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In_tuition's weekly golf selection

124678

Comments

  • Closed Accounts Posts: 317 ✭✭tiptap


    what a round by sabitini, STUNNING


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 1,242 ✭✭✭In_tuition


    tiptap wrote: »
    what a round by sabitini, STUNNING

    Yeah stunningly sickening for me! :D

    I gave him a special mention in my Sony Open preview above and expected pretty decent odds on him :mad:


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 1,242 ✭✭✭In_tuition


    In_tuition wrote: »
    Watney & D Johnson both posted -6 for their round today :), 1 shot behind the current leader

    Both players finish the event on -13.

    Nick Watney will be disappointed with his putting. But he's not one to rule out just yet.

    Johnson was T-3 for birdies made, 1st in driving distance and 3rd in putts per gir. His accuracy is continuing to halt his progress. Hopefully he can resolve his real only issue sooner rather than later.

    €20 loss on the event isn't too bad, Watney traded at 8's after day 1.

    It's been on my mind for a few weeks that I may begin to start back to lay (if that's the right phrase) on the golf. I don't have much experience of laying other than football but I do have decent enough knowledge of it so I might give it a trial period over the next couple of months so stay tuned :)


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 1,242 ✭✭✭In_tuition


    My early advice is to get on Marc Leishman at 100/1 with Ladbrokes. I've just had some of it some the price might not be available for much longer.

    Too big of a price.


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 1,988 ✭✭✭SirDelboy18


    Im thinking Goosen e/w... thoughts?


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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 857 ✭✭✭thedini


    In_tuition wrote: »
    My early advice is to get on Marc Leishman at 100/1 with Ladbrokes. I've just had some of it some the price might not be available for much longer.

    Too big of a price.
    119/1 with betfair.


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 1,242 ✭✭✭In_tuition


    Im thinking Goosen e/w... thoughts?

    3 starts here, first back in 2003 where he T-20 (-7), returning the following year to post his best finish, T-10 (-10), came back the year after (2005) and finished T-56 (+3).

    Hasn't played here since. Decided to return to the belly putter for the first few events on his season this term but he hasn't been out of place, he was 2nd in the SBS for putts per greens-in-regulation and 4th in putts per round and T-5 in birdies made.

    He returned to the SBS this week after missing out for the past 4 years (previously had a decent record at the course) and it showed by a steady finish of -17 and 3 final rounds in the 60's.

    Is that good enough? Perhaps, if you read my preview I said that last years winner Zach Johnson didn't set Oahu alight in previous attempts. Goosen's isn't all that bad plus he made quite a few birdies this week and his putts per round stat could definitely see him near the top of the leaderboard next weekend.

    Hope this helps.


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 1,242 ✭✭✭In_tuition


    thedini wrote: »
    119/1 with betfair.

    Thanks.

    When I begin to bet on betfair once again, I will quote their prices.

    If someone decides to follow my selection they'll be fully aware of where they can obtain the best price.

    But recently for me I've decided to stick with the firms for my golf selections, purely a personal preference, so whatever price I place a bet on I will post it up here :cool:

    Thanks for informing others, appreciate it.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,262 ✭✭✭Juwwi


    In the paddypower sale enhanced odds today they had Harrington at 5/1
    to win a major in 2010.

    do u think that was a good bet?


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 1,242 ✭✭✭In_tuition


    This was Leishman's first competitive event on the PGA Tour (2009). He finished T-12 and although he produced a great account of himself, perhaps nerves overcame him as his putting was weak(still made 15 birdies).

    He recorded 8 top 25 finishes (3 top 10) for the remainder of his year, including a T-2 at the BMW Champhionship - 3rd leg of the Fed-Ex Cup play-off's), albeit 8 shots behind the winner Tiger Woods, but 5 shots clear of Sergio Garcia & Padraig Harrington and the rest of a top-class international field. He was T-10 in putts for this event and carded 17 birdies.This is only 4 months ago.

