Longshot Value, 100 bets

longshotvalue

digme wrote: »

Did every tip you said today now,Potential Returns €1,000,000.00 lol

yeah but potential for 1,000,000 return about 750,000/1

digme

is that all i'll buy you a helicopter for yourself if i win
how does that work out anyway aidan?

POINTBREAK

Yes....... I have to have the 4 big priced ones in an EW lucky 15........
Bookies will cease to exist if these hit............ lol

digme

POINTBREAK wrote: »

Yes....... I have to have the 4 big priced ones in an EW lucky 15........
Bookies will cease to exist if these hit............ lol

LittleLebowski

Doh!

longshotvalue

76 Minneapolis Kemp 4:15, looks overpriced, last run was first for nearly a year, might improve to have a chance of placing here .. Good ground flat track. Betfair 60win 12 place.

1 Point win 1 Point Place

colly54

any for punchestown?

longshotvalue

77 Mahrajaan 4:55, Punch, looks one of the only horses in the race that really likes goof-firm ground, his run behind 3 much higher rated horses in thurles does not look too bad when taken at his mark in this race, also less 7lbs claimer. Betfair 70win 10 place


1 Point win 1 Point Place.
__________________

longshotvalue

78 Kempes Punch 6:40, looks the most likely here considering the ground, if Zarito doesnt get around. Maybe value at Betfair 13.5

1 Point Win

smelltheglove

backed kempes myself got him at 10's on bet365 fingers crossed!

moesymoe

legend.

thesandeman

What can I say???

bamboozling

And he does it again. Words can't describe your canny ability to pick winners

colly54

any for punchestown tomorrow ??
i went bookies to early for kempes tip

Penguino

aidankkk wrote: »

78 Kempes Punch 6:40, looks the most likely here considering the ground, if Zarito doesnt get around. Maybe value at Betfair 13.5

1 Point Win

Fair Play Aidan

Vandelinan

Goo on de kempes

LittleLebowski

Cheers Aidan

aflib

keeo them coming aidan

longshotvalue

79 Notre Pere, he is simply to big at 50/8.8 w/p on betfair, back to the scene of his best race, there has pretty obviously been a problem this year particulary last race, and im not certain the trainer would have him out again this year unless he tought it was improved. Place chance looks a lot better than 8.8, considering other horses have run in gold Cup etc

1 Point Win 1 Point Place

longshotvalue

Story So Far after 78 bets

BSP + 151.50
Advised + 184.95

Unreal Luck Really..

awhir

threw 2ewin and place on him last night , trying to get back on to betfair now but its giving errors :mad:

longshotvalue

80 Siege Of Ennis,Punch 3:40 should like the ground, is fit from very decent flat run, looks of a good mark. Betfair 25/5.

1 Point Win 1 Point Place

longshotvalue

81 Kavachi Epson 4:05 , looks overpriced at 44win 8.8 place, back down to near last winning mark has gone well fresh and likes the ground..

1 Point Win 1 Point Place

mike65

Anymore today or is it safe to do a patent?

Vurnon San Benito

aidankkk wrote: »

Story So Far after 78 bets

BSP + 151.50
Advised + 184.95

Unreal Luck Really..

Ya make your own luck.

longshotvalue

82 Warcraft Punch 6:05, all his best form is on good ground over 3 miles, great 7lbs claimer on, and looks overpriced. Betfair 31win 6 place

1 Point win 2 Points Place

longshotvalue

83 Turtle Time Lucky 4:15 Punch, Consistant sort except last time, has had a 2 month break and has some form on decent ground Looks Overpriced 40win 9place.

1 Point Win 1 Point Place

smelltheglove

Warcraft into 14's on bet365...really have to start using betfair again

longshotvalue

smelltheglove wrote: »

Warcraft into 14's on bet365...really have to start using betfair again

In to only 16 on betfair, but only small money available on betfair on irish racing in the morning..

20/1 with Ladbrokes

longshotvalue

84 Kranji Punch 4:15, any reproduction of 2 Good Ground Handicap wins 2 years ago would be good enough here off this mark , had long break then 2 runs on unsuitable ground.. Betfair 23win 5.4 place

1 Point Win 1 Point Place

smelltheglove

aidankkk wrote: »

84 Kranji Punch 4:15, any reproduction of 2 Good Ground Handicap wins 2 years ago would be good enough here off this mark , had long break then 2 runs on unsuitable ground.. Betfair 23win 5.4 place

