April 2010 Boards forecast contest

M.T. Cranium

April 2010 Boards forecast contest
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For April, the bonus question will be essentially a real-time, short-range question, so please note the time limit rules carefully. All forecasts that you enter can be edited or updated in a separate post to the deadline which is the end of the day, Thursday 1 April. Forecasts submitted on Friday 2nd are subject to penalty, but the bonus question cannot be submitted or edited during that day.

The first five questions are the usual ones and if you're new or want more info, refer back to the January thread.

(1) mean temp (C) for the five stations in DE's index. The 1961-90 April average for your information was 7.9 C.

(2) highest temp (C) anywhere in Ireland (from met.ie stations)

(3) lowest temp (C) anywhere in Ireland (from met.ie stations)

(4) rainfall -- % of normal -- average of all met.ie stations

(5) sunshine -- % of normal -- average of all met.ie stations

(6) Now the bonus. Easter Sunday is the 4th. Predict the high for the day in deg C at Mullingar.

The scoring for the bonus question will be a little more lenient than usual as I anticipate a fairly tight clustering of forecasts. I plan to stay with the rank order approach, but following the one "ten" point score (with ties) the points will then be awarded jointly to the next pair (as in 10,9,9,8,8 etc) so almost everyone should get some points at least.

Once again, note carefully the time cut-off for the bonus question, end of the first day of April. Good luck to all.

Deep Easterly

A warm, very wet April coming up. Much thunder too, esp in the SW with a risk of violent storm force winds over Galway :P

(1) mean temp (C) 8.3c

(2) highest temp (C) anywhere in Ireland (from met.ie stations): 18.3c

(3) lowest temp (C) anywhere in Ireland (from met.ie stations): -2.1c

(4) rainfall -- % of normal -- average of all met.ie stations: 217%

(5) sunshine -- % of normal -- average of all met.ie stations: 103%

(6)Easter Sunday is the 4th. Predict the high for the day in deg C at Mullingar: 9.9c

Redsunset

1) mean temp (C) 8c

(2) highest temp (C) anywhere in Ireland (from met.ie stations): 19c

(3) lowest temp (C) anywhere in Ireland (from met.ie stations): -1.5c

(4) rainfall -- % of normal -- average of all met.ie stations: 125%

(5) sunshine -- % of normal -- average of all met.ie stations: 110%

(6)Easter Sunday is the 4th. Predict the high for the day in deg C at Mullingar: 10.5c

nacho libre

1) mean temp (C) 7.9c

(2) highest temp (C) anywhere in Ireland (from met.ie stations): 18.7c

(3) lowest temp (C) anywhere in Ireland (from met.ie stations): -2.5c

(4) rainfall -- % of normal -- average of all met.ie stations: 135%

(5) sunshine -- % of normal -- average of all met.ie stations: 115%

(6)Easter Sunday is the 4th. Predict the high for the day in deg C at Mullingar: 9.3c

hellboy99

(1) mean temp (C) 8c

(2) highest temp (C) anywhere in Ireland (from met.ie stations): 18.5c

(3) lowest temp (C) anywhere in Ireland (from met.ie stations): -3c

(4) rainfall -- % of normal -- average of all met.ie stations: 142%

(5) sunshine -- % of normal -- average of all met.ie stations: 112%

(6)Easter Sunday is the 4th. Predict the high for the day in deg C at Mullingar: 10.2c

patneve2

1) mean temp (C) 8.1c

(2) highest temp (C) anywhere in Ireland (from met.ie stations): 18.0

(3) lowest temp (C) anywhere in Ireland (from met.ie stations): -3.5

(4) rainfall -- % of normal -- average of all met.ie stations: 130%

(5) sunshine -- % of normal -- average of all met.ie stations: 80%

(6)Easter Sunday is the 4th. Predict the high for the day in deg C at Mullingar: 8.5c