    He didn't perform too well in his next 3 events but for a young man 28 events in your rookie year has to take it's toll.

    Given his good start to his PGA career in this event last season, and those 8 top 25 finishes, I'm selecting him as my main bet this week. I don't doubt he has improve more over his off-season and hopefully he can get off to another flying this time round.

    Marc Leishman 100/1 (Ladbrokes) €20 win

    1 more selection to follow in the coming days.


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  • Closed Accounts Posts: 1,242 ✭✭✭In_tuition


    robbie1977 wrote: »
    In the paddypower sale enhanced odds today they had Harrington at 5/1
    to win a major in 2010.

    do u think that was a good bet?

    Well he won't win the US Open.

    The last time the PGA Championship visited Whistling Straits he finished +1 (T-45)(78 on his final round - although most of the field shot over par in the final round). I think this is his best chance of winning this year, it's a links type course, very undulating greens and can be very windy.

    I wouldn't be taking short prices on a golfer at this stage of the year. If I where you I would put by €5 a week from now till the PGA and place the lot on an outright win on Harrington.


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 1,242 ✭✭✭In_tuition


    My second main selection this week in the above event is Luke Donald.

    Winless on the PGA Tour since 2006, but recaptured his fine form last season following injury by carding 6 top 10 finishes on the PGA Tour including T-2 at Harbour Town in the Verizon Heritage (although 10 shots behind the winner) and T-5 at The Open. T-10 in the BMW Championship (Fed-Ex Cup play-off's) and a few weeks later securing a further 2 top 10 finishes on the European Tour.

    He has played the Sony Open 6 out of the last 8 seasons. On his first attempt he T-13, he followed that up the following year with a missed but, but since then has carded 4 top 25 finishes, he best result being in 2007 where he T-2 on -13.

    In this event last season he T-3 for putts per round and carded 19 birdies overall, 11 bogeys made sure he taking home the title. In 2007 in only made 6 bogeys (falling short of the winner by 1 single shot).

    He finished 4th for putts per round, 3rd for putts between 10'-15', 3rd in approaches from 50-125 yards and 1st in sand saves (78 sand bunkers here) on the PGA Tour in 2009.

    I think Donald's form and stats speak for themselves and I fully believe I've selected a little beauty in him this week and I think it's matter of time before we see him crowned a champion again.

    Luke Donald 50/1 (boylesports) €25 win

    As always all the best to everyone else having a bet this week cool.gif

    Please feel to add your thoughts and selections.


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 1,242 ✭✭✭In_tuition


    In_tuition wrote: »
    My early advice is to get on Marc Leishman at 100/1 with Ladbrokes. I've just had some of it some the price might not be available for much longer.

    Too big of a price.

    66/1 now with Ladbrokes, hope some of you nabbed the 100's.

    Latest betting here


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 341 ✭✭Scoobydooo


    Great stuff in tuition, i enjoy reading your previews and put a few euro each way on Leishman think he has a good chance


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 1,242 ✭✭✭In_tuition


    Scoobydooo wrote: »
    Great stuff in tuition, i enjoy reading your previews and put a few euro each way on Leishman think he has a good chance

    Thanks Scoobydooo, appreciate the comments mate :)

    All the best with the bet


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 13 Arazi1


    In_tuition wrote: »
    Thanks Scoobydooo, appreciate the comments mate :)

    All the best with the bet
    In_tuition wrote: »
    My second main selection this week in the above event is Luke Donald.

    Winless on the PGA Tour since 2006, but recaptured his fine form last season following injury by carding 6 top 10 finishes on the PGA Tour including T-2 at Harbour Town in the Verizon Heritage (although 10 shots behind the winner) and T-5 at The Open. T-10 in the BMW Championship (Fed-Ex Cup play-off's) and a few weeks later securing a further 2 top 10 finishes on the European Tour.

