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Band of rain/sleet/snow pushing up from the south 29th+30th Dec - Snowstorm or not?

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    #302
    TheMilkyPirate
    Registered Users Posts: 6,012 ✭✭✭TheMilkyPirate


    Deep Easterly wrote: »
    Yep B, the older player:

    http://www.rte.ie/news/
    Leeside wrote: »
    If you go to Live TV and then News Now you will see the forecast at the end of the news. Its worth waiting for.

    Thanks lads, Sh1tty O2 broadband though.. :mad:


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    #303
    inabina
    Registered Users Posts: 631 ✭✭✭inabina


    surprised BBC is on the snow side. Here in south dublin, the temp has moved from 0.5 to 2.7 in the last 2 hours and that front is still way down south. The only hope is when this band starts to slide south again on Weds. No chance of widespread snow tomorrow. am i talking crap? convince me.


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    #304
    Deep Easterly
    Closed Accounts Posts: 5,150 ✭✭✭Deep Easterly


    Deleted User wrote: »

    Hi Evelyn,I don't care what the others say,you're definitely the nicest wan in there :pac:

    Her and Joan! I also find that Gerry stirs my loins :p

    Seriously, it would be great to have the lot of them posting here in the weather thread! Maybe we should start a campaign? :)


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    #305
    inabina
    Registered Users Posts: 631 ✭✭✭inabina


    Calling Glasnevin...please bring Gerry Fleming back....


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    #306
    Villain
    Registered Users Posts: 15,947 ✭✭✭✭Villain


    Deep Easterly wrote: »
    Seriously, it would be great to have the lot of them posting here in the weather thread! Maybe we should start a campaign? :)


    LOL Evelyn would be banned for Ramping after a day :D


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    #307
    Leeside
    Registered Users Posts: 228 ✭✭Leeside


    Deleted User wrote: »
    Hi Evelyn,I don't care what the others say,you're definitely the nicest wan in there :pac:

    Are you going a little off topic there?:) We don't want anything that could raise the temperature even by on hundredth of a degree. The snow is still very much touch and go:D


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    #308
    [Deleted User]
    Posts: 0 ✭ [Deleted User]


    forkassed wrote: »
    Rob McElwee in serious Ramp mode on News 24, He was saying he hopes it all turns to snow beacause it "looks nice" LOL

    untitled-2.jpg
    lol I wish I saw that.
    Rob loves snow and cold and he's old school too,he was in the met and on the beeb since the days michael fish was on and was on in the 80's.
    He would be their best expert on snow.


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    #309
    mad DIY
    Closed Accounts Posts: 319 ✭✭mad DIY


    inabina wrote: »
    surprised BBC is on the snow side. Here in south dublin, the temp has moved from 0.5 to 2.7 in the last 2 hours and that front is still way down south. The only hope is when this band starts to slide south again on Weds. No chance of widespread snow tomorrow. am i talking crap? convince me.

    Puddles of rain water were actually freezing over here at 4 o'clock this afternoon in D6. Then thick fog suddenly descended from nowhere.


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    #310
    Deep Easterly
    Closed Accounts Posts: 5,150 ✭✭✭Deep Easterly


    Villain wrote: »
    LOL Evelyn would be banned for Ramping after a day :D

    :D:D


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    #311
    mad DIY
    Closed Accounts Posts: 319 ✭✭mad DIY


    Deep Easterly wrote: »
    Seriously, it would be great to have the lot of them posting here in the weather thread! Maybe we should start a campaign? :)

    Maybe they are already...


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    #312
    [Deleted User]
    Posts: 0 ✭ [Deleted User]


    inabina wrote: »
    surprised BBC is on the snow side. Here in south dublin, the temp has moved from 0.5 to 2.7 in the last 2 hours and that front is still way down south. The only hope is when this band starts to slide south again on Weds. No chance of widespread snow tomorrow. am i talking crap? convince me.
    Thats the east wind bringing in just irish sea air.
    It will take a while for air from moscow to arrive..

    p.s Eveyln..dinner? chapter one?couple of bottles of chateau neuf du pap? my treat.
    pm meh:pac:


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    #313
    Deep Easterly
    Closed Accounts Posts: 5,150 ✭✭✭Deep Easterly


    mad DIY wrote: »
    Maybe they are already...
    Quite possible indeed. :cool:


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    #314
    leahyl
    Registered Users Posts: 14,288 ✭✭✭✭leahyl


