2010 Monthly Forecast Contest -- scores

hellboy99 · 29-09-2010 4:01pm

M.T. Cranium wrote: »

maybe we can share the load in new ways, although I do think people might over-estimate how much time this all requires (the new table took a while but now it will be very simple to update).

All the work you and others have put in is very much appreciated

I'm not working at present so I have some spare time and I'm happy to help out anyway I can. Feel free to drop a PM anytime

M.T. Cranium · 01-10-2010 5:07am

These are the current or formerly active contestants with at least four forecasts or active this month and at least once before. Scores have been checked and Pauldry has ten more points than previously. All of these partial scores will be blended into the next month's table so that people can compare their averages.

Mickger844posts ... -- . -- . -- . -- . 63 . 58 . 45 . 36 . ?? . ?? . ?? . ?? .. 202/4 ... 50.5
Pauldry ............... -- . -- . -- . 37 . 42 . 35 . 50 . 54 . ?? . ?? . ?? . ?? .. 218/5 ... 43.6
Talkabout ............ -- . -- . 56 . 39 . 41 . 56 . 25 . -- . ?? . ?? . ?? . ?? .. 217/5 ... 43.4
waterways ........... -- . -- . -- . 44 . -- . -- . 54 . 32 . ?? . ?? . ?? . ?? .. 130/3 ... 43.3
The Inquisitor ....... -- . 34 . 43 . -- . -- . -- . -- . 49 . ?? . ?? . ?? . ?? .. 126/3 ... 42.0
Cherryghost ......... 20 . 37 . 33 . 59 . -- . -- . -- . -- . ?? . ?? . ?? . ?? .. 149/4 ... 37.3
WolfeIRE .............. 30 . -- . -- . -- . -- . -- . 37 . 35 . ?? . ?? . ?? . ?? .. 102/3 ... 34.0
Homolumo ............ -- . -- . -- . -- . -- . -- . 38 . 22 . ?? . ?? . ?? . ?? ... 60/2 ... 30.0

If you are one of the above, check my entries against your own ... I was having a cold one while doing this.

M.T. Cranium · 01-10-2010 12:52pm

September scoring:

Forecaster ......... IMT ... max ... min ... rain ... sun ... bonus
_________________________________________________________

Actual values ..... 13.6 ... 22.6 ... +1.0 .. 149 .. 104 ... 1.8 .... (totals)

pauldry .............. 20 ..... 18 ..... 14 ..... 13 ..... 06 ..... 00 .... 71
Sponge Bob ........ 23 ..... 12 ..... 18 ..... 01 ..... 06 ..... 07 .... 67
WolfeIRE ............ 21 ..... 11 ..... 15 ..... 01 ..... 09 ..... 10 .... 67
nacho libre ......... 13 ..... 11 ..... 13 ..... 12 ..... 07 ..... 02 .... 58
Deep Easterly ..... 22 ..... 00 ..... 19 ..... 02 ..... 08 ..... 07 .... 58
Danno ............... 14 ..... 14 ..... 08 ..... 12 ..... 07 ..... 00 .... 55

Con Sensus ....... 17 ..... 16 ..... 05 ..... 01 ..... 10 ..... 03 .... 52

jd .................... 20 ..... 15 ..... 00 ..... 03 ..... 08 ..... 05 .... 51
Jerry Seinfeld ..... 17 ..... 16 ..... 05 ..... 04 ..... 08 ..... 00 .... 50
Rebelbrowser ...... 23 ..... 18 ..... 00 ..... 00 ..... 08 ..... 01 .... 50
waterways ......... 12 ..... 10 ..... 00 ..... 14 ..... 06 ..... 08 .... 50
mickger844posts.. 20 ..... 09 ..... 00 ..... 00 ..... 05 ..... 09 .... 43
kindredspirit ....... 12 ..... 16 ..... 00 ..... 05 ..... 09 ..... 00 .... 42
200motels .......... 18 ..... 05 ..... 04 ..... 02 ..... 06 ..... 07 .... 42
Su Campu .......... 17 ..... 05 ..... 09 ..... 00 ..... 09 ..... 02 .... 42
gothwalk ........... 06 ..... 14 ..... 13 ..... 00 ..... 09 ..... 00 ..... 42
DOCARCH ........... 19 ..... 09 ..... 00 ..... 00 ..... 09 ..... 04 .... 41
Fionagus ............ 16 ..... 05 ..... 00 ..... 07 ..... 07 ..... 06 .... 41
The Inquisitor ..... 04 ..... 14 ..... 00 ..... 10 ..... 07 ..... 03 .... 38
thetonynator ...... 14 ..... 09 ..... 00 ..... 00 ..... 09 ..... 04 .... 36
talkabout ........... 10 ..... 10 ..... 00 ..... 02 ..... 08 ..... 06 .... 36
nilhg .................. 16 ..... 00 ..... 00 ..... 00 ..... 09 .... 10 .... 35
Joe Public ........... 22 ..... 00 ..... 00 ..... 00 ..... 04 .... 09 .... 35
SeaFields ........... 10 ..... 09 ..... 04 ..... 00 ..... 08 ..... 03 .... 34
skipz ................. 16 ..... 00 ..... 00 ..... 09 ..... 06 ..... 02 .... 33
Strasser ............ 14 ..... 08 ..... 00 ..... 00 ..... 09 ..... 01 .... 32
hellboy99 ........... 18 ..... 00 ..... 00 ..... 03 ..... 09 ..... 01 .... 31
dasa29 .............. 17 ..... 06 ..... 00 ..... 00 ..... 06 ..... 02 .... 31
M.T. Cranium ...... 24 ..... 00 ..... 00 ..... 00 ..... 06 ..... 00 .... 30
John mac ........... 19 ..... 00 ..... 00 ..... 00 ..... 07 ..... 03 .... 29
redsunset .......... 06 ..... 14 ..... 00 ..... 00 ..... 09 ..... 00 .... 29
homolumo .......... 19 ..... 01 ..... 00 ..... 00 ..... 07 ..... 01 .... 28
dolanbaker ......... 08 ..... 00 ..... 00 ..... 05 ..... 04 ..... 09 .... 26

For once, the mercy rule was not needed to keep the scoring on pace, although the monthly minimum was close. Congrats to Pauldry, followed by Sponge Bob and Wolfe IRE leading the pack, and DE moving ahead of Con Sensus with Danno and Nacho Libre (a lot of western talent doing well this month for some reason). I shall update the annual scoring race as soon as possible.

Su Campu · 01-10-2010 1:10pm

M.T. Cranium wrote: »

September scoring:

Forecaster ......... IMT ..... max ..... min ..... rain ..... sun ..... bonus
_________________________________________________________

Actual values ..... 13.6 ..... 22.6 ..... +1.0 ..... 149 ..... 104 ..... 1.8

pauldry .............. 20 ..... 18 ..... 14 ..... 13 ..... 06 ..... 00 .... 71
Sponge Bob ........ 23 ..... 12 ..... 18 ..... 01 ..... 06 ..... 07 .... 67
WolfeIRE ............ 21 ..... 11 ..... 15 ..... 01 ..... 09 ..... 10 .... 67
nacho libre ......... 13 ..... 11 ..... 13 ..... 12 ..... 07 ..... 02 .... 58
Deep Easterly ..... 22 ..... 00 ..... 19 ..... 02 ..... 08 ..... 07 .... 58
Danno ............... 14 ..... 14 ..... 08 ..... 12 ..... 07 ..... 00 .... 55