John mac

(1) mean temp (C) 9.8c

(2) highest temp (C) anywhere in Ireland (from met.ie stations): 20.6c

(3) lowest temp (C) anywhere in Ireland (from met.ie stations): -5.2c

(4) rainfall -- % of normal -- average of all met.ie stations: 130%

(5) sunshine -- % of normal -- average of all met.ie stations: 98%

(6)Easter Sunday is the 4th. Predict the high for the day in deg C at Mullingar: 11.6c

pauldry

1) mean temp (C) 7.6c

(2) highest temp (C) anywhere in Ireland (from met.ie stations): 21.1c

(3) lowest temp (C) anywhere in Ireland (from met.ie stations): -1.1c

(4) rainfall -- % of normal -- average of all met.ie stations: 108%

(5) sunshine -- % of normal -- average of all met.ie stations: 95%

(6)Easter Sunday is the 4th. Predict the high for the day in deg C at Mullingar: 9.6c

cherryghost

(1) mean temp (C) 9.2c

(2) highest temp (C) anywhere in Ireland (from met.ie stations): 19.2c

(3) lowest temp (C) anywhere in Ireland (from met.ie stations): -2.9c

(4) rainfall -- % of normal -- average of all met.ie stations: 160%

(5) sunshine -- % of normal -- average of all met.ie stations: 110%

(6)Easter Sunday is the 4th. Predict the high for the day in deg C at Mullingar: 10.4c

SeaFields

1) mean temp (C) 8.9c

(2) highest temp (C) anywhere in Ireland (from met.ie stations): 20.4c

(3) lowest temp (C) anywhere in Ireland (from met.ie stations): -1.5c

(4) rainfall -- % of normal -- average of all met.ie stations: 140%

(5) sunshine -- % of normal -- average of all met.ie stations: 90%

(6)Easter Sunday is the 4th. Predict the high for the day in deg C at Mullingar: 9.5c

Popoutman

(1) mean temp (C) 8.4C

(2) highest temp (C) anywhere in Ireland (from met.ie stations): 16.0C

(3) lowest temp (C) anywhere in Ireland (from met.ie stations): -1.6C

(4) rainfall -- % of normal -- average of all met.ie stations: 120%

(5) sunshine -- % of normal -- average of all met.ie stations: 94%

(6)Easter Sunday is the 4th. Predict the high for the day in deg C at Mullingar: 11C

200motels

1. 8.1C
2. 17.8C
3 -2.9C
4. 172%
5. 90%
6. 8.1C

dasa29

(1) mean temp (C) 9.5c

(2) highest temp (C) anywhere in Ireland (from met.ie stations): 17.0c

(3) lowest temp (C) anywhere in Ireland (from met.ie stations): -4.0c

(4) rainfall -- % of normal -- average of all met.ie stations: 115%

(5) sunshine -- % of normal -- average of all met.ie stations: 105%

(6)Easter Sunday is the 4th. Predict the high for the day in deg C at Mullingar: 12.5c

jd

1. 8.5C
2. 18.8C
3 -1.9 C
4. 130%
5. 105%
6. 9.3 C

snow ghost

(1) mean temp (C): 10c

(2) highest temp (C) anywhere in Ireland (from met.ie stations): 19.7c

(3) lowest temp (C) anywhere in Ireland (from met.ie stations): -3.1c

(4) rainfall -- % of normal -- average of all met.ie stations: 170%

(5) sunshine -- % of normal -- average of all met.ie stations: 95%

(6)Easter Sunday is the 4th. Predict the high for the day in deg C at Mullingar: 10.2c

waterways

(1) mean temp (C): 9.1c

(2) highest temp (C) anywhere in Ireland (from met.ie stations): 22.3c

(3) lowest temp (C) anywhere in Ireland (from met.ie stations): -2.3c

(4) rainfall -- % of normal -- average of all met.ie stations: 140%

(5) sunshine -- % of normal -- average of all met.ie stations: 111%

(6) Easter Sunday is the 4th. Predict the high for the day in deg C at Mullingar: 8.6c

Lumi

(1) mean temp (C) 8.1c

(2) highest temp (C) anywhere in Ireland (from met.ie stations): 18.7c

(3) lowest temp (C) anywhere in Ireland (from met.ie stations): -1.9c

(4) rainfall -- % of normal -- average of all met.ie stations: 168%

(5) sunshine -- % of normal -- average of all met.ie stations: 113%

(6)Easter Sunday is the 4th. Predict the high for the day in deg C at Mullingar: 7.4c

Strasser

1. 8.2C
2. 20.8C
3 -3.4 C
4. 108%
5. 97%
6. 9.4 C

kindredspirit

1). 8.5°C.

