand :rolleyes:
    They probably got nice bullet pointed headlines on a single A4 page.
    First line probably read ...
    Our good friends and donors need a dig out and we owe it to them
    Note that line was probably missing or rephrased on the page given to the greens ;)

    i actually think NAMA will work, simply because i've seen something similiar work in slovakia when we had our banking crisis, then there's the swedish example and IMF also endorsed this. What i like about it is that it takes the good and bad loans as well, so the good ones start paying back straight away and the bad loans will be allowed time to recover. the big question about this is if the people in charge will be able to cope with the pressure. and if it actually works properly, it means a few billion profit for us in 10-15 years...i know distant future, but still...

    jmayo wrote: »
    Ahh so you reckon the state can afford the two big banks to continue as they are at the moment not really doing business and providing viable businesses with credit.
    Do you reckon in the long run we can afford to take on board perhaps anything upto 60 odd billion in useless unrecoverable debt.
    I know the debts are more but I am being a bit opitmistic they might be able to offload some of the properties used as security.

    Also I am not even countenancing the fact that if the deposit guarantees were called in they couldn't be covered :rolleyes:

    i agree with your opinion as to why we'de be screwed if this thing would epically fail...also NAMA will be semi-state agency and i heard something about the 60bn not actually being part of the national debt, which is good


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  • Banned (with Prison Access) Posts: 25,234 ✭✭✭✭Sponge Bob


    Mario007 wrote: »
    i heard something about the 60bn not actually being part of the national debt, which is good

    That is wrong I hate to tell you . It will be counted as part of the overall debt but will be 'accounted for' separately .

    The €60bn figure itself is about right , 75% of €80bn has been earmarked for transfer to NAMA .

    The NTMA has raised enough money to last until around March , no IMF in 2009 for us it seems.

    The NTMA bill to be published tomorrow is not very financial at all and is a series of enabling provisions providing for the creation of NAMA and the powers it will have devolved to it from the Central Bank and the Ministry of Finance in order that it is seen to function autonomously . Pseudo autonomy is very important .

    Lots of clauses like 'The Provisions of Section 223 of the Finance Act 2006 shall not be applicable save where the Minister or an officer authorised by the Minster requests blah blah blah blah' .

    It will give you constipation reading it :(


  • Registered Users Posts: 877 ✭✭✭Mario007


    Sponge Bob wrote: »
    That is wrong I hate to tell you . It will be counted as part of the overall debt but will be 'accounted for' separately .

    The €60bn figure itself is about right , 75% of €80bn has been earmarked for transfer to NAMA .

    The NTMA has raised enough money to last until around March , no IMF in 2009 for us it seems.

    The NTMA bill to be published tomorrow is not very financial at all and is a series of enabling provisions providing for the creation of NAMA and the powers it will have devolved to it from the Central Bank and the Ministry of Finance in order that it is seen to function autonomously . Pseudo autonomy is very important .

    Lots of clauses like 'The Provisions of Section 223 of the Finance Act 2006 shall not be applicable save where the Minister or an officer authorised by the Minster requests blah blah blah blah' .

    It will give you constipation reading it :(

    oh right, i misunderstood the 'accounted for differently' part then:D

    yes the bill will be very, very complicated. but then again you'd really want it to be, since the legislation is very very important. We'll just have to hold our breath and hope it works out, i suppose


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 10,012 ✭✭✭✭thebman


    Sponge Bob wrote: »
    That is wrong I hate to tell you . It will be counted as part of the overall debt but will be 'accounted for' separately .

    Which basically seems to mean it will be kept off the books to make the budget look better.

    What a crazy situation. If it was business they'd probably be done for rigging accounts like that.


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 9,376 ✭✭✭ei.sdraob


    AARRRGH wrote: »
    I'm ready and waiting to emigrate... just like plenty of other young Irish people no doubt.

    wait till you get the letters from revenue

    corpo tax, income tax, employer tax you name it :(

    emigrating seems like a nicer option everyday


  • Registered Users Posts: 5,582 ✭✭✭roosterman71


    Where do we go? Most of the world is screwed too


  • Registered Users Posts: 13,186 ✭✭✭✭jmayo


    thebman wrote: »
    We'll probably pay hopefully close to half of what they are worth on paper.

