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Big Change Monday Onward, much colder, ice and snow later

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    #362
    Villain
    Registered Users Posts: 15,947 ✭✭✭✭Villain


    Possible breadkdown coming at +126?


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    #363
    FlawedGenius
    Registered Users Posts: 2,256 ✭✭✭FlawedGenius


    Supercell wrote: »
    Polar lows written all over that, the north is gonna get blitzed.
    :eek:I like the sound of that!! Do you mean just the North of Ireland? or the Northern half of the country including the East aswell?:D


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    #364
    maquiladora
    Registered Users Posts: 11,134 ✭✭✭✭maquiladora


    Yeah, I'll take that....its ok....:rolleyes:

    2q8viop.png


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    #365
    eireanbo
    Registered Users Posts: 34 ✭eireanbo


    what is the chances of snow in longford...im all excited again..


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    #366
    Villain
    Registered Users Posts: 15,947 ✭✭✭✭Villain


    Villain wrote: »
    Possible breadkdown coming at +126?

    Nope NW reload, these charts look mad, although beyond that we are deep into FI


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    #367
    MUSEIST
    Closed Accounts Posts: 3,258 ✭✭✭MUSEIST


    Why does the gfs do this to us. if only this run came through then most would see some snow, but i cant help but feel it will downgrade.


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    #368
    maquiladora
    Registered Users Posts: 11,134 ✭✭✭✭maquiladora


    Villain wrote: »
    Possible breadkdown coming at +126?

    Nope, out to 138 and its -8 in the midlands.


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    #369
    maquiladora
    Registered Users Posts: 11,134 ✭✭✭✭maquiladora


    MUSEIST wrote: »
    Why does the gfs do this to us. if only this run came through then most would see some snow, but i cant help but feel it will downgrade.

    This is the very first operational run of the new and improved version of the GFS that has been running in parallel for the past month or so. Thats why it looks so different.


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    #370
    jenzz
    Closed Accounts Posts: 986 ✭✭✭jenzz


    Felixdhc wrote: »
    Jaysus, back on the feckin rollercoaster!!! I thought I had beaten this addiction this morning!!!

    +1 :D


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    #371
    Supercell
    Registered Users Posts: 15,431 ✭✭✭✭Supercell


    In summary, Friday night into Saturday looks like having the most obvious opportunity for widespread snow. Then winds go northerly and north and west is best, though polar lows bringing snow to all cannot be ruled out in such a setup.
    Its going to be very much a now cast event for precip t+24 hours in these conditions - will it snow in my backgarden is going to be fairly unreliable.
    By Saturday many of us will have had our first taste of winter 2009/210
    https://www.loughlinstown.ie/

    Have a weather station?, why not join the Ireland Weather Network - http://irelandweather.eu/



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    #372
    MUSEIST
    Closed Accounts Posts: 3,258 ✭✭✭MUSEIST


    So many pretty shades of blue:D on these charts


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    #373
    pistolpetes11
    Moderators, Science, Health & Environment Moderators Posts: 7,146 Mod ✭✭✭✭pistolpetes11


    maquiladora wrote: »
    This is the very first operational run of the new and improved version of the GFS that has been running in parallel for the past month or so. Thats why it looks so different.

    Are all the models in agreement at the moment or is it just the New and improved version of the GFS that is giving us hope ?

    Also with it being the new version , do you think that its reliable ?


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    #374
    maquiladora
    Registered Users Posts: 11,134 ✭✭✭✭maquiladora


    Out to 135 hours and its still looking very cold with plenty of sleet/snow potential. :pac: A great run so far.


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    #375
    Spiritoftheseventies
    Closed Accounts Posts: 12,082 ✭✭✭✭Spiritoftheseventies


    DOCARCH wrote: »
    Gerry Murphy said it after 6pm news! Sleet and snow later in the week.........to high ground. :P
    Only trust fleming when it comes to the weather. Wink wink, nudge nudge


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    #376
    MUSEIST
    Closed Accounts Posts: 3,258 ✭✭✭MUSEIST


    As it moves towards FI we can see sighns of the atlantic returning.


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    #377
    maquiladora
    Registered Users Posts: 11,134 ✭✭✭✭maquiladora


    Out to 162 hours....wow...thats some serious cold in FI.


