The Soccer Gambling Superthread [may contain scores]

Headshot

Headshot wrote: »

ive went for this tomorrow

African Nations Matches Mozambique v Benin
12-01-2010 18:30
Over/Under 2.5 Goals
Over 2.5 Goals @ 5/4

African Nations Matches Egypt v Nigeria
12-01-2010 16:00
Over/Under 2.5 Goals
Over 2.5 Goals @ 5/4

stake 10

worth a craic, only a tenner

my gambling is really going well at the moment, touch wood it continues

go on ya good thing

RasTa

Boooo one bet that comes in ruins another. C'mon the over 3.5 as well.

RasTa

Liverpool injury news

Gerrard 2 weeks
yossi 3-4 weeks
torres 6 weeks

Stoke 16/5 and Liverpool 10/11 atm. I'm guessing better on betfair. I just lumped on 16/5.

Stoke at home as well.

eagle eye

I don't like it at all, Stoke are very hard to catch right. I'd fancy Liverpool or the draw in that one but I wouldn't bet on it tbh.

eagle eye

Going on the overs again for the first game in the African Nations Cup today. Algeria conceded 3 and Mali 4 in the first round of games.
over 2.5 at 2.18, over 3.5 at 3.95 and over 4.5 at 8.4.

Come on the goal fest!:D

Headshot

RasTa wrote: »

Liverpool injury news

Gerrard 2 weeks
yossi 3-4 weeks
torres 6 weeks

Stoke 16/5 and Liverpool 10/11 atm. I'm guessing better on betfair. I just lumped on 16/5.

Stoke at home as well.

yap I also got stoke at 16/5

put 20 on it

Bundesliga on tomorrow now, may have a few bets on it

MementoMori

Came accross this and thought some of the punters might be interested

Basically NBM posted the first goalscorer odds for tonight's Liverpool Spurs game and it looks like there is a couple of errors in the market.

Benayoun at 11/1 is madness as he isn't even remotely in contention of starting as he's out injured for approximately another month.
Pacheco as 3rd most likely Liverpool scorer also looks badly-priced as I would expect him to have difficulty making the bench - nevermind starting. I said this in the match thread yesterday before I knew of the odds if people want to check. Also Babel at 11/1 looks wrongly priced as well given the fact that he is probably unlikely to start combined with his goal-scoring form so far this season. Also it's unlikely that Keane and Crouch will both start and they are priced as Spurs 2nd and 3rd most likely scorers. Given all these factors I do feel there is value in this market. First goalscorer isn't the easiest market in the world but all of this poor pricing surely must hand some value to the punter.

By keeping an eye out for early rumours of the team sheet combined with the inaccuracies in the market I think bettors could tilt the advantage in their favour.

NekkidBibleMan wrote: »

Just checking the odds for tonight's game, interesting reading:

First goalscorer
Jermain Defoe 6.5
David Ngog 7
Dirk Kuyt 8
Peter Crouch 7.5
Daniel Pacheco 9
Robbie Keane 8.5
No Goalscorer 8.5
Maxi Rodriguez 10
Ryan Babel 11
Yossi Benayoun 11

- Pacheho our third likeliest to score the first goal? Any word on him in the squad/starting?

- Babel at 11/1? He's not that likely to start, is he?

- Yossi at 11/1? Is he not still injured?

http://www.oddschecker.com/football/...rst-goalscorer

MementoMori wrote: »

Yossi was reported as being out 4-6 weeks last week and Rafa said he was training in a pool yesterday.

I think Pacheco might well not even make the bench. He can't play as a striker up-front, so effectively he's looking at one of the three attacking spots assuming it's 4-2-3-1 [If it's 4-4-2 he's eithe going to be in the support striker role or out wide, so effectively three spots as well]
His competition for these three spots is Kuyt, Riera, Babel, Aquilani, Maxi, and Aurelio. I think the best he can hope for tonight is a sub appearance late on when the game is won.

One thing in Pacheco's favour (and possibly a reason for the odds if he does play) is his free-kick ability - scored a number of crackers from dead-balls for the reserves already this season and at a guess I'd say he's probably the best free-kick merchant in the squad.

Assessing where Babel will go is tricky but I would expect him to be on the sub bench.

Really does seem to be a bit of a distorted market there so could well be some value for seasoned bettors there.