    He has played the Sony Open 6 out of the last 8 seasons. On his first attempt he T-13, he followed that up the following year with a missed but, but since then has carded 4 top 25 finishes, he best result being in 2007 where he T-2 on -13.

    In this event last season he T-3 for putts per round and carded 19 birdies overall, 11 bogeys made sure he taking home the title. In 2007 in only made 6 bogeys (falling short of the winner by 1 single shot).

    He finished 4th for putts per round, 3rd for putts between 10'-15', 3rd in approaches from 50-125 yards and 1st in sand saves (78 sand bunkers here) on the PGA Tour in 2009.

    I think Donald's form and stats speak for themselves and I fully believe I've selected a little beauty in him this week and I think it's matter of time before we see him crowned a champion again.

    Luke Donald 50/1 (boylesports) €25 win

    As always all the best to everyone else having a bet this week cool.gif

    Please feel to add your thoughts and selections.

    What Chance do you give to Gay - he won the Horizon last year, and has smart stats off the tee and from bunkers (and there are many) and on the greens. Short hitter by todays standards but this course should suit. proved he liked it last year with 4 solid rounds to finish 5th.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,144 ✭✭✭Onecoolcookie


    Arazi1 wrote: »
    What Chance do you give to Gay - he won the Horizon last year, and has smart stats off the tee and from bunkers (and there are many) and on the greens. Short hitter by todays standards but this course should suit. proved he liked it last year with 4 solid rounds to finish 5th.

    In my opinion I think Gay has a very good chance but I'd like to hear what in tuition thinks aswell, also think steve stricker could be worth a bet he's in good form and has 2 wins from his last 9 PGA tour starts


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 1,242 ✭✭✭In_tuition


    Arazi1 wrote: »
    What Chance do you give to Gay - he won the Horizon last year, and has smart stats off the tee and from bunkers (and there are many) and on the greens. Short hitter by todays standards but this course should suit. proved he liked it last year with 4 solid rounds to finish 5th.

    From a personal point of view he putted well last time round, prior to that he carded -1 and +1 in the 2 previous starts here before last year and in those starts and one before that he made 13 bogeys, 10 bogeys and 10 bogeys in those 3 events.

    He made 18 birdies here last year, his best in 10 starts here. He best scorecard is -11, once again coming last year, that score would have only won 2 Sony Open's since 1971 and none in the past 10 years. He needs to improve, a lot, to be major player this time round and giving his past record with bogeys here I think he is a poor bet.


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 1,988 ✭✭✭SirDelboy18


    In_tuition wrote: »
    This was Leishman's first competitive event on the PGA Tour (2009). He finished T-12 and although he produced a great account of himself, perhaps nerves overcame him as his putting was weak(still made 15 birdies).

    He recorded 8 top 25 finishes (3 top 10) for the remainder of his year, including a T-2 at the BMW Champhionship - 3rd leg of the Fed-Ex Cup play-off's), albeit 8 shots behind the winner Tiger Woods, but 5 shots clear of Sergio Garcia & Padraig Harrington and the rest of a top-class international field. He was T-10 in putts for this event and carded 17 birdies.This is only 4 months ago.

    He didn't perform too well in his next 3 events but for a young man 28 events in your rookie year has to take it's toll.

    Given his good start to his PGA career in this event last season, and those 8 top 25 finishes, I'm selecting him as my main bet this week. I don't doubt he has improve more over his off-season and hopefully he can get off to another flying this time round.

    Marc Leishman 100/1 (Ladbrokes) €20 win

    1 more selection to follow in the coming days.


    threw 2 quid on him, and then 3 on goosen.... cheers for the tip


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 1,242 ✭✭✭In_tuition


    Couple of extra bets this week for me:

    matchbet.jpg

    joburgopen.jpg

    Just a note to others to show I'm actually betting on these cause some gobsh*te had a few words to say on another site suggesting I don't bet on selections, I can guarantee every one of you I don't waste my time going through my stats every week for a bit of craic :cool:

    Here's my Leishman bet, Donald is on a docket.

    marcleishman.jpg

    My total layout this week is €66 bringing the combined thread total to €372.


