Dsmythy's football bets

dsmythy

dsmythy wrote: »

Stoke v Tottenham 14/5 William Hill -1.00

Blackburn v Chelsea 7/1 Paddy Power -1.00

Charlton v Gillingham 8/13 BlueSquare -1.00

Northampton v Morecambe 7/2 Boyles -1.00

New bank: 41.57
Bets: 192
Wins: 73
Profit/Loss: +26.57

dsmythy

Midweeks

West Ham v Wolverhampton 4/1 Paddy Power

Blackburn v Birmingham 3/1 Victor Chandler

Darlington v Aldershot 7/2 SkyBet

dsmythy

dsmythy wrote: »

West Ham v Wolverhampton 4/1 Paddy Power +4.00

Blackburn v Birmingham 3/1 Victor Chandler -1.00

Darlington v Aldershot 7/2 SkyBet -1.00

New bank: 43.57
Bets: 195
Wins: 74
Profit/Loss: +28.57

dsmythy

Sat-Mon. Bit too many perhaps but we shall see.

Birmingham v Arsenal 6/1 Victor Chandler

Hull v Fulham 2/1 Bet365

Burnley v Blackburn 17/10 Betfred

Crystal Palace v Cardiff 7/4 Coral

Reading v West Brom 13/8 Ladbrokes

Gillingham v Milton Keynes Dons 13/8 Boyles

Bournemouth v Accrington 4/1 Coral

Barnet v Burton 15/8 Coral

Lincoln v Northampton 6/4 Ladbrokes

Notts County v Rotherham 7/2 Ladbrokes

dsmythy

dsmythy wrote: »

Birmingham v Arsenal 6/1 Victor Chandler -1

Hull v Fulham 2/1 Bet365 -1

Burnley v Blackburn 17/10 Betfred -1

Crystal Palace v Cardiff 7/4 Coral +1.75

Reading v West Brom 13/8 Ladbrokes -1

Gillingham v Milton Keynes Dons 13/8 Boyles -1

Bournemouth v Accrington 4/1 Coral -1

Barnet v Burton 15/8 Coral -1

Lincoln v Northampton 6/4 Ladbrokes -1

Notts County v Rotherham 7/2 Ladbrokes -1

Lots of draws. Hit taken.

New bank: 36.32
Bets: 205
Wins: 75
Profit/Loss: +21.32

dsmythy

There's a few bets coming up that are a fair bit off the percentage given by the odds compilers for each team. I presume it's related to the fact that the season is entering it's closing stages. The system I am using doesn't take into account a team's end of season motivation. So from here on whenever I back a team who I feel have nothing to play for the league I will halve the size of my bet. I'll indicate where I do this. Come the final four games in the football league and last three in the prem I will not even consider any games where one or both teams may have nothing to play for. If the half sized bets reach -3 in loss then I will bring that forward and not consider those types of games from then onwards.

dsmythy

This Saturday

Bolton v Aston Villa 6/4 Ladbrokes

Birmingham v Liverpool 4/1 Ladbrokes

Middlesbrough v Crystal Palace 5/1 Boyles

0.5 bets

Portsmouth v Blackburn 5/2 Victor Chandler

Stoke v Hull 4/5 Ladbrokes

dsmythy

dsmythy wrote: »

Bolton v Aston Villa 6/4 Ladbrokes +1.50

Birmingham v Liverpool 4/1 Ladbrokes -1.00

Middlesbrough v Crystal Palace 5/1 Boyles -1.00

0.5 bets

Portsmouth v Blackburn 5/2 Victor Chandler -0.50

Stoke v Hull 4/5 Ladbrokes +0.40

New bank: 35.72
Bets: 210
Wins: 77
Profit/Loss: +20.72

<<0.5 bets: -0.10>>

dsmythy

Well i couldn't back the last month of the season because of time restraints so the final result of the season was set a while back.

Bets: 210
Wins: 77
Strike rate: 36.67%

Units bet: 209
Profit: +20.72
ROI: +9.91%

Until next year!

dsmythy

/blows off dust

Another year for bets arrives. Hopefully a successful one for you all.

Same story applies with this year for me as mentioned on the first post. This time rather than quitting at -15 I will quit if i hit -12. What can I say, funds are tighter No bets for me this weekend however.

Last year i mentioned who I thought was over and under rated with mixed results.

I'll have a go this time too for the fun of it.

Underestimated:

Wolves
Leicester
Bristol City
Sheffield United
Brentford

Overestimated:

Newcastle
Reading
Brighton
Gillingham
Crewe

EDIT: Replaced Walsall with Brentford in the underestimated section following transfer news.

dsmythy

First bets. Home outsiders popping up.