2). 19.3°C.

3). -2.0°C.

4). 140%.

5). 110%.

6). 8.8°C.

M.T. Cranium

Mean 7.4 C

Max 18.8

Min -4.3

Rain 125%

Sunshine 88%

Mullingar on 4th a toasty 7.2 C.

Just a reminder, all forecasts can be edited or resubmitted in new post to end of the day Thursday 1st of April.

Bonus cannot be submitted or edited on 2nd, rest can be with penalty to apply scores over 60 reduced ... then end of 2nd I make up the tables and forecast contest is closed to new entries. Thanks, MTC.

thetonynator

Mean 8.9

Max 20.3

Min -2.5

Rain 120%

Sunshine 105%

Mullingar on 4th 8.4

Su Campu

1) 8.1°C
2) 21.2°C
2) -3.1°C
3)110%
5)95%

Bonus: 9.4°C

Joe Public

April arrived very suddenly!

(7.9, 19.9, -3.9, 99, 129, 8.9)

DOCARCH

(1) mean temp. 7.9c

(2) highest temp anywhere in Ireland (from met.ie stations). 19.2c

(3) lowest temp (C) anywhere in Ireland (from met.ie stations). -2.3c

(4) rainfall -- % of normal -- average of all met.ie stations. 95%

(5) sunshine -- % of normal -- average of all met.ie stations. 110%

(6)Easter Sunday is the 4th. Predict the high for the day in deg C at Mullingar. 9.4c

nilhg

(1) mean temp (C) for the five stations in DE's index. 8.1C

(2) highest temp (C) anywhere in Ireland (from met.ie stations) 19.1C

(3) lowest temp (C) anywhere in Ireland (from met.ie stations) -2.8C

(4) rainfall -- % of normal -- average of all met.ie stations 165%

(5) sunshine -- % of normal -- average of all met.ie stations 88%

(6) Now the bonus. Easter Sunday is the 4th. Predict the high for the day in deg C at Mullingar. 9.4C

Speak Now

(1) mean temp (C) 7.8
(2) highest temp (C) 19.9
(3) lowest temp (C) -3.3
(4) rainfall -- % of normal -- 90%
(5) sunshine -- % of normal -- 120%
(6) bonus 8.2c

Danno

(1) mean temp (C) for the five stations in DE's index. 7.4c

(2) highest temp (C) anywhere in Ireland (from met.ie stations) 17.3c

(3) lowest temp (C) anywhere in Ireland (from met.ie stations) -3.3c

(4) rainfall -- % of normal -- average of all met.ie stations 120%

(5) sunshine -- % of normal -- average of all met.ie stations 90%

(6) Predict the high for the day in deg C at Mullingar. 9.7c

Rebelbrowser

(1) mean temp (C): 9.6c

(2) highest temp (C) anywhere in Ireland (from met.ie stations): 20.5c

(3) lowest temp (C) anywhere in Ireland (from met.ie stations): -1.9c

(4) rainfall -- % of normal -- average of all met.ie stations: 132%

(5) sunshine -- % of normal -- average of all met.ie stations: 101%

(6) Easter Sunday is the 4th. Predict the high for the day in deg C at Mullingar: 9

dbyrne

1) mean temp (C) 9

(2) highest temp (C) anywhere in Ireland (from met.ie stations): 17c

(3) lowest temp (C) anywhere in Ireland (from met.ie stations): -3.2c

(4) rainfall -- % of normal -- average of all met.ie stations: 175%

(5) sunshine -- % of normal -- average of all met.ie stations: 85%

(6)Easter Sunday is the 4th. Predict the high for the day in deg C at Mullingar: 9.3c