    Ehh I bet it will be higher because otherwise we end uppouring more money into the banks to recapitlise and get them doing business again :rolleyes:
    Also EU commission are making sounds about the government being the only buyer, but I reckon at this stage the EU competition authorities concerns about monopolies is a joke since ECB would rather countries save their banking systems.
    thebman wrote: »
    Which basically seems to mean it will be kept off the books to make the budget look better.

    What a crazy situation. If it was business they'd probably be done for rigging accounts like that.

    Ehh not if the business was a bank, it seems they have different accounting and company laws ;)
    ei.sdraob wrote: »
    ...
    emigrating seems like a nicer option everyday

    if only the other half would agree :(
    Mario007 wrote: »
    ...
    i actually think NAMA will work, simply because i've seen something similiar work in slovakia when we had our banking crisis, then there's the swedish example and IMF also endorsed this. What i like about it is that it takes the good and bad loans as well, so the good ones start paying back straight away and the bad loans will be allowed time to recover. the big question about this is if the people in charge will be able to cope with the pressure. and if it actually works properly, it means a few billion profit for us in 10-15 years...i know distant future, but still...
    ...

    I think you are very optimistic.
    The idea that we will make money back on these debts is based on fact that the value of the assets used as security increases back to the amounts lent on them.
    That would mean property values back at vlues close to 2006 or 2007 prices.
    That ain't going to happen for decades, thus there will be losses and big ones.
    Does anybody serioulsy think that Anglo will ver function agian as an actual bank, would nay investor touch it ?

    I am not allowed discuss …



  • Registered Users Posts: 2,809 ✭✭✭edanto


    Mario007 wrote: »
    i actually think NAMA will work, simply because i've seen something similiar work in slovakia when we had our banking crisis, then there's the swedish example and IMF also endorsed this. What i like about it is that it takes the good and bad loans as well, so the good ones start paying back straight away and the bad loans will be allowed time to recover.

    Recently I've heard from someone that I trust that the way the Swedes dealt with their problem is completely different to our NAMA proposals.

    I haven't been able to find an article on this yet, but would be grateful if anyone has any links.

    In the meantime, I have come across this talk by a Swede that was involved in managing their crisis.
    http://www.iiea.com/events/bo-lundgren-on-the-rehabilitation-of-the-banking-system

    Here are my thoughts as I watch it. He doesn't really say anything significant until he says that confidence is crucial. Sometimes people start to realise that they might lose money on financial systems and then there is a need to restore confidence.

    To me, that just sounds like fooling people.

    He then says that the swedish crisis was caused by 'too late deregulation'. To me that sounds like completely free market ideology and very dubious. To me, the swedish crisis seemed to be caused by too lax deregulation, particularly in relation to lending.

    Then he criticises Morgan Kellys point of view wrt to the Irish Times article.

    I don't have time to listen to more at the moment... but when I skipped forward to scan the rest he made one point that I really noticed which was that if the government made bad valuations it didn't really matter because they owned the entities, post nationalisation. This is a big difference with our approach and the one that I think will cause the most pain.


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 3,212 ✭✭✭Jaysoose


    Was chatting to the brother yesterday about NAMA etc and he came out with a killer line as to why he thinks it will not work and we are all doomed etc.

    "If the goverment could do basic maths we wouldnt be in this mess in the first place, we are fvcked"

    pretty much summed it up for me and ended the conversation cos there was nowhere else to go.


  • Registered Users Posts: 877 ✭✭✭Mario007


    jmayo wrote: »
    I think you are very optimistic.
    The idea that we will make money back on these debts is based on fact that the value of the assets used as security increases back to the amounts lent on them.
    That would mean property values back at vlues close to 2006 or 2007 prices.
    That ain't going to happen for decades, thus there will be losses and big ones.
    Does anybody serioulsy think that Anglo will ver function agian as an actual bank, would nay investor touch it ?


    it doesnt neccesarry have to increase to the value of 2006 or 2007. the assets should be valued at their present market value while being transfered to NAMA. Thus any increase from today's prices(which there is bound to be some) will generate profit, plus we also have the interest on the loans...

    anglo could be a proper bank but it needs to be sold to a serious banking compnay


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 686 ✭✭✭bangersandmash


    Mario007 wrote: »
    it doesnt neccesarry have to increase to the value of 2006 or 2007. the assets should be valued at their present market value while being transfered to NAMA.
    That's where the problem lies. They should be, but many of them won't. From the memo:
    NAMA may, after consultation with the Minister and subject to any relevant regulations issued by the Minister, determine that particular bank assets should have an acquisition value equal to their current market value or other intermediate value not exceeding the long-term economic value.
    It's quite possible the intermediate value will be pure fantasy.