    Deep Easterly wrote: »
    Quite possible indeed. :cool:

    Eagle is that you???:D


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    #315
    Deep Easterly
    Closed Accounts Posts: 5,150 ✭✭✭Deep Easterly


    leahyl wrote: »
    Eagle is that you???:D

    Hi Evelyn, yep, you caught me out. ;):p


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    #316
    force eleven
    Closed Accounts Posts: 2,039 ✭✭✭force eleven


    inabina wrote: »
    surprised BBC is on the snow side. Here in south dublin, the temp has moved from 0.5 to 2.7 in the last 2 hours and that front is still way down south. The only hope is when this band starts to slide south again on Weds. No chance of widespread snow tomorrow. am i talking crap? convince me.

    My old grandad, years ago, used to say it always gets 'milder' before the snow. I know what he meant - the cold clear subzero tempoeratures were always followed by a rise ahead of cloud and a front, with the precipitation, I'm saying this is the situation we have now.


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    #317
    WolfeIRE
    Closed Accounts Posts: 2,667 ✭✭✭WolfeIRE


    Deleted User wrote: »
    It will take a while for air from moscow to arrive..

    It's due in on flight EI162 to dublin airport at 11.20am.

    The wonderful thing about weather predictions is that everyone has got one. We should respect each other's opinions because that is all they are. Met Eireann are the experts here and we should respect theirs too.

    I am sticking with my earlier bet on this. I backed up Red when he called snow. I still reckon the middle third of the country, at least, will see snow tomorrow eve/night and wednesday. This will be especially the case when that cold air hits the retreating front.

    The low pushing south from the NE is a positive development for snow potential. if it continues its southward trajectory then we are more or less guaranteed a chilling easterly/northeasterly wind flow that will turn any rain/sleet into snow. I will eat my hat and yours if there is no snow lying on the ground come Wed night.
    image.ashx?country=gb&type=slide&time=&index=1&sat=ir


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    #318
    leahyl
    Registered Users Posts: 14,288 ✭✭✭✭leahyl


    force eleven wrote: »
    My old grandad, years ago, used to say it always gets 'milder' before the snow. I know what he meant - the cold clear subzero tempoeratures were always followed by a rise ahead of cloud and a front, with the precipitation, I'm saying this is the situation we have now.

    what my mum always says;)


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    #319
    darkman2
    Banned (with Prison Access) Posts: 8,632 ✭✭✭darkman2


    Latest GFS run - Wednesday Evening

    gfs-2-48.png?18


    It's, overall a slight upgrade.


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    #320
    JJJJNR
    Closed Accounts Posts: 4,791 ✭✭✭JJJJNR


    Fairly mild here at the moment. (Rathdrum, Co.Wicklow) most of the secondry roads are frozen over, had to help a couple with their car which was stuck on an ice sheet (bearly had to push the car, the road was that badly frozen)

    I've thrown fertiliser on the footpath and drive and it seems to have burnt the ice off and is much safer now.


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    #321
    inabina
    Registered Users Posts: 631 ✭✭✭inabina


    eagleton on very shortly here

    http://www.rte.ie/live/

    on the rolling news


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    #322
    lucernarian
    Registered Users Posts: 9,235 ✭✭✭lucernarian


    Wow, that's a dangerous run to post at t+48. Any changes for the forecast on Wednesday night?


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    #323
    WolfeIRE
    Closed Accounts Posts: 2,667 ✭✭✭WolfeIRE


    GFS run at 18GMT
    09123100_2818.gif


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    #324
    Gonzo
    Moderators, Science, Health & Environment Moderators Posts: 16,910 Mod ✭✭✭✭Gonzo


    stopped frezzing here about 2 hours ago, dont think we'll have any further frost here tonight, the east wind has picked up


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    #325
    ninebeanrows
    Registered Users Posts: 12,778 ✭✭✭✭ninebeanrows


    Its all setting up perfectly.

    GFS moved almost totally inline.

    What we want to see is reducing dewpoints across the north of country through tomorrow morning.

    1982' take 2 here we come.

    Okay maybe a ramp too far:D

    But somewhere is going to get a absolute dump tomorrow and wednesday.


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    #326
    mad DIY
    Closed Accounts Posts: 319 ✭✭mad DIY


    WolfeIRE wrote: »
    GFS run at 18GMT
    09123100_2818.gif

    That's either snow for north Leinster and Ulster, or its space invaders. Given my lack of knowledge of those symbols, it's probably the latter.


