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I've been following the likes of topher and others for weeks and I feel
I can make a little on footie over the coming weeks
I'm sick of going close with doubles/trebles/accums and
felt If i had being doing singles on all my picks over the past
few months I'd be showing a little profit (No, not really tho)
I've just stuck 50 into an account and hopefully I'll have some
fun with that.
I just can't resist having a go

Bank 50


Then analysis will be short and sweet and maybe non existent at times.

Bet 1 10 win *BURNLEY* v hull 10/11
This kinda speaks for itself...
burnleys home form is won 4 drew 0 lost 1 scored 8 conceded 5
whilst Hulls away form is won 0 drew 1 lost 5 scored 3 conceded 15 away
I think 10/11 is generous

I'm using skybet for all bets

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Bet 2 - 10 win *SUNDERLAND* v West ham 10/11

Since losing their opening home game to chelsea
sunderland have won their next four
West Ham have lost their last three away to
wigan mancity and stoke and havent won away
since their opening day away win against wolves

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Bet 1 10 win *BURNLEY* v hull 10/11 Win

Bet 2 10 win *SUNDERLAND* v West ham 10/11 Lost
Agony to watch given how many chances bent had

Bank 49.09 Loss -0.89

Bet 3 10 win Villareal 8/11 ko 16.00 sun
Villareal have lost once at home to real madrid tho have drawn 2 won 1
tenerife have lost 4 from 4 away conceding 10 scoring 1

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Bet 3 VILLAREAL 5 tenerife 0
Wish it was always this easy

LOSS *SUNDERLAND* v West ham 10/11
WIN *BURNLEY* v hull 10/11
WIN *VILLAREAL* tenerife 8/11

bank 56.36
Profit +6.36

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Bet 4 - 10 win *UNIREA URZICENI* V rangers @ Evens (wed 7.45ko)

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Bet 5 10 double SEVILLE 4/9 (v stutt) + HAMBURG 1/2 (v celtic)
We seen last night that there's no such thing as a cert in football.
I can't see past seville and expect them to outclass stuttgart
and hamburg should ease past celtic whos away record in
europe speaks for itself

Bank 36.36 (20 in play)

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LOSS *SUNDERLAND* v West ham 10/11
WIN *BURNLEY* v hull 10/11
WIN *VILLAREAL* tenerife 8/11
Loss *UNIREA URZICENI* V rangers @ Evens
Loss 10 double SEVILLE 4/9 (v stutt) + HAMBURG 1/2 (v celtic)

Bet 6 10 win Goldikova 11/10 (9.28 santa anita sat)
Can't see past this one and i expect goldie to easily
beat delegator and zacinto

Bet 7 10 win *Aston Villa* 8/11 v bolton
It never comes easy backing the likes of villa
but i think they'll shade this

Dwindling bank..16.36 (20 in play)

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LOSS *SUNDERLAND* v West ham 10/11
WIN *BURNLEY* v hull 10/11
WIN *VILLAREAL* tenerife 8/11
Loss *UNIREA URZICENI* V rangers @ Evens
Loss 10 double SEVILLE 4/9 (v stutt) + HAMBURG 1/2 (v celtic)
WIN 10 win *Aston Villa* 8/11 v bolton

Unusual villa winning by more than the odd goal
makes a change for me anyway when i back them

Bet 8 10 win arsenal -1 at 21/20
I've a sweat on the double with villa as it is and I think
the price is decent

Bank 23.63...20 in play

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mailburner wrote: »

LOSS *SUNDERLAND* v West ham 10/11
WIN *BURNLEY* v hull 10/11
WIN *VILLAREAL* tenerife 8/11
Loss *UNIREA URZICENI* V rangers @ Evens
Loss 10 double SEVILLE 4/9 (v stutt) + HAMBURG 1/2 (v celtic)

Bet 6 10 win Goldikova 11/10 (9.28 santa anita sat)
Can't see past this one and i expect goldie to easily
beat delegator and zacinto