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  • Closed Accounts Posts: 2,683 ✭✭✭heavyballs


    In tuition
    never doubted you,
    I'm on Chad Campbell and Tim Clark,also did 2 seperate e/w doubles with Anders Hansen(only found out now he hasn't practised in weeks,due to snow)

    Just a point,not a dig
    Havn't the time to check out stats now but would you not be wary backing against J Leonard on this course as length isn't rewarded which suits him,and he's a decent ball stricker and a great putter in general

    in saying that i hope you get it up this weekend...:D


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 1,242 ✭✭✭In_tuition


    heavyballs wrote: »
    In tuition
    never doubted you,
    I'm on Chad Campbell and Tim Clark,also did 2 seperate e/w doubles with Anders Hansen(only found out now he hasn't practised in weeks,due to snow)

    Just a point,not a dig
    Havn't the time to check out stats now but would you not be wary backing against J Leonard on this course as length isn't rewarded which suits him,and he's a decent ball stricker and a great putter in general

    in saying that i hope you get it up this weekend...:D

    I made a comment about the e/w bet on the other thread, don't take it the wrong way just pointing out my view.

    Listen the Kuchar/Leonard is nailed on. Ok Kuchar has played here 7 times, and missed the cut on 5 occasions but he did T-4 once, don't ask me how!

    Leonard hasn't played here since 1995, his only appearance, where he missed the cut. At least Kuchar has played the course regularly.

    Kuchar played superb last week, missing out by a mere 3 shots. He was T-2 in driving accuracy, 5th in putts per round, T-2 for greens in regulation. For his final scorecard he only carded 1 bogey and 1 double-bogey over the 4 rounds. Remarkable stuff. Add this to the fact Leonard will be rusty on 1st start, expect Kuchar to win this match up cosily.


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 1,242 ✭✭✭In_tuition


    heavyballs wrote: »
    i hope you get it up this weekend...:D

    Thank you very much heavyballs, I appreciate it mate.

    Best of luck to you too, hopefully some of us will be biting our nails come Sunday night.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 13 Arazi1


    Best of luck to you both.
    I see that marc leisman is 10/3 in his 3 ball today versus charles howell and Imada - be interesting?

    What do people think about Stewart Cink to beat angel in the 2 balls today. Angel seemed to be spraying them around a bit on the wide open course last sunday and that could be expensive around this tighter course?

    what does everyone think?


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 1,242 ✭✭✭In_tuition


    Arazi1 wrote: »
    Best of luck to you both.
    I see that marc leisman is 10/3 in his 3 ball today versus charles howell and Imada - be interesting?

    What do people think about Stewart Cink to beat angel in the 2 balls today. Angel seemed to be spraying them around a bit on the wide open course last sunday and that could be expensive around this tighter course?

    what does everyone think?

    Thanks, you too.

    Only back online now so sorry I didn't get chance to respond.


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 1,242 ✭✭✭In_tuition


    And to answer your first question, Leishman isn't in a 3-ball with Howell III & Imada :D


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 13 Arazi1


    correct and right - wrong marc

    It was Turnesa (Marc) and not leisman (marc)

    Paddy Power in GolfSony Hawaiian Open22:20 1st Round 3 Ball - Howell/Imada/Turnesa14th of Jan 2010 10:20 pm3 BallsMarc Turnesa @ 10/3. that marc didnt collect either!


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 2,683 ✭✭✭heavyballs


    In_tuition wrote: »
    I made a comment about the e/w bet on the other thread, don't take it the wrong way just pointing out my view.

    Listen the Kuchar/Leonard is nailed on. Ok Kuchar has played here 7 times, and missed the cut on 5 occasions but he did T-4 once, don't ask me how!

