Potential Snowfall & Cold Spell Discussion (Wednesday/Thursday 30/12/09)

John mac

eskimocat wrote: »

nacho libre wrote: »

159 (71 members & 88 guests) Moderators : 4


So we have 88 guests lurking too, lol Come on Guests sign up and get a free ride on the rollercoaster here!!!:D:D:D:D

a lot of those would be bots from google and the likes.

Cold and windy here now, light rain.


.

owenc

Supercell wrote: »

Check out the UK Met radar images for the last hour, there is clearly showers over southern Scotland/Northern England tracking in a SW direction....it begins!

that is happening here aswell infact it has stopped sleeting/raining now so all we have to wait for is the low to head south!

burkieboy

nacho libre wrote: »

was that the infamous polar low of 2000?

Yea think it was around that time :D

patsy A

Its snowing in Longford now near Aughnacliffe, I'm 646ft asl, very windy aswell.:)

paddybar

heavy rain here.starting to get a bit sleety
"crosses fingers"

eskimocat

John mac wrote: »

eskimocat wrote: »

a lot of those would be bots from google and the likes.

Cold and windy here now, light rain.


.

Bots from Google! wow, even the bots are into snow forecasting!!!

(ps thanks for that, didn't know that there was such things but now it makes sense)

ninebeanrows

The battle lines are being drawn over Ireland now.

Moist warm air pushing from the southwest, cold dry air pushing in from the northeast. Precip intensifying, wind increasing.

A classic battle taking place right on top of us.

Su Campu

METAR - Main Airports

(DUBLIN)METAR EIDW 301200Z 07030G41KT 7000 -RA FEW008 SCT012 BKN016 04/03 Q0992 TEMPO BKN010=
(SHANNON)METAR EINN 301200Z 03014KT 9999 -RA FEW008 BKN014 BKN020 04/03 Q0988 TEMPO 4000 BKN008=
(CORK)METAR EICK 301200Z 04019KT 9999 BKN008 BKN012 04/03 Q0984 TEMPO 4000 BKN004=
(CONNAUGHT)METAR EIKN 301200Z 04017KT 7000 -RASN BKN005 BKN013 BKN016 01/00 Q0993 TEMPO 2500 BKN003=
(BELFAST/ ALDERGROVE)METAR EGAA 301150Z 06020KT 9999 -SHRA SCT012 SCT022 03/01 Q0998=
(BELFAST/ CITY)METAR EGAC 301150Z 06023KT 9999 -RA FEW012 SCT016 BKN028 03/// Q0998=
(LONDONDERRY/ EGLINTON)METAR EGAE 301150Z 08019KT 9999 -RA BKN013 OVC020 03/02 Q0999=

METAR - Regional Airports

(These reports are provided to Met Éireann by the Regional airports)
(KERRY (FARRANFORE))METAR EIKY 301150Z 05008KT 9999 -RA BKN009 OVC020 04/02 Q0987=
(SLIGO)METAR EISG 301200Z AUTO 06018G28KT 9999 BKN019 OVC025 03/00 Q0996=
(WATERFORD)METAR EIWF 301200Z 09019G29KT 060V130 8000 RA FEW007 SCT008 BKN010 05/04 Q0987 032/////=

No METAR reports valid at this time for the following - EICM EIDL

Pseudo METARs

(Derived from synop station data and processed into Metar format. Reported gusts refer to the previous 60 minute period.)