Con Sensus ....... 17 ..... 16 ..... 05 ..... 01 ..... 10 ..... 03 .... 52

jd .................... 20 ..... 15 ..... 00 ..... 03 ..... 08 ..... 05 .... 51
Jerry Seinfeld ..... 17 ..... 16 ..... 05 ..... 04 ..... 08 ..... 00 .... 50
Rebelbrowser ...... 23 ..... 18 ..... 00 ..... 00 ..... 08 ..... 01 .... 50
waterways ......... 12 ..... 10 ..... 00 ..... 14 ..... 06 ..... 08 .... 50
mickger844posts.. 20 ..... 09 ..... 00 ..... 00 ..... 05 ..... 09 .... 43
kindredspirit ....... 12 ..... 16 ..... 00 ..... 05 ..... 09 ..... 00 .... 42
200motels .......... 18 ..... 05 ..... 04 ..... 02 ..... 06 ..... 07 .... 42
Su Campu .......... 17 ..... 05 ..... 09 ..... 00 ..... 09 ..... 02 .... 42
gothwalk ........... 06 ..... 14 ..... 13 ..... 00 ..... 09 ..... 00 ..... 42
DOCARCH ........... 19 ..... 09 ..... 00 ..... 00 ..... 09 ..... 04 .... 41
Fionagus ............ 16 ..... 05 ..... 00 ..... 07 ..... 07 ..... 06 .... 41
The Inquisitor ..... 04 ..... 14 ..... 00 ..... 10 ..... 07 ..... 03 .... 38
thetonynator ...... 14 ..... 09 ..... 00 ..... 00 ..... 09 ..... 04 .... 36
talkabout ........... 10 ..... 10 ..... 00 ..... 02 ..... 08 ..... 06 .... 36
nilhg .................. 16 ..... 00 ..... 00 ..... 00 ..... 09 .... 10 .... 35
Joe Public ........... 22 ..... 00 ..... 00 ..... 00 ..... 04 .... 09 .... 35
SeaFields ........... 10 ..... 09 ..... 04 ..... 00 ..... 08 ..... 03 .... 34
skipz ................. 16 ..... 00 ..... 00 ..... 09 ..... 06 ..... 02 .... 33
Strasser ............ 14 ..... 08 ..... 00 ..... 00 ..... 09 ..... 01 .... 32
hellboy99 ........... 18 ..... 00 ..... 00 ..... 03 ..... 09 ..... 01 .... 31
dasa29 .............. 17 ..... 06 ..... 00 ..... 00 ..... 06 ..... 02 .... 31
M.T. Cranium ...... 24 ..... 00 ..... 00 ..... 00 ..... 06 ..... 00 .... 30
John mac ........... 19 ..... 00 ..... 00 ..... 00 ..... 07 ..... 03 .... 29
redsunset .......... 06 ..... 14 ..... 00 ..... 00 ..... 09 ..... 00 .... 29
homolumo .......... 19 ..... 01 ..... 00 ..... 00 ..... 07 ..... 01 .... 28
dolanbaker ......... 08 ..... 00 ..... 00 ..... 05 ..... 04 ..... 09 .... 26

For once, the mercy rule was not needed to keep the scoring on pace, although the monthly minimum was close. Congrats to Pauldry, followed by Sponge Bob and Wolfe IRE leading the pack, and DE moving ahead of Con Sensus with Danno and Nacho Libre (a lot of western talent doing well this month for some reason). I shall update the annual scoring race as soon as possible.

GO TO BED MT, you've done more than enough for one day....and night!!!

M.T. Cranium · 01-10-2010 2:52pm

Annual Scoring Table (revised and updated)
_________________________

FCSTR ............... J .. F .. M .. A .. M .. J .. J .. A .. S .. O .. N .. D ... best 7 ... total ... avg .... rankings

Jerry Seinfeld ... -- . 57 . 52 . 74 . 22 . 48 . 71 . 55 . 50 . ?? . ?? . ?? .. 407 ... 429(8) ... 53.6 ... 1 --- 1
Joe Public ........ 77 . 39 . 46 . 83 . 30 . 62 . 58 . 36 . 35 . ?? . ?? . ?? .. 395 ... 466(9) ... 51.8 ... 2 . 2 . 4
Danno ............. 45 . 51 . 42 . 39 . 47 . 59 . 72 . 64 . 55 . ?? . ?? . ?? .. 393 ... 474(9) ... 52.7 ... 3 . 1 . 2
DOCARCH ........ 62 . 28 . 55 . 64 . 60 . 33 . 33 . 55 . 41 . ?? . ?? . ?? .. 370 ... 431(9) ... 47.9 ... 4 . 4 . 7
thetonynator .... -- . -- . 59 . 65 . 42 . 53 . 55 . 55 . 36 . ?? . ?? . ?? .. 365 ... 365(7) ... 52.1 ... 5 --- 3
Nilhg ............... 33 . 13 . 64 . 50 . 76 . 32 . 51 . 42 . 35 . ?? . ?? . ?? .. 351 ... 396(9) ... 44.0 ... 6 10 13

Con Sensus ..... 35 . 39 . 58 . 53 . 46 . 49 . 49 . 39 . 52 . ?? . ?? . ?? .. 346... 420(9) ... 46.7 ... 7 . 5 . 8

Redsunset ....... 32 . 37 . 71 . 45 . 62 . 33 . 65 . 32 . 29 . ?? . ?? . ?? .. 345 ... 406(9) ... 45.1 ... 7 . 6 . 9
Strasser .......... 47 . 34 . 42 . 63 . 38 . 27 . 63 . 58 . 32 . ?? . ?? . ?? .. 345 ... 404(9) ... 44.9 ... 8 . 7 . 11
Kindred Spirit ... 47 . 28 . 59 . 57 . 42 . 49 . 38 . 47 . 42 . ?? . ?? . ?? .. 343 ... 409(9) ... 45.3 ... 9 . 5 . 8
Su Campu ....... 38 . 35 . 40 . 54 . 72 . 50 . 31 . 38 . 42 . ?? . ?? . ?? .. 334 ... 400(9) ... 44.4 ... 10 10 12
M.T. Cranium ... 67 . 09 . 50 . 44 . 53 . 51 . 26 . 34 . 30 . ?? . ?? . ?? .. 329 ... 364(9) ... 40.4 ... 11 13 19
Nacho Libre ..... 37 . 15 . 49 . 49 . 40 . 52 . 38 . 32 . 58 . ?? . ?? . ?? .. 323 ... 370(9) ... 41.1 ... 12 12 17
Fionagus ......... 29 . 21 . 39 . 38 . 48 . 43 . 41 . 72 . 41 . ?? . ?? . ?? .. 322 ... 372(9) ... 41.3 ... 13 11 16
JD ................. 45 . 37 . 42 . 46 . 38 . 41 . 44 . 09 . 51 . ?? . ?? . ?? .. 307 ... 353(9) ... 39.2 ... 14 14 20
200motels ...... 31 . 27 . 49 . 38 . 33 . 52 . 57 . 22 . 42 . ?? . ?? . ?? .. 302 ... 351(9) ... 39.0 ... 15 15 21
Hellboy99 ....... 19 . 38 . 45 . 47 . 66 . 39 . 34 . 30 . 31 . ?? . ?? . ?? .. 300 ... 349(9) ... 38.8 ... 16 16 22
Rebelbrowser ... -- . 23 . 63 . 46 . -- . 41 . 41 . 34 . 50 . ?? . ?? . ?? .. 298 ... 298(7) ... 42.6 ... 17 -- 13
Dasa29 .......... 09 . 31 . 46 . 51 . 48 . 42 . 40 . 25 . 31 . ?? . ?? . ?? .. 289 ... 323(9) ... 35.9 ... 18 18 24
Johnmac ......... -- . 10 . 33 . 40 . 58 . 50 . 23 . 43 . 29 . ?? . ?? . ?? .. 276 ... 286(8) ... 35.7 ... 19 -- 25
Deep Easterly... 23 . 14 . 22 . 37 . 54 . 42 . 23 . 37 . 58 . ?? . ?? . ?? .. 274 ... 310(9) ... 34.4 ... 20 19 26
Seafields ......... -- . 08 . 16 . 46 . 48 . 62 . 31 . 07 . 34 . ?? . ?? . ?? .. 245 ... 252(8) ... 31.5 ... 21 -- 27

(only ranked for average)