    .
    well they both missed the cut,unlucky,Kuchar has to have the flattest swing on tour,it's muck,
    I take your point re my each way bets but a comment on your match accum(keep in mind i'm not trying to get stuck into ya as i do read and respect your views on golf betting)
    If i really fancied Kuchar in the 2 ball i would do a single bet instead of a four timer(your thoughs)
    As we've discussed before a lot boils down to how the putter behaves on any given day so picking winners out is actually a lot harder than people think
    I personally think the only way to make consistant money on golf is to lay favs from the start(bar Tiger)or back and lay outsiders in running

    On a sidenote Chad is nicely placed for me this week,fingers crossed,
    Look at his stats ,he's playing very well after a terrible start


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 1,242 ✭✭✭In_tuition


    My thoughts for this event:

    There will be 5 rounds of golf next weekend (starts Wednesday) with the final round being played at the PGA West (Palmer Course - played twice).

    The PGA West (Palmer Course) stretches just short of 7000 yards (6950). The par 4's are long, tough and the course 97 bunkers. Water comes into play on 10 of the 18 holes. It's one of the easiest courses on the PGA Tour.

    There's a number of past winners in the field, they include Chad Campbell, Charley Hoffman, Mike Weir, Justin Leonard & last years winner Pat Perez (-33).

    The odds of winning the Hope is better than any other full field event because only 128 are in the field, 384 amateurs will accompany them.

    Top 70 professionals and ties will play Sunday.

    In the 50 years of this event over $50 million has been raised for local charities.

    The last 11 winners of the Bob Hope have averaged -15 on the par 5's.

    This event features no players within the world's top 30.

    Tim Clark has recorded 2 top-10 finishes from 3 starts in this event, he tied 2nd in 2005 and T-5 here last year. Played decent is his first event of the year this week so expect him to challenge.

    Ryuji Imada has 2 top-20 finishes to his name here, he finished T-34 (-22) here last year, another who should give a good account of himself in this event.

    Jeff Quinney tied 4th here in 2007, shot 3 rounds in the 60's in Hawaii this week, another to keep on the right side of.

    Experience usually tells in these kind of events, those with a long track record at the Bob Hope usually contend. Only 1 player (Charley Hoffman 2007) has emerged victorious in his first start in the event since 1986.

    Since 1984 the champion has averaged winning on his 7th start in the Bob Hope.

    John Senden finished 1st in par 5 scoring on the PGA Tour in 2009 (-142). This will be his 9th start in this event, he has recorded 3 top 10 finishes, T-9 (2009), T-5 (2006) & T-6 (2005).

    Senden made 7 top 10 finishes on the PGA Tour in 2009, he's been winless on the Tour since 2006, but has managed three 2nd placed finishes in the past 3 seasons.

    Senden finished 2009 1st for greens-in-regulation on the Tour.

    I think Senden will be extremely difficult to beat this week.

    Will report back in the coming days with my selections and more information.

    Please feel free to add your thoughts and selections :cool:

    Note: This event will kick off on Sky Sports, Wednesday @ 8pm and will be covered by The Golf Channel.


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  • Closed Accounts Posts: 2,683 ✭✭✭heavyballs


    one outsider i think could win this year is Kevin Streelman,he makes a lot of birdies but throws in a few birdies most of the time
    He can go low,has been in contention before and impressed me although didn't win
    I might stick a few quid e/w,


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 317 ✭✭tiptap


    I fancy e/w
    Daniel Chopra
    and
    Alex Cejka ...both at 150/1


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 1,242 ✭✭✭In_tuition


    Just 2 selections for me this week.

    Michael Sim finished his 2009 Nationwide Tour season 1st on the money list, 2nd in driving accuracy, 5th greens-in-regulation, 1st in putting and 3rd for birdies. He was a 3-time-winner on tour in 2009.

    Added to this Sim finished T-18 in the US Open, where he was T-15 in putting and 13th in fairways hit.