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  • Closed Accounts Posts: 695 ✭✭✭RealityCheck


    Mario007 wrote: »
    it doesnt neccesarry have to increase to the value of 2006 or 2007. the assets should be valued at their present market value while being transfered to NAMA. Thus any increase from today's prices(which there is bound to be some) will generate profit, plus we also have the interest on the loans...


    This is exactly where the con job lies. The way the Government like to explain this is by saying we give the banks x amount of money for assets at whatever value they are at today, the banks suddenly start lending to the economy and we can look forward to making a profit on the properties and everything is rosy in the garden.

    However, this is simply not the case as the Banks will have substantial write downs to take care of, which will mean the banks will still be banjaxed, without Government recapitalisation.


  • Registered Users Posts: 877 ✭✭✭Mario007


    That's where the problem lies. They should be, but many of them won't. From the memo:

    It's quite possible the intermediate value will be pure fantasy.

    i think the most important thing about the memo is the 'not exceeding the long-term economic value.' part. this means that the assets will regain some of their value for which NAMA didn't pay, thus producing a profit. of course 'not exceeding' can also mean 'equal to' in which case we break even, but with the interest on the loans we'd be able to get a few more millions in. well hopefully...
    This is exactly where the con job lies. The way the Government like to explain this is by saying we give the banks x amount of money for assets at whatever value they are at today, the banks suddenly start lending to the economy and we can look forward to making a profit on the properties and everything is rosy in the garden.

    However, this is simply not the case as the Banks will have substantial write downs to take care of, which will mean the banks will still be banjaxed, without Government recapitalisation.

    if the bad loans are taken off the banks' balance sheets and the collateral property goes along with it, the balance sheet will finally be able to balance, which is essential for any firm. with a balanced balance sheet the banks get their confidence restored by possible investors here and abroad. furthermore the government bonds will help the create cash inflow in the Cash Flow Statement and this will allow the banks to 'invest' the cash, as any prudent management would do, ie start loaning again.

    ...thats the theory anyway, we'll have to see how it works out


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 6,718 ✭✭✭SkepticOne


    Mario007 wrote: »
    i think the most important thing about the memo is the 'not exceeding the long-term economic value.' part. this means that the assets will regain some of their value for which NAMA didn't pay, thus producing a profit. of course 'not exceeding' can also mean 'equal to' in which case we break even, but with the interest on the loans we'd be able to get a few more millions in. well hopefully...
    You do realise that this ' long-term economic value' amounts to an estimate made by the same people that failed to see the current disaster coming.


  • Registered Users Posts: 877 ✭✭✭Mario007


    SkepticOne wrote: »
    You do realise that this ' long-term economic value' amounts to an estimate made by the same people that failed to see the current disaster coming.

    you mean the economist in general? because, as i heard on tv, there will be some people valuing these loans that do not work in ireland, but rather abroad, even in the one of the Chinese banks that hasn't felt(like the only bank in the world) the recession biting.


  • Registered Users Posts: 756 ✭✭✭D.S.


    People are being pretty disparaging about the NAMA solution. However, the point has to be made that we have already made our mess and the tax payer is going to have to take the hit regardless.

    - Ireland benefitted from a property boom but dropped taxes unnecessarily and became inefficient in managing government expenditure
    - The Irish punter binged on debt in terms of personal loans, credit cards, asset finance and mortgages
    - We have an overheated and overpriced property market which is still been artificially been kept afloat by the current developers who can still (just about) afford not to flood the market with empty properties.
    - The Irish Government finances are teetering on the edge and it is not unfeasibile that Ireland could start to default at some point in the future on the repayment of Government Debt.

    The issues with the current recession are systemic and not just related to banking. The NAMA solution provides a platform to part navigate our way out of this mess.

    Without NAMA, banks would struggle to release credit to the Economy as they would have to manage the bad loans in house, and this credit at the moment is needed by the SME's who will help kickstart this economy.