Mickger844posts . -- . -- . -- . -- . 63 . 58 . 45 . 36 . 43 . ?? . ?? . ?? .. 245/5 ... 49.0 ............ -- -- 5
Pauldry ............. -- . -- . -- . 37 . 42 . 35 . 50 . 54 . 72 . ?? . ?? . ?? .. 290/6 ... 48.3 ............ -- -- 6
Talkabout .......... -- . -- . 56 . 39 . 41 . 56 . 25 . -- . 36 . ?? . ?? . ?? .. 253/6 ... 42.2 ............ -- -- 15
waterways ......... -- . -- . -- . 44 . -- . -- . 54 . 32 . 50 . ?? . ?? . ?? .. 180/4 ... 45.0 ............ -- -- 10
The Inquisitor ..... -- . 34 . 43 . -- . -- . -- . -- . 49 . 38 . ?? . ?? . ?? .. 164/4 ... 41.0 ............ -- -- 18
Cherryghost ....... 20 . 37 . 33 . 59 . -- . -- . -- . -- . -- . ?? . ?? . ?? .. 149/4 ... 37.3 ............ -- -- 23
WolfeIRE ............ 30 . -- . -- . -- . -- . -- . 37 . 35 . 67 . ?? . ?? . ?? .. 169/4 ... 42.3 ............ -- -- 14
Homolumo ........... -- . -- . -- . -- . -- . -- . 38 . 22 . 28 . ?? . ?? . ?? ... 88/3 ... 29.3 ............ -- -- 28

As you'll see this table is somewhat different from the previous ones, it has been ranked by "best seven" of the nine scores to keep track of the main competition. Anyone who has been playing fairly regularly but not eligible for this part is now in a separate section at the bottom of the table, but their rank for average is shown. Ranks are for three separate orders of merit, first the annual competition, then the MTC award (you need to be in all months to qualify) and then the average for however many you have played. I will add one-time September entrants if they attain two more contests. Obviously the ranking of averages is a bit of a random process because some months score generally higher or lower but it gives another measure to compare. Note that I didn't rank Con Sensus to preserve actual contestants' ranks, but Con Sensus would be sitting 7th, 5th and 8th in the three rankings. (edit -- I added these ranks to the table but note that anyone below consensus is ranked as if that rank did not exist).

So congrats to Jerry Seinfeld who is leading both the annual and the average contests, and to Danno who is now leading the MTC field among those playing all months (as well as moving up to 2nd in the average, and 3rd in the main contest behind Joe Public in second there). The Tonynator has slipped a bit to third in the average, and fifth in the annual contest where he's at a disadvantage having no "mulligans" so it's really an excellent showing. Rebelbrowser is another player still in that race with two missing months so no "mulligans." DOCARCH is certainly in the hunt for all three contests as well with two fourth place rankings. Nilhg is the other player ahead of Con Sensus. Then there is a solid pack just behind Con Sensus that continue to keep pace (while I fall back).

Note in the last group, Mickger844posts, Pauldry and waterways are showing well on the average rank, which is the only part of this contest they can score in under the rules.

Hope you can follow my chart and feel free to pose any questions or note any errors (I may have a second look at it later). :cool:

Edit -- I had a second look, and fixed up the columns a bit. Executive decision -- a person must play at least four times to rank in the "average" column. That means that all first-time forecasters in September must enter the three remaining months and then they get into this part of the contest.

Note also I have gone over my math on the averages and found a few minor errors so you may want to look again to see your position. Just to explain, the three ranks are

(a) annual competition for those entering at least seven months, dropping two lowest scores
(b) annual "MTC" competition for those entering all months only, based on total score
(c) comparing averages of all active players (active from now on defined as having at least four months as of October to end of year)

SeaFields · 01-10-2010 3:45pm

Even after all the splitting of tables and reorganising I'm still in last place

:pac:

Ah well. Well done MT. Great work.

M.T. Cranium · 01-10-2010 10:03pm

I quite often notice here and on other forums, when people join in these monthly forecasts they quite often start out near the bottom of the table -- this is to some extent a guessing game but the more seasoned hands tend to know the ranges that guesses might verify and so you'll find your scores usually tend to drift up at least into the average range after a bit of practice. Now that might not apply to first-timers who also have a background in weather (even if it's not professional) but I thank God or whoever that Danno always enters near the deadline, or we just wouldn't have a contest at all (half the field would just copy him).

Near the top of the table, there has to be some skill involved because the same people keep appearing there. And our consensus would provide on the whole some reasonably good long range forecasts. I should look into the average of our top ten forecasters each month and see what score that would generate. Perhaps a project for somebody else if they have a bit of time.

I encourage people to stay with this and not be too concerned about rank, because you'll find that it makes you more aware of forecast potential from the large-scale climate clues that are always out there, some of them in the form of available products but perhaps more significantly just from your own feel for the way a pattern is evolving. As we've seen in 2010, trends come and go, we've had cold/dry, mild/wet, warm/dry, warm/wet and cool/wet followed by some cool/dry and now back to mild/wet on the broad scale.

pauldry · 02-10-2010 12:56am

All very interesting. Ive had my "fluke" month but celebrated my glory with a large bag of peanut M&Ms (perhaps ate them too fast - belch).:D I do tell people what boards think the weather will be like for a month e.g if someone asks do you think it will be wet this month I say well boards are forecasting a wet one. Some say who??!! And I just say ya know boards.ie and then they know.

Those tables are great work and may I also praise DE for those charts that are put up during the course of the month. As my niece would say "class".

One final question..Is consensus a person or an average of everyones forecasts or is it just someone wearing a helmet with clouds on it like a weather "Stig"?:cool:

Joe Public · 02-10-2010 1:02am

Speaking of Danno, did he miss the "no penalty" boat for October?

It might be interesting to compare the contestants' IMT, sun% & rain% to the actual monthly averages and have another entry just like Con Sensus.

M.T. Cranium · 02-10-2010 1:27am

Normal would be well below consensus if entered. The problem would be the bonus questions which sometimes have a known bias from normal and where normal would score very low but not in a random way. I could throw that in for 2011 but don't think I could replicate it now for 2010 except to say that the average would be at least 5% below consensus and maybe as much as 8-10 per cent below. Take January for example where most contestants guessed at least somewhere below normal in general. Normal would have probably been hard pressed to score 30 there, or June where it was looking warm and dry to many. Then on the bonus questions, if they deal with days before the 10th of the month and the models are leaning towards something not like the climatology, then would we go with what is "normal" for that pattern or just the background normal which has already lost some to the actual pattern in terms of being likely to verify (and which most of the guesses will avoid). Bonus questions further into the month are really guesses that test the normal expectation more.

Usually consensus is a stiffer test than normal in a weather forecasting contest of any kind. When normal beats consensus then everyone has taken a wrong turn in general. I think that may have happened with July sunshine.

As to Danno, yes he may have missed the penalty free phase of October, but our penalty is rather benign, just to remind people what it is -- you can lose points above 60 up to ten per cent of the total, if that keeps you above 60. In other words, 61-66 become 60, 70 becomes 63, 80 becomes 72 etc. My reasoning there was that most forecasts would not benefit much from one extra day but we would penalize the higher scores just because those would be more likely to have benefitted.

Danno · 09-10-2010 2:33pm

M.T. Cranium wrote: »

As to Danno, yes he may have missed the penalty free phase of October,

Damn 30 days in September caught me off guard!

M.T. Cranium · 02-11-2010 9:06pm

Final report on October scoring ...

Forecaster ....... IMT ... max ... min ... rain ... sun ....Val 9th
_________________________________________________________

Actuial values .... 10.1 ... 20.6 .. -4.1 ... 080 ... 130 ... 19.4

SeaFields ........... 19 .... 19* .... 19 ...... 04* ..... 08 ..... 03 ..... 72
Danno* ............. 25 ..... 07* .... 00 ..... 12*...... 10 ..... 09 ..... 63=60
John mac ........... 23 ..... 00 ..... 18 ...... 06* .... 05 ..... 04 ..... 56
hellboy99 ........... 17 ..... 12*.... 14 ...... 02* .... 04 ..... 06 ..... 55
Su Campu .......... 20 ..... 06* .... 16 ..... 00 ...... 05 ..... 06 ..... 53
waterways ......... 19 ..... 17* .... 06 ..... 07* .... 04 ..... 00 ..... 53
Thetonynator ..... 21 ..... 08* ..... 01 .... 12*..... 05 ..... 05 ..... 52
mickger844posts . 20 ..... 04* ..... 01 .... 14*..... 05 ..... 07 ..... 51
DOCARCH ........... 18 .... 08* ..... 01 .... 12* ..... 04 ..... 08 ..... 51
M.T. Cranium ...... 15 .... 13*...... 12 .... 01* ..... 03 ..... 03 ..... 47
nilhg ................. 15 ..... 00 ...... 04 .... 12*...... 05 ..... 08 ..... 44
kindredspirit ....... 14 ..... 09*..... 09 ..... 00 ...... 04 ..... 06 ..... 42
jd ..................... 17 ..... 02*.... 16 ..... 02* ..... 04 ..... 01 ..... 42
talkabout ........... 21 ..... 00 ..... 15 ..... 04* ..... 01 ..... 00 ..... 41
gothwalk ........... 24 ..... 00 ...... 09 ..... 04* ..... 00 ..... 04 ..... 41
Rebelbrowser ...... 17 ..... 00 ..... 13 ..... 03* ..... 05 ..... 00 ..... 38
Fionagus ............ 17 ..... 00 ..... 17 ..... 00 ...... 01 ..... 00 ..... 35