    This is his first time in the event but giving how easy the courses play and how confident Sim has become (has his eyes firmly set on major success) this could be a walk in the park one of the rising stars in world golf.

    John Senden finished the 2009 PGA Tour season 1st in par 5 performance, carding -142 in 100 rounds of golf combine that stat with 1st for greens-in-regulation on the 09 PGA Tour season and you have one explosive performer.

    This will be his 9th start in the event, he has recorded 3 top 10 finishes, T-9 (2009), T-5 (2006) & T-6 (2005). I fully expect him to win this.

    Michael Sim 40/1 (ladbrokes/boylesports/powers) €20 win

    John Senden 33/1 (william hill) €25 win

    1 further bet this week:

    Oliver Wilson 66/1 (Abu Dhabi) €10 win

    Followed him close in the back-end of 2009, his putting was very weak and I didn't expect him to feature much in 2010. He is Ryder Cup potential and has the ability to move within the worlds top 25. Has reported himself that the putter is firing so 66/1 looks juicy. Beautiful golf player with an abundance of talent, if that putter works in the coming months he could easily fire himself to the top of race to dubai.

    All the best to everyone else having a selection in these events :cool:


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 2,683 ✭✭✭heavyballs


    In_tuition wrote: »
    Just 2 selections for me this week.

    Michael Sim finished his 2009 Nationwide Tour season 1st on the money list, 2nd in driving accuracy, 5th greens-in-regulation, 1st in putting and 3rd for birdies. He was a 3-time-winner on tour in 2009.

    Added to this Sim finished T-18 in the US Open, where he was T-15 in putting and 13th in fairways hit.

    This is his first time in the event but giving how easy the courses play and how confident Sim has become (has his eyes firmly set on major success) this could be a walk in the park one of the rising stars in world golf.

    John Senden finished the 2009 PGA Tour season 1st in par 5 performance, carding -142 in 100 rounds of golf combine that stat with 1st for greens-in-regulation on the 09 PGA Tour season and you have one explosive performer.

    This will be his 9th start in the event, he has recorded 3 top 10 finishes, T-9 (2009), T-5 (2006) & T-6 (2005). I fully expect him to win this.

    Michael Sim 40/1 (ladbrokes/boylesports/powers) €20 win

    John Senden 33/1 (william hill) €25 win

    1 further bet this week:

    Oliver Wilson 66/1 (Abu Dhabi) €10 win

    Followed him close in the back-end of 2009, his putting was very weak and I didn't expect him to feature much in 2010. He is Ryder Cup potential and has the ability to move within the worlds top 25. Has reported himself that the putter is firing so 66/1 looks juicy. Beautiful golf player with an abundance of talent, if that putter works in the coming months he could easily fire himself to the top of race to dubai.

    All the best to everyone else having a selection in these events :cool:

    huge price for Wilson,
    i backed Strelman,not with much confidence it has to be said
    i also backed Jason Dufner

    in dubai,Rory to win ,Peter Hansen e/w


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 1,242 ✭✭✭In_tuition


    Good luck mate.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 822 ✭✭✭SEORG


    My first selection is Ricardo Gonzalez, this is for trading as he doesn't have a bad record here. Finished T35th, T17th & T4th in the last 4 years missing the cut in 2006. He had three T20 finishes in Sept - Oct so it's worth a small punt.

    Another for trading is Miguel Angel Jimenez, finished 2009 well with a top 10 and a top 20 finish in November. Has a half decent record here 5th in 2006 and 2nd in 2007.

    I'm going to go with Stenson also, even with his form up and down recently I can't ignore his record in the desert and this competition.

    Hope you don't mind me putting these up.


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  • Closed Accounts Posts: 1,242 ✭✭✭In_tuition


    SEORG wrote: »
    Hope you don't mind me putting these up.

    Not at all.

    Thanks for the contribution.