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    #327
    WolfeIRE
    Closed Accounts Posts: 2,667 ✭✭✭WolfeIRE


    Weathercheck wrote: »
    But somewhere is going to get a absolute dump tomorrow and wednesday.

    Agreed. GFS has come right into line with ecm and ukmo. Anywhere from louth across to Mayo southwards is in line for snowfall

    bbc charts have updated too http://news.bbc.co.uk/weather/forecast/10209. never really set in stone but with only hours to go it will do me.


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    #328
    sdanseo
    Registered Users Posts: 9,233 ✭✭✭sdanseo


    Weathercheck wrote: »
    Its all setting up perfectly.

    GFS moved almost totally inline.

    What we want to see is reducing dewpoints across the north of country through tomorrow morning.

    1982' take 2 here we come.

    Okay maybe a ramp too far:D

    But somewhere is going to get a absolute dump tomorrow and wednesday.


    Please let that somewhere include the Dublin, no mater how unlikely! :P


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    #329
    Su Campu
    Closed Accounts Posts: 4,279 ✭✭✭Su Campu


    Weathercheck wrote: »
    Its all setting up perfectly.

    GFS moved almost totally inline.

    What we want to see is reducing dewpoints across the north of country through tomorrow morning.

    1982' take 2 here we come.

    Okay maybe a ramp too far:D

    But somewhere is going to get a absolute dump tomorrow and wednesday.

    I disagree. We'll all be sitting here this time tomorrow night licking our wounds after getting no snow, except a small chance on high ground. The GFS has massively overdone the snowfall IMO. I see the first chance being late Wednesday and Thursday. Before then i see sweet FA. The low is not going to make any further progress north after tonight. I've seen this type of setup before and the models have always overdone the low's movement.

    Today's Camborne and Brest soundings show an unlikely snow setup; Camborne showing massively dry low-mid levels above 900Pa and -1°C 850 temps, and Brest showing positive temps and dp up to 700Hpa. With the advection of this airmass towards us over the next day or so, modifying as it does, I don't see any chance of snow whatsoever.

    H500-1000 thicknesses of above 530 and H850 of barely -5°C are just not going to cut it I reckon. The southern half of the country - from Limerick to Wexford - will get decent rainfall but nothing else for the rest of us


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    #330
    Flyer1
    Registered Users Posts: 664 ✭✭✭Flyer1


    Su Campu wrote: »
    I disagree. We'll all be sitting here this time tomorrow night licking our wounds after getting no snow, except a small chance on high ground. The GFS has massively overdone the snowfall IMO. I see the first chance being late Wednesday and Thursday. Before then i see sweet FA. The low is not going to make any further progress north after tonight. I've seen this type of setup before and the models have always overdone the low's movement.

    Today's Camborne and Brest soundings show an unlikely snow setup; Camborne showing massively dry low-mid levels above 900Pa and -1°C 850 temps, and Brest showing positive temps and dp up to 700Hpa. With the advection of this airmass towards us over the next day or so, modifying as it does, I don't see any chance of snow whatsoever.

    H500-1000 thicknesses of above 530 and H850 of barely -5°C are just not going to cut it I reckon. The southern half of the country - from Limerick to Wexford - will get decent rainfall but nothing else for the rest of us

    Spot on I reckon ;)


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    #331
    pistolpetes11
    Moderators, Science, Health & Environment Moderators Posts: 7,146 Mod ✭✭✭✭pistolpetes11


    Su Campu wrote: »
    I disagree. We'll all be sitting here this time tomorrow night licking our wounds after getting no snow, except a small chance on high ground. The GFS has massively overdone the snowfall IMO. I see the first chance being late Wednesday and Thursday. Before then i see sweet FA. The low is not going to make any further progress north after tonight. I've seen this type of setup before and the models have always overdone the low's movement.

    Today's Camborne and Brest soundings show an unlikely snow setup; Camborne showing massively dry low-mid levels above 900Pa and -1°C 850 temps, and Brest showing positive temps and dp up to 700Hpa. With the advection of this airmass towards us over the next day or so, modifying as it does, I don't see any chance of snow whatsoever.

    H500-1000 thicknesses of above 530 and H850 of barely -5°C are just not going to cut it I reckon. The southern half of the country - from Limerick to Wexford - will get decent rainfall but nothing else for the rest of us

    You my friend are the ultimate downgrader ! or maybe the voice of reason ?


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