Stoke v Tottenham 13/5 Ladbrokes

Wigan v Chelsea 14/1 Boyles

Fulham v Manchester United 11/2 BlueSquare

Manchester City v Liverpool 7/5 William Hill

Sheffield Wednesday v Brighton 5/6 Paddy Power

dsmythy

dsmythy wrote: »

Stoke v Tottenham 13/5 Ladbrokes -1.00

Wigan v Chelsea 14/1 Boyles -1.00

Fulham v Manchester United 11/2 BlueSquare -1.00

Manchester City v Liverpool 7/5 William Hill +1.40

Sheffield Wednesday v Brighton 5/6 Paddy Power +0.83

New bank: 11.23
Bets: 5
Wins: 2
Profit/Loss: -0.77

dsmythy

This weekend, outsider city.

Blackburn v Arsenal 5/1 Paddy Power

Blackpool v Fulham 11/5 William Hill

Liverpool v West Brom 15/1 Paddy Power

Sunderland v Manchester City 7/2 Paddy Power

Ipswich v Bristol City 4/1 Boyle Sports

Brentford v Rochdale 10/11 Victor Chandler

Brighton v Walsall 7/2 Ladbrokes

dsmythy

dsmythy wrote: »

This weekend, outsider city.

Blackburn v Arsenal 5/1 Paddy Power -1.00

Blackpool v Fulham 11/5 William Hill -1.00

Liverpool v West Brom 15/1 Paddy Power -1.00

Sunderland v Manchester City 7/2 Paddy Power +3.50

Ipswich v Bristol City 4/1 Boyle Sports -1.00

Brentford v Rochdale 10/11 Victor Chandler -1.00

Brighton v Walsall 7/2 Ladbrokes -1.00

Blackpool nearly have their dream first home game.
I'll be surprised if another team is 15/1 at Anfield.
A late Sunderland penalty saves us from a weekend wipeout. We take another loss nonetheless.

New bank: 8.73
Bets: 12
Wins: 3
Profit/Loss: -3.27

dsmythy

Three bets this weekend

Oldham v Bristol Rovers 7/2 Coral

Southampton v Rochdale 8/15 William Hill

Bradford v Port Vale 17/10 William Hill

dsmythy

dsmythy wrote: »

Three bets this weekend

Oldham v Bristol Rovers 7/2 Coral -1.00

Southampton v Rochdale 8/15 William Hill -1.00

Bradford v Port Vale 17/10 William Hill -1.00

Three losses. Poor start as our bank runs low. Could be a quick one this season

New bank: 5.73
Bets: 15
Wins: 3
Profit/Loss: -6.27

dsmythy

I'm changing the loss I'm able to take to 15 units as it was last season. An increase of 3 units to the original bank this time around. The only top up it will be getting So bank is 8.73

6 bets

Everton v Manchester United 7/2 Betpack

West Ham v Chelsea 10/1 Victor Chandler

Cardiff v Hull 11/2 Victor Chandler

Portsmouth v Ipswich 2/1 Boyles

Rochdale v Walsall 11/4 Victor Chandler

Sheffield Wednesday v Carlisle 4/5 Victor Chandler

dsmythy

dsmythy wrote: »

I'm changing the loss I'm able to take to 15 units as it was last season. An increase of 3 units to the original bank this time around. The only top up it will be getting So bank is 8.73

6 bets

Everton v Manchester United 7/2 Betpack -1.00

West Ham v Chelsea 10/1 Victor Chandler -1.00

Cardiff v Hull 11/2 Victor Chandler -1.00

Portsmouth v Ipswich 2/1 Boyles -1.00

Rochdale v Walsall 11/4 Victor Chandler -1.00

Sheffield Wednesday v Carlisle 4/5 Victor Chandler -1.00

Not good at all. It leaves us with 2 units to bet so two more losses and our bank is kaput.

New bank: 2.73
Bets: 21
Wins: 3
Profit/Loss: -12.27

dsmythy

Could be the last three bets of the season here depending on results. Takes us marginally over the 15 bank but only by 0.27 units so ill forgive myself this indulgence

All homes

Bristol City v Watford 6/5 Victor Chandler

Hull v Derby 23/20 Victor Chandler

Leicester v Cardiff 13/8 William Hill

dsmythy

dsmythy wrote: »

Bristol City v Watford 6/5 Victor Chandler -1.00

Hull v Derby 23/20 Victor Chandler +1.15

Leicester v Cardiff 13/8 William Hill +1.63

A profit last night but we are still on fumes.

New bank: 4.51
Bets: 24
Wins: 5
Profit/Loss: -10.49

fkiely

Well done on last night, love to see those last throw of the dice bets working out.

dsmythy

Another barrel scraping bank busting set of weekend bets.

Wigan v Manchester City 4/1 Paddy Power

Dagenham & Redbridge v Bristol Rovers 21/10 Victor Chandler

Plymouth v Sheffield Wednesday 13/8 Stan James

Bradford v Gillingham 13/8 SkyBet

Chesterfield v Cheltenham 5/6 William Hill

dsmythy

dsmythy wrote: »

Another barrel scraping bank busting set of weekend bets.