Con Sensus ........ 17 ..... 01*..... 07 ..... 03* .... 03 ..... 03 ..... 34

homolumo .......... 21 ..... 00 ..... 08 ..... 04* ..... 01 ..... 00 ..... 34
jambofc* ........... 11 ..... 07*.... 00 ..... 00 ....... 05 ..... 10 ..... 33
Joe Public .......... 13 ..... 00 ..... 08 ..... 01* ..... 03 ..... 08 ..... 33
Strasser ............ 15 ..... 00 ..... 03 ..... 02* ..... 02 ..... 09 ..... 31
Sponge Bob ........ 18 .... 04* .... 01 ..... 00 ...... 05 ..... 03 ..... 31
The Inquisitor ..... 16 ..... 01*.... 11 ..... 00 ...... 02 ..... 00 ..... 30
nacho libre ......... 22 ..... 00 ..... 03 ..... 02* .... 01 ..... 00 ..... 28
redsunset .......... 14 ..... 00 ..... 00 ..... 00 ...... 03 ..... 10 ..... 27
Jerry Seinfeld ..... 18 ..... 01* .... 00 ..... 00 ...... 00 ..... 02 ..... 21
WolfeIRE ........... 01 ..... 06* .... 09 ..... 00 ...... 01 ..... 01 ..... 18
pauldry ............. 13 ..... 02* .... 01 ..... 00 ...... 02 ..... 00 ..... 18
dasa29 ............. 16 ..... 00 ...... 00 ..... 00 ...... 00 ..... 00 ..... 16
200motels ......... 11 ..... 00 ...... 05 ..... 00 ...... 00 ..... 00 ..... 16

Congrats to Seafields, for a fine showing in October, and to Danno for managing second place despite a penalty of three points.

Heading on to update the annual scoring race.

M.T. Cranium · 02-11-2010 10:01pm

Update on annual scoring table
______________________________

FCSTR ............... J .. F .. M .. A .. M .. J .. J .. A .. S .. O .. N .. D ... best 8 ... total ... avg .... rankings

Danno ............. 45 . 51 . 42 . 39 . 47 . 59 . 72 . 64 . 55 . 60 . ?? . ?? .. 453 ... 534(10) .. 53.4 ... 1 . 1 . 1
Joe Public ........ 77 . 39 . 46 . 83 . 30 . 62 . 58 . 36 . 35 . 33 . ?? . ?? .. 430 ... 499(10) .. 49.9 ... 2 . 2 . 4
Jerry Seinfeld ... -- . 57 . 52 . 74 . 22 . 48 . 71 . 55 . 50 . 21 . ?? . ?? .. 429 ... 450(9) ... 50.0 ... 3 --- 3
DOCARCH ........ 62 . 28 . 55 . 64 . 60 . 33 . 33 . 55 . 41 . 51 . ?? . ?? .. 421 ... 482(10) .. 48.2 ... 4 . 3 . 6
thetonynator .... -- . -- . 59 . 65 . 42 . 53 . 55 . 55 . 36 . 52 . ?? . ?? .. 417 ... 417(8) ... 52.1 ... 5 --- 2
Nilhg ............... 33 . 13 . 64 . 50 . 76 . 32 . 51 . 42 . 35 . 44 . ?? . ?? .. 395 ... 440(10) .. 44.0 ... 6 . 6 . 10
Kindred Spirit ... 47 . 28 . 59 . 57 . 42 . 49 . 38 . 47 . 42 . 42 . ?? . ?? .. 385 ... 451(10) .. 45.1 ... 7 . 5 . 9
Su Campu ....... 38 . 35 . 40 . 54 . 72 . 50 . 31 . 38 . 42 . 53 . ?? . ?? .. 387 ... 453(10) .. 45.3 ... 8 . 4 . 8

Con Sensus ..... 35 . 39 . 58 . 53 . 46 . 49 . 49 . 39 . 52 . 34 . ?? . ?? .. 380... 454(10) .. 45.4 ... 9 . 4 . 8

Redsunset ....... 32 . 37 . 71 . 45 . 62 . 33 . 65 . 32 . 29 . 27 . ?? . ?? .. 377 ... 433(10) .. 43.3 ... 9 . 8 13
M.T. Cranium ... 67 . 09 . 50 . 44 . 53 . 51 . 26 . 34 . 30 . 47 . ?? . ?? .. 376 ... 413(10) .. 41.3 ... 10 . 9 16
Strasser .......... 47 . 34 . 42 . 63 . 38 . 27 . 63 . 58 . 32 . 31 . ?? . ?? .. 367 ... 435(10) .. 43.5 ... 11 . 7 12
Fionagus ......... 29 . 21 . 39 . 38 . 48 . 43 . 41 . 72 . 41 . 35 . ?? . ?? .. 357 ... 407(10) .. 41.3 ... 12 10 16
Hellboy99 ........ 19 . 38 . 45 . 47 . 66 . 39 . 34 . 30 . 31 . 55 . ?? . ?? .. 355 ... 404(10) .. 40.4 ... 13 11 18
Nacho Libre ..... 37 . 15 . 49 . 49 . 40 . 52 . 38 . 32 . 58 . 28 . ?? . ?? .. 355 ... 398(10) .. 39.8 ... 14 12 19
JD ................. 45 . 37 . 42 . 46 . 38 . 41 . 44 . 09 . 51 . 42 . ?? . ?? .. 349 ... 395(10) ... 39.5 ... 15 13 20
Rebelbrowser .... -- . 23 . 63 . 46 . -- . 41 . 41 . 34 . 50 . 38 . ?? . ?? .. 336 ... 336(8) ... 42.0 ... 16 -- 14
Johnmac .......... -- . 10 . 33 . 40 . 58 . 50 . 23 . 43 . 29 . 56 . ?? . ?? .. 332 ... 342(9) ... 38.0 ... 17 -- 22
200motels ....... 31 . 27 . 49 . 38 . 33 . 52 . 57 . 22 . 42 . 16 . ?? . ?? .. 329 ... 367(10) .. 36.7 ... 18 14 25
Seafields .......... -- . 08 . 16 . 46 . 48 . 62 . 31 . 07 . 34 . 72 . ?? . ?? .. 317 ... 324(9) ... 36.0 ... 19 -- 26
Dasa29 ............ 09 . 31 . 46 . 51 . 48 . 42 . 40 . 25 . 31 . 16 . ?? . ?? .. 314 ... 339(10) .. 33.9 ... 20 15 28
Deep Easterly.... 23 . 14 . 22 . 37 . 54 . 42 . 23 . 37 . 58 . -- . ?? . ?? .. 296 ... 310(9) ... 34.4 ... 21 19 27

(only ranked for average)

Mickger844posts . -- . -- . -- . -- . 63 . 58 . 45 . 36 . 43 . 51 . ?? . ?? .. 296/6 ... 49.3 ............ -- -- 5
waterways ......... -- . -- . -- . 44 . -- . -- . 54 . 32 . 50 . 53 . ?? . ?? .. 233/5 ... 46.6 ............ -- -- 7
Pauldry ............. -- . -- . -- . 37 . 42 . 35 . 50 . 54 . 72 . 18 . ?? . ?? .. 308/7 ... 44.0 ............ -- -- 10
Talkabout .......... -- . -- . 56 . 39 . 41 . 56 . 25 . -- . 36 . 41 . ?? . ?? .. 294/7 ... 42.0 ............ -- -- 14
The Inquisitor ..... -- . 34 . 43 . -- . -- . -- . -- . 49 . 38 . 30 . ?? . ?? .. 194/5 ... 38.8 ............ -- -- 21
Cherryghost ....... 20 . 37 . 33 . 59 . -- . -- . -- . -- . -- . ?? . ?? . ?? .. 149/4 ... 37.3 ............ -- -- 23
WolfeIRE ............ 30 . -- . -- . -- . -- . -- . 37 . 35 . 67 . 18 . ?? . ?? .. 187/5 ... 37.4 ............ -- -- 24
Homolumo ........... -- . -- . -- . -- . -- . -- . 38 . 22 . 28 . 34 . ?? . ?? .. 122/4 ... 30.5 ............ -- -- 29

Congrats to Danno who has now moved into first place in all three categories. The race is tight however and much will depend on these last two months. Several people in the "chase pack" moved up and two moved past Con Sensus. Mickger844posts has kept pace in the average category, and I will add Gothwalk to the table at the end of the year if he has four forecasts in by then.