(Casement Aerodrome)PsMETAR BALD 301200Z 08026G44KT 9999 -RASN SCT011 OVC023 04/03 0991 MSL=

(Belmullet)PsMETAR BELM 301200Z 06019G41KT 4000 -RA SCT006 OVC010 04/03 0996 MSL=

(Ballyhaise)PsMETAR BYHE 301200Z AUTO 07015G34KT 9999NDV -SHRA FEW013/// SCT027/// BKN047/// 03/01 0994 MSL=

(Claremorris)PsMETAR CLAR 301200Z AUTO 05018G31KT //// // ////// 02/01 0993 MSL=

(Cork Airport)PsMETAR CORK 301200Z 04019KT 9999 BKN008 BKN012 04/03 0985 MSL=

(Dublin Airport)PsMETAR DUBL 301200Z 07029G43KT 7000 -RA FEW008 SCT012 BKN016 04/03 0992 MSL=

(Finner)PsMETAR FINN 301200Z AUTO 06019G30KT //// // ////// 02/01 0997 MSL=

(Gurteen)PsMETAR GURT 301200Z AUTO 06016KT 9999NDV DZ FEW011/// BKN015/// OVC020/// 04/03 0989 MSL=

(Johnstown Castle)PsMETAR JOHN 301200Z AUTO 08016G27KT 6000NDV RA OVC006/// 05/04 0987 MSL=

(Connaught Airport)PsMETAR KNOC 301200Z 04017KT 7000 -RASN BKN005 BKN013 BKN016 01/00 0994 MSL=

(Mace Head)PsMETAR MACE 301200Z AUTO 05025G37KT 9999NDV DZ BKN020/// 03/02 0991 MSL=

(Malin Head)PsMETAR MALI 301200Z AUTO 07039G48KT 9999NDV BKN021/// 05/02 1000 MSL REDZ=

(Mullingar)PsMETAR MULL 301200Z AUTO 06017G32KT 9999NDV -SHRA FEW011/// BKN014/// BKN020/// 03/02 0992 MSL=

(Oak Park)PsMETAR OKPK 301200Z AUTO 07012G23KT 9999NDV FEW017/// BKN020/// BKN024/// 04/02 0990 MSL REDZ=

(Roches Point)PsMETAR ROCH 301200Z AUTO 04019G30KT 9999NDV OVC009/// 05/04 0984 MSL=

(Shannon Airport)PsMETAR SHAN 301200Z 03014KT 9999 -RA FEW008 BKN014 BKN020 04/03 0988 MSL=

(Sherkin Island)PsMETAR SHER 301200Z AUTO 05022G32KT 9999NDV -SHRA FEW008/// BKN033/// 05/04 0983 MSL=

(Valentia Observatory)PsMETAR VALE 301200Z 07016G29KT 9999 -RA BKN010 BKN035 03/02 0986 MSL=

Short TAFs

(CASEMENT (BALDONNEL) (MIL))TAF EIME 301007Z 3012/3021 08025G38KT 7000 -RA -RASN SCT008 BKN014 TEMPO 3012/3021 08030G45KT 3000 RA RASN SCT005 BKN008 PROB40 TEMPO 3016/3021 1500 -SN SCT003 BKN005 =

(BELFAST/ CITY)TAF EGAC 301114Z 3012/3021 06018G28KT 9999 FEW015 BKN030 TEMPO 3012/3017 05025G40KT 5000 RA RASN BKN014=

(LONDONDERRY/ EGLINTON)TAF EGAE 301114Z 3012/3021 07018G28KT 9999 FEW015 SCT025 TEMPO 3012/3014 6000 RA RASN BKN010 PROB30 TEMPO 3012/3018 06022G38KT=

No TAF reports valid at this time for the following - EIDW EINN EICK EIKN EGAA

Long TAFs

(DUBLIN)TAF EIDW 301100Z 3012/3112 07025G36KT 8000 -RA -RASN SCT012 BKN018 TEMPO 3012/3100 07030G42KT 4000 RA RASN SCT005 BKN008 PROB30 TEMPO 3016/3023 2000 RASN -SN BKN005 OVC008 BECMG 3102/3105 05020KT 9999 SCT020 BKN045 =