Bet 7 10 win *Aston Villa* 8/11 v bolton
It never comes easy backing the likes of villa
but i think they'll shade this

Dwindling bank..16.36 (20 in play)

goldikova has the worst of the draw in that race
so ive only myself to blame is this one goes
pearshaped

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LOSS *SUNDERLAND* v West ham 10/11
WIN *BURNLEY* v hull 10/11
WIN *VILLAREAL* tenerife 8/11
Loss *UNIREA URZICENI* V rangers @ Evens
Loss 10 double SEVILLE 4/9 (v stutt) + HAMBURG 1/2 (v celtic)
WIN 10 win *Aston Villa* 8/11 v bolton
WIN 10 win ARSENAL-1 21/20 V wolves
That went better than i could ever have imagined

Bet 9 10 win VALUEV 10/11 v kaye
im no expert here but from what ive seen kaye
will be too fast for the giant but how he'll stay
out of trouble even with his speed and inferior
reach is beyond me
this might all sound like rubbish so apologies
as im no expert
Bank 34.13 20 in play

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Bet 10 10 win Conduit 11/10 10.57 santa anita
Won a better renewal of this race last year
comes here a fresh horse having run only
four times this season and ran a cracker
in the arc

bank 24.13 30 in play

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mailburner wrote: »

goldikova has the worst of the draw in that race
so ive only myself to blame is this one goes
pearshaped

The worst draw but the class act and always looked
like she would get there especially after hitting the home turn
LOSS *SUNDERLAND* v West ham 10/11
WIN *BURNLEY* v hull 10/11
WIN *VILLAREAL* tenerife 8/11
Loss *UNIREA URZICENI* V rangers @ Evens
Loss 10 double SEVILLE 4/9 (v stutt) + HAMBURG 1/2 (v celtic)
WIN 10 win *Aston Villa* 8/11 v bolton
WIN 10 win ARSENAL-1 21/20 V wolves
WIN 10 WIN Goldikova 11/10

bank 45.13 with 20 in play

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LOSS *SUNDERLAND* v West ham 10/11
WIN *BURNLEY* v hull 10/11
WIN *VILLAREAL* tenerife 8/11
Loss *UNIREA URZICENI* V rangers @ Evens
Loss 10 double SEVILLE 4/9 (v stutt) + HAMBURG 1/2 (v celtic)
WIN 10 win *Aston Villa* 8/11 v bolton
WIN 10 win ARSENAL-1 21/20 V wolves
WIN 10 WIN Goldikova 11/10
LOSS 10 win VALUEV 10/11 v kaye
WIN 10 win Conduit 11/10

Kaye wins by decision
didnt know what to think as i didnt see it all.
just before the decision haye was showing up
on betfair at 2.0 with valuev at 2.24
Good day besides and more importantly
back in profit

Bank 66.13
profit 16.13

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BET 11 10 double under 2.5 goals ireland/france + greece ukraine
Both 8/15...double works out at 13/10 approx

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BET 12 UFC 10 Treble matt riddle, terry etim and paul kelly
treble works out at 11/10 on skybet
Better odds on paddy power for these though
I can't see past any of these

Bank 46.13 with 20 in play

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LOSS *SUNDERLAND* v West ham 10/11
WIN *BURNLEY* v hull 10/11
WIN *VILLAREAL* tenerife 8/11
Loss *UNIREA URZICENI* V rangers @ Evens
Loss 10 double SEVILLE 4/9 (v stutt) + HAMBURG 1/2 (v celtic)
WIN 10 win *Aston Villa* 8/11 v bolton
WIN 10 win ARSENAL-1 21/20 V wolves
WIN 10 WIN Goldikova 11/10
LOSS 10 win VALUEV 10/11 v kaye
WIN 10 win Conduit 11/10
WIN 10 double under 2.5 goals ireland/france + greece ukraine
LOSS UFC 10 Treble matt riddle, terry etim and paul kelly

Didn't have to sweat to hard with the unders double but I
got the ufc picks badly wrong with only etim winning
Better than a kick in the arse I guess
Bank 69.64
Profit 19.64