    Best of luck with your selections


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 1,242 ✭✭✭In_tuition


    4 selections worth €3 each...

    Done this last season in 1 event and got a good run for the money..

    These are 4 players with potential and their odds do not reflect their talent..

    Mikko Ilonen 260 (betfair)
    Martin Erlandsson 420
    Matteo Manassero 260
    Graeme Storm 175/1 (bet365)


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 42 In__tuition


    No idea of the email I used for the previous account so set up a new one.

    Added Mike Weir to my selections..€25 @ 16/1

    For anyone doubting it's me, lol, I mentioned my Weir selection here yesterday


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 1,390 ✭✭✭fintonie


    No idea of the email I used for the previous account so set up a new one.

    Added Mike Weir to my selections..

    For anyone doubting it's me, lol, I mentioned my Weir selection here yesterday

    no problem sir you should not doubt the faith we have in you,

    your views are great reading


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 42 In__tuition


    fintonie wrote: »
    no problem sir you should not doubt the faith we have in you,

    your views are great reading

    Thank you!


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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 13 Arazi1


    Weir is in a nice position - at least in a good challenging position.
    Are you considering backing anyone else to in effect Hedge your position?
    Good luck


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 13 Arazi1


    Nice Eagle there from Steelman to get him back within shooting distance.
    good selection


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 13 Arazi1


    heavyballs wrote: »
    one outsider i think could win this year is Kevin Streelman,he makes a lot of birdies but throws in a few birdies most of the time
    He can go low,has been in contention before and impressed me although didn't win
    I might stick a few quid e/w,
    kudos to Heavy balls Steelman trying hard for you and to In_Tuition who just had weir produce a chip in for eagle..

    Keep it up.


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 42 In__tuition


    Splish-splash double-bogey on 14 cost him, kick in teeth, responded well though but way too much to do after that.

    Gotta a decent run in what proved to be a tough betting contest.

    But still no profit in a handful of events so have to study hard in the next couple of days ;)


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 42 In__tuition


    Sorry readers but it's going to be a little shorter and sweeter this week as I'm fairly busy at the moment..

    This event takes place at Torrey Pines over 2 courses (North & South). The first 2 rounds are split over both courses and following the cut, the final 2 rounds will take place at the SC (South Course).

    The event has been held here since 1968 and was formerly the Buick Invitational and San Diego Open.

    The SC plays over a whopping 7560+yards..(although this time round the SC will play about 300-400yards shorter)
    The NC shorter - a little under 6900yards.

    Driving the ball will be a the best attribute this week, look for someone who is good on those stats.

    Another great attribute to have is scrambling. Pencil those who can get it up and down into your equation.

    Look for someone with ties to California, 24 of the 57 winners of this event have either been born, raised, gone to school or live in California

    Ignore the rookies, their last win was in 1991.

    Year-in-year-out the the North course usually plays a couple of strokes easier so for anyone intending on a first round leader bet, take this into consideration.

    Players to take note of:

    Charles Howell III
    - 3 top 10 finishes in 7 starts here. T-5 in the recent Sony Open.

    Ryuji Imada - 2nd here in 2008.

    Kevin Sutherland - should of won this event on numerous occasions, consistent player who is coming off the back of an excellent showing at the Bob Hope.

    Lucas Glover - T-3 here last year. It's a US Open course and this boy is the current holder of that crown.

    Carl Petterson - T-6 in the US Open here in 2008. Started 2010 with a bang finishing tied 5th in the Sony Open.

    Phil Mickelson - 9 top 10 finished in 19 starts here which includes 3 wins. Ended 2009 in sensational form, if fully tuned - he will win.

    My selection and further useful information in the coming days..

    All the best to anyone having a bet in this event :cool:


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 13 Arazi1


    Best of luck as always I have a lot of respect for what you choose. Do you mind me asking for those of us out there who are looking to do some research on the tournament, where or what is the best source of data out there?
    Where do you use for extracting statistics, past winners (and finishing positions) for each player in each event for many years etc..