The three ranking stats are for these three competitions:

-- Annual best score for 10/12 (Boards.ie award)
-- Annual best score for 12/12 (MTC award)
-- best average for all contestants with 4+ entries

M.T. Cranium · 01-12-2010 7:03pm

November scores ...
___________________________

Forecaster ......... IMT ... max .. min .. rain .. sun .. wind
_______________________________________________________________

Actual .............. 5.1 .. 17.1 .. -9.1 .. 131 ... 139 ... 70 ... Total score

M.T. Cranium ..... 16 .... 20 .... 10* ... 10 .... 08 .... 00 .... 64
homolumo ......... 09 .... 17 .... 12* ... 14 .... 05 .... 00 .... 57
SeaFields .......... 14 .... 16 .... 07* ... 11 .... 00 .... 00 .... 48
WolfeIRE ........... 08 .... 07 .... 15* ... 14 .... 02 .... 00 .... 46
hellboy99 .......... 08 .... 20 .... 03* ... 06 .... 01 .... 07 .... 45
pauldry ............. 00 .... 20 .... 00 .... 13 .... 02 .... 09 .... 44
dasa29 ............. 03 .... 11 .... 06* ... 13 .... 01 .... 10 .... 44
Joe Public .......... 07 .... 18 .... 00 .... 12 .... 02 .... 01 .... 40
jambofc ............ 04 .... 08 .... 00 .... 11 .... 09 .... 08 .... 40
TheInquisitor ..... 24 .... 00 .... 10* ... 00 .... 05 .... 00 .... 39
nacho libre ........ 09 .... 18 .... 00 .... 10 .... 00 .... 01 .... 38
talkabout .......... 09 .... 15 .... 00 .... 02 .... 03 .... 09 .... 38
mickger844post .. 13 .... 07 .... 03* .. 01 .... 04 .... 10 .... 38
cherryghost ....... 01 .... 13 .... 03* .. 08 .... 03 .... 08 .... 36
jd .................... 05 .... 17 .... 00 .... 05 .... 01 .... 08 .... 36

Con Sensus ........ 06 .... 12 .... 00 .... 08 .... 01 .... 09 .... 36

Jerry Seinfeld ..... 06 .... 09 .... 00 .... 10 .... 00 .... 10 .... 35
Sponge Bob ....... 05 .... 10 .... 00 .... 08 .... 07 .... 05 .... 35
Fionagus ........... 07 .... 07 .... 03* ... 00 .... 07 .... 10 .... 34
John mac .......... 05 .... 12 .... 04* ... 08 .... 01 .... 04 .... 34
Strasser ............ 00 .... 09 .... 00 .... 14 .... 00 .... 10 .... 33
thetonynator ..... 08 .... 09 .... 00 .... 06 .... 00 .... 05 .... 28
DOCARCH .......... 08 .... 11 .... 00 .... 07 .... 01 .... 00 .... 27
Rebelbrowser ..... 00 .... 15 .... 00 .... 06 .... 01 .... 05 .... 27
nilhg ................. 04 .... 11 .... 00 .... 11 .... 00 .... 01 .... 27
200motels ......... 17 .... 00 .... 00 .... 03 .... 00 .... 06 .... 26
Danno ............... 04 .... 15 .... 05* .. 01 .... 00 .... 00 .... 25
Redsunset ......... 06 .... 09 .... 00 .... 08 .... 02 .... 00 .... 25
Su Campu ......... 10 .... 10 .... 00 .... 00 .... 01 .... 00 .... 21
Deep Easterly .... 00 .... 18 .... 00 .... 00 .... 00 .... 01 .... 19
gothwalk .......... 05 .... 00 .... 00 .... 01 .... 04 .... 08 .... 18
kindredspirit ....... 06 .... 09 .... 01* .. 02 .... 00 .... 00 .... 18

* indicates that minimum scoring rule (mercy rule) was applied.

Congrats to homolumo as well as some other guy for leading the way this month. Note the oddity that all four of the leading November scorers had nothing from the bonus question. By the way, I scored the bonus somewhat more leniently than rank order alone, I noticed that most people were fairly close so I gave points from your departure from 70 kts (one point off per kt error). So anyone between 61 and 79 kts scored something.

Congrats also to The Inquisitor for his very close guess on the rapidly falling IMT -- he didn't get very lucky on the rest of the questions.

I shall now proceed to the annual scoring race which obviously is going to tighten up big time from these numbers. The leaders can see the stadium, but can they reach the finish line? Can anyone? Stay tuned for the dramatic answers to these and other questions when I get around to it, about an hour from now maybe the annual table will be updated.

M.T. Cranium · 01-12-2010 9:08pm

Update on annual scoring table ...

FCSTR ............... J .. F .. M .. A .. M .. J .. J .. A .. S .. O .. N .. D ... best 9 ... total ... avg .... rankings

Danno ............. 45 . 51 . 42 . 39 . 47 . 59 . 72 . 64 . 55 . 60 . 25 . ?? .. 495 ... 559(11) .. 50.8 ... 1 . 1 . 1
Joe Public ........ 77 . 39 . 46 . 83 . 30 . 62 . 58 . 36 . 35 . 33 . 40 . ?? .. 470 ... 539(11) .. 49.0 ... 2 . 2 . 3
Jerry Seinfeld ... -- . 57 . 52 . 74 . 22 . 48 . 71 . 55 . 50 . 21 . 35 . ?? .. 464 ... 450(10) .. 45.0 ... 3 --- 7
DOCARCH ........ 62 . 28 . 55 . 64 . 60 . 33 . 33 . 55 . 41 . 51 . 27 . ?? .. 454 ... 509(11) .. 46.3 ... 4 . 3 . 6
thetonynator .... -- . -- . 59 . 65 . 42 . 53 . 55 . 55 . 36 . 52 . 28 . ?? .. 445 ... 445(9) ... 49.4 ... 5 --- 2
M.T. Cranium ... 67 . 09 . 50 . 44 . 53 . 51 . 26 . 34 . 30 . 47 . 64 . ?? .. 440 ... 475(11) .. 43.2 ... 6 . 4 . 9
Nilhg ............... 33 . 13 . 64 . 50 . 76 . 32 . 51 . 42 . 35 . 44 . 27 . ?? .. 427 ... 467(11) .. 42.5 ... 7 . 8 . 12
Kindred Spirit ... 47 . 28 . 59 . 57 . 42 . 49 . 38 . 47 . 42 . 42 . 18 . ?? .. 423 ... 469(11) .. 42.6 ... 8 . 6 . 11
Su Campu ....... 38 . 35 . 40 . 54 . 72 . 50 . 31 . 38 . 42 . 53 . 21 . ?? .. 422 ... 474(11) .. 43.1 ... 9 . 5 . 10

Con Sensus ..... 35 . 39 . 58 . 53 . 46 . 49 . 49 . 39 . 52 . 34 . 36 . ?? .. 416... 490(11) .. 44.5 ... 10 4 . 8