    Whether or not the Government makes any money on the loans transferred to NAMA is a side-issue (though I believe they will). The mess has been made. The Irish Government and the Irish Tax payer, will take the hit one or the other for this mess. I much prefer the prospect of NAMA taking on these loans and providing the banks a mechanism to stimulate the economy again. At this point in time, if we left the loans with the banks, the economy could get stuck in a vicious cycle of declining credit, business closures, rising unemployment, less government income, inabiltity to pay debt etc etc.

    At this point in time, I believe the benefits to the economy with NAMA (i.e. potentially preventing the economy from entering a negative wage/price spiral) far outweigh the potential negatives of the NAMA book not performing/placing a cost to the exchequer.

    We really have no choice with NAMA. The punter is going to pay for this recession anyway, and if anything, NAMA could possibly prevent an even deeper recession and may even help offset some of the burden to the exchequer.


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 109 ✭✭boa-constrictor


    D.S. wrote: »
    NAMA could possibly prevent an even deeper recession and may even help offset some of the burden to the exchequer.

    There shouldn't be a burder to the exchequer to begin with. Why did they guarantee Anglo - because as Lenihan says "it was systemic". Anglo was not systemic. In fact if you were an Economics teacher and you were explaining systemic to a class of 16 years olds you could give Anglo as an example of a Bank that isn't systemic. BOI, AIB Yes, Anglo definitely No.

    If this correction was left to the market it would be rough but it would be largely sorted out in a couple of years and we could start rebuilding the economy. What NAMA is going to do is ensure that the normal workings of a market economy don't apply and thereby stretch this out over 10 years or more.

    The fact is, there is huge oversupply of property and while this remains, potential buyers are going to keep their hands in their pockets, afraid that the market will dive the week after they buy. The excess supply has to be purged so that if a person needs a house they will go out and buy one and we can start to operate like a normal market again.

    I saw this coming and sold my house in early 2007. I have been renting and sitting on a lump of money since and I desperately want to buy a house but I have no intention of doing so because 1) I will probably lose money if I buy now and 2) this downturn means that I could lose my job and I may need to move or even emigrate to get another.

    If I won't buy who will.

    The guy from the financial regulator who told the Oireachtas Committee a couple of days ago that it was right that the shareholders of the banks lost money was correct. They made bad investments. Everyone is saying that the Banks are to blame for shovelling out money to the developers but sure we all knew 2/3 years ago that the Banks were shovelling out money. If they thought that was wrong why didn't they sell their shares. P1ssing and moaning about losing money on an investment is just childish.

    I'm paying for NAMA and I don't even want it. Its nothing more than a transfer of wealth from the poor to the rich.

    There's only one Bank in this country behaving in a rational manner and more power to them. The rest are holding hands to protect themselves and the big fish.

    They should have let the elitists in Anglo go to the wall and they should have nationalised BOI and used it to lend to SME's. Problem solved and no Nama.

    Indeed someone should have seen the Anglo debacle coming. I've met David Drumm and I remember when he was made CEO of Anglo. He went from being the Manager of a Lending Unit to being CEO overnight - I'd say they had to show him where the toilets were on the Executive Floor cos he had never been up there before. The reason he got there is obvious - Fitzpatrick needed a patsy who wouldn't challenge him on his activities. No better way of doing that than to pluck some guy from obscurity and make him CEO so he will be so grateful he'll never open his mouth to you. Anyone who knows anything about corporate goverance must surely have smelled a rat.


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 9,376 ✭✭✭ei.sdraob


    D.S. wrote: »
    People are being pretty disparaging about the NAMA solution. However, the point has to be made that we have already made our mess and the tax payer is going to have to take the hit regardless.

    - Ireland benefitted from a property boom but dropped taxes unnecessarily and became inefficient in managing government expenditure
    - The Irish punter binged on debt in terms of personal loans, credit cards, asset finance and mortgages
    - We have an overheated and overpriced property market which is still been artificially been kept afloat by the current developers who can still (just about) afford not to flood the market with empty properties.
    - The Irish Government finances are teetering on the edge and it is not unfeasibile that Ireland could start to default at some point in the future on the repayment of Government Debt.

    The issues with the current recession are systemic and not just related to banking. The NAMA solution provides a platform to part navigate our way out of this mess.