    Good luck with the tips and hopefully all the work that Phil has put in to get to grips with the new grooves will mean he is sharp and ready for action.


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 42 In__tuition


    1 main selection for me this week.

    Phil Mickelson will take some stopping, however, he has under-performed on a few occasions around here and with it being absent from competitive golf for the past couple of months may prove tough to overcome so in preference I have am having a bet on what I deem to be the best bet of the year so far...

    Ernie Els has dedicated himself to the PGA Tour for the entire season and I think his decision will pay off earlier than he probably expects..He is coming off a decent showing at the Sony Open where he tied 6th, he was off slightly with his putting but the cobwebs will be firmly blown away by now and he is tackling a course that he has fair form on.

    Els has only played this event once, in 2005, where he finished T-6 (-10). Els is also a two-time US Open winner and considering that this course plays similar to those of that standard combine that with a finish of T-14 when the US Open was held here (2-years-ago).

    The rough around Torrey Pines is tough and Els finished the 09 season pretty high in the stats for scrambling from the thick stuff. He's high on the equation too with regards to final round scoring, expect a massive show from Els this time round.

    Ernie Els 25/1 (boylesports) €50 win


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 76 ✭✭heviballs


    heavyballs wrote: »
    huge price for Wilson,
    i backed Strelman,not with much confidence it has to be said
    i also backed Jason Dufner

    in dubai,Rory to win ,Peter Hansen e/w

    well i thought i might even have the 1-2 last week untill Hansen shat his pants and Rory (as seems the norm) couldn't hole a decent putt,that's golf for ya,and a new rule for me,don't back against a German,they're nerveless it seems.

    This week i'm just pickin 2 from the start
    In the u.s i'm on [EMAIL="B.Snedeker@35,i"]B.Snedeker@35,i[/EMAIL] think he will win this year,seems to be coming back to form,

    In Qatar i'm on Ross McGowan @50,he is a cracking player and the only reason i'm on him is because i've promised myself i'm doing him e/w every week

    Btw before you let me know the prices i got are c*ap i do them in my local who pay 6 places e/w in all touneys


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 42 In__tuition


    I'm really stuck for time this week, it's rare when I don't make time weekly to study my golf for the week but this week is one of those. Stenson, obviously, will prove hard to beat. I Haven't put much thought into these but they are in my yearly short-list and it so happens that all their odds are favourable this time round so..

    In favour of the above (betting on Stenson) I plan for 3-4 €10 outrights on several players..

    3/4 of the big-priced outsiders last week made the cut.

    I'm going with Oliver Wilson again, it's a stubborn pick, I don't doubt his putting will let him down but cast back to the matchplay event in Spain at the back end of last year, he putter exceptionally for a couple of rounds, he's saying he is back to that level but has yet to convince us all. Some decent course form - 120's is still too big for me - €10 win

    Soren Kjeldsen
    - 1st for greens-in-reg in 2007, T-10 at the HSBC a couple of months ago, once again nearly topping the gir stats. Had his best putting year in 2009. Silly odds 160's - €10 win

    Thomas Levet - Back from the wildermess in 2009 to record some decent results including a win (his 5th on tour), better season that previous, remember he had the class to finish 5th on the money list in 2004. I believe we will see big things once again from the Frenchman in 2010, at the ridiculous price he is worth a tipple - 360's - €5 win

    All prices with betfair..

    may add 1 more selection after the cut..

    All the best guys :cool:


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 76 ✭✭heviballs


    Going to throw a weird 1 in here,
    I see they're betting on the New Zealand Open(i know i have a gamblin prob)
    I'm going to stick a fiver e'w on Gavin Coles @66/1
    The course will play very short and with the amount of water features and hazards accurate play will be rewarded,enter Coles,my 9 year old hits the ball as far as him but i like this little lad,


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