Redsunset ....... 32 . 37 . 71 . 45 . 62 . 33 . 65 . 32 . 29 . 27 . 25 . ?? .. 406 ... 458(11) .. 41.6 ... 10 . 9 13
Strasser .......... 47 . 34 . 42 . 63 . 38 . 27 . 63 . 58 . 32 . 31 . 33 . ?? .. 400 ... 468(11) .. 42.5 ... 11 . 7 12
Hellboy99 ........ 19 . 38 . 45 . 47 . 66 . 39 . 34 . 30 . 31 . 55 . 45 . ?? .. 400 ... 449(11) .. 40.8 ... 11 10 15
Nacho Libre ..... 37 . 15 . 49 . 49 . 40 . 52 . 38 . 32 . 58 . 28 . 38 . ?? .. 393 ... 436(11) .. 39.6 ... 13 12 18
Fionagus ......... 29 . 21 . 39 . 38 . 48 . 43 . 41 . 72 . 41 . 35 . 34 . ?? .. 391 ... 441(11) .. 40.1 ... 14 11 17
JD ................. 45 . 37 . 42 . 46 . 38 . 41 . 44 . 09 . 51 . 42 . 36 . ?? .. 386 ... 431(11) ... 39.2 ... 15 13 19
Johnmac .......... -- . 10 . 33 . 40 . 58 . 50 . 23 . 43 . 29 . 56 . 34 . ?? .. 366 ... 376(10) ... 37.6 ... 16 -- 22
Seafields .......... -- . 08 . 16 . 46 . 48 . 62 . 31 . 07 . 34 . 72 . 48 . ?? .. 365 ... 372(10) .. 37.2 ... 17 -- 23
Rebelbrowser .... -- . 23 . 63 . 46 . -- . 41 . 41 . 34 . 50 . 38 . 27 . ?? .. 363 ... 363(9) ... 40.3 ... 18 -- 16
Dasa29 ............ 09 . 31 . 46 . 51 . 48 . 42 . 40 . 25 . 31 . 16 . 44 . ?? .. 358 ... 383(11) .. 34.8 ... 19 14 27
200motels ....... 31 . 27 . 49 . 38 . 33 . 52 . 57 . 22 . 42 . 16 . 26 . ?? .. 355 ... 393(11) .. 35.7 ... 20 13 26
Deep Easterly.... 23 . 14 . 22 . 37 . 54 . 42 . 23 . 37 . 58 . -- . 18 . ?? .. 314 ... 328(10) ... 32.8 ... 21 -- 28

(only ranked for average)

Mickger844posts . -- . -- . -- . -- . 63 . 58 . 45 . 36 . 43 . 51 . 38 . ?? .. 334/7 ... 47.7 ............ -- -- 4
waterways ......... -- . -- . -- . 44 . -- . -- . 54 . 32 . 50 . 53 . -- . ?? .. 233/5 ... 46.6 ............ -- -- 5
Pauldry ............. -- . -- . -- . 37 . 42 . 35 . 50 . 54 . 72 . 18 . 44 . ?? .. 352/8 ... 44.0 ............ -- -- 8
Talkabout .......... -- . -- . 56 . 39 . 41 . 56 . 25 . -- . 36 . 41 . 38 . ?? .. 332/8 ... 41.5 ............ -- -- 14
The Inquisitor ..... -- . 34 . 43 . -- . -- . -- . -- . 49 . 38 . 30 . 39 . ?? .. 233/6 ... 38.8 ............ -- -- 20
Cherryghost ....... 20 . 37 . 33 . 59 . -- . -- . -- . -- . -- . ?? . 36 . ?? .. 185/5 ... 37.0 ............ -- -- 24
WolfeIRE ............ 30 . -- . -- . -- . -- . -- . 37 . 35 . 67 . 18 . 46 . ?? .. 233/6 ... 38.8 ............ -- -- 20
Homolumo ........... -- . -- . -- . -- . -- . -- . 38 . 22 . 28 . 34 . 57 . ?? .. 179/5 ... 35.8 ............ -- -- 25

The race has tightened up considerably and it would seem that December will decide the winners in all three categories that we are tracking. Danno is holding on to a slim lead over Joe Public in two categories and Thetonynator in the average score per month entered. Jerry Seinfeld and DOCARCH are in position to strike for a late win, and uh-oh, MTC has moved into the faint hope position after leading November. :eek:

The three rankings are for

** total score, best 9 of 11 so far
** total score for those in the all-months-entered (MTC challenge) race
** average score for anyone with at least four entries

Gothwalk, SpongeBob, jambofc and anyone else I missed, you'll be included in the final tables when you have four entries.

M.T. Cranium · 31-12-2010 12:20pm

Preliminary annual scoring table ... please do not comment, ranks are not final yet, scores may be slightly adjusted later ... check back around 5 January for final results.

FCSTR ............... J .. F .. M .. A .. M .. J .. J .. A .. S .. O .. N .. D ... best 10 .. total ... avg .... rankings

Danno ............. 45 . 51 . 42 . 39 . 47 . 59 . 72 . 64 . 55 . 60 . 25 . 55 .. 550 ... 614(12) .. 51.2 ... 1 . 1 . 1
Joe Public ........ 77 . 39 . 46 . 83 . 30 . 62 . 58 . 36 . 35 . 33 . 40 . 29 .. 509 ... 568(12) .. 49.0 ... 2 . 2 . 2
Jerry Seinfeld ... -- . 57 . 52 . 74 . 22 . 48 . 71 . 55 . 50 . 21 . 35 . 39 .. 503 ... 524(11) .. 47.6 ... 3 --- 4
M.T. Cranium ... 67 . 09 . 50 . 44 . 53 . 51 . 26 . 34 . 30 . 47 . 64 . 48 .. 488 ... 523(12) .. 43.6 ... 4 . 4 . 8
DOCARCH ........ 62 . 28 . 55 . 64 . 60 . 33 . 33 . 55 . 41 . 51 . 27 . 31 .. 485 ... 540(12) .. 45.0 ... 5 . 3 . 6
thetonynator .... -- . -- . 59 . 65 . 42 . 53 . 55 . 55 . 36 . 52 . 28 . 39 .. 484 ... 484(10) ... 48.4 ... 6 --- 3
Nilhg ............... 33 . 13 . 64 . 50 . 76 . 32 . 51 . 42 . 35 . 44 . 27 . 34 .. 461 ... 501(12) .. 41.8 ... 7 . 6 12

Con Sensus ..... 35 . 39 . 58 . 53 . 46 . 49 . 49 . 39 . 52 . 34 . 36 . 14 .. 456... 504(12) .. 42.0 ... 8 . 5 . 9

Su Campu ....... 38 . 35 . 40 . 54 . 72 . 50 . 31 . 38 . 42 . 53 . 21 . 28 .. 453 ... 502(12) .. 41.8 ... 8 . 5 . 9
Kindred Spirit ... 47 . 28 . 59 . 57 . 42 . 49 . 38 . 47 . 42 . 42 . 18 . 17 .. 451 ... 486(12) .. 40.5 ... 9 . 8 . 11
Strasser .......... 47 . 34 . 42 . 63 . 38 . 27 . 63 . 58 . 32 . 31 . 33 . 17 .. 441 ... 485(12) .. 40.4 ... 10 . 9 12
Redsunset ....... 32 . 37 . 71 . 45 . 62 . 33 . 65 . 32 . 29 . 27 . 25 . 32 .. 438 ... 490(12) .. 40.8 ... 11 . 7 10
Hellboy99 ........ 19 . 38 . 45 . 47 . 66 . 39 . 34 . 30 . 31 . 55 . 45 . 18 .. 430 ... 467(12) .. 38.9 ... 12 10 16
JD ................. 45 . 37 . 42 . 46 . 38 . 41 . 44 . 09 . 51 . 42 . 36 . 27 .. 422 ... 458(12) ... 38.2 ... 13 11 17
Nacho Libre ..... 37 . 15 . 49 . 49 . 40 . 52 . 38 . 32 . 58 . 28 . 38 . 21 .. 421 ... 457(12) .. 38.1 ... 14 12 18
Fionagus ......... 29 . 21 . 39 . 38 . 48 . 43 . 41 . 72 . 41 . 35 . 34 . 14 .. 420 ... 455(12) .. 37.9 ... 15 13 19
Rebelbrowser .... -- . 23 . 63 . 46 . -- . 41 . 41 . 34 . 50 . 38 . 27 . 39 .. 402 ... 402(10) ... 40.2 ... 16 -- 13
Seafields .......... -- . 08 . 16 . 46 . 48 . 62 . 31 . 07 . 34 . 72 . 48 . 20 .. 385 ... 392(11) .. 35.6 ... 17 -- 22
200motels ....... 31 . 27 . 49 . 38 . 33 . 52 . 57 . 22 . 42 . 16 . 26 . 27 .. 382 ... 420(12) .. 35.0 ... 18 14 23
Johnmac .......... -- . 10 . 33 . 40 . 58 . 50 . 23 . 43 . 29 . 56 . 34 . 08 .. 376 ... 384(11) ... 34.9 ... 19 -- 24
Dasa29 ............ 09 . 31 . 46 . 51 . 48 . 42 . 40 . 25 . 31 . 16 . 44 . 12 .. 374 ... 395(12) .. 32.9 ... 20 15 27
Deep Easterly.... 23 . 14 . 22 . 37 . 54 . 42 . 23 . 37 . 58 . -- . 18 . 29 .. 343 ... 357(11) ... 32.5 ... 21 -- 28