    Without NAMA, banks would struggle to release credit to the Economy as they would have to manage the bad loans in house, and this credit at the moment is needed by the SME's who will help kickstart this economy.

    Whether or not the Government makes any money on the loans transferred to NAMA is a side-issue (though I believe they will). The mess has been made. The Irish Government and the Irish Tax payer, will take the hit one or the other for this mess. I much prefer the prospect of NAMA taking on these loans and providing the banks a mechanism to stimulate the economy again. At this point in time, if we left the loans with the banks, the economy could get stuck in a vicious cycle of declining credit, business closures, rising unemployment, less government income, inabiltity to pay debt etc etc.

    At this point in time, I believe the benefits to the economy with NAMA (i.e. potentially preventing the economy from entering a negative wage/price spiral) far outweigh the potential negatives of the NAMA book not performing/placing a cost to the exchequer.

    We really have no choice with NAMA. The punter is going to pay for this recession anyway, and if anything, NAMA could possibly prevent an even deeper recession and may even help offset some of the burden to the exchequer.

    Minister is that you?

    on a more serious note

    we do have a choice, let property crash its still highly overvalued

    not only does an average person have to slave few decades to pay of a mortgage on property
    now this persons taxes will be used for a few decades to keep these prices artificially high

    thats perverse i say


    let the banks crash, let the developers crash

    they are business's who took on large risks, let them learn that taking excessive risks is bad for business otherwise we will end up in very same situation or worse in a decade


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 320 ✭✭tlev


    ei.sdraob wrote: »
    Minister is that you?

    on a more serious note

    we do have a choice, let property crash its still highly overvalued

    not only does an average person have to slave few decades to pay of a mortgage on property
    now this persons taxes will be used for a few decades to keep these prices artificially high

    thats perverse i say


    let the banks crash, let the developers crash

    they are business's who took on large risks, let them learn that taking excessive risks is bad for business otherwise we will end up in very same situation or worse in a decade

    Yes but all the bank directors, government officials and developers are good buddies and they wouldn't want to see eachother fall on hard times. :D
    The sheer amount of collusion between the banks is shocking, even though these guys are competitors they work together as if they were best buds pulling the wool over the eyes of everyone! :D


  • Registered Users Posts: 756 ✭✭✭D.S.


    There shouldn't be a burder to the exchequer to begin with. Why did they guarantee Anglo - because as Lenihan says "it was systemic". Anglo was not systemic. In fact if you were an Economics teacher and you were explaining systemic to a class of 16 years olds you could give Anglo as an example of a Bank that isn't systemic. BOI, AIB Yes, Anglo definitely No.

    If this correction was left to the market it would be rough but it would be largely sorted out in a couple of years and we could start rebuilding the economy. What NAMA is going to do is ensure that the normal workings of a market economy don't apply and thereby stretch this out over 10 years or more.


    You are confusing several points though. The decision to bail out Anglo, while connected to some degree, is seperate to the decision to set up NAMA to protect the banking system and the wider economy. Even if Anglo had failed, NAMA still would of been set up and there would still be a burden on the exchequer.

    There absolutely should be no burder to begin with. But that's nothing to do Anglo. There is a burden to begin with because Government spending got way out of hand. The public service spending is a joke for the return we get. Taxes were lowered to ridiculous levels during a boom time when we should of been saving money for the future. THe Government promoted the boom and spiked it's effect rather than taking counter cyclical measures that would of smoothed it out.

    The mistakes of this government/economy were made 5 years ago during the boom, not in the last 12 months imo. You could argue either way whether Anglo should of been bailed out or not. I would agree you could allow Anglo to fail but would any Minister of Finance of taken the risk it would bring in terms of the wider reputation/confidence to the wider banking system in this country? Letting Anglo fail would of been a v big gamble in itself with no way to predict the actual result.

    Absolutely, if you let the economy run it's own course, the market would move to a more natural state but that does not mean the Irish economy would ever bounce back. Ireland is a small economy on the outskirts of Europe. We can not be successful as an economy without intervention of some sort. Letting this sort itself out could actually mean that we go bankrupt as a nation and spend a significant amount of time in a depression. I fundamentally disagree that free market thinking will ever benefit Ireland in the long term. As a nation we have few skills/benefits in this country that could not easily be sourced in Europe, in terms of large Corporations setting up shop here.
    The fact is, there is huge oversupply of property and while this remains, potential buyers are going to keep their hands in their pockets, afraid that the market will dive the week after they buy. The excess supply has to be purged so that if a person needs a house they will go out and buy one and we can start to operate like a normal market again.