1 Point Win 1 Point Place

Feck ya lol i took EMMPAT out of that race gonna have to do the rev fore cast now good luck today aidan your on some roll and your a great addition to the boards forum

longshotvalue

last and second last in the 4:15 id say:o

smelltheglove

yeah by the looks of it! haha shockin day for me so far,looked like empatt got hampered by clear gold but i dont think the horse would have won anyway ahwell think ill just enjoy the rest of the racing few bob e/w on the Roberto Goldback later and the remainder of your selection but i think thats it for the day today

longshotvalue

85 O'Muircheartaigh, Punch 4:20, Has decent form on good ground, 7lbs claimer on board so carrying nothing on this long trip, is capable of not trying but might end up value here. Betfair 27 6

1 Point Win 1 Point Place


86 Fisher Bridge , Punch 4:5, should be better on good ground, and may be the better of Meades pair, looks value and is reasonable consistant Betfair 36 6.5

1 Point Win 1 Point Place

longshotvalue

87 Yurituni, Sandown 2:20, is against a field that wither have too much weight or hasnt run this year, she has had one decent run and looks of a good mark here Betfair 11.5 win 2.98 Place. Place price on betfair looks very good in a 7 horse race to finish in the 1st 3..


2 Points win 3 Points Place.

LittleLebowski

Cool put him in a small e/w double with karaka jack 2nd at 12/1 in the 1.10.
Finally learned my lesson about punch. Stayin well away today.
I couldnt pick my nose in punch this year.

longshotvalue

LittleLebowski wrote: »

Cool put him in a small e/w double with karaback jack 2nd at 12/1 in the 1.10.
Finally learned my lesson about punch. Stayin well away today.
I couldnt pick my nose in punch this year.

Got to admid i find irish racing unbelivably hard to predict, and have rarly found a winner in a handicap..

LittleLebowski

Its crazy!
It would be funny if your first non irish meeting tip in over a week was placed.
Heres hopin!

longshotvalue

LittleLebowski wrote: »

Its crazy!
It would be funny if your first non irish meeting tip in over a week was placed.
Heres hopin!

only thing is , if you have that horse backed e/w in a bookies , there will only be 2 places, only on betfair is the 3 places available..

thesandeman

You were right about O'M 'carrying nothing on the long trip' anyway. Even the horse looked surprised when it realised there was nobody on board.

longshotvalue

88 One Cool Cookie Punch 5:00, looks well enough treated on best form, poor run last time in the irish national, but has 7lbs claimer onboard which might suit , Betfair 27 5.8

1 Point Win 1 Point place

longshotvalue

89 My Will, Sandown 3:05 , is down 7lb since hennessy, ground extra trip sure to suit, has run well in race before, looks overprice Betfair 47 7.4

1 Point Win 1 Point Place

90 Killyglen, Sandown 3:05, just going on the liklyhood that today is a going day is less that the odds, decent horse, Ground trip should suit Betfair 55 9.0

1 Point Win 1 Point Place NON RUNNER

longshotvalue

91 Cuan Na Grai, Punch 3:45, has possibly the best form in the race overall, back last time after break on unsuitable ground, should be better today on good ground..

2 points EW 9/1 Ladbrokes

Rowley Birkin QC

aidankkk wrote: »

91 Cuan Na Grai, Punch 3:45, has possibly the best form in the race overall, back last time after break on unsuitable ground, should be better today on good ground..

2 points EW 9/1 Ladbrokes

Any more for today Aidan?

awhir

aidankkk wrote: »

91 Cuan Na Grai, Punch 3:45, has possibly the best form in the race overall, back last time after break on unsuitable ground, should be better today on good ground..

2 points EW 9/1 Ladbrokes

great cheers aidan

longshotvalue

Story So Far after 91 bets

BSP + 144.18
Advised + 179.95

longshotvalue

92 Masta Plasta , New 4:10, looks overpriced, may be drawn on the wrong side, but so is Fav, and stall 2 has great record here, there may not be much between Dandy Nichols horses in this race, and he looks the best treated and the most consistant, also has gone well first start a few times..

1 Point EW 12/1 Stan James 4th :-(
__________________

longshotvalue

93 Boomshakalaka , Bangor 7:20, looked a lot better before unseating last time, ground and trip are right, and on a very good mark.

1 Point Each Way 20/1 ToteSport

longshotvalue

94 Viscount Nelson, 2000 g, Have to go with the ususal back the outsider of AOB, that has had a run. He is just way to big a price, has fallon up, and should be much better than first run this year.. Betfair 80 12.5

1 Point win 2 Points Place

longshotvalue

95 Negotiation 1:55 new, looks overpriced to recapture some half decent 3yo form, has won of this mark, and has a good 3lbs claimer up. Betfair 129w 9pl. worth a min bet

.5 point win .5 place.