June 2010 Boards forecast contest

M.T. Cranium

Time to start thinking about June ... and here's the contest questions (first five are the usual ones) :

1. Mean temp (C) for the five-station set. 1961-90 average was 13.3 C.

2, Highest temp in Ireland as per Met Eireann reports.

3. Lowest temp in Ireland as per Met Eireann reports.

4. Average rainfall (% of normal) at all reporting stations.

5. Average sunshine (% of normal) at all reporting stations.

6. Bonus question -- Cork City Marathon takes place on Monday, 7th June. Predict the high for the day and rainfall in mms (two sets of 5-pt bonuses).

Anyone wishing to help out with the template, just block copy this and change letters to numbers ...

(MEAN,MAX,MIN,RAIN%,SUN%,CTEMP,CRAIN)

in that, (C = Cork)

No worries if you prefer the non-template, overall it saves me a bit of work.

No rush with the answers, just wanted to give a timely heads up with the weekend coming. Deadline as always, end of the first day of June, then a penalty applies to entries received on the 2nd and the door will be locked thereafter. Bonus entries on 2nd will lose two places (like dropping your baton in the relay).

Deep Easterly

Fairly warm June coming up but with very hot days. Very thundery too, possibly on par with the classic June of '86.

(14.3c, 31.2c, 1.3c, 80%, 103%, 18.9c, 0.3mm)

thetonynator

(14.1, 25.2, 1.8, 120, 110, 18.5, 0.2mm)

pauldry

(13.8c, 28.1c, 1.5c, 130%, 112%, 19.7c, 2.0mm)

John mac

(15.1,29.4,2.1,108%,120%,22,0.0)

hellboy99

14, 29.2, 1.6, 87%, 106%, 20.4, 0

200motels

14.1C 29.6C 2.2C 74% 129% 24C 00mm

Lumi

(13.9, 28.3, 3.2, 86, 111, 20.3, 0mm)
*

Strasser

13.0,26.4,1.2,110%,90%,C19.8,C8mm

jd

(14.0c, 28.0c, 1.7c, 84%, 108%, 22.9c, 0)

mickger844posts

14.6c,28.8, 2.2, 70%,120%,22.5c, 0.0mm

M.T. Cranium

(14.2,30.1,3.5,90,120,16.1,4.0)

Warm - near average - hot the general trend for ten-day segments.

dasa29

(14.5c, 27.5c, 1.0c, 90%, 120%, 20.5c, 1.0mm)

M.T. Cranium

BTTT ... the time fast approaches. Tick tock.

Joe Public

M.T. Cranium wrote: »

BTTT ... the time fast approaches. Tick tock.

There are over 80,000 tick tocks left until June

Joe Public

(13.9,25.9,2.9,89%,110%,17.9,9)

Redsunset

(MEAN 14.5c,MAX 27c,MIN 5,RAIN 90%,SUN 170%,CTEMP 17c,CRAIN2mm)

Leeside

14.9c, 29.2c, 3.1c,103%, 110%, 18.4c, 0mm

SeaFields

(15.1c, 26.7c, 4.0c, 75%, 125%, 16.8c, 0.0mm)

Rebelbrowser

(14.6c, 26.7c, 5.1c, 88%, 119%, 21.7, 0.0mm)

Regarding the Cork City Marathon, I have a vested interest here, I'm running all 26.2 miles of the bloody thing! I'm hoping for mid teens but I fear it will be warm like last year (was mid twentys without a cloud - was only running half it then but it nearly killed me!)

Danno

13.6c, 25.7, 3.4c, 85%, 110%, 16.1c, 14.4mm

kindredspirit

13.7°C,27.0°C,3.5°C,90%,110%,16.0°C,8mm

Su Campu

13.4,24.9,3.8,95,105,18.7,0.0

talkabout

(15.1, 30.8, 2.9, 98, 118, 19.9, 0.0mm)

nacho libre

M.T.
i'm going to go again as i can't edit my previous post. sorry for the inconvenience.