Wigan v Manchester City 4/1 Paddy Power -1.00

Dagenham & Redbridge v Bristol Rovers 21/10 Victor Chandler +2.10

Plymouth v Sheffield Wednesday 13/8 Stan James -1.00

Bradford v Gillingham 13/8 SkyBet +1.63

Chesterfield v Cheltenham 5/6 William Hill +0.83

New bank: 7.07
Bets: 29
Wins: 8
Profit/Loss: -7.93

dsmythy

Mega betting weekend. Mostly outsiders so we are at risk of a bust.

Manchester City v Chelsea 13/5 Victor Chandler

Blackpool v Blackburn 9/4 Betfred

West Ham v Tottenham 11/4 Paddy Power

Bolton v Manchester United 7/1 Stan James

Norwich v Hull 3/1 Paddy Power

Reading v Barnsley 4/1 BlueSquare

Sheffield Wednesday v Southampton 6/4 William Hill

Lincoln v Stevenage 21/10 Bet365

Torquay v Macclesfield 6/1 Victor Chandler

dsmythy

dsmythy wrote: »

Manchester City v Chelsea 13/5 Victor Chandler +2.60

Blackpool v Blackburn 9/4 Betfred -1.00

West Ham v Tottenham 11/4 Paddy Power +2.75

Bolton v Manchester United 7/1 Stan James -1.00

Norwich v Hull 3/1 Paddy Power +3.00

Reading v Barnsley 4/1 BlueSquare -1.00

Sheffield Wednesday v Southampton 6/4 William Hill -1.00

Lincoln v Stevenage 21/10 Bet365 -1.00

Torquay v Macclesfield 6/1 Victor Chandler +6.00

Pity Bolton couldn't hold on and we would be well into profit territory but who's complaining after where we were a couple of weeks back.

New bank: 16.42
Bets: 38
Wins: 12
Profit/Loss: +1.42

dsmythy

8 bets for midweek. Hopefully avoid a crash back to the bottom :eek:

Derby v Middlesbrough 11/5 Ladbrokes

Portsmouth v Bristol City 3/1 Paddy Power

Brighton v Brentford 4/1 Ladbrokes

Charlton v MK Dons 6/5 Victor Chandler

Rochdale v Huddersfield 6/4 William Hill

Sheffield Wednesday v Oldham 19/20 Victor Chandler

Hereford v Stevenage 12/5 Victor Chandler

Northampton v Chesterfield 2/1 BlueSquare

EDIT: Took out Notts County as a bet. Somehow missed the fact that Lee Hughes is out for them.

dsmythy

dsmythy wrote: »

Derby v Middlesbrough 11/5 Ladbrokes -1.00

Portsmouth v Bristol City 3/1 Paddy Power -1.00

Brighton v Brentford 4/1 Ladbrokes -1.00

Charlton v MK Dons 6/5 Victor Chandler +1.20

Rochdale v Huddersfield 6/4 William Hill -1.00

Sheffield Wednesday v Oldham 19/20 Victor Chandler -1.00

Hereford v Stevenage 12/5 Victor Chandler -1.00

Northampton v Chesterfield 2/1 BlueSquare +2.00

I took Notts County out and they go and win at 4/1. Go figure. We dip back into minus figures.

New bank: 13.62
Bets: 46
Wins: 14
Profit/Loss: -1.38

dsmythy

Just another weekend...

Tottenham v Aston Villa 1/1 Boyle Sports

West Ham v Fulham 11/8 Betfred

Ipswich v Leeds 11/4 Ladbrokes

Leicester v Scunthorpe 5/6 Ladbrokes

Preston v Reading 7/4 Victor Chandler

Sheffield United v Watford 11/8 William Hill

Tranmere v Brighton 11/4 Victor Chandler

Chesterfield v Crewe 5/6 Paddy Power

dsmythy

dsmythy wrote: »

Just another weekend...

Tottenham v Aston Villa 1/1 Boyle Sports +1.00

West Ham v Fulham 11/8 Betfred -1.00

Ipswich v Leeds 11/4 Ladbrokes -1.00

Leicester v Scunthorpe 5/6 Ladbrokes +0.83

Preston v Reading 7/4 Victor Chandler -1.00

Sheffield United v Watford 11/8 William Hill -1.00

Tranmere v Brighton 11/4 Victor Chandler -1.00

Chesterfield v Crewe 5/6 Paddy Power -1.00

Too many draws...

New bank: 9.45
Bets: 54
Wins: 16
Profit/Loss: -5.55

dsmythy

International weekend! I don't bet on them though...

Brentford v Oldham 6/5 Boyle Sports

Hartlepool v Peterborough 9/4 Victor Chandler

Walsall v Exeter 13/8 BlueSquare

Barnet v Bradford 2/1 Victor Chandler

Hereford v Port Vale 7/2 Victor Chandler

Morecambe v Shrewsbury 15/8 William Hill

Rotherham v Stevenage 23/20 Victor Chandler