(SHANNON)TAF EINN 301100Z 3012/3112 04020KT 9999 SCT008 BKN014 TEMPO 3012/3102 04026G40KT 4000 RA RASN SCT005 BKN008 PROB30 TEMPO 3017/3101 2000 SN BKN004 BECMG 3104/3107 04015KT BECMG 3106/3109 SCT020 BKN045 =

(CORK)TAF EICK 301100Z 3012/3112 04022KT 9999 BKN008 BKN012 TEMPO 3012/3104 3000 RA RASN SCT002 BKN004 PROB30 TEMPO 3015/3023 1500 FG RASN BKN001 BECMG 3016/3018 07025KT TEMPO 3018/3023 07026G40KT =

(CONNAUGHT)TAF EIKN 301100Z 3012/3112 05017KT 5000 -SN BKN008 BKN012 TEMPO 3012/3021 1500 -SN SCT002 BKN005 PROB40 TEMPO 0312/3021 0700 SN BKN001 BECMG 3101/3103 9999 NSW SCT020 BKN040 =

(BELFAST/ ALDERGROVE)TAF EGAA 301100Z 3012/3112 05020G35KT 9999 FEW012 SCT024 TEMPO 3012/3016 5000 RA RASN BKN012 BECMG 3019/3022 03015G25KT BECMG 3102/3106 02009KT=

No Long TAF reports valid at this time for the following - EIME EGAC EGAE

SIGMETs

(IRELAND)EISN SIGMET 01 VALID 301200/301600 EINN- EISN SHANNON FIR SEV TURB FCST LAND AREAS BLW FL050 INTSF=

(UNITED KINGDOM OF GREAT BRITAIN AND NORTHERN IRELAND)EGTT SIGMET 01 VALID 301110/301500 EGRR- EGTT LONDON FIR SEV TURB FCST WI N5430 W00530 - N5430 W00400 - N5300 W00400 - N5300 W00530 BLW FL060 STNR NC=

No Sigmet reports valid at this time for the following - NT

Local Area Forecasts

(GALWAY (CARNMORE))EICM LOCAL AREA FORECAST VALID 301000/301900 WIND 04018G30KT TEMPO 1219 05027G42KT VISIBILITY 9999 TEMPO 1019 4000 PROB30 TEMPO 1016 2000 WEATHER -RA TEMPO 1019 RA PROB30 TEMPO 1016 SN RASN CLOUD SCT008 BKN015 TEMPO 1019 BKN008 PROB30 TEMPO 1016 BKN005 CLOUD HEIGHTS GIVEN ABOVE MSL=

(DONEGAL)EIDL LOCAL AREA FORECAST VALID 301000/301900 WIND 07014KT BECMG 1012 06018G30KT TEMPO 1219 06024G35KT VISIBILITY 9999 TEMPO 1015 7000 PROB40 TEMPO 1014 4000 WEATHER NSW TEMPO 1015 -RADZ PROB30 TEMPO 1014 RASN CLOUD SCT012 BKN020 TEMPO 1015 BKN012 PROB40 TEMPO 1014 SCT005 BKN007 CLOUD HEIGHTS GIVEN ABOVE MSL=

(KERRY (FARRANFORE))EIKY LOCAL AREA FORECAST VALID 301000/301900 WIND 05010KT BECMG 1011 05015KT TEMPO 1019 06017G30KT VISIBILITY 7000 TEMPO 1019 4000 PROB30 TEMPO 1017 2000 WEATHER TEMPO 1019 -RA PROB30 TEMPO 1017 RASN CLOUD SCT007 BKN015 TEMPO 1019 BKN007 PROB30 TEMPO 1017 BKN004 CLOUD HEIGHTS GIVEN ABOVE MSL=

(SLIGO)EISG LOCAL AREA FORECAST VALID 301000/301900 WIND 06018G30KT TEMPO 1219 06024G36KT VISIBILITY 9999 TEMPO 1018 5000 PROB30 TEMPO 1014 3000 WEATHER TEMPO 1018 -RA PROB40 TEMPO 1014 RASN CLOUD SCT010 BKN020 TEMPO 1018 SCT007 BKN010 PROB30 TEMPO 1014 BKN007 CLOUD HEIGHTS GIVEN ABOVE MSL=