Warper

MementoMori wrote: »

Came accross this and thought some of the punters might be interested

Basically NBM posted the first goalscorer odds for tonight's Liverpool Spurs game and it looks like there is a couple of errors in the market.

Benayoun at 11/1 is madness as he isn't even remotely in contention of starting as he's out injured for approximately another month.
Pacheco as 3rd most likely Liverpool scorer also looks badly-priced as I would expect him to have difficulty making the bench - nevermind starting. I said this in the match thread yesterday before I knew of the odds if people want to check. Also Babel at 11/1 looks wrongly priced as well given the fact that he is probably unlikely to start combined with his goal-scoring form so far this season. Also it's unlikely that Keane and Crouch will both start and they are priced as Spurs 2nd and 3rd most likely scorers. Given all these factors I do feel there is value in this market. First goalscorer isn't the easiest market in the world but all of this poor pricing surely must hand some value to the punter.

By keeping an eye out for early rumours of the team sheet combined with the inaccuracies in the market I think bettors could tilt the advantage in their favour.

No errors in the market. Bookies regularly put players that are injured/unavailable in their markets as they can collect any bets placed from lazy punters that would be unaware of such injuries etc.. Some punters just couldnt be arsed going to back to the shop for the refund if its only for a couple of euros. Also they put in substitutes in their list as if no goal has been scored when the sub goes on the bet is valid. This is great news for the bookie as it gives less time for a goal to go in. If you took out the likes of Pacheco and Benayoun from the market the odds would still be the same for everyone else.

MementoMori

Warper wrote: »

No errors in the market. Bookies regularly put players that are injured/unavailable in their markets as they can collect any bets placed from lazy punters that would be unaware of such injuries etc.. Some punters just couldnt be arsed going to back to the shop for the refund if its only for a couple of euros. Also they put in substitutes in their list as if no goal has been scored when the sub goes on the bet is valid. This is great news for the bookie as it gives less time for a goal to go in. If you took out the likes of Pacheco and Benayoun from the market the odds would still be the same for everyone else.

I get what you're saying to an extent but in this case you can definately take Benayoun out. Pacheco and Babel are also fairlyy doubtful to start (and if Babel does start he certainly hasnt shown the form to be 11/1 first goalscorer this season) Also only one of Crouch or Keane is likely to start. Similarly only one of Kuyt or Maxi are likely to start.

That's pretty much five out of the ten highest odd options for first goalscorer out of the running. Surely all of that couldn't be accurately reflected in the remaining prices. There's also the fact that sometimes word of the team-sheet gets released via the internet which could potentially hand those quick off the mark an extra advantage.

For instance if the five players I named don't make the team you could simply put money on Defoe, Dave, Kuyt, Crouch, no goalscorer and plus one other and still turn a profit. Obviously not a dead cert but looks to be decent value there.

Jermain Defoe 6.5
David Ngog 7
Dirk Kuyt 8
Peter Crouch 7.5
Daniel Pacheco 9
Robbie Keane 8.5
No Goalscorer 8.5
Maxi Rodriguez 10
Ryan Babel 11
Yossi Benayoun 11

mike65

So Carra to open the scoring then!

Handsome Bob

Did a Lucky 15 + a €1 acc of some of BettingZone's tips today. First one is up which was Piquionne to score 1st, good start I tell you. Now all I need is QPR to beat W'Brom, Stockport to beat Charlton and Fabregas to score 1st. :pac:

everdead.ie

great odds on spurs to miss another penalty today 14-1 I think

3hn2givr7mx1sc

Have a €5 accumulator on:
Arsenal(-1) v Burnley
West Ham v Bolton
Wolves v Man United(-1)
Sligo Rovers v Shamrock Rovers
Almeria v Barcelona
Real Madrid v Sevilla

Return around €85.

Handsome Bob

LZ5by5 wrote: »

Did a Lucky 15 + a €1 acc of some of BettingZone's tips today. First one is up which was Piquionne to score 1st, good start I tell you. Now all I need is QPR to beat W'Brom, Stockport to beat Charlton and Fabregas to score 1st. :pac:

Gah, Stockport let me down. Still won €172 though.

Handsome Bob

€5 treble off to a good start thanks to

Keane

.

