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The Convergence Club

  • 25-01-2010 4:46pm
    #1
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 8,452 ✭✭✭


    This thread is for general chatting, primarily to prevent other threads from going off-topic.

    Two gold stars for the person who comes up with the best name for the thread.


Comments

  • Closed Accounts Posts: 2,208 ✭✭✭Économiste Monétaire


    The Maths & Econ TSM is an awesome combination. Gold standard for courses available in Ireland. Such distinguished members as:

    rms-62729.jpg

    I sometimes wonder what it must be like inside Prof. Whelan's brain. Someday I may steal it.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 8,452 ✭✭✭Time Magazine


    Let's not forget Kevin:

    o--rourke-8665-20090702-6.jpg


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 6,609 ✭✭✭Flamed Diving


    Another excellent service prompted by the constant complaining of yours truly :pac:

    Pah! I began the rebellion that led to the exodus of this forum from 'biz' to 'science' (via 'soc'). There should be a statue of me in the foyer...


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 2,208 ✭✭✭Économiste Monétaire


    Philip Lane too? I think they all have gold medals.

    Philip%20Lane%20photo.jpg


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 2,208 ✭✭✭Économiste Monétaire


    Pah! I began the rebellion that led to the exodus of this forum from 'biz' to 'science' (via 'soc'). There should be a statue of me in the foyer...
    There was an influx of idiots when we moved to Soc, though. I demand compensation! At least we're in Science, near Physics, where we belong :) (wait for the 'pseudo-science' comments...)


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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 8,452 ✭✭✭Time Magazine


    Lane, Morgan Kelly and Paul Devereux did BESS.


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 2,208 ✭✭✭Économiste Monétaire


    Tending towards disequilibrium? Maximising your pleasure, minimising my effort?


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 6,609 ✭✭✭Flamed Diving


    There was an influx of idiots when we moved to Soc, though. I demand compensation! At least we're in Science, near Physics, where we belong :) (wait for the 'pseudo-science' comments...)

    Yeah, but I am quoted as saying that our chances of being moved to Soc were better, from there we could launch to Science.

    It was visionary...

    :pac:


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 350 ✭✭rubensni


    At least we're in Science, near Physics, where we belong :) (wait for the 'pseudo-science' comments...

    Schoolchild asked to fill in the blanks: Economics is a ________ science.
    Kid puts down dismal :D


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 2,208 ✭✭✭Économiste Monétaire


    Yeah, but I am quoted as saying that our chances of being moved to Soc were better, from there we could launch to Science.

    It was visionary...

    :pac:
    Like Moses, leading to the way to the promised land of Science > Economics :pac:.

    On the theme of general chat, I believe Romer is updating his macro book. Let another generation test the extent of their nerdiness.


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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 8,452 ✭✭✭Time Magazine


    Pfft, Acemoglu all the way.


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 2,208 ✭✭✭Économiste Monétaire


    Does Acemoglu use a lot of stochastic calculus in that book?


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 6,609 ✭✭✭Flamed Diving




  • Closed Accounts Posts: 2,208 ✭✭✭Économiste Monétaire


    Quite similar to Barro's book but broader in scope from looking at the TOC.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 8,452 ✭✭✭Time Magazine


    Much more depth than Barro, too. Barro is an undergrad textbook, this is a Mas-Colell that doesn't assume you know differential calculus and topology.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,153 ✭✭✭Joe1919


    There was an influx of idiots when we moved to Soc, though. I demand compensation! At least we're in Science, near Physics, where we belong :) (wait for the 'pseudo-science' comments...)

    Perhaps 'Economics' along with 'Politics' should be moved closer to the 'Religion' forum.

    http://www.psupress.org/Justataste/samplechapters/justatasteRNelson.html
    http://press.princeton.edu/chapters/s8195.html

    PS I could not resist...


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 2,208 ✭✭✭Économiste Monétaire


    Much more depth than Barro, too. Barro is an undergrad textbook, this is a Mas-Colell that doesn't assume you know differential calculus and topology.
    I wouldn't call Barro's growth book an undergrad book per se; maybe final-year undergrad with some knowledge of optimal control. Ugh, Mas-Colell. This is a nice micro book:

    http://www.amazon.co.uk/Advanced-Microeconomic-Theory-International-Geoffrey/dp/0321204530/


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 8,452 ✭✭✭Time Magazine


    I wouldn't call Barro's growth book an undergrad book per se; maybe final-year undergrad with some knowledge of optimal control. Ugh, Mas-Colell. This is a nice micro book:

    http://www.amazon.co.uk/Advanced-Microeconomic-Theory-International-Geoffrey/dp/0321204530/

    Ah, thought you meant Barro's general macro book.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 8,452 ✭✭✭Time Magazine


    13,870,517 observations. Big dataset.


