Thunderstorm/Convective Watch: Summer 2010

maquiladora

Later today, rain will turn heavy in southern counties, the heavy rain spreading gradually northeastwards into most of Munster, Leinster and east Ulster this evening and early tonight, with a risk of thundery downpours.

- http://www.met.ie/forecasts/#

Might be a few rumbles for some in the east midlands and the northeast this evening.

lucernarian

Horrible afternoon here, very showery and blustery here for the past hour. Also quite humid. No thunder reported however. I see Met Eireann have showers and drizzly rain forecast for south Leinster and Munster but so far today, all of Leinster and adjoining counties have had showery conditions. Currently it's moving into NI even. Even their 3 hour forecast is quite off the mark, the heavier rain should be marked 120 km further north.

http://www.met.ie/weathermaps/3hr-rain.gif

owenc

To_be_confirmed wrote: »

Horrible afternoon here, very showery and blustery here for the past hour. Also quite humid. No thunder reported however. I see Met Eireann have showers and drizzly rain forecast for south Leinster and Munster but so far today, all of Leinster and adjoining counties have had showery conditions. Currently it's moving into NI even. Even their 3 hour forecast is quite off the mark, the heavier rain should be marked 120 km further north.

http://www.met.ie/weathermaps/3hr-rain.gif

No they are correct that is just showers and it is actually quite a nice day here with 21c and a bit of milky sunshine and no wind at all for once, pity about milky sunshine as per usual northern ireland weather though *sigh*

lucernarian

Excuse me? Are you able to even understand your own posts? Did you know that weather forecasts can be wrong for some parts of Ireland, but remain correct for others?

PLEASE STOP mentioning Coleraine at every chance you have. Especially if you don't have the attention span to read even a small post properly. This is the Thunderstorm thread, not the "Latest in Coleraine: July 2010" thread.

paulhac

Hee Hee Hee!!:D

owenc

To_be_confirmed wrote: »

Excuse me? Are you able to even understand your own posts? Did you know that weather forecasts can be wrong for some parts of Ireland, but remain correct for others?

PLEASE STOP mentioning Coleraine at every chance you have. Especially if you don't have the attention span to read even a small post properly. This is the Thunderstorm thread, not the "Latest in Coleraine: July 2010" thread.

SHUT THE F UP FOR GOD SAKE AND STOP TAKING YOUR **** OUT ON ME! ADDED TO IGNORE LIST IMMEDIATELY!

paulhac

Crickey, I'm runnin' for cover.....storm drifting southwards from Coleraine!!!! headin' straight for us.......aaaaggghhh.......:D

Trogdor

Calmness please people:) Don't want to have to give you another timeout owen!

This thread is for thunderstorm and convective activity discussion only.

maquiladora

12Z GFS is picking up on what DE mentioned last night regarding Monday. LI of -2 and 300-400 j/kg CAPE for the north midlands, could bring a few rumbles.

Tuesday not looking as thundery on this run as previous ones, but Wednesday and Thursday have good thunderstorm potential.

Hal1

Lets hope the other variables are there to kick start some good convection.

maquiladora

Hal1 wrote: »

Lets hope the other variables are there to kick start some good convection.

If that Thursday chart came off I think we would be sure to see good convection and thunderstorms.

Plenty of moisture, 800-900 CAPE, -4 Lifted Index, 16C dp.

The only problem is it will probably change by Thursday! :pac:

Deep Easterly

maquiladora wrote: »

If that Thursday chart came off I think we would be sure to see good convection and thunderstorms.

Plenty of moisture, 800-900 CAPE, -4 Lifted Index, 16C dp.

The only problem is it will probably change by Thursday! :pac:

Still waiting for at least one half decent storm here this year so hopefully not!

Su Campu

Here's the Portlaoise sounding for 15Z Thursday, showing good boundary level moisture, unstable lapse rates, and ELT around -45°C, good for thunderstorms. Wind shear is weak however, but it does increase later on in the afternoon/evening, and with mid - upper levels drying out, convection coud be sustained until after dark. Most activity in the midlands and southwest.

torrentum

Deep Easterly wrote: »

Still waiting for at least one half decent storm here this year so hopefully not!

Agreed Depp Easterly. Just noticed the date, it's almost 25 years since the "big one" in 1985. Will we ever see it's likes again? Fingers crossed for later this week anyway.

snaps

very warm and humid evening here, watching tv with patio doors open! No sign of any rain, hazy late evening sunshine.

SeaFields

Thunder and lightening in south kerry at the mo. Has been ongoing for about 15 minutes now.

EDIT - ah crap! just lost the tv signal.

Deep Easterly

SeaFields wrote: »

Thunder and lightening in south kerry at the mo. Has been ongoing for about 15 minutes now.

EDIT - ah crap! just lost the tv signal.

Congrats! Nice trail of sferics running into Kerry alright at the mo:



http://www.meteox.nl/h.aspx?r=&jaar=-3&soort=satradar

Robxxx7

SeaFields wrote: »

Thunder and lightening in south kerry at the mo. Has been ongoing for about 15 minutes now.

EDIT - ah crap! just lost the tv signal.

Same here ... very very dark here now ... very heavy downpour followed by Thunder

Takeshi_Kovacs

SeaFields wrote: »

Thunder and lightening in south kerry at the mo. Has been ongoing for about 15 minutes now.

How regular is it? Is it raining heavily there now? (cant tell since radar is off)
Its pretty dry here atm, outside Tralee

Robxxx7

I'm just outside Killorglin and the rain was very heavy for about 10-15 minutes with 2 claps of Thunder

Robxxx7

Another heavy bout of rain ... power flickering

Takeshi_Kovacs

Just a light drizzle out there atm

me8989

anyone think there will be thunder and lightning in the limerick area tonight?
im scared of it.......

SeaFields

Takeshi_Kovacs wrote: »

How regular is it? Is it raining heavily there now? (cant tell since radar is off)
Its pretty dry here atm, outside Tralee

got just under 10mm in last hour.

Robxxx7 wrote: »

Another heavy bout of rain ... power flickering

power flickering here to and have lost the tv signal.


Still rumbling away the whole time since my first post.

Su Campu

ESTOFEX have a slight chance of thunderstorms for us tomorrow into Tuesday morning

Takeshi_Kovacs

Reasonably heavy rain outside now, no thunder though

Timistry

We had heavy rain in kenmare for about 15 min between 10 and 11 pm. No thunder or lightening to report though. We are the rain capital of ireland but never get snow etc (aka the good stuff) lol:p

DOCARCH

Appears to be lots of strikes this morning off the south coast. http://andvari.vedur.is/athuganir/eldingar/

BTW, a tropical 18.2c here.

maquiladora

The last 2 GFS runs have backed off on Thursday's thundery potential completely but still looks good for Wednesday.

BEASTERLY

GFS has really upgraded the storm potential for hear on Wednesday. Two stroms in as many weeks , two good to be true?