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BET 13 10dbl Under 2.5 goals double slov/russ (ko7.45) 4/7+ ukr/greece(ko6.0) 1/2
I can't see past this and was very tempted to add in bosnia port
In fact I can see it happening in all 4 games but watchin our own
game is enough for me without betting on it

Bank 59.64 with 10 in play

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mailburner wrote: »

BET 13 10dbl Under 2.5 goals double slov/russ (ko7.45) 4/7+ ukr/greece(ko6.0) 1/2
I can't see past this and was very tempted to add in bosnia port
In fact I can see it happening in all 4 games but watchin our own
game is enough for me without betting on it

Bank 59.64 with 10 in play

LOSS *SUNDERLAND* v West ham 10/11
WIN *BURNLEY* v hull 10/11
WIN *VILLAREAL* tenerife 8/11
Loss *UNIREA URZICENI* V rangers @ Evens
Loss 10 double SEVILLE 4/9 (v stutt) + HAMBURG 1/2 (v celtic)
WIN 10 win *Aston Villa* 8/11 v bolton
WIN 10 win ARSENAL-1 21/20 V wolves
WIN 10 WIN Goldikova 11/10
LOSS 10 win VALUEV 10/11 v kaye
WIN 10 win Conduit 11/10
WIN 10 double under 2.5 goals ireland/france + greece ukraine
LOSS UFC 10 Treble matt riddle, terry etim and paul kelly
WIN 10dbl Under 2.5 goals double slov/russ (ko7.45) 4/7+ ukr/greece(ko6.0) 1/2

Never looked like there would be any danger in the greece game of the overs
especially after greece scored, aslo fairly comfortable in the slovenia game
shouldve gone with my instincts and thrown in the unders in the
portugal game also

Bank 83.21
profit 33.21

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BET 14 10 Dbl defoe anytime 11/10 + birm/fulham under 2.5 8/13

Im thinking defoe will have plenty of chances at home to wigan so
lets hope he takes them
I've switched to stan james as I thought skybets prices weren't
great and neither was their customer support.

Bank 73.21 with 10 in play

€10.00 DOUBLE
Market Selection Price
Birmingham v Fulham
Total Goals 2.5 Under 2.5 8/13
Tottenham v Wigan
Anytime Scorer Defoe, Jermain 11/10
Total stake:€10.00Estimated return: €33.92
Balance: €73.21

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BET 15 Ufc 10 win luiz cane 6/5 (2am approx nov 22)
Think this guy who's only defeat came by disqualification
is overpriced.
Very tempted to put in johnson but 10/13 isn't terrific value

Bank 63.21 with 20 in play

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mailburner wrote: »

BET 14 10 Dbl defoe anytime 11/10 + birm/fulham under 2.5 8/13

Im thinking defoe will have plenty of chances at home to wigan so
lets hope he takes them
I've switched to stan james as I thought skybets prices weren't
great and neither was their customer support.

Bank 73.21 with 10 in play

€10.00 DOUBLE
Market Selection Price
Birmingham v Fulham
Total Goals 2.5 Under 2.5 8/13
Tottenham v Wigan
Anytime Scorer Defoe, Jermain 11/10
Total stake:€10.00Estimated return: €33.92
Balance: €73.21

mailburner wrote: »

BET 15 Ufc 10 win luiz cane 6/5 (2am approx nov 22)
Think this guy who's only defeat came by disqualification
is overpriced.
Very tempted to put in johnson but 10/13 isn't terrific value

Bank 63.21 with 20 in play

Ok..I think ill be avoid the ufc like the plague from now on
after cane lasted only 2 minutes
Other the other had i didn't have too many worries with
the footie double and the under 2.5goals bet has been
very good to me lately to say the least.
Another profitable weekend
Thank you jermaine