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 2,208 ✭✭✭Économiste Monétaire


    Household panel data?


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  • Posts: 5,589 ✭✭✭ [Deleted User]


    13,870,517 observations. Big dataset.

    Run regression

    Get Coffee
    Clean desk
    Get Coffee
    Chat
    Lunch
    Coffee
    Gym

    Check results - fix error

    Run Regression

    repeat above!


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 8,452 ✭✭✭Time Magazine


    Household panel data?
    Repeated census samples.
    Run regression

    Get Coffee
    Clean desk
    Get Coffee
    Chat
    Lunch
    Coffee
    Gym

    Check results - fix error

    Run Regression

    repeat above!

    Pfft, how inefficient your methods are :P.

    Drop the vast majority of observations to get your n down to about 50,000
    Run regression
    Correct errors
    Re-instate original n
    Run regression
    Gym
    Check results


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 8,983 ✭✭✭leninbenjamin


    Repeated census samples.



    Pfft, how inefficient your methods are :P.

    Drop the vast majority of observations to get your n down to about 50,000
    Run regression
    Correct errors
    Re-instate original n
    Run regression
    Gym
    Check results

    Better yet, fob it off on undergrads as 'coursework.' Go home for the day :p


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 2,208 ✭✭✭Économiste Monétaire


    Via the IE blog: Rethinking Macroeconomic Policy, by Blanchard et al.


  • Posts: 5,589 ✭✭✭ [Deleted User]


    Via the IE blog: Rethinking Macroeconomic Policy, by Blanchard et al.

    Can't read it tonight - will do tomorrow.

    However - is Blanchard retracting his 'that state of macro is ok' line?


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 2,208 ✭✭✭Économiste Monétaire


    Can't read it tonight - will do tomorrow.

    However - is Blanchard retracting his 'that state of macro is ok' line?
    It's more a policy paper than the 'state of macro' paper; he doesn't really criticise macroeconomists. It's quite short and focuses on issues such as: the new monetary policy tools to intervene more directly in credit markets and whether they should be kept in some manner; the role of fiscal policy and (more efficient) automatic stabilisers; whether inflation targets should be increased above the current 2%; regulation of banks; and interventions in forex.


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 563 ✭✭✭BESman


    Via the IE blog: Rethinking Macroeconomic Policy, by Blanchard et al.

    Interesting paper, some points in particular:

    1. The need for more nominal interest rate room. The zero nominal interest rate bound limits the scope of monetary policy to take extreme corrective action in a deep recession or crisis. Central banks quickly cut their rates to zero from about 2%, not enough of a cut. Should central banks allow higher average inflation rates in good times and therefore higher nominal interest rates so that rates can be cut more in a recession and have a more dramatic effect? Methinks yes...
    2. The reemergence of fiscal policy as an important tool. It appears that in deep recessions, fiscal policy has more time to be effective, especially when monetary policy has reached its limits.
    3. Combining cyclical regulatory tools (regulatory capital ratios, regulatory liquidity ratios, loan to value ratios, margin requirements) with monetary policy tools to target asset price bubbles. Seems like a good approach.
    4. Designing better automatic fiscal stabilisers. Temporary tax policies (flat refundable tax rebate, temporary transfers) that would be linked to some macro variable threshold such as unemployment. These kind of stabilisers would act immediately.

    Any thoughts on the above? Good research topics there....


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 2,208 ✭✭✭Économiste Monétaire




  • Closed Accounts Posts: 2,208 ✭✭✭Économiste Monétaire


    Can't read it tonight - will do tomorrow.

    However - is Blanchard retracting his 'that state of macro is ok' line?
    I'm not sure if you've read this, but you may also be interested in Woodford's '08 piece (à la Mankiw): 'Elements of the New Synthesis'

    http://www.columbia.edu/~mw2230/Convergence_AEJ.pdf


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  • Closed Accounts Posts: 6,609 ✭✭✭Flamed Diving


    This thread is for general chatting, primarily to prevent other threads from going off-topic.

    Two gold stars for the person who comes up with the best name for the thread.

    The Convergence Club?


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 8,452 ✭✭✭Time Magazine


    The Convergence Club?

    :D

    "Convergence. Period."
    "The Cluster"
    "The Cauchy Sequence, N > m,n"


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 6,609 ✭✭✭Flamed Diving


    yay!


