PyRo's Horse Bets.

The Big Red Button

Doocey wrote: »

Pyro man , well done the good run of form yesterday. Wasn't on them myself as I'm up in college at the minute however, I have one tip for you.

Perhaps take a day off?
Your write-ups often go until 4 or 5 in the morning.

Yeah that's true, but they rarely go on during the day, the dude clearly operates on a different timetable than us mere humans! Tis just how he rolls!

(Hush up and just let him keep making us rich! )

x PyRo

Only bet for tomorrow. Nothing jumping out and saving the stakes for an end of week rampage.

Cheers CP. Sleep is for the weak though. :pac:

Whitts, I've had a look around for that horse, no sign of any horse with that name. You must of picked it up wrong dude.

noelpat

I think the right name is Will Jamie Run

UrbanSea

Well Pyro,haven't been on in a few days the internet is ****ed. Good to see a beauty of a weekend.

UrbanSea

Good luck with that one today,I knew i knew the name,won't be backing it myself,cost me a few quid two runs ago. Seems an expensive horse to back,favourtie 5 times,and won once as favourite,as a 1/4 shot.

paulb06

noelpat wrote: »

I think the right name is Will Jamie Run

Running Tomorrow at Listowel 4.35pm..

noelpat

Does anyone know whats happening at Yarmouth?
I cant get the 2:40 result anywhere

Nulty

Its not been run yet. Going off at 3.10. There was an injury to the jockey on Kentish and hes been withdrawn. They're waiting for a second ambulance

noelpat

Nulty wrote: »

Its not been run yet. Going off at 3.10. There was an injury to the jockey on Kentish and hes been withdrawn. They're waiting for a second ambulance

Thanks mate I had no idea what was going on, hopefully its not to bad for the jockey though

x PyRo

greetings wrote: »

Well Pyro,haven't been on in a few days the internet is ****ed. Good to see a beauty of a weekend.

Cheers G, expensive to follow is right, 3/1 favourite now. :eek:

Edit: Just noticed the NR's.

x PyRo

2nd.

Looked like he was going to get his victory but got nailed on the line, as they always do!

UrbanSea

Ah well,impossible racing during the week to pick out anyway! Might leave most of mine to the weekend,or unless there are a few class 1 or 2 races.

x PyRo

That's life! Can't wait for the good racing at the end of the week/weekend. So much easier to find selections.

UrbanSea

Last message didn't save,gay internet here. I'm the same,college has me broke :pac: out of money since the first night.

POINTBREAK

Close enough. Traded at 1.51 on Betfair. Was there a rule 4 in the race? I noticed there were 4 non runners.

Nulty

noelpat wrote: »

Thanks mate I had no idea what was going on, hopefully its not to bad for the jockey though

She broke her leg when crushed by the horse against the side of the stalls.

x PyRo

4:30 Yarmouth - Revered - 3pts @ 11/4 (PaddyPower)

Lightly raced 3 year old filly who has very solid claims if running to ability here. She has only had 4 races to date, 2 as a two year old and 2 this term. In her debut she was a fast finishing 3rd over 7f in a decent maiden race at Salisbury. There has been plenty of winners and good form out of that race and she ran very very green that day which probably cost her from being closer to the eventual winner Thrill, she wasn't whipped that day and was given an easy time of it and it was a very impressive run on similar soft-ish ground that she'll more than likely get today. She looked a sure fire next time out winner and duly obliged when winning over the same 7f trip at Newmarket in an even hotter contest which has also had a number of winner since. She was off the track from that race in October '09 and returned in June for her debut handicap race off a mark of 85 over 1m 1f. She seemed to need the race that day and ended up 6 lengths behind eventual winner, Beachfire. They then opposed each other once more at Sandown three weeks later, with Revered 7lbs better off at the weights. My selection ran very well that day and looked the likely winner a furlong out but Beachfire ran on very strongly and got the better of the Stoute horse in the final 50 yards to get up by a neck.

