March 2010 Boards forecast contest

M.T. Cranium

Welcome to the March edition of the Boards forecast contest. If the information below on the questions has you puzzled, please refer to the first post in the February thread. I am shortening the wording now, as most of our contestants are regulars.

(1) Mean temp C for the month from DE's Central Ireland temperature series.
(normal value is 6.1 C for 1961-90).

(2) Highest temp C anywhere in Ireland

(3) Lowest temp C anywhere in Ireland

(4) Average rainfall % of normal

(5) Average sunshine % of normal

(6) Bonus -- maximum (C) at Dublin A on the 17th.

Good luck, and as I say, check the more detailed wording in February if you're not familiar with the contest, the same questions were asked there except for the bonus.

If you want to save bandwidth and make this even easier for me, just enter this template in numerical form:

(MEAN,MAX,MIN,RAIN,SUN,DUB17MAX) -- not required if you prefer the usual method.

Whoops, forgot the deadline for entries ... as usual, end of the day, Monday 1 March. Penalties apply to entries on Tues 2 March, no entries allowed after end of that date (sound familiar?).

200motels

1) Mean temp C for the month from DE's Central Ireland thread
(normal value is 6.1 C for 1961-90). 5.9C

(2) Highest temp C anywhere in Ireland 15.5C

(3) Lowest temp C anywhere in Ireland -5.4C

(4) Average rainfall % of normal 123%

(5) Average sunshine % of normal 85%

(6) Bonus -- maximum (C) at Dublin A on the 17th. 11.4C

TheInquisitor

1) Mean temp C for the month from DE's Central Ireland thread
(normal value is 6.1 C for 1961-90). 5C

(2) Highest temp C anywhere in Ireland 12C

(3) Lowest temp C anywhere in Ireland -8.6C

(4) Average rainfall % of normal 111%

(5) Average sunshine % of normal 93%

(6) Bonus -- maximum (C) at Dublin A on the 17th. 8C

And how about i make it easier for mt aswell

(5C,12C,-8.6C,111%,93%,8C)

M.T. Cranium

Early entry from me,

(5.8, 16.0, -5.5, 90%, 120%, 7.7)

Deep Easterly

Seems that whatever I forecast, the opposite will happen, so I am going for a cold March, simply because I want a warm one!

Central Ireland thread
(normal value is 6.1 C for 1961-90). 5.2C

(2) Highest temp C anywhere in Ireland 11.9c

(3) Lowest temp C anywhere in Ireland -4.3c

(4) Average rainfall % of normal 189%

(5) Average sunshine % of normal 92%

(6) Bonus -- maximum (C) at Dublin A on the 17th. 5.2c

nacho libre

interesting strategy paddy1. i want a Cold March so i will predict a mild one:pac:

but seriously i have a feeling the jet stream will be making its long awaited return by the early days of next month.

Central Ireland thread
(normal value is 6.1 C for 1961-90). 5.8C

(2) Highest temp C anywhere in Ireland 15.1c

(3) Lowest temp C anywhere in Ireland -2.3c

(4) Average rainfall % of normal 160%

(5) Average sunshine % of normal 65%

(6) Bonus -- maximum (C) at Dublin A on the 17th. 10.1

thetonynator

I've never entered this before, so sorry if i'm stepping on anyones toes by doing so. . .

1) Mean temp C for the month from DE's Central Ireland temperature series. = 6.5 C

(2) Highest temp C anywhere in Ireland = 18.5C

(3) Lowest temp C anywhere in Ireland = -3.0C

(4) Average rainfall % of normal = 145%

(5) Average sunshine % of normal = 73%

(6) Bonus -- maximum (C) at Dublin A on the 17th. = 9.5C

hellboy99

(1) Mean temp C for the month: 5.6c

(2) Highest temp C anywhere in Ireland: 13.5c

(3) Lowest temp C anywhere in Ireland: -3.2c

(4) Average rainfall % of normal: 107%

(5) Average sunshine % of normal: 94%

(6) Bonus -- maximum (C) at Dublin A on the 17th: 8.4c

jd

(6.0,15.7,-4.2,123,89,11.5)

John mac

(6.9,18,-4.2,114,106,16.2)

