UK Elections - Exit polls / First impressions / Constituency Results

K-9

I presume the 3 SDLP votes would go Labour and Alliance, Lib Dem, so that could be 4 seats for a Labour/LD Coalition.

Surely 33% can't win an overall majority? Thought it was about 36/37%

steelcityblues

Will the media dub this 'No decision Britain' ?

nkay1985

Big crowd still here. Can someone give me a rough overview of how we've been looking since about half twelve? I saw Robinso lost his seat alright which was dramatic!

TommyT

Conor Murphy retains his seat 18857 votes.

Who were he 600 odd lunatics who voted for Willie Frazer?

dreamer_ire

Conor Murphy holds Newry & South Armagh

steelcityblues

nkay1985 wrote: »

Big crowd still here. Can someone give me a rough overview of how we've been looking since about half twelve? I saw Robinso lost his seat alright which was dramatic!

Tory gains in unlikely places, no Tory gains in likely places (in general)

Lib Dems losing seats and only gaining I think one so far!

DJCR

Quick Run down so far:

LAB: 101 Seats
CON: 110 Seats
LIBD: 14 Seats

REST: 23 Seats

In NI: All going as normal except Robinson is gone... recount in Fermanagh/South Tyrone - difference of 9 votes.
In Sco: Conservatives made no ground
Wales: Con finding it difficult, PC held ground looking to extend
England: LAB loosing on all sides but holding up beter than expected

Think thats it really !!

murpho999

Labour Hold Bolsover.

Sounds painful!

sceptre

ynotdu wrote: »

Jeez sceptre how many computers and TV's have You got exactly?:D

One of each:) I'm poor:p - as my desktop PSU blew in December I've been working off a 10" netbook screen and my TV usually gets turned on only when live TV is important (elections and world cup finals when I remember world cup finals are on). I read a lot of the UK local papers during my few lucid hours, I like local news, it's wonderfully unimportant to everyone who isn't local. At half ten lately, rediscovering the joy of TV news, I've taken to flicking up and down through 15 regional BBC news shows at once (my favourite is BBC1 East btw, Look East is a well-produced show), lots of local stuff picked up that way. It was last week when I first figured out what Andrew Neil looked like.

Andrew Rawnsley (Observer chief political commentator) reckons he sees a series of patterns. He's done that by dividing Britain into lots of small bits, each with their own behaviour. Electoral commentators usually call those constituencies:)

K-9

Oh a rarity, a LD gain in Burnley.

LordSutch

Conservative gain Lincoln from Labour

dreamer_ire

The Newsletter saying Ulster Unionism has been decapitated tonight and are suggesting a new realigned Unionist party may emerge. Both leaders expected to be removed over the coming days/weeks, expecting Reg Empey to go before Peter Robinson.

nkay1985

DJCR wrote: »

recount in Fermanagh/South Tyrone - difference of 9 votes.

Who had the 9 vote majority?

DJCR

LIB DEMS holding on to CON targets again!!!

Berwickshire remains LIB DEM !!

dreamer_ire

nkay1985 wrote: »

Who had the 9 vote majority?

Rodney Connor

sceptre

Cardiff North recount probable according to BBC Wales - Con and Lab neck and neck there.

DJCR wrote: »

Sinn Fein I think... Michelle Gildernew.

Can't seem to find it anywhere ... I'm sure I saw it though!!

You're right. Recount already done, Gildernew ahead by 2 after that, 45 minutes in total, there will probably be a second recount as there were several hundred spoiled votes (currently being reported on BBC NI)

dreamer_ire

Connor ahead on 1st count by 8, Gildernew ahead by 2 on 2nd count. Gonna go to the wire.... god I need to go to bed but don't want to miss this!

ynotdu

sceptre wrote: »

One of each:) - as my desktop PSU blew in December I've been working off a 10" netbook screen and my TV usually gets turned on only when live TV is important (elections and world cup finals when I remember world cup finals are on). I read a lot of the UK local papers during my few lucid hours, I like local news, it's wonderfully unimportant to everyone who isn't local. At half ten lately, rediscovering the joy of TV news, I've taken to flicking up and down through 15 regional BBC news shows at once (my favourite is BBC1 East btw, Look East is a well-produced show), lots of local stuff picked up that way. It was last week when I first figured out what Andrew Neil looked like.

Andrew Rawnsley (Observer chief political commentator) reckons he sees a series of patterns. He's done that by dividing Britain into lots of small bits, each with their own behaviour. Electoral commentators usually call those constituencies:)

So My assumption that You were Male must be dead wrong!
Since You so brilliantly Multitask You must be a woman!:)

*ynotdu seeking the female vote:)*

DJCR

dreamer_ire wrote: »

Connor ahead on 1st count by 8, Gildernew ahead by 2 on 2nd count. Gonna go to the wire.... god I need to go to bed but don't want to miss this!

Is BBC NI covering this .... havent seen any of it on Sky News!!!

LordSutch

Fermanagh & South Tyrone recount has Gildernew winning by just two votes!

Another recount possible?

steelcityblues

Lib Dem loss in Rochdale!

nkay1985

dreamer_ire wrote: »

Connor ahead on 1st count by 8, Gildernew ahead by 2 on 2nd count. Gonna go to the wire.... god I need to go to bed but don't want to miss this!

Jesus that's crazy! I hope Gildernew makes it. She stayed in my house once just before she first got elected and was lovely.