    I saw this coming and sold my house in early 2007. I have been renting and sitting on a lump of money since and I desperately want to buy a house but I have no intention of doing so because 1) I will probably lose money if I buy now and 2) this downturn means that I could lose my job and I may need to move or even emigrate to get another.

    If I won't buy who will.

    I do not disagree with this. Everything here is correct. But the supply/demand of the Property market can be managed by the Government seperately to the management of the banking system. I don't believe anybody has designed NAMA with the Machiavellian intention to prop up the housing market. However, I do believe that NAMA could result in that happening. I think the Government need to set up a plan now to correct the defects in the property market. There is no reason why we cannot correct the property market while also protecting the banking system. Tough calls would have to be made but it could be managed on a case by case basis. However, whether we have the honesty and integrity withing the current frameworks to not show favourtism is another thing. However, if the latter is true we could be doomed regardless..

    The guy from the financial regulator who told the Oireachtas Committee a couple of days ago that it was right that the shareholders of the banks lost money was correct. They made bad investments. Everyone is saying that the Banks are to blame for shovelling out money to the developers but sure we all knew 2/3 years ago that the Banks were shovelling out money. If they thought that was wrong why didn't they sell their shares. P1ssing and moaning about losing money on an investment is just childish.

    I'm paying for NAMA and I don't even want it. Its nothing more than a transfer of wealth from the poor to the rich.

    There's only one Bank in this country behaving in a rational manner and more power to them. The rest are holding hands to protect themselves and the big fish.

    They should have let the elitists in Anglo go to the wall and they should have nationalised BOI and used it to lend to SME's. Problem solved and no Nama.

    Indeed someone should have seen the Anglo debacle coming. I've met David Drumm and I remember when he was made CEO of Anglo. He went from being the Manager of a Lending Unit to being CEO overnight - I'd say they had to show him where the toilets were on the Executive Floor cos he had never been up there before. The reason he got there is obvious - Fitzpatrick needed a patsy who wouldn't challenge him on his activities. No better way of doing that than to pluck some guy from obscurity and make him CEO so he will be so grateful he'll never open his mouth to you. Anyone who knows anything about corporate goverance must surely have smelled a rat.

    I hear everything your saying here and on an emotional level I agree with a lot of this. We have a right to be p!ssed off we are in this mess. I agree the Corporate Governance structures in this country are a joke. They should be more tightly monitored and regulated.

    I disagree that NAMA is a vehicle to transfer wealth from the poor to the rich. The people who are failing on the most risky loans are the rich themselves??? The point of NAMA is provide a mechanism to keep the banks running (i.e. lending to SMEs) and to provide a way for the Government/banks to recover as much of the loans as possible. I don't see the transfer from poor to rich here? I do agree that NAMA itself could cause a negative impact to certain aspects of the economy. Controls and mechanisms to mitigate this should be discussed now and agreed now. I personally think NAMA is an absolute must for our banking system. We shouldn't acutally be in this mess but that's another discussion..

    I do not understand your argument here against NAMA. However, I do understand the anger that we are paying for this mess and it's not even our fault.


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  • Registered Users Posts: 756 ✭✭✭D.S.


    ei.sdraob wrote: »
    Minister is that you?

    on a more serious note

    we do have a choice, let property crash its still highly overvalued

    not only does an average person have to slave few decades to pay of a mortgage on property
    now this persons taxes will be used for a few decades to keep these prices artificially high

    thats perverse i say


    let the banks crash, let the developers crash

    they are business's who took on large risks, let them learn that taking excessive risks is bad for business otherwise we will end up in very same situation or worse in a decade

    Break the collusion and buddy buddy system in Irish politics/business - yes please.

    Let the banks crash -definitely definitely definitely not. You do that and we're sunk as a nation.

    Let the developers crash? Yes - not against this. But I'd rather the Government/Banks recover as much of the debt as possible. If that means letting a developer limp along for a few years, I'd rather that than the developer claiming bankruptcy, and us getting nothing now at all.


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