LOSS *SUNDERLAND* v West ham 10/11
WIN *BURNLEY* v hull 10/11
WIN *VILLAREAL* tenerife 8/11
Loss *UNIREA URZICENI* V rangers @ Evens
Loss 10 double SEVILLE 4/9 (v stutt) + HAMBURG 1/2 (v celtic)
WIN 10 win *Aston Villa* 8/11 v bolton
WIN 10 win ARSENAL-1 21/20 V wolves
WIN 10 WIN Goldikova 11/10
LOSS 10 win VALUEV 10/11 v kaye
WIN 10 win Conduit 11/10
WIN 10 double under 2.5 goals ireland/france + greece ukraine
LOSS UFC 10 Treble matt riddle, terry etim and paul kelly
WIN 10dbl Under 2.5 goals double slov/russ (ko7.45) 4/7ukr/greece(ko6.0)1/2
WIN 10 Dbl defoe anytime 11/10 + birm/fulham under 2.5 8/13
LOSS 10 win luiz cane 6/5

Bank 97.13
Profit 47.13

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BET 15 10 win Tennis R. Soderling to beat nadal @ 6/5 (2.15pm monday)
Nadal isn't playing anywhere near his best yet so I think
he'll struggle to beat the big serving swede
“If I play my best tennis, and he plays like he did (in Paris), it’s going to be almost impossible [to beat him]”, Rafa said about Soderling
Bank 87.13 with 10 in play

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mailburner wrote: »

BET 15 10 win Tennis R. Soderling to beat nadal @ 6/5 (2.15pm monday)
Nadal isn't playing anywhere near his best yet so I think
he'll struggle to beat the big serving swede
“If I play my best tennis, and he plays like he did (in Paris), it’s going to be almost impossible [to beat him]”, Rafa said about Soderling
Bank 87.13 with 10 in play

Soderling wins in straight sets (6-4 6-4)

LOSS *SUNDERLAND* v West ham 10/11
WIN *BURNLEY* v hull 10/11
WIN *VILLAREAL* tenerife 8/11
Loss *UNIREA URZICENI* V rangers @ Evens
Loss 10 double SEVILLE 4/9 (v stutt) + HAMBURG 1/2 (v celtic)
WIN 10 win *Aston Villa* 8/11 v bolton
WIN 10 win ARSENAL-1 21/20 V wolves
WIN 10 WIN Goldikova 11/10
LOSS 10 win VALUEV 10/11 v kaye
WIN 10 win Conduit 11/10
WIN 10 double under 2.5 goals ireland/france + greece ukraine
LOSS UFC 10 Treble matt riddle, terry etim and paul kelly
WIN 10dbl Under 2.5 goals double slov/russ (ko7.45) 4/7ukr/greece(ko6.0)1/2
WIN 10 Dbl defoe anytime 11/10 + birm/fulham under 2.5 8/13
LOSS 10 win luiz cane 6/5
WIN 10 win R. Soderling to beat nadal @ 6/5

Bank 109.13
Profit 59.13

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BET 16 10 dbl under 2.5goals cska/wolfsburg 4/5 (5.30ko) + porto/chels 8/13

Market Selection Price
Porto v Chelsea
Total Goals 2.5 Under 2.5 8/13
CSKA Moscow v Wolfsburg
Total Goals 2.5 Under 2.5 4/5
Total stake:€10.00Estimated return: €29.08

Bank 99.13 with 10 in play

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BET 17 Under 2.5goals double porto/chels+ bordeaux/juve (both 8/15)

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mailburner wrote: »

BET 16 10 dbl under 2.5goals cska/wolfsburg 4/5 (5.30ko) + porto/chels 8/13

Market Selection Price
Porto v Chelsea
Total Goals 2.5 Under 2.5 8/13
CSKA Moscow v Wolfsburg
Total Goals 2.5 Under 2.5 4/5
Total stake:€10.00Estimated return: €29.08

Bank 99.13 with 10 in play

mailburner wrote: »

BET 17 Under 2.5goals double porto/chels+ bordeaux/juve (both 8/15)

A reverse in the unders which was overdue I guess.
15 of the cl games had less than three goals yet
I managed to pick out the only one with three
That game cost me a lot more unfortunately having
done an accum for the unders in all tonites games