(only ranked for average)

waterways ......... -- . -- . -- . 44 . -- . -- . 54 . 32 . 50 . 53 . -- . 43 .. 276/6 ... 46.0 ............ -- -- 5
Mickger844posts . -- . -- . -- . -- . 63 . 58 . 45 . 36 . 43 . 51 . 38 . 16 .. 350/8 ... 43.8 ............ -- -- 7
The Inquisitor ..... -- . 34 . 43 . -- . -- . -- . -- . 49 . 38 . 30 . 39 . 49 .. 282/7 ... 40.3 ............ -- -- 13
Sponge Bob ........ -- . -- . -- . -- . -- . -- . -- . -- . 67 . 31 . 35 . 27 .. 160/4 ... 40.0 ............ -- -- 14
Pauldry ............. -- . -- . -- . 37 . 42 . 35 . 50 . 54 . 72 . 18 . 44 . 07 .. 359/9 ... 39.9 ............ -- -- 15
Talkabout .......... -- . -- . 56 . 39 . 41 . 56 . 25 . -- . 36 . 41 . 38 . 07 .. 339/9 ... 37.7 ............ -- -- 20
Gothwalk ............ -- . -- . -- . -- . -- . -- . -- . -- . 42 . 41 . 18 . 45 .. 146/4 ... 36.5 ............ -- -- 21
WolfeIRE ............ 30 . -- . -- . -- . -- . -- . 37 . 35 . 67 . 18 . 46 . 10 .. 243/7 ... 34.7 ............ -- -- 25
Cherryghost ....... 20 . 37 . 33 . 59 . -- . -- . -- . -- . -- . -- . 36 . 19 .. 204/6 ... 34.0 ............ -- -- 26
Homolumo ........... -- . -- . -- . -- . -- . -- . 38 . 22 . 28 . 34 . 57 . 09 .. 188/6 ... 31.3 ............ -- -- 29
Jambofc ............. -- . -- . -- . -- . -- . -- . -- . -- . -- . 33 . 40 . 18 ... 91/3 ... 30.3 ............. -- -- 30

Anyone with fewer than three entries will not be listed, hope you'll become a regular in 2011.

By the way, belated apologies, I made some editing errors last month, you can see for example I forgot to add in 35 for Jerry Seinfeld's total which should read 485/10 so he was sitting fourth in terms of average score. There were minor errors for Joe Public and Strasser, which I caught on this check. You'd be wise to add up your totals to see if you agree with my math. This may explain why one or two ranks in this preliminary final table are different than you might have expected (previous errors now corrected, in other words). As always, ranks for Con Sensus do not affect lower ranking contestants.

M.T. Cranium · 04-01-2011 10:22pm

As mentioned in the December 2010 thread, final numbers are in, and the provisional scoring table is hereby adjusted to reflect these numbers:

FORECASTER ..... IMT ... MAX ... MIN .. PRC .. SUN ..25th .. SNOW
________________________________________________________________

Actual values .. -0.4 .. 12.9 ... -15.7 .. 059 .. 166 . -3.3/-12.2 .. N >> Totals

danno .............. 00 ..... 18 ..... 15 .... 13 .... 00 ..... 4/4 .... 0 .... 54
TheInquisitor .... 20 ...... 00 ..... 02 .... 15 .... 01 ..... 5/5 .... 0 .... 48
M.T. Cranium .... 10 ..... 01 ...... 08 .... 11 .... 09 ..... 5/4 .... 0 .... 48
Gothwalk ......... 12 ...... 00 ..... 14 .... 10 .... 00 ..... 5/4 .... 0 .... 45
waterways ....... 00 ..... 20 ..... 12 ..... 06 .... 00 ..... 2/0 .... 3 .... 43
Rebelbrowser .... 09 ..... 18 ..... 00 ..... 05 .... 00 ..... 3/4 .... 0 .... 39
Jerry Seinfeld .... 01 ..... 19 ..... 00 .... 10 .... 01 ..... 1/3 .... 3 .... 38
Thetonynator ... 08 ...... 00 ..... 10 .... 11 .... 01 ..... 1/3 .... 3 .... 37
Nilhg ............... 01 ..... 18 ..... 07 ..... 02 .... 00 ..... 1/1 .... 3 .... 33
DOCARCH ......... 00 ..... 19 ..... 01 ..... 05 .... 00 ..... 1/3 .... 3 .... 32
Redsunset* ...... 15 ..... 00 ..... 04 ..... 01 .... 03 ..... 2/5 .... 0 .... 30
Joe Public ......... 00 .... 20 ..... 06 ..... 00 .... 00 ..... 0/0 .... 3 .... 29
Su Campu ......... 00 .... 20 ..... 00 ..... 03 .... 00 ..... 1/2 .... 3 .... 29
DeepEasterly ..... 00 .... 06 ..... 00 ..... 15 .... 07 ..... 0/0 .... 0 .... 28
Tae laidir .......... 00 .... 20 ..... 00 ..... 00 .... 00 ..... 0/5 .... 3 .... 28
jd ................... 07 ..... 00 ..... 10 ..... 02 .... 00 ..... 4/3 .... 0 .... 26
Sponge Bob ...... 06 ..... 00 ..... 00 ..... 09 .... 04 ..... 2/1 .... 3 .... 25
200motels ........ 00 ..... 17 ..... 00 ..... 00 .... 03 ..... 0/1 .... 3 .... 24
harry21 ........... 00 ..... 14 ..... 00 ..... 00 .... 00 ..... 3/1 .....3 .... 21
nacho libre ....... 04 ..... 00 ..... 00 ..... 08 .... 03 ..... 1/1 .... 3 .... 20
SeaFields ......... 00 ..... 00 ..... 00 ..... 15 .... 00 ..... 1/4 .... 0 .... 20
Cherryghost ..... 05 ..... 00 ..... 02 ..... 05 .... 00 ..... 3/4 .... 0 .... 19
Jambofc* ......... 00 ..... 03 ..... 00 ..... 01 .... 08 ..... 1/1 .... 3 .... 17
Strasser ........... 04 ..... 00 ..... 00 ..... 09 .... 01 ..... 0/0 .... 3 .... 17
hellboy99 ......... 00 ..... 00 ..... 00 ..... 09 .... 00 ..... 1/3 .... 3 .... 16
kindredspirit ...... 00 ..... 03 ..... 00 ..... 08 .... 02 ..... 0/0 .... 3 .... 16
mickger844pst ... 02 ..... 00 ..... 00 ..... 09 .... 00 ..... 1/3 .... 0 .... 15
Fionagus .......... 00 ..... 00 ..... 00 ..... 08 .... 00 ..... 1/3 .... 3 .... 15
baraca ............. 01 ..... 07 ..... 00 ..... 00 .... 02 ..... 1/3 .... 0 .... 14

Con Sensus ...... 00 ..... 01 ..... 00 ..... 05 .... 00 ..... 1/3 .... 3 .... 13

dasa29 ............ 00 ..... 00 ..... 00 ..... 00 .... 01 ..... 5/5 .... 0 .... 11
WolfeIRE .......... 00 ..... 00 ..... 06 ..... 00 .... 00 ..... 1/0 .... 3 .... 10
homolumo ........ 00 ...... 00 ..... 00 ..... 02 .... 02 ..... 1/3 .... 0 .... 08
John mac ......... 00 ..... 00 ..... 03 ..... 02 .... 02 ..... 0/0 .... 0 .... 07
talkabout ......... 00 ..... 00 ..... 00 ..... 02 .... 00 ..... 1/3 .... 0 .... 06
Pauldry ............ 00 ..... 01 ..... 00 ..... 00 .... 02 ..... 0/0 .... 3 .... 06

Watch for the final results of the annual competition shortly, as these will just require slight adjustments.

