Big Change Monday Onward, much colder, ice and snow later

pistolpetes11

munsterlegend wrote: »

for where though?!

In the article that was in the Irish times he expected it to be widespread, somebody had posted a link earlier on in either this thread or the Wintery Potential for December 09

howlinwolf

pistolpetes11 wrote: »

Thats it then, batten down the hatches and get in the supplies

It would actually be funny if this guy pulled it off, I know he has a good record , but it seems so very hard to predict a long range forecast using scientific measures.
Although it would be cool if his traditional ways came up with the goods !

yeah how cool would that be,all the tech heads and all there bags of tricks trumped by a postman who studys the animals

pistolpetes11

Here is the link from breakingnews.ie , cant find the Irish Times one at the moment

http://www.breakingnews.ie/ireland/ireland-heading-for-white-christmas-says-postman-438090.html

Irish times link

http://www.irishtimes.com/newspaper/ireland/2009/1215/1224260713586.html

Its actually the breakingnews.ie report where he uses the word widespread

pistolpetes11

maquiladora wrote: »

For anyone interesting, the 12Z GFS which will be rolling out in just over an hour will be the new and improved version, according to this (http://www.nws.noaa.gov/os/notification/tin09-34gefs.txt).

Should be interesting...

Well how does it look ?

Even if this event turns out to be a non runner , it has been great fun and very exciting to watch.

A big thanks to all of the people who have spent there time to put up the chart's and explanations to what it all means !

The weather forum is becoming my favorite section of boards.ie

howlinwolf

pistolpetes11 wrote: »

Well how does it look ?

Even if this event turns out to be a non runner , it has been great fun and very exciting to watch.

A big thanks to all of the people who have spent there time to put up the chart's and explanations to what it all means !

The weather forum is becoming my favorite section of boards.ie

yeah same here im really enjoyin all the will it wont it stuff....hope the rest of the winter keeps us interested

maquiladora

pistolpetes11 wrote: »

Well how does it look ?

Only out 54 hours so far, it's an upgrade so far, extends colder air further west. Showing greater potential for snow showers on Thursday evening.

howlinwolf

maquiladora wrote: »

Only out 54 hours so far, it's an upgrade so far, extends colder air further west. Showing greater potential for snow showers on Thursday evening.

yippee!!! its all good again......till the next update;)

doccy

It's gas how interesting this thread has turned out to be. Now I'm determined to have snow. So if science fails me, I'll just blindly follow a Donegal postman

roryc1

12z are rolling out looking better up to t54 anyway, keep them all crossed people
:rolleyes:

Villain

Rolling out at the moment out to 60hrs so far looks very marginal but my chart reading isn't great

maquiladora

howlinwolf wrote: »

yippee!!! its all good again......till the next update;)

Well its still just a slight upgrade so far, but yes this could all change again on the next run.

Out to 66hours and its still an upgrade, looking better for the east and south east, colder air over us...

Villain

T126 TO T190 will have higher resolution but even at that GFS at that range usually just plays with the mind

maquiladora

Villain wrote: »

Rolling out at the moment out to 60hrs so far looks very marginal but my chart reading isn't great

-10 uppers a lot closer to us at 66 hours.

Out to 90 hours now and still looking good, risk of sleet/snow showers continues into Friday.

All eyes on the weekend now..

roryc1

Much better ENE so far. Northerly winds delayed a bit, so east looking better at the moment

Supercell

Wow oh wow oh wow!!


I'll take that!

Villain

maquiladora wrote: »

-10 uppers a lot closer to us at 66 hours.

Out to 90 hours now and still looking good, risk of sleet/snow showers continues into Friday.

All eyes on the weekend now..

They are for a short period but between 78 and 93 its -5 at best. Although Northernly looks to be coming then

mink_man

% chance of snow?

Supercell

Friday night nail biter..snow for some!

Villain

Look at the flow of cold from the North at +102??

Supercell

Pressure too high for really heavy snow, however polar lows and troughs cannot be ruled out , all to play for here.

maquiladora

Out to 108 hours and the cold air is extending much further south on this run...a big upgrade on the 06Z.

roryc1

that Northerly really looks much stronger, 850 temps are good, it now looks like a big upgrade for the weekend

Supercell

Villain wrote: »

Look at the flow of cold from the North at +102??

Polar lows written all over that, the north is gonna get blitzed.

Villain

+108 looks seriously cold, but as Supercell said probably dry unless a polar Low shows up

smashey

Supercell wrote: »

Polar lows written all over that, the north is gonna get blitzed.

Steady on now, I don't need another Donegalgate.

roryc1

Supercell wrote: »

Polar lows written all over that, the north is gonna get blitzed.

+1

maquiladora

At 120hrs the -5 850 extends as far south as central France, on the last run it didn't even make the Ulster coast. :pac:

Scubadevils

Jaysus, back on the feckin rollercoaster!!! I thought I had beaten this addiction this morning!!!

danni2

Nice upgrade:D hopefully inland areas will get something over the weekend.

MUSEIST

Well this is a fascinating run.
Looks better for the east thur/fri with almost -10 uppers.
After that a bit marginal over the first part of the weekend but turning much colder with a chance of heavy snow for north and west, will be interesting to see the next few runs