The form of that race hasn't worked out too much in my horses favour but Beachfire won next time out off a mark of 91 in a hot handicap at Goodwood, which is obviously testament to the Stoute horses abilities. That race was over two months ago and Michael Stoute hasn't brought his filly out since, she was entered in a far hotter class 2 handicap four days ago but was declared a non-runner to head for this race instead. I expect she'll have improved and will strengthened up over the last couple of months, she should certainly have the ability to take a race like this and even with a 3lb penalty for that run last time out she really warrants her favourite tag here. The way she handled the cut in the ground on debut after she got going makes me think she'll relish it in the long term and with Yarmouth's ground currently Good to Soft (Soft in places) I think she has an excellent chance of making her record 2 win from 5 runs. Sir Michael Stoute had a baron spell in the last few months but has hit form once again in the last week with 7 of his last 18 (38%) charges winning, which is obviously impressive. Stoute doesn't visit Yarmouth too often of late but he has an impressive 22% strike rate at the course. Ryan Moore gets the leg up on Revered and he has been on her on 3 of her 4 career starts. He should certainly know what to do with her and will hopefully prove a good asset to her chances here, he also has a good 20% strike rate when riding here and a very impressive 30% strike rate when riding here for Stoute. If coping with the couple of months off and if she hasn't had a set back since I certainly see her as the one to beat.

The Mark Johnston trained Autumn Riches is the main danger in my opinion, but he's 6lbs for his win at Windsor last time out and instead of Fallon on board it'll be Royston Ffrench, who I do not rate as a good jockey. He has also never been tested at this trip and was raced over 8f on his last three races, shaped as if needing further but I'd prefer something that's tried and tested and I suspect Autumn Riches and Geneva Geyser to be vying for the lead with the latter having a tendency to set a very strong gallop and if that happens I think it'll suit my selection very much and may not be ideal for the Johnston horse. The other danger is the Jim Boyle trained Hear The Roar, he was unlucky not to win last time out but this is a lot tougher and I don't think his current price of 10/3 represents value here and Pat Cosgrave doesn't have a good record when riding at Yarmouth, which is enough to put me off along with the fact that Boyle hasn't had a winner for 4 weeks. He's also an unknown on softer ground and is certainly opposable at that price although he's highly progressive and could have more to come but the Stoute horse is more like my idea of the winner. I have Revered priced up as 6/4 clear favourite on what she has done so far, so obviously the 11/4 is extremely attractive to me and I expect she'll be backed tomorrow if everyone doesn't come for the Johnston horse as does happen oh so often. It should be an interesting affair and hopefully the Stoute horse will be staying on best of the lot as I expect her to and prove her undoubted ability. She's the one to beat and 11/4 is generous. 3 point win and my only selection of the day.

UrbanSea

Have to disagree with you about Royston Ffrench. You don't become a stable jock for Mark Johnston and pick up rides for the likes of Richard Fahey and Godolphin for nothing,and bad jocks don't get out to Meydan to ride a winner World Cup night.

x PyRo

x PyRo wrote: »

I have Revered priced up as 6/4 clear favourite on what she has done so far, so obviously the 11/4 is extremely attractive to me and I expect she'll be backed tomorrow.

Got that spot on. Well backed 6/4 fav.

She went over on her nose at the beginning of the race, done really well to place in the end according to the Timeform Radio guys.

Hurry up Saturday!

Edit : Just seen the replay, wouldn't of won anyways I'd say but that nosedive certainly cost her a chance.

Bank - 306.39pts (+206.39pts)

x PyRo

3:50 Ayr - Faithful Ruler - 1pt e/w @ 12/1 (PaddyPower)

Interesting runner here, won this race last year off a 4lb lower mark when winning very easily in a similarly competitive field. He's 6 now but recent efforts have suggested that he's in as good knick as ever when returning to the race track on the back of 6 months off. This year the betting would suggest he's the Fahey second string as Hanagan chooses to ride Arabian Spirit instead but I feel that Faithful Ruler is the superior horse of the two and at over double the price of his stablemate he certainly looks huge value. The style of his win in the race last year was tremendous, he was held up and switched off until the final couple of furlongs and when Hanagan moved him out to challenge the race was over in a matter of strides with hands and heels, he was barely even hit. He pulled 5 clear and was eased down near the finish and the official distance was 3 lengths. He's 4lbs higher now but the offset of Lee Topliss and his 5lb claim will bring him below that mark, which is an obvious help. He has been picking up a nice few rides for Fahey of late and has won on 6 of his last 22 in the past month which is an impressive 27% strike rate. He's a very promising young claimer and has been on board Faithful Ruler before in a similarly hot contest in which he finished 4th out of 9, that was on rapidly fast ground which I do not think suits the horse and todays bit of cut will be a major plus to his chances. Topliss also has a highly impressive 22% strike rate when riding over 1m, which seems to be his best riding distance as his records over shorter are significantly worse as with his record over further. Hopefully he'll be adding a couple more percent to that come after the race.