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 2,208 ✭✭✭Économiste Monétaire


    Boardsh.png

    :D


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 2,208 ✭✭✭Économiste Monétaire


    Ireland gets a bailout...

    ...from the Leprechaun community.
    The Leprechaun community is to give its pots of gold to the Government to help cover the cost of recapitalising the banks.

    The financial crisis is expected to cost billions so Taoiseach Brian Cowen and Minister for Finance Brian Lenihan have been looking for ways to ease the burden on taxpayers.

    The two men travelled to the ends of the rainbow to persuade Leprechaun leaders to invest in the country's future.

    In return for donating the pots of gold to the State coffers, Leprechaun leaders have asked for land in west Clare to create their own reserve.
    The final deal was brokered on St Patrick's Day when US President Barack Obama invited Leprechaun leaders to the White House for talks.

    UN Leprechaun Ambassador Bono, who is partial to a good cause, was also present at the talks, where he called for the rights of Leprechauns to be fully recognised by the State.

    There was once a larger Leprechaun population in Ireland but they were culled by Oliver Cromwell in the 1640s.

    00032826-380.jpg

    Leprechaun leader Hairy Twinkletoes O'Shaughnessy said: 'Top of the morning to ya. Bejaysus and Begorrah. 'Tis a soft day afterall.'

    Taoiseach Brian Cowen said he welcomed the deal and was grateful for the Leprechaun intervention in saving the country from financial meltdown.

    Mr Cowen also said that the Government was discussing plans to introduce an extra bank holiday.

    He said that the banks could do less damage to the economy if there were more holidays.

    http://www.rte.ie/news/2010/0401/aprilfools.html


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 8,452 ✭✭✭Time Magazine


    Glad to see this piece of fantasy is above Blair Horan and his mythical pot of gold in the 'Most Read' list.


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  • Posts: 5,589 ✭✭✭ [Deleted User]


    I love that closing line.


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 2,208 ✭✭✭Économiste Monétaire


    Via Makiw, Robert Barro on 5 books (well, 2 books and 3 papers) to read about the great depression and the ongoing debate about fiscal stimulus:

    http://five-books.com/interviews/robert-barro


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 26,522 ✭✭✭✭noodler


    This thread derives me crazy.

    More of you guys is always better.


    Blatantly stolen fromt he chat-up lines but I love them!


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 8,452 ✭✭✭Time Magazine


    o_rly.jpg

    James_Heckman_417101artw.jpg


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 784 ✭✭✭Anonymous1987


    o_rly.jpg

    James_Heckman_417101artw.jpg
    WTF? has the stress of moderating economics gotten to you?


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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 8,452 ✭✭✭Time Magazine


    WTF? has the stress of moderating economics gotten to you?

    It's an old internet meme. Someone would post e15b36a09ecb8b19abcdaa0bfdbc18c6_thumb.jpg and the appropriate reply was ya-rly-18009.jpg.

    I dunno about anyone else, but I see a similarity between Prof Heckman and the YA RLY owl.

    So maybe the stress of moderating has gotten to me.


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 784 ✭✭✭Anonymous1987


    It's an old internet meme. Someone would post e15b36a09ecb8b19abcdaa0bfdbc18c6_thumb.jpg and the appropriate reply was ya-rly-18009.jpg.

    I dunno about anyone else, but I see a similarity between Prof Heckman and the YA RLY owl.

    So maybe the stress of moderating has gotten to me.

    I see... personally when I saw the following, a certain economist instantly sprung to mind. (WARNING! some posters may find the following offensively cringeworthy)

    QuiteRly.jpg
    KeynesMagician.jpg
    Keynes was always an odd "owl" fella :pac:


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 126 ✭✭Slippers 2




  • Closed Accounts Posts: 6,609 ✭✭✭Flamed Diving




  • Closed Accounts Posts: 2,208 ✭✭✭Économiste Monétaire


    For our resident geographer:

    http://www.princeton.edu/~pkrugman/aag.pdf

    Paul Krugman's talk to the Association of American Geographers.


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 2,208 ✭✭✭Économiste Monétaire


    libertarian.png

    Via Krugman :D


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 18,815 ✭✭✭✭silverharp


    libertarian.png

    Via Krugman :D



    personally I'd have called a private fire service :p

    I'll see that and raise you....


    Dogma.jpg
    Feb08

    A belief in gender identity involves a level of faith as there is nothing tangible to prove its existence which, as something divorced from the physical body, is similar to the idea of a soul. - Colette Colfer



  • Closed Accounts Posts: 2,208 ✭✭✭Économiste Monétaire




  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 126 ✭✭Slippers 2


    Anyone else going to Robert Merton later?


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