DJCR

Ashfield

LAB:- 16,239
CON:- 10,698
LIBD:- 16,047

Phwooorrrrrrrrrr.............. Close one!!

dreamer_ire

DJCR wrote: »

Is BBC NI covering this .... havent seen any of it on Sky News!!!

Yes, great coverage of it on BBC NI. Checking spoilt votes now as sceptre said.

sceptre

DJCR wrote: »

Is BBC NI covering this .... havent seen any of it on Sky News!!!

Yes but they've zipped away to talk a bit more about the "bigger picture" (aka the 632 seats that aren't in norn iron) now. "Unionist realignment" being talked about as well (as other people above have hinted at).

steelcityblues

Clegg arrives at Sheffield count centre! Looks withdrawn!

cruiserweight

steelcityblues wrote: »

Lib Dem loss in Rochdale!

Is that not a Labour hold

steelcityblues

cruiserweight wrote: »

Is that not a Labour hold

Paul Rowen (Lib Dem) was outgoing MP.

Have one of the stations got that wrong?

ynotdu

Lol at D Dimbelby about the people who did not get to vote:

"This is meant to be a centre of Democracy,not a third world Country"

cruiserweight

steelcityblues wrote: »

Paul Rowen (Lib Dem) was outgoing MP.

Have one of the stations got that wrong?

BBC list Labour as having won the seat in 2005, but seems that they might have it wrong

http://news.bbc.co.uk/1/shared/election2010/results/constituency/d71.stm

steelcityblues

cruiserweight wrote: »

BBC list Labour as having won the seat in 2005, but seems that they might have it wrong

http://news.bbc.co.uk/1/shared/election2010/results/constituency/d71.stm

They are wrong. I know the place and Rowen was the MP since 2005!

CORRECTION: I think they were going on boundary changes, which in 2005 would have made it a Labour seat!

dreamer_ire

1st recount in Fermanagh/South Tyrone put Gildernew ahead by 10, picking up an extra 17 votes. 2nd recount due at 4.30, if it has to go to a third vote it will start tomorrow morning at 9am.

LordSutch

RTE TV coverage ending for the night, over to the Beeb & SKY .........

DJCR

Darling just put his foot in it !!!

"I support Gordon Brown" - ha, I don't believe you!!

dfx-

Have to say I started out with the BBC, but ITV's coverage is definitely much better. Haven't gone near Sky..

nkay1985

If it ended up as a minority Conservative government, do you think we'd have another General Election fairly quickly? Listening to David Davis, he made a valid point that difficult decisions that will have to be made would be made very difficult.

steelcityblues

I'm outta here! Thanks to moderator spectre and others for the craic online here!

What an election developing!

LordSutch

Jacqui Smith loses seat :eek:

sceptre

Nice slip by Dimbleby on going to Barking... "where the National Front is challenging... sorry, I meant BNP"

There's an old joke about Thatcher where one of her aides supposedly said that she was "daggers mad". Asked if he meant she had the knife out, he said "no, she's three stops beyond Barking"

Those familiar with the District Line will remember that Dagenham Heathway is three stops past Barking. Never as funny when you have to explain it.

On BBC NI, they were talking about this cartoon from the Times yesterday. There's now a possibility that none of those three things in the cartoon will come to pass.

ynotdu wrote: »

So My assumption that You were Male must be dead wrong!
Since You so brilliantly Multitask You must be a woman!:)

*ynotdu seeking the female vote:)*

Ha, no on both counts, no multitasking ability whatever. Though I am currently also cooking dinner, I've been quite sickly for the past two days with the tuberculosis or similar and I can only eat now.


Interesting that right now with half the seats declared, they're all pretty much at roughly half of the projections the exit poll predicted so proportionally it's close to correct so far (with a slight adjustment downward for the LibDems and upward for others). Odd that.

Nice article on the Scottish results in today's Times, the opener is marvellous:

The Conservative advance was halted at the Border in the early hours of the morning, with Scotland once again proving to be a Labour fortress...

LordSutch

Conservative gain Corby from Labour, still on for a hung Parliament.

More coffee please

DJCR

Brighton looks like its gonna stay Red!!

K-9

Paxman interviewing Samond now, good fun.

DJCR

Cameron is sickened!!! A part of me is delighted!!

ynotdu

Oh well Esther,i guess THAT's LIFE!:pac::pac::pac:

LordSutch

Cameron expected to fall short of the magic figure by twenty seats approx . . . .

Conservative Liberal pact on the cards in the coming days.

loldog

DJCR wrote: »

Cameron is sickened!!! A part of me is delighted!!

All of me is delighted.

.

loldog

Camelot wrote: »

Conservative Liberal pact on the cards in the coming days.

O rly? That would simply be unworkable. Labour/Lib Dem is how it will pan out.

.

LordSutch

Fermanagh & South Tyrone due for third recount later in the morning (after 9am).

sink

So after all the turmoil it looks like the exit polls were bang on the money.

Bit disappointed tbh, was hoping for a better performance from the Lib Dems, but the AP win in Belfast was a nice surprise. I reckon a minority Conservative government is most likely at this point, although a LIB/LAB coalition is still very possible.

I have to be up for work in 3 hours so I think it's bed time.

dreamer_ire

Fermanagh South Tyrone 2nd recount puts Gildernew ahead by 2 votes. 3rd recount tomorrow morning starting at 9. Both sides taking legal advice. Arlene Foster made it to the polling centre in an hour and ten from Belfast!

Bed time for me too.... thanks for your company and the updates folks