(WATERFORD)EIWF LOCAL AREA FORECAST VALID 301000/301900 WIND 09018KT TEMPO 1019 09022G33KT VISIBILITY 9999 TEMPO 1019 4000 PROB30 TEMPO 1019 2000 WEATHER -RA TEMPO 1019 -RADZ CLOUD BKN010 TEMPO 1019 BKN005 PROB30 TEMPO 1019 BKN003 CLOUD HEIGHTS GIVEN ABOVE MSL=

Local Warnings

(DUBLIN)EIDW 301200/310000 GALE WARNING ISSUED AT 301010 EASTERLY WINDS 25-30KT GUSTING 40-45KT =

(SHANNON)EINN 301300/310300 GALE WARNING ISSUED AT 300630 NORTHEASTERLY WINDS WITH MEAN SPEED 22-27KT WILL GUST 37-42KT=

(CORK)EICK 301800/310000 GALE WARNING ISSUED AT 301010 EASTERLY WINDS 25-30KT GUSTING 40-45KT =

(CONNAUGHT)EIKN 301300/310100 GALE WARNING ISSUED AT 300630 NORTHEASTERLY WINDS WITH MEAN SPEED 20-25KT WILL GUST 36-41KT=

(CONNAUGHT)EIKN 291500/301200 FROST WARNING ISSUED AT 291510 SLIGHT TO SHARP GROUND FROST=

(CONNAUGHT)EIKN 301200/302300 SNOW WARNING ISSUED AT 301010 LIGHT OCCASIONALLY MODERATE SNOW =

(CASEMENT (BALDONNEL) (MIL))EIME 301200/310000 GALE WARNING ISSUED AT 301010 EASTERLY WINDS 25-30KT GUSTING 40-45KT =

kenskool

went up to sally gap an hour ago snow was over a foot deep almost got stuck:D

squonk

Been only dipping in here the past few days. Are the showers from the low going to be widespread? Thought only sea effect snow was expected for the East later.

Raining and cold here in Clare. Getting somewhat sleety here now though.

Supercell

Heavy wet snow/sleet here, pretty nice. Will turn back to rain , so near yet so far for the moment!

darkman2

Good snowfall forcast for most of the country this evening and tonight. Blizzard conditions possible for a time

Mr.Boots

kenskool wrote: »

went up to sally gap an hour ago snow was over a foot deep almost got stuck:D

Yer tacking a chance there dude.
I know the roads quite well i have a 4x4 and am used to driving on snow/ice and i dont think i would chance it as tempted as i am, not just for my sake, but for the sake of those that would have to rescue you.
Dont be a silly billy....100 lines "i must not go Sally Gap in snow":D

jenzz

darkman2 wrote: »

Good snowfall forcast for most of the country this evening and tonight. Blizzard conditions possible for a time

& yet again we miss out on the east.....

Nice picture though :D

eskimocat

Weathercheck wrote: »

The battle lines are being drawn over Ireland now.



A classic battle taking place right on top of us.

Looking at the sky here now, it is like a witches brew, clouds scudding across the sky, rain splatting down like its been hurled by Irelands greatest... ah yes, there is something going on up there!:rolleyes:

Mobhi1

Weathercheck wrote: »

The battle lines are being drawn over Ireland now.

Moist warm air pushing from the southwest, cold dry air pushing in from the northeast. Precip intensifying, wind increasing.

A classic battle taking place right on top of us.

Very mild air not too far away anyway - buoy M5 just south of Wexford reporting 10.6C with a DP of 10.1C!:eek:

CHD

Hello,

Could some person who knows about weather tell me the chances of me seeing snow in the next week? Im in Kilcoole, on the coast in Wicklow. Will it just be the typical mother nature being a tease and covering the mountains 30 mins away?