Faithful Ruler had a fairly busy season in '09 in which he began off a mark of 71 and after a number of solid efforts and 2 wins he was eventually rated 89 at his peak. He kept racing on the AW over the winter until January the 1st and wasn't seen again until July when he returned to race over 1m and half a furlong, that was Lee's first ride on him and he came a solid 4th out of 9 on that quick surface which doesn't suit him in my opinion, plus he more than likely needed the run. He then got his soft ground next time out at Ripon in a hotter contest than this, he was held up last for a long time and looked under pressure 3 out but when Hanagan found the gaps he maneuvered his way from last to 3rd whilst making rapid headway on the leaders but the line came too early and he ended up coming 3/4's of a length back in 3rd. That race looks a good indication of his abilities and I feel he'll get an ideally run race here over a course where his form reads 2-1-5, with the 5th place coming on very heavy ground. He certainly has good each way claims here and with a bit of luck in running I think he could win this race for the second year in a row. 12/1 looks massive to me and he's half that price in my book and I would be surprised to see this price available come race time. Should go well with conditions to suit and an inform 5lb claim on board.

x PyRo

Powers went 9's just before I finished my write up.

argosy2006

x PyRo wrote: »

Powers went 9's just before I finished my write up.

it just means ur good, real good:D

UrbanSea

He said before,not after :pac:

x PyRo

:pac: Unless they've tapped into my mind.

Someone stuck a few hundred on him on Betfair I'd assume.

UrbanSea

That's weird,William Hill prices were up on the race earlier and not now,on Oddschecker.

x PyRo

They take them down early all the time.

Was 12's with them too.

UrbanSea

Strange they do that,I've gone against you in that race. Come on dead heat :P

x PyRo

4:00 Pontefract - Pepper Lane - 1pt e/w @ 14/1 (Bet365)

Consistent 3 year old filly who is rarely out of the frame having had 14 career runs and finished in the top four on 10 occasions. She looks very progressive and despite being having a fairly hectic campaign, she started off this season at Redcar off a mark of 56 and won that race landing a bit of a touch. She was then moved to the O'Meara stable and has since been the picture of consistency placing on 4 of her 5 runs for this yard and coming 4th on the other occasion. She now races off a mark of 70 but I certainly feel there's more to come from this Exceed and Excel filly and she gets in here carrying a featherweight of 8st 4lbs and has the wonderful Silvester De Sousa on board. De Sousa has an excellent 28% strike rate when riding for O'Meara and he was on Pepper Lane for the first time last time out. She never really traveled that day and got going too late on as she tends to do sometimes but despite being upped in class now I think she'll have a good chance with very little weight on a testing track where stamina usually plays its part and she usually finishes her races quite well. The ground is going to be quite fast at Pontefract today and that'll play to her strengths, she usually gives her best running on rapidly fast ground and with no rain predicted she could well have conditions to suit.

Esuvia may well be the one to plug them along up front and these two opposed each other before with Pepper Lane being beaten by a neck and she's 1lb better off here. My selection had to switch left to challenge that day and the line came too soon for her when she was making good strides to get up and if there's a similarly race run here today I think she'd get past her this time around. Ardent is the current favourite and was impressive last time out when making all to score by 4l but this is a notable step up in class and if those two go at each other from the start (drawn together) I think that Pepper Lane will get the race run to what she needs and her stamina may prove vital in the final furlongs of this 6f contest. There are plenty of other dangers hence this being a small stakes selection but with all things considered the 14/1 available is too big and she's 9/1 in my book. She has each way claims at a minimum but I really think she has the ability and room for improvement to win this race if everything pans out as expected, small stakes but one I expect to go well.

iggy

x PyRo wrote: »

Powers went 9's just before I finished my write up.

7/1 now on PP

x PyRo

Faithful Ruler was well backed into 6/1 but didn't do any good.

Pepper Lane drifted to 20/1 and was done in a photo. Would of traded very low in running.

+2pts today.