M.T. Cranium

Forecasts for April
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Forecaster ....... Mean ..... Max ..... Min .....Rain% ... Sun% ... 4th

snow ghost .... 10.0 ...... 19.7 ..... -3.1 ..... 170 ..... 95 ..... 10.2
John mac ........ 9.8 ...... 20.6 ..... -5.2 ..... 130 ..... 98 ..... 11.6
Rebelbrowser ... 9.6 ...... 20.5 ..... -1.9 ..... 132 .... 101 ...... 9.0
Dasa29 ........... 9.5 ...... 17.0 ..... -4.0 ..... 115 .... 105 .... 12.5
cherryghost ..... 9.2 ...... 19.2 ..... -2.9 .... 160 .... 110 ..... 10.4
waterways ...... 9.1 ...... 22.3 ..... -2.3 ..... 140 .... 111 ...... 8.6
dbyrne ............ 9.0 ...... 17.0 ..... -3.2 .... 175 ..... 85 ..... 9.3
SeaFields ........ 8.9 ....... 20.4 .... -1.5 ..... 140 ..... 90 ....... 9.5
thetonynator ... 8.9 ...... 20.3 ..... -2.5 ..... 120 .... 105 ...... 8.4
jd .................. 8.5 ...... 18.8 ..... -1.9 ..... 130 ..... 105 ..... 9.3
kindredspirit ..... 8.5 ..... 19.3 ...... -2.0 .... 140 .... 110 ...... 8.8
Popoutman ...... 8.4 ...... 16.0 ..... -1.6 .... 120 ...... 94 ..... 11.0
DeepEasterly .... 8.3 ..... 18.3 ..... -2.1 ..... 217 ..... 103 ..... 9.9
Strasser .......... 8.2 ..... 20.8 ..... -3.4 ..... 108 ...... 97 ...... 9.4

Con Sensus ..... 8.1 ..... 19.1 ..... -2.8 ..... 130 ...... 102 ..... 9.4

Fionagus .......... 8.1 ..... 18.7 ..... -1.9 ..... 168 .... 113....... 7.4
patneve2 ......... 8.1 ..... 18.0 ..... -3.5 ..... 130 ....... 80 ..... 8.5
200motels ........ 8.1 ...... 17.8 ..... -2.9 .... 172 ....... 90 ...... 8.1
nilhg ............... 8.1 ...... 19.1 ..... -2.8 ..... 165 ...... 88 ...... 9.4
Su Campu ........ 8.1 ...... 21.2 ..... -3.1 ..... 110 ...... 95 ...... 9.4
redsunset ........ 8.0 ...... 19.0 ..... -1.5 ..... 125 ..... 110 .... 10.5
Hellboy99 ........ 8.0 ...... 18.5 ..... -3.0 ..... 142 ..... 112 .... 10.2
nacho libre ...... 7.9 ...... 18.7 ..... -2.5 ..... 135 ..... 115 ..... 9.3
DOCARCH ....... 7.9 ...... 19.2 ..... -2.3 ....... 95 ..... 110 ...... 9.4
Joe Public ....... 7.9 ...... 19.9 ..... -3.9 ....... 99 ..... 129 ...... 8.9
Jerry Seinfeld .. 7.8 ...... 19.9 ..... -3.3 ....... 90 ..... 120 ...... 8.2
pauldry ........... 7.6 ...... 21.1 ..... -1.1 ..... 108 ...... 95 ...... 9.6
Danno ............ 7.4 ...... 17.3 ..... -3.3 ..... 120 ...... 90 ....... 9.7
M.T. Cranium ... 7.4 ...... 18.8 ..... -4.3 ..... 125 ...... 88 ...... 7.2

Still time to enter, to midnight today, but this is the list so far.

talkabout

May be too late but here goes anyway.


(1) mean temp (C) for the five stations in DE's index. 9.6 C.

(2) highest temp (C) anywhere in Ireland 16.3

(3) lowest temp (C) anywhere in Ireland -1.5

(4) rainfall -- % of normal -- 96%

(5) sunshine -- % of normal -- 110%