Lumi

1) Mean temp C for the month = 5.1C

(2) Highest temp C anywhere in Ireland = 13.8C

(3) Lowest temp C anywhere in Ireland = -4.3C

(4) Average rainfall % of normal = 77%

(5) Average sunshine % of normal = 98%

(6) Bonus -- maximum (C) at Dublin A on the 17th. = 8.2C

talkabout

1) Mean temp C for the month = 5.8C

(2) Highest temp C anywhere in Ireland = 14.1C

(3) Lowest temp C anywhere in Ireland = -3.9C

(4) Average rainfall % of normal = 92%

(5) Average sunshine % of normal = 103%

(6) Bonus -- maximum (C) at Dublin A on the 17th. = 12.2C

dasa29

(1) Mean temp C for the month 5.3C

(2) Highest temp C anywhere in Ireland 12.5C

(3) Lowest temp C anywhere in Ireland -4.0C

(4) Average rainfall % of normal 95%

(5) Average sunshine % of normal 95%

(6) Bonus -- maximum (C) at Dublin A on the 17th. 15.0C

Redsunset

1) Mean temp C 4.8C

(2) Highest temp C anywhere in Ireland 14C

(3) Lowest temp C anywhere in Ireland -7.5

(4) Average rainfall % of normal 110%

(5) Average sunshine % of normal 150%

(6) Bonus -- maximum (C) at Dublin A on the 17th. 10.5C

jdburkedjburke

MEAN,5.7
MAX,13
MIN,-5
RAIN,95%
SUN,110%
DUB17MAX7.8

Strasser

5.0,16.5,-5.5,95,108,10.5

Popoutman

1) Mean temp C for the month from DE's Central Ireland thread
(normal value is 6.1 C for 1961-90). 7.4C

(2) Highest temp C anywhere in Ireland 14C

(3) Lowest temp C anywhere in Ireland -5.5C

(4) Average rainfall % of normal 94%

(5) Average sunshine % of normal 110%

(6) Bonus -- maximum (C) at Dublin A on the 17th. 11C

And for M.T. as well...

(7.4,14,-5.5,94,110,11)

Joe Public

I'm basing it on astrology this time, we have 9 planets. Not sure if Ken would support this attack

(3.9, 13.9, -5.9, 89, 139, 8.9)

cherryghost

(1) Mean temp C for the month from DE's Central Ireland thread
5.9

(2) Highest temp C anywhere in Ireland 13.3

(3) Lowest temp C anywhere in Ireland -4.5C

(4) Average rainfall % of normal 130%

(5) Average sunshine % of normal 82%

Su Campu

1) 6.0°C
2) 17.9°C
3) -4.2°C
4) 113%
5) 105%

Bonus 12.2°C

kindredspirit

1) Mean temp. 5.2°C.

2) Max temp. 14.8°C.

3) Min temp. -4.8°C.

4) Av. rainfall. 95%.

5) Av. sunshine. 115%.

6) Max Dublin Aeropuerto, 17th. 11.0°C.

nilhg

(1) Mean temp C for the month from DE's Central Ireland temperature series. 5.8C


(2) Highest temp C anywhere in Ireland 14.9C

(3) Lowest temp C anywhere in Ireland -6.2C

(4) Average rainfall % of normal 99%

(5) Average sunshine % of normal 102%

(6) Bonus -- maximum (C) at Dublin A on the 17th. 11.2C

DOCARCH

1) Mean temp C for the month from DE's Central Ireland temperature series. 5.1c

(2) Highest temp C anywhere in Ireland. 17.8c

(3) Lowest temp C anywhere in Ireland. -6.8c

(4) Average rainfall % of normal. 95%

(5) Average sunshine % of normal. 105%

(6) Bonus -- maximum (C) at Dublin A on the 17th. 12.6c

Speak Now

(6.1, 14.0, -5.5, 75, 140, 9.0)

thetonynator

thetonynator wrote: »

I've never entered this before, so sorry if i'm stepping on anyones toes by doing so. . .

1) Mean temp C for the month from DE's Central Ireland temperature series. = 6.5 C

(2) Highest temp C anywhere in Ireland = 18.5C

(3) Lowest temp C anywhere in Ireland = -3.0C

(4) Average rainfall % of normal = 145%

(5) Average sunshine % of normal = 73%

(6) Bonus -- maximum (C) at Dublin A on the 17th. = 9.5C

I got permission from M.T. Cranium to change my entry . . .to make it more realistic. The edit button isnt working so sorry to be awkward and do it this way . . .


(5.8, 14.5, -6.0, 90%, 120%, 9.5)

SeaFields

1) Mean temp C for the month from DE's Central Ireland temperature series. 7.9c

(2) Highest temp C anywhere in Ireland. 19.5

(3) Lowest temp C anywhere in Ireland. -3.0

(4) Average rainfall % of normal. 120

(5) Average sunshine % of normal. 100%

(6) Bonus -- maximum (C) at Dublin A on the 17th. 17

Danno

Mean 6.0c
Max 16.6c
Min -6.3c
Rainfall 70%
Sunshine 135%
Dublin A 9.6c

nacho libre

if it's okay with M.T.

I'd also like to change my entry. Sorry to have to do it this way but the edit button isn't working for me either.

Central Ireland thread
(normal value is 6.1 C for 1961-90). 5.7C

(2) Highest temp C anywhere in Ireland 15.8c

(3) Lowest temp C anywhere in Ireland -5.3

(4) Average rainfall % of normal 85 %

(5) Average sunshine % of normal 130 %

(6) Bonus -- maximum (C) at Dublin A on the 17th. 10.4

M.T. Cranium

Yep, just to confirm, I thought the edit button worked in this thread. Apparently it doesn't, at least not for everyone. But people have always had the right (guaranteed in the MTC constitution) to amend their forecasts before the deadline, which is now 25 minutes away.