Many Thanks

owenc

can someone tell me when the north can expect this rain to turn to HEAVY snow today (going by that chart) and if we could get much accumulations?

Min

Temperatures now dropping here, looks like the heavier precipitation and the battle zone is dragging down temperatures at this stage.

kenskool

Mr.Boots wrote: »

Yer tacking a chance there dude.
I know the roads quite well i have a 4x4 and am used to driving on snow/ice and i dont think i would chance it as tempted as i am, not just for my sake, but for the sake of those that would have to rescue you.
Dont be a silly billy....100 lines "i must not go Sally Gap in snow":D

if u have a good jeep and off road tyres you should make it up but its almost impossible to come up the viewpoint way you have to come the other way
but i suppose your better off not risking it;)

Mobhi1

Min wrote: »

Temperatures now dropping here, looks like the heavier precipitation and the battle zone is dragging down temperatures at this stage.

No temperature drop here - still 3.4C with rain just as it has been all morning (and most of the night)!

redman

I was up sallygap at 11.30 and it was all melting and easy enough to get through

ffarrell

After listening to the 1.00 clock weather forceast I doubt there will be any snow at all in the East, South or West but perhaps some snow showers in the North. The East although cold is too sheltered hence the lack of precipitation. Maybe a few snow flurries tomorrow they said to cover themselves. I just don not see any snow on the horizon except as I say in the North. Sorry..................:mad:

Dotsie~tmp

ffarrell wrote: »

After listening to the 1.00 clock weather forceast I doubt there will be any snow at all in the East, South or West but perhaps some snow showers in the North. The East although cold is too sheltered hence the lack of precipitation. Maybe a few snow flurries tomorrow they said to cover themselves. I just don not see any snow on the horizon except as I say in the North. Sorry..................:mad:

There's a reason Dublin was established where it is. An the sheltering was one of them I think.

nacho libre

ffarrell wrote: »

After listening to the 1.00 clock weather forceast I doubt there will be any snow at all in the East, South or West but perhaps some snow showers in the North. The East although cold is too sheltered hence the lack of precipitation. Maybe a few snow flurries tomorrow they said to cover themselves. I just don not see any snow on the horizon except as I say in the North. Sorry..................:mad:

with convectional precipitation in the east at play, i'm almost certain over the next three - four days it will throw up surprises that met eireann don't forecast in advance

Wibbler

Mobhi1 wrote: »

No temperature drop here - still 3.4C with rain just as it has been all morning (and most of the night)!

Looking at the rain and hearing the howling wind here it's difficult to believe that anything wintry this way comes. Just looks like typical wet muck.

The M2 buoy temp and dew points are higher than this time yesterday so I guess this low is bringing more mild air north than expected.

Any predicted snow seems to always be about a day away.

SpitfireIV

Wibbler wrote: »

Looking at the rain and hearing the howling wind here it's difficult to believe that anything wintry this way comes. Just looks like typical wet muck.

The M2 buoy temp and dew points are higher than this time yesterday so I guess this low is bringing more mild air north than expected.

Any predicted snow seems to always be about a day away.

Lol, I said something to the same effect yesterday, very tounge in cheek, but I'm really starting to believe it now.

My temps are higher now than this time yesterday, and seem to be still rising, 4c and DP of 2.8c, still a long long way from snow territory!

squonk

Check out the circular arc to the west on ME's 12:45 rainfall radar image. Must be an error of some sort. Looks too symmetric to be real!

SpitfireIV

squonk wrote: »

Check out the circular arc to the west on ME's 12:45 rainfall radar image. Must be an error of some sort. Looks too symmetric to be real!

That was there most of yesterday too I believe.

jambofc

temp dropping now,down from 4c to 2.8 now and a wind that would cut you in half and it comeing from a more northerly north/easterly direction,let the war begin