3hn2givr7mx1sc

LZ5by5 wrote: »

€5 treble off to a good start thanks to

Keane

.

Who else do you have?

JimsAlterEgo

any one know the best site to get odds on a booking or a sending off for a specific player?

Handsome Bob

baz2009 wrote: »

Who else do you have?

Ha, sorry I only saw this now. It was a bust I'm afraid, I had Carew and Torres in a treble with Keane.

Gillington

JimsAlterEgo wrote: »

any one know the best site to get odds on a booking or a sending off for a specific player?

Oddschecker shows you bookies that do these bets and who has he best odds.

Here's the Liverpool game later

http://www.oddschecker.com/football/english/premier-league/liverpool-v-portsmouth/to-be-shown-a-card

Headshot

what iv on for today

1
Football Matches
Spanish La Liga Matches
Real Zaragoza v Valencia
27th of Mar 2010 9:00 pm
Double Chance
Valencia And Draw @ 1/3

2
Football Matches
Premier League Matches
Bolton v Man Utd
27th of Mar 2010 5:30 pm
Win-Draw-Win
Man Utd @ 4/9

3
Football Matches
Premier League Matches
Wolves v Everton
27th of Mar 2010 3:00 pm
Draw No Bet
Everton @ 2/5

4
Football Matches
Premier League Matches
Tottenham v Portsmouth
27th of Mar 2010 3:00 pm
Alternative Handicaps
Tottenham (-1.0) @ 4/7

5
Football Matches
German Bundesliga Matches
Bayern Munich v VfB Stuttgart
27th of Mar 2010 2:30 pm
Win-Draw-Win
Bayern Munich @ 8/15

3hn2givr7mx1sc

€5 accumulator:

Chelsea v Villa - Draw
Hull v Fulham
Tottenham(-1.0) v Pompey
Birmingham v Arsenal(-1.0)
Wolves v Everton
Bolton v United(-1.0)

Potential Return around €1,030.

Handsome Bob

€10 Acc:

Birmingham
Ipswich
Derby
Plymouth

28/03/2010
15:38 Bet Stake Liverpool v Sunderland - Liverpool @ 11/2 (-3.0) -€10.00

Come on.

Luap

I've done

Newcastle 4/6
Man City -1 5/6
Porto -1 1/1

Tenner on that

The Volt

11/2 (at least) for 4 aways with Paddy Power

Man Utd
Rangers
Barnsley
Livingston

Frisbee

Inter + Barca Enhanced double @ 5/2

Sol Campbell to be booked @ 23/10

Gael Clichy to be booked @ 23/10

Barcelona To Win 3-2 @ 22/1

Arsenal HT / Barcelona FT @ 25/1

Penalty to be awarded @ 15/8 (never usually bet on these but with Campbell possibly on the pitch it's a huge possibility)

Frisbee

Gone with this today:

Spanish La Liga Matches Sevilla v Tenerife
03-04-2010 21:00
Win-Draw-Win
Sevilla @ 2/5

Premier League Matches Sunderland v Tottenham
03-04-2010 15:00
Win-Draw-Win
Sunderland @ 5/2

Premier League Matches Stoke v Hull
03-04-2010 15:00
Win-Draw-Win
Stoke @ 4/5

Premier League Matches Bolton v Aston Villa
03-04-2010 15:00
Win-Draw-Win
Aston Villa @ 6/4

As an accumulator returns just over 21/1.

Headshot

Frisbee wrote: »

Gone with this today:



As an accumulator returns just over 21/1.

looking well

iv gone for these

Enhanced Treble Enhanced Treble
03-04-2010 17:30
Enhanced Treble
Man City to beat Burnley, Barcelona to beat Ath Bilbao and Seville to beat Tenerife @ 2/1

Premier League Matches Burnley v Man City
03-04-2010 17:30
Insurebet First Goalscorer
C Tevez @ 21/10

RandolphEsq

Frisbee wrote: »

Gone with this today:



As an accumulator returns just over 21/1.

So far so good!

Vurnon San Benito

Just Sevilla now and you'll have a nice Saturday.

Burnley on their way down it seems..

Headshot

Frisbee wrote: »

Gone with this today:



As an accumulator returns just over 21/1.

get in there frisbee, that was some win

what was the stake if you done mind me asking ?