Other double came in to save the day albeit and short odds
so a small profit to show for the day
Roll on the weekend
I wonder what kind of form denman will be in on his return saturday

LOSS *SUNDERLAND* v West ham 10/11
WIN *BURNLEY* v hull 10/11
WIN *VILLAREAL* tenerife 8/11
Loss *UNIREA URZICENI* V rangers @ Evens
Loss 10 double SEVILLE 4/9 (v stutt) + HAMBURG 1/2 (v celtic)
WIN 10 win *Aston Villa* 8/11 v bolton
WIN 10 win ARSENAL-1 21/20 V wolves
WIN 10 WIN Goldikova 11/10
LOSS 10 win VALUEV 10/11 v kaye
WIN 10 win Conduit 11/10
WIN 10 double under 2.5 goals ireland/france + greece ukraine
LOSS UFC 10 Treble matt riddle, terry etim and paul kelly
WIN 10dbl Under 2.5 goals double slov/russ 4/7 ukr/greece 1/2
WIN 10 Dbl defoe anytime 11/10 + birm/fulham under 2.5 8/13
LOSS 10 win luiz cane 6/5
WIN 10 win R. Soderling to beat nadal @ 6/5
LOSS 10 dbl under 2.5goals cska/wolfsburg 4/5 + porto/chels 8/13
WIN Under 2.5goals double porto/chels+ bordeaux/juve (both 8/15)

BANK 112.64
PROFIT 62.64

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BET 18 10 Dbl Fulham 5/6 + Chelsea 91/100 (Draw no bet)

Was very tempted to just stick in chelsea at 13/8 but as I can't
see them losing I've gone for what I think is the safe option
Fulham are very good at home and have only lost twice to
chelsea and arsenal and have won all the other home games
They've won their last three at home whilst bolton have lost 4
out of their last five games conceding 15 goals

Arsenal v Chelsea
Draw No Bet Chelsea 0 91/100
Fulham v Bolton
Match Betting 90 Minutes Fulham 5/6
Total stake:€10.00Estimated return: €35.02

Bank 102.64 with 10 in play

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BET 19 R.Soderling evens to beat davydenko (8.55 approx)

Soderling is already through to the semis and if he wins this
he plays del potro, if he loses he plays federer whom hes
never beaten.
Davydenko must win this to progress but hes not 100% fit
and is carrying a niggle but the injury he's carrying appears
to be a lot worse than that according to some of the experts.
Soderling wins this if in the same form as his last two matches.

BANK 92.64 with 20 in play

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mailburner wrote: »

BET 19 R.Soderling evens to beat davydenko (8.55 approx)

Soderling is already through to the semis and if he wins this
he plays del potro, if he loses he plays federer whom hes
never beaten.
Davydenko must win this to progress but hes not 100% fit
and is carrying a niggle but the injury he's carrying appears
to be a lot worse than that according to some of the experts.
Soderling wins this if in the same form as his last two matches.

BANK 92.64 with 20 in play

LOSS BET 19 R.Soderling evens to beat davydenko (8.55 approx)
Davydenko wins 2-1
Bank 92.64 with 10 in play

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BET 20 10 on Denman for a place (1-4) 5/6 2.40 nby

I was sorely tempted to stick him here at 4s for the win
but im only putting what I feel confident about in this
log rather than every bet I do
the trainer feels he's as good as he was two years ago
when he won this but off a higher mark this time he'll
need to be.
I've done a tenner each way in the betting office also
just in case as I can never resist backing him

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mailburner wrote: »

BET 20 10 on Denman for a place (1-4) 5/6 2.40 nby

I was sorely tempted to stick him here at 4s for the win
but im only putting what I feel confident about in this
log rather than every bet I do
the trainer feels he's as good as he was two years ago
when he won this but off a higher mark this time he'll
need to be.
I've done a tenner each way in the betting office also
just in case as I can never resist backing him

WIN 10 on Denman for a place (1-4) 5/6

Amazing performance to say the least to win the race
Incredible horse
Bank 100.97 with 10 in play