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Good news for Ireland, US exits recession!

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  • Closed Accounts Posts: 2,539 ✭✭✭jimmmy


    I hate to be a pessimist - and look on the negative side , as I am usually a positive thinker / person - but the reality is that oil and interest rates will go up when the rest of the world economy recovers sufficiently. That will have a big impact on our economy ; methinks more than any benefit from an increase in our exports , but I hope I am wrong.


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 9,376 ✭✭✭ei.sdraob


    i agree but lets be optimistic for once

    if when interest rates rise people/institutions in debt get screwed

    tho exporting externally is the only way for a small economy to earn money, any increase in exports would be good

    the alternative is to continue borrowing money and "stimulate" the dole and PS recipients to be more productive, something thats not happening :(


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 22 The Monkey Pump


    jimmmy wrote: »
    I hate to be a pessimist - and look on the negative side

    :rolleyes:


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 2,539 ✭✭✭jimmmy


    :rolleyes:
    Interest rates now in Europe are at historically low levels....if / when interest rates double - as they probably will , how do you think that will affect things ? Are many people now claiming to be in difficulties with their mortgages as it is ? Not to mention the cost of borrowing the 25 billion a year we currently are ? And if oil goes back well over 100 dollars a barrell ?


  • Registered Users Posts: 1,509 ✭✭✭population


    This is purely because of the stimulus packages. 2 successive quarters means coming out of recession. This is just one quarter so I do not understand why this is being put out as coming out of recession?

    I expect a double dip in the next few months


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  • Registered Users Posts: 898 ✭✭✭bauderline


    Just goes to show... if you throw enough money at something....


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 9,376 ✭✭✭ei.sdraob


    bauderline wrote: »
    Just goes to show... if you throw enough money at something....

    you mean if you print enough money :D


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 86 ✭✭west101


    population wrote: »
    This is purely because of the stimulus packages. 2 successive quarters means coming out of recession. This is just one quarter so I do not understand why this is being put out as coming out of recession?

    I expect a double dip in the next few months

    3.3% growth is an awfull big jump especially coming out of recession, if it dips to negative growth in the next quater that really would be catatroshic


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 12,382 ✭✭✭✭AARRRGH


    I'm sorry to be all negative, but didn't the US government pump hundreds of billions into the economy between July and September?

    I bet you that is the reason for the growth, and there will be an unexpected return to the recession next quarter due to them no longer inflating their economy.

    When it turns out I am correct, ask yourself how an IT guy knows more than nearly every other economist.


  • Registered Users Posts: 9,505 ✭✭✭Heroditas


    Let's see what happens over the Thanksgiving weekend, usually the busiest shopping weekend of the year in the US.
    That should be a very good indicator as to consumer confidence. GDP figures based on stimulus packages can be massaged, till receipts can't!


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  • Closed Accounts Posts: 12,382 ✭✭✭✭AARRRGH


    population wrote: »
    This is purely because of the stimulus packages.

    Oops, you beat me to it. :pac:


  • Registered Users Posts: 354 ✭✭puffdragon


    west101 wrote: »
    3.3% growth is an awfull big jump especially coming out of recession, if it dips to negative growth in the next quater that really would be catatroshic


    Hold up there cowboy! 1.7% of this is directly the result of the" cash for clunkers" scrappage scheme the rest is money printing!!


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 12,382 ✭✭✭✭AARRRGH


    puffdragon wrote: »
    Hold up there cowboy! 1.7% of this is directly the result of the" cash for clunkers" scrappage scheme the rest is money printing!!

    And I believe the "cash for clunkers" scheme has just ended? Uh oh...


  • Registered Users Posts: 354 ✭✭puffdragon


    I wonder how long It'l be before the Americans get sick of Obama ,after propping up the economy the dole queues are still as long as ever,the worrying thing about America is that they carry personal weapons,

    After fighting a pointless war for oil fields that are about to run out of oil.

    And faced with promises to keep on carbon reduction which would necessitate buying cars from the Chinese who have bought up all the rights to the lithium mines to produce batteries needed for those cars and with china being so far ahead in the technology in that field which would decimate the American car industry anyway, how long before a revolution over there, good choice though (if your a conspiracy theorist) to have a black president to keep the most potentially violent at bay!

    The only good news for Ireland is that we live in a country where we can grow our own food if we're stuck!!


  • Registered Users Posts: 12,588 ✭✭✭✭Sand


    It is good news for Ireland. Anyone with a bit of ambition and looking for a job will know where they need to go to get a job..

    Meanwhile the cold war between the Irish labour cartels and the PAYE taxpayers will continue.


  • Registered Users Posts: 354 ✭✭puffdragon


    Sand wrote: »
    It is good news for Ireland. Anyone with a bit of ambition and looking for a job will know where they need to go to get a job..

    Meanwhile the cold war between the Irish labour cartels and the PAYE taxpayers will continue.


    Its fair to assume that there is no real advantage to be gained from emigrating to America at the moment as there are no lower skilled construction jobs on the market there and the next level engineering jobs are also hard to get ,
    So lets move on to IT jobs , as far as I can see if you want a job in computing or software development then your probably better off staying at home ,thanks to the nature of the business itself it doesn't matter what part of the world your in!

    So it boils down to which country makes you pay the less tax and I suppose on that scale we dont fare very well! Also thers the "standard of living" to consider.


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 909 ✭✭✭Captain Furball


    ei.sdraob wrote: »
    http://www.irishtimes.com/newspaper/breaking/2009/1029/breaking43.htm

    and

    http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/news?pid=20601087&sid=a4broHt1tufU



    US is a bigger trading partner for exports than UK&NI

    http://www.cso.ie/statistics/botmaintrpartners.htm


    this is good news for the country :) (and my own US exporting enterprise)

    Lol sure it does...................


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 2,497 ✭✭✭omahaid


    Looking good for the U.S - "US economy in fastest growth rate for six years"

    http://news.bbc.co.uk/2/hi/business/8487611.stm


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