13.9c, 28.5c, 2.1c, 85%, 125%, 21.7c, 10mm

nilhg

(13.7C,27.8C,5.5C,101%,112%,15.9C,10.8MM)

DOCARCH

13.7C, 27.6C, 4.6C, 96%, 112%, 14.9C, 4.8mm

Speak Now

(13.3c, 25.0c, 4.0c, 95%, 105%, 19.0c, 1.5mm)

M.T. Cranium

Here are the June forecasts received so far:

Forecaster ...... Mean ..... Max .... Min ..... Rain% .... Sun% .... Cork 7th
___________________________________________________________

John mac ......... 15.1 ..... 29.4 ... 2.1 ..... 108 ..... 120 ..... 22.0, 0.0
talkabout ......... 15.1 ..... 30.8 ... 2.9 ..... 098 ..... 118 ..... 19.9, 0.0
SeaFields ......... 15.1 ..... 26.7 ... 4.0 ..... 075 ..... 125 ..... 16.8, 0.0
Leeside ........... 14.9 ..... 29.2 ... 3.1 ..... 103 ..... 110 ..... 18.4, 0.0
mickger844posts 14.6 ..... 28.8 ... 2.2 ..... 070 ..... 120 ..... 22.5, 0.0
Rebelbrowser .... 14.6 ..... 26.7 ... 5.1 ..... 088 ..... 119 ..... 21.7, 0.0
dasa29 ............ 14.5 ..... 27.5 ... 1.0 ..... 090 ..... 120 ..... 20.5, 1.0
redsunset ........ 14.5 ..... 27.0 ... 5.0 ..... 090 ..... 170 ..... 17.0, 2.0
Deep Easterly ... 14.3 ..... 31.2 ... 1.3 ..... 080 ..... 103 ..... 18.9, 0.3
M.T. Cranium .... 14.2 ..... 30.1 ... 3.5 ..... 090 ..... 120 ..... 16.1, 4.0
thetonynator .... 14.1 ..... 25.2 ... 1.8 ..... 120 ..... 110 ..... 18.5, 0.2
200motels ........ 14.1 ..... 29.6 ... 2.2 ..... 074 ..... 129 ..... 24.0, 0.0

Con Sensus ...... 14.0 ..... 27.8 ... 2.9 ..... 090 ..... 110 ..... 18.9, 0.3

hellboy99 ......... 14.0 ..... 29.2 ... 1.6 ..... 087 ..... 106 ..... 20.4, 0.0
jd ................... 14.0 ..... 28.0 ... 1.7 ..... 084 ..... 108 ..... 22.9, 0.0
Fionagus .......... 13.9 ..... 28.3 ... 3.2 ..... 086 ..... 111 ..... 20.3, 0.0
Nacho libre ....... 13.9 ..... 28.5 ... 2.1 ..... 085 ..... 125 ..... 21.7, 10.0
Joe Public ........ 13.9 ..... 25.9 ... 2.9 ..... 089 ..... 110 ..... 17.9, 9.0
pauldry ............ 13.8 ..... 28.1 ... 1.5 ..... 130 ..... 112 ..... 19.7, 2.0
DOCARCH ......... 13.7 ..... 27.6 ... 4.6 ..... 096 ..... 112 ..... 14.9, 4.8
nilhg ............... 13.7 ..... 27.8 ... 5.5 ..... 101 ..... 112 ..... 15.9, 10.8
kindredspirit ..... 13.7 ..... 27.0 ... 3.5 ..... 090 ..... 110 ..... 16.0, 8.0
Danno ............. 13.6 ..... 25.7 ... 3.4 ..... 085 ..... 110 ..... 16.1, 14.4
Su Campu ........ 13.4 ..... 24.9 ... 3.8 ..... 095 ..... 105 ..... 18.7, 0.0
Jerry Seinfeld .... 13.3 ..... 25.0 ... 4.0 ..... 095 ..... 105 ..... 19.0, 1.5
Strasser ........... 13.0 ..... 26.4 ... 1.2 ..... 110 ..... 090 ..... 19.8, 8.0

If you enter after this post, look for your entry in an edited version (or a later post if I can't edit). Looks like consensus is calling for a somewhat warmer, drier and sunnier month than average. The consensus in these tables is a median value rather than a mean. Usually it doesn't make much difference. With the rainfall prediction for Cork on the 7th, it does come out different, because almost half the field predicts no rain, while the rest have predictions that average around 5-10 mms. So that "consensus" is really a split between two schools of thought. Anyway, thanks for entering, and welcome to Leeside.

Deep Easterly

Haven't much time to do up graphs but figure wise, the current June mean of the 5 met eireann stations (up to midnight 5th) stands at 15.2c, which is around 2.5c above normal for the first 5 days of June.

Annual mean standing at 6.26c, which is 0.7c below the 61-90 norm for the period, but slowly rising all the time.

pauldry

Also very little rain so far in Connaught and Ulster, Quite a bit more in Leinster and Munster.

Tomorrow looks like a stack of rain in Cork for the bonus question and temperatures will be in the mid teens at best so there will be quite a few disappointed people there... myself included.:(