Then I make a list and wait 24 hours, check the late forecasts and late edits, and if you make a late edit, you have made basically a late forecast.

Late forecasts are subject to the rather mild penalty of 10% of points over sixty, so as not to bring score below sixty.

Them be the rules, so forecast as often as you wish.

Just a reminder, if you read this on Tuesday 2 March, you have time to submit an entry and unless you figure on cracking sixty (which is not that easy to do) it won't cost you any points. But at midnight (2359.99h Tuesday) all hope is lost and even a perfect forecast is worth nothing.

Harsh, but my rules are more lenient than most forecast comps. This is because I know a lot of people forget until they see the calendar change months, and realistically, nothing much different is known on the first than was known the day before.

Rebelbrowser

1) Mean temp C for the month from DE's Central Ireland temperature series. 6.2
(2) Highest temp C anywhere in Ireland. 15.2

(3) Lowest temp C anywhere in Ireland. -8.2

(4) Average rainfall % of normal. 96

(5) Average sunshine % of normal. 112%

(6) Bonus -- maximum (C) at Dublin A on the 17th. 10

M.T. Cranium

Entries for March ...

Forecaster .... Mean ..... Max ...... Min ......Rain% ... Sun% .... Dub17th

SeaFields ......... 7.9 ..... 19.5 ..... -3.0 ..... 120 ..... 100 ...... 17.0
Popoutman ....... 7.4 ..... 14.0 ..... -5.5 ..... 094 ..... 110 ...... 11.0
John mac ......... 6.9 ..... 18.0 ..... -4.2 ..... 114 ..... 106 ...... 16.2
*Rebelbrowser .. 6.2 ..... 15.2 ..... -8.2 ..... 096 ..... 112 ...... 10.0
Jerry Seinfeld ....6.1 ..... 14.0 ..... -5.5 ..... 075 ..... 140 ....... 9.0
Danno ............. 6.0 ..... 16.6 ..... -6.3 ..... 070 ..... 135 ....... 9.6
jd ................... 6.0 ..... 15.7 ..... -4.2 ..... 123 ..... 089 ...... 11.5
Su Campu ........ 6.0 ..... 17.9 ..... -4.2 ..... 113 ..... 105 ...... 12.2
cherryghost ..... 5.9 ..... 13.3 ..... -4.5 ..... 130 ...... 082 .......pass
200motels ........ 5.9 ..... 15.5 ..... -5.4 ..... 123 ..... 085 ...... 11.4
M.T. Cranium .... 5.8 ..... 16.0 ..... -5.5 ..... 090 ..... 120 ....... 7.7
talkabout ......... 5.8 ..... 14.1 ..... -3.9 ..... 092 ..... 103 ...... 12.2
nilhg ............... 5.8 ..... 14.9 ..... -6.2 ..... 099 ..... 102 ..... 11.2

Con Sensus ..... 5.8 ..... 14.7 ..... -5.3 ..... 095 ..... 105 ..... 10.5

thetonynator .... 5.8 ..... 14.5 ..... -6.0 ..... 090 ..... 120 ...... 9.5
nacho libre ....... 5.7 ..... 15.8 ..... -5.3 ..... 085 ..... 130 ...... 10.4
jdburkedjburke .. 5.7 ..... 13.0 ..... -5.0 ..... 095 ..... 110 ....... 7.8
hellboy99 ......... 5.6 ..... 13.5 ..... -3.2 ..... 107 ..... 094 ...... 8.4
dasa29 ............ 5.3 ..... 12.5 ..... -4.0 ..... 095 ..... 095 ...... 15.0
Deep Easterly ... 5.2 ..... 11.9 ..... -4.3 ..... 189 ..... 092 ...... 5.2
kindredspirit ...... 5.2 ..... 14.8 ..... -4.8 ..... 095 .... 115 ...... 11.0
DOCARCH ......... 5.1 ..... 17.8 ..... -6.8 ..... 095 .... 105 ...... 12.6
Fionagus .......... 5.1 ..... 13.8 ..... -4.3 ..... 077 .... 098 ...... 8.2
TheInquisitor .... 5.0 ..... 12.0 ..... -8.6 ..... 111 ..... 093 ....... 8.0
Strasser .......... 5.0 ..... 16.5 ..... -5.5 ..... 095 ..... 108 ...... 10.5
redsunset ........ 4.8 ..... 14.0 ..... -7.5 ..... 110 ..... 150 ...... 10.5
Joe Public ........ 3.9 ..... 13.9 ..... -5.9 ..... 089 ..... 139 ....... 8.9

* means late entry

Looks like the consensus forecast calls for a somewhat cooler than average month with a slight increase in sunshine over normal. Given how the first seven days appear on the models, that translates to a near normal period after the 7th.

Entries are now closed.