M.T. Cranium · 04-01-2011 10:57pm

Boards.ie weather contests -- Final results -- 2010
________________________________________________________

FCSTR ............... J .. F .. M .. A .. M .. J .. J .. A .. S .. O .. N .. D ... best 10 .. total ... avg .... rankings

Danno ............. 45 . 51 . 42 . 39 . 47 . 59 . 72 . 64 . 55 . 60 . 25 . 54 .. 549 ... 613(12) .. 51.1 ... 1 . 1 . 1
Joe Public ........ 77 . 39 . 46 . 83 . 30 . 62 . 58 . 36 . 35 . 33 . 40 . 29 .. 509 ... 568(12) .. 49.0 ... 2 . 2 . 2
Jerry Seinfeld ... -- . 57 . 52 . 74 . 22 . 48 . 71 . 55 . 50 . 21 . 35 . 38 .. 502 ... 523(11) .. 47.5 ... 3 --- 4
M.T. Cranium .... 67 . 09 . 50 . 44 . 53 . 51 . 26 . 34 . 30 . 47 . 64 . 48 .. 488 ... 523(12) .. 43.6 ... 4 . 4 . 7
DOCARCH ......... 62 . 28 . 55 . 64 . 60 . 33 . 33 . 55 . 41 . 51 . 27 . 32 .. 486 ... 541(12) .. 45.1 ... 5 . 3 . 6
thetonynator .... -- . -- . 59 . 65 . 42 . 53 . 55 . 55 . 36 . 52 . 28 . 37 .. 482 ... 482(10) ... 48.2 ... 6 --- 3
Nilhg ............... 33 . 13 . 64 . 50 . 76 . 32 . 51 . 42 . 35 . 44 . 27 . 33 .. 460 ... 500(12) .. 41.7 ... 7 . 6 12
Su Campu ....... 38 . 35 . 40 . 54 . 72 . 50 . 31 . 38 . 42 . 53 . 21 . 29 .. 454 ... 503(12) .. 41.9 ... 8 . 5 . 9

Con Sensus ..... 35 . 39 . 58 . 53 . 46 . 49 . 49 . 39 . 52 . 34 . 36 . 13 .. 456... 503(12) .. 41.9 ... 8 . 5 . 9

Kindred Spirit ... 47 . 28 . 59 . 57 . 42 . 49 . 38 . 47 . 42 . 42 . 18 . 16 .. 450 ... 485(12) .. 40.4 ... 9 . 8 . 11
Strasser ......... 47 . 34 . 42 . 63 . 38 . 27 . 63 . 58 . 32 . 31 . 33 . 17 .. 441 ... 485(12) .. 40.4 ... 10 . 8 11
Redsunset ....... 32 . 37 . 71 . 45 . 62 . 33 . 65 . 32 . 29 . 27 . 25 . 30 .. 436 ... 488(12) .. 40.7 ... 11 . 7 10
Hellboy99 ........ 19 . 38 . 45 . 47 . 66 . 39 . 34 . 30 . 31 . 55 . 45 . 16 .. 430 ... 465(12) .. 38.8 ... 12 10 16
JD ................. 45 . 37 . 42 . 46 . 38 . 41 . 44 . 09 . 51 . 42 . 36 . 26 .. 422 ... 457(12) ... 38.1 ... 13 11 17
Nacho Libre ..... 37 . 15 . 49 . 49 . 40 . 52 . 38 . 32 . 58 . 28 . 38 . 20 .. 421 ... 456(12) .. 38.0 ... 14 12 18
Fionagus ......... 29 . 21 . 39 . 38 . 48 . 43 . 41 . 72 . 41 . 35 . 34 . 15 .. 420 ... 456(12) .. 38.0 ... 15 12 18
Rebelbrowser .... -- . 23 . 63 . 46 . -- . 41 . 41 . 34 . 50 . 38 . 27 . 39 .. 402 ... 402(10) ... 40.2 ... 16 -- 13
Seafields .......... -- . 08 . 16 . 46 . 48 . 62 . 31 . 07 . 34 . 72 . 48 . 20 .. 385 ... 392(11) .. 35.6 ... 17 -- 22
200motels ....... 31 . 27 . 49 . 38 . 33 . 52 . 57 . 22 . 42 . 16 . 26 . 24 .. 379 ... 417(12) .. 34.8 ... 18 14 23
Johnmac .......... -- . 10 . 33 . 40 . 58 . 50 . 23 . 43 . 29 . 56 . 34 . 07 .. 375 ... 383(11) ... 34.8 ... 19 -- 23
Dasa29 ........... 09 . 31 . 46 . 51 . 48 . 42 . 40 . 25 . 31 . 16 . 44 . 11 .. 374 ... 394(12) .. 32.8 ... 20 15 27
Deep Easterly... 23 . 14 . 22 . 37 . 54 . 42 . 23 . 37 . 58 . -- . 18 . 28 .. 342 ... 356(11) ... 32.4 ... 21 -- 28

(only ranked for average)

waterways .......... -- . -- . -- . 44 . -- . -- . 54 . 32 . 50 . 53 . -- . 43 .. 276/6 ... 46.0 ............ -- -- 5
Mickger844posts . -- . -- . -- . -- . 63 . 58 . 45 . 36 . 43 . 51 . 38 . 15 .. 349/8 ... 43.6 ............ -- -- 7
The Inquisitor ..... -- . 34 . 43 . -- . -- . -- . -- . 49 . 38 . 30 . 39 . 48 .. 281/7 ... 40.1 ............ -- -- 13
Pauldry ............. -- . -- . -- . 37 . 42 . 35 . 50 . 54 . 72 . 18 . 44 . 06 .. 358/9 ... 39.8 ............ -- -- 14
Sponge Bob ........ -- . -- . -- . -- . -- . -- . -- . -- . 67 . 31 . 35 . 25 .. 158/4 .... 39.5 ............ -- -- 15
Talkabout .......... -- . -- . 56 . 39 . 41 . 56 . 25 . -- . 36 . 41 . 38 . 06 .. 338/9 ... 37.6 ............ -- -- 20
Gothwalk ............ -- . -- . -- . -- . -- . -- . -- . -- . 42 . 41 . 18 . 45 .. 146/4 .... 36.5 ............ -- -- 21
WolfeIRE ............ 30 . -- . -- . -- . -- . -- . 37 . 35 . 67 . 18 . 46 . 10 .. 243/7 ... 34.7 ............ -- -- 25
Cherryghost ....... 20 . 37 . 33 . 59 . -- . -- . -- . -- . -- . -- . 36 . 19 .. 204/6 .... 34.0 ............ -- -- 26
Homolumo ........... -- . -- . -- . -- . -- . -- . 38 . 22 . 28 . 34 . 57 . 08 .. 187/6 ... 31.1 ............ -- -- 29
Jambofc ............. -- . -- . -- . -- . -- . -- . -- . -- . -- . 33 . 40 . 17 ... 90/3 .... 30.0 ............. -- -- 30

Based on this final contest scoring table, I will be posting a congrats thread in a few minutes. Congrats of course to Danno (first in all categories), Joe Public (second in all categories) and Jerry Seinfeld (third in the boards contest category), as well as thetonynator who held on to third in average, and DOCARCH who was third in the MTC award for those who entered all twelve months. Look for the congrats thread to post your comments, it should be a lot of fun.

2010 Monthly Forecast Contest -- scores

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