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Model Outlook Thread: January 2010

Deep Easterly · 2010-01-05 07:11:44

Just to keep the aul model watching for medium term forecasts separate from the main short term discussion threads and to prevent a clogging up ;) Haven't looked at the GFS but UKMO and ECM runs this morning keeping themselves very cold this morning. Indeed, ECM out the 240 shows little hope of any warmer weather even…

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#272 24-01-2010 11:08am
200motels

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I agree, but the GFS chart for Thursday promises something wintry for the north east, it's a good bit out and lately they have been all over the place, we'll have to wait and see.

[URL="javascript: viewimage(1);"][/URL]

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#273 24-01-2010 11:38am
jambofc

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big upgrades -10 uppers and plenty of precip around from Thursday to Saturday

fingers crossed for this maybe just maybe,i might see my snow

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#274 24-01-2010 1:14pm
Redsunset

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This chart shows us last years record breaking stratosphere warming(circled above on left as it happened and what we're aiming for again on the right.)

This is in the strat warming thread however Snowaddict has been making very good references to it on this thread.

http://www.boards.ie/vbulletin/showthread.php?t=2055728070

She's climbing very well and is almoct a carbon copy to last years.

Probably won't see such an extensive warming again,however look at the little warming mid november on the chart that disrupted MR POLAR VORTEX.

Could lead to blocking too because the QBO is easterly,last year was westerly so nowt blocking,just extreamly strong downward easterly zonal winds creating our FEB 2nd snow in the east.

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