Headshot wrote: »

looking well

iv gone for these

Enhanced Treble Enhanced Treble
03-04-2010 17:30
Enhanced Treble
Man City to beat Burnley, Barcelona to beat Ath Bilbao and Seville to beat Tenerife @ 2/1

nice one, a very good weekend so far

im up 175 euro so far, so touch wood my other bets come in

Handsome Bob

Bah, Bolton let me down for a grand. Had them alongside Wrexham, Chesterfield and Sunderland.

3hn2givr7mx1sc

My bet for today(if the bookies is open):
B'ham v L'pool - Draw
Fulham v Wigan - Draw
Everton v West Ham
Racing Santander v Real Madrid

Dunno what the odds are and don't wanna know, I'm trying a new tactic of not finding my potential winnings.:P

Frisbee

Headshot wrote: »

get in there frisbee, that was some win

what was the stake if you done mind me asking ?

5 euro so 105 winnings.

Plus won 35 on Chelsea beating Utd.

Plus won 40 during the week between Ibra and Cardozo getting two goals each

Headshot

Frisbee wrote: »

5 euro so 105 winnings.

Plus won 35 on Chelsea beating Utd.

Plus won 40 during the week between Ibra and Cardozo getting two goals each

greedy bastard

well done

Frisbee

Headshot wrote: »

greedy bastard

well done

Yeah was a great week alright.

It will all be gone soon enough I'm sure.

Morzadec

Was looking at the 'to qualify' markets there.

Now I'm not a United fan by any means but I think they are firm favourites to knock out Bayern. PP has them at 10/11 and Bayern at 4/5 which really surprised me.

Considering lumping on United, Barca, and Inter to qualify. 100e returns 240e. Bad bet/ Good Bet? Is there any value in Barca and Inter as they're both massively odds-on?

ANy other bets that anyone fancies?

3hn2givr7mx1sc

I'm going with Barca(-1.0) and Inter double tonight.

Frisbee

Threw down a fair few, last one is for the craic, can't see it happening.

Champions League Matches Barcelona v Arsenal
06-04-2010 19:45
Half-Time/Full-Time
Arsenal / Barcelona @ 18/1

Champions League Matches Barcelona v Arsenal
06-04-2010 19:45
Correct Score
Barcelona 4 - 2 @ 25/1

Champions League Matches Barcelona v Arsenal
06-04-2010 19:45
Anytime Goalscorer
E Eboue @ 10/1

Champions League Matches Barcelona v Arsenal
06-04-2010 19:45
Over/Under 4.5 Goals
Over 4.5 Goals @ 5/2

Champions League Matches Barcelona v Arsenal
06-04-2010 19:45
To Score in Both Halves
Arsenal @ 11/2

Champions League Matches Barcelona v Arsenal
06-04-2010 19:45
Scorecast
N Bendtner, Barcelona 3 - 1 @ 100/1

Luap

Have gone with:

Inter Milan v CSKA

Ht score 0-0 6/4

Liam O

Arsenal at 15/2, however unlikely, is well worth a punt imo

UnitedIrishman

4/1 treble of Bordeaux (have to go for it after losing last week), United (have to win at home to go through) and Barelona looking very tasty to me.

Daemos

Frisbee wrote: »

Threw down a fair few, last one is for the craic, can't see it happening.

Champions League Matches Barcelona v Arsenal
06-04-2010 19:45
Scorecast
N Bendtner, Barcelona 3 - 1 @ 100/1

Can you see it happening now?

Frisbee

DaPoolRulz wrote: »

Can you see it happening now?

Nope, can't see Messi not getting a few more... :pac:

3hn2givr7mx1sc

How much do you have on it, Frisbee?

Frisbee

baz2009 wrote: »

How much do you have on it, Frisbee?

Only €3

Daemos

Aw now that's just cruel. Unlucky Frisbee

Frisbee

Gay

3hn2givr7mx1sc

Awh, that's gotta hurt Frisbee.

I'm gonna be lumping on Barca to beat Inter.

Frisbee

Went with a double on this tonight:

Europa League Matches Atletico Madrid v Valencia
08-04-2010 20:05
Anytime Goalscorer
D Forlan @ 5/6

Europa League Matches Liverpool v Benfica
08-04-2010 20:05
Anytime Goalscorer
O Cardozo @ 17/10

Returns just under 4/1