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    #378
    Supercell
    Registered Users Posts: 15,431 ✭✭✭✭Supercell


    Amazing stuff for Friday night into Saturday, possible countrywide snow event bar the far south. Norn iron could really see a lot of snow on Saturday.
    https://www.loughlinstown.ie/

    Have a weather station?, why not join the Ireland Weather Network - http://irelandweather.eu/



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    #379
    maquiladora
    Registered Users Posts: 11,134 ✭✭✭✭maquiladora


    MUSEIST wrote: »
    As it moves towards FI we can see sighns of the atlantic returning.

    Well into FI at 180 hours and still lookign very cold, temps below freezing countrywide.


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    #380
    Supercell
    Registered Users Posts: 15,431 ✭✭✭✭Supercell


    maquiladora wrote: »
    Out to 162 hours....wow...thats some serious cold in FI.


    The FI is looking very day after tomorrow like, low pressure and low 850's, just as well its FI eh ?!
    https://www.loughlinstown.ie/

    Have a weather station?, why not join the Ireland Weather Network - http://irelandweather.eu/



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    #381
    MUSEIST
    Closed Accounts Posts: 3,258 ✭✭✭MUSEIST


    cccccccoooooooooolllllllllllllllldddddddddddddd
    http://www.wzkarten.de/pics/Rtavn16217.png


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    #382
    Villain
    Registered Users Posts: 15,947 ✭✭✭✭Villain


    LOL if only :D

    uksnowrisk.png


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    #383
    munsterlegend
    Registered Users Posts: 6,186 ✭✭✭munsterlegend


    Supercell wrote: »
    Amazing stuff for Friday night into Saturday, possible countrywide snow event bar the far south. Norn iron could really see a lot of snow on Saturday.

    trust us to miss out down in cork! we get plenty rain but no white stuff..still i have a good feeling about this for some reason! must be that donegal postman.


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    #384
    maquiladora
    Registered Users Posts: 11,134 ✭✭✭✭maquiladora


    Christmas Eve breakdown in FI, about 4 days later than the previous run. :pac:
    Hopefully we'll see the GFS pushing back the breakdown further and further.


    Absolute cracker of a run though. Ensembles will be interesting!


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    #385
    maquiladora
    Registered Users Posts: 11,134 ✭✭✭✭maquiladora


    Supercell wrote: »
    The FI is looking very day after tomorrow like, low pressure and low 850's, just as well its FI eh ?!

    Yeah crazy stuff, widespread -9 2m temps after 3 or 4 days of snow. :eek:

    I can't see that quite coming off but this run has been very encouraging...


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    #386
    Deep Easterly
    Closed Accounts Posts: 5,150 ✭✭✭Deep Easterly


    GFS must be assuming snowfields for temperatures like this:

    ukmintemp.png

    I am almost in the coldest spot!! :D. I would have thought the flow was still a little bit too slack in that run to drag down showers this far south as there is little sign of any major troughing yet. Still, we'll see...


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    #387
    snaps
    Registered Users Posts: 7,138 ✭✭✭snaps


    Met ireland are not letting much out, they are even saying that it will turn milder on saturday!


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    #388
    munsterlegend
    Registered Users Posts: 6,186 ✭✭✭munsterlegend


    snaps wrote: »
    Met ireland are not letting much out, they are even saying that it will turn milder on saturday!

    But was that earlier today or a recent update?:confused:


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    #389
    Pangea
    Registered Users Posts: 5,565 ✭✭✭Pangea


    My my , hows things have changed in the past hour, new charts and 3 pages later the rollercoaster is still on.
    But dont get too excited ,although people calling snow for friday night seems reliable since it is only 3 nights away.


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    #390
    maquiladora
    Registered Users Posts: 11,134 ✭✭✭✭maquiladora


    snaps wrote: »
    Met ireland are not letting much out, they are even saying that it will turn milder on saturday!

    That outlook hasn't been updated recenty, its the same outlook as this morning. Also, what we are talking about here at the moment is just the output from one model, Met Eireann will base their forecast on a range of different models.


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    #391
    owenc
    Banned (with Prison Access) Posts: 5,524 ✭✭✭owenc


    going by that chart my maxes could be as low as -6c and lows as low as -12c!!!!!


This discussion has been closed.
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