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Thunderstorm/Convective Watch: Summer 2010

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    #782
    maquiladora
    Registered Users Posts: 11,134 ✭✭✭✭maquiladora


    Nice CAPE & LI figures on the 0Z GFS :

    2hchhjb.png


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    #783
    Deep Easterly
    Closed Accounts Posts: 5,150 ✭✭✭Deep Easterly


    owenc wrote: »
    Erm the metoffice has a warning out for us.... i think since we are under a band we have more risk...

    Dosen't work that way Owen. In sum, what is causing your rain and mine is a developing occlusion that is running down from Scotland. Areas further east will have more in the way of sunshine within a slack, unstable airmass which will trigger off showers later, which could merge into the occluded zone as it pushes east later so hence the risk zone on the Estofex.


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    #784
    DOCARCH
    Moderators, Home & Garden Moderators, Science, Health & Environment Moderators Posts: 17,998 Mod ✭✭✭✭DOCARCH


    Some nice convection going on here already with cu bubbling up and starting to tower.


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    #785
    WolfeIRE
    Closed Accounts Posts: 2,667 ✭✭✭WolfeIRE


    band of showers bubbling up across midlands
    image.ashx?country=gb&type=last&time=201007211030&sat=

    larger sat view
    http://oiswww.eumetsat.org/IPPS/html/latestImages/EUMETSAT_MSG_RGB-airmass-westernEurope.jpg


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    #786
    maquiladora
    Registered Users Posts: 11,134 ✭✭✭✭maquiladora


    Yeah some early convection going on, thats going to get even better around midday and early afternoon.


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    #787
    TheMilkyPirate
    Registered Users Posts: 6,012 ✭✭✭TheMilkyPirate


    Torrential rain just started here in wexford town but it's quite sunny and hot otherwise hopefully a good sign for some thunder later on.


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    #788
    John2009
    Registered Users Posts: 788 ✭✭✭John2009


    Nice convection build up here

    DSCF1960.jpg
    DSCF1958.jpg


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    #789
    maquiladora
    Registered Users Posts: 11,134 ✭✭✭✭maquiladora


    Going chasing today John? :pac:


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    #790
    maquiladora
    Registered Users Posts: 11,134 ✭✭✭✭maquiladora


    From today's Torro forecast :
    Low-level convergence zones are progged by hi-res models, especially in eastern Eire, eastern N Ireland, and central Scotland. Stretching of vertical vorticity along these zones brings the risk of a few funnel clouds and perhaps brief tornadoes.


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    #791
    John2009
    Registered Users Posts: 788 ✭✭✭John2009


    maquiladora wrote: »
    Going chasing today John? :pac:

    :D, have my little fella today so my hands are full :)

    DSCF1961.jpg


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    #792
    BEASTERLY
    Registered Users Posts: 1,789 ✭✭✭BEASTERLY


    Yea some really nice convection going on here aswell , fingers crossed!

    Sorry Owen , coleraine has very little storm risk today. As much as we in the southeast and midlands hate hogging all the storms we'll take what were given.:D

    Why were people in the west/northwest dissaponted they didn't get anything last night , GFS and other models didn't show any proper storm risk for yesterday or last night , today was allways shown to be the day. Where did people get the idea there was meant to be widespread storms up there?

    As M.T says this afternoon was always the big potential!


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    #793
    WolfeIRE
    Closed Accounts Posts: 2,667 ✭✭✭WolfeIRE


    maquiladora wrote: »
    From today's Torro forecast :
    two things shocking about this 'brief tornados' and use of the word 'eire':p

    plenty of precip on hirlam model for tonight in east coast and COLERAINE
    121001.jpg


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    #794
    maquiladora
    Registered Users Posts: 11,134 ✭✭✭✭maquiladora


    First strike detected. :D

    Around the east coast :

    http://andvari.vedur.is/athuganir/eldingar/i_dag_na.html?


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    #795
    WolfeIRE
    Closed Accounts Posts: 2,667 ✭✭✭WolfeIRE


    TAKEN AT 10.15
    121002.jpg


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    #796
    Su Campu
    Closed Accounts Posts: 4,279 ✭✭✭Su Campu


    Actually, the only airport of the 7 main airports on the island of Ireland with a mention of thunderstorms in its TAF is......Derrry Eglington! Slight chance of heavy thunderstorms (from 10am to 7pm....forecast only goes to 7pm)

    EGAE 210801Z 2109/2118 28006KT 9999 SCT008 BKN020
    TEMPO 2109/2118 6000 RA BKN012
    PROB30
    TEMPO 2109/2118 4000 +TSRA BKN008
    BECMG 2114/2117 36015G25KT

    I would expect a big change in the 11Z TAFs


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    #797
    WolfeIRE
    Closed Accounts Posts: 2,667 ✭✭✭WolfeIRE


    http://www.liveatc.net/flisten.php?mount=eidw2

    Listening to the Dublin Airport Control Tower, it is interesting to hear how busy it is. No reports of any difficult conditions for past 20 mins.

    Still great to listen to all the different airlines.

    EDIT:
    Just a mention of the weather from an Irish pilot (aer arann i think) saying 'heavy' weather moving up quickly from the south
    Another pilot has requested to be allowed to redirect over Baldonnel due to the weather.
    Five miles west of dublin airport - pilot says no turbulence but 'very heavy rain'
    Another pilot reporting 'quite a lot of weather between us and Dublin'


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    #798
    maquiladora
    Registered Users Posts: 11,134 ✭✭✭✭maquiladora


    New strike in Kildare area. Starting to pick up now.


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    #799
    rd_milltown
    Closed Accounts Posts: 17 ✭rd_milltown


    My mate on duty at the Met Office today has just sent me a pic of the whole of the UK lightning-free apart from two strikes just south of Dublin at 10.25am. Certainly looks pretty dark to my south and some great towering cumulus going up in the brighter skies to the north, too !


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    #800
    rd_milltown
    Closed Accounts Posts: 17 ✭rd_milltown


    WolfeIRE wrote: »
    http://www.liveatc.net/flisten.php?mount=eidw2

    Listening to the Dublin Airport Control Tower, it is interesting to hear how busy it is. No reports of any difficult conditions for past 20 mins.

    Amazing - many thanks for that link !

    Rich


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    #801
    maquiladora
    Registered Users Posts: 11,134 ✭✭✭✭maquiladora


    Convection in the east :

    http://www.sat24.com/Region.aspx?country=gb&sat=vis&type=loop


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    #802
    WolfeIRE
    Closed Accounts Posts: 2,667 ✭✭✭WolfeIRE


    rd_milltown wrote: »
    My mate on duty at the Met Office today has just sent me a pic of the whole of the UK lightning-free apart from two strikes just south of Dublin at 10.25am. Certainly looks pretty dark to my south and some great towering cumulus going up in the brighter skies to the north, too !
    certainly plenty of convection over Dublin and Meath in last hour
    http://www.sat24.com/gb

    nice animated view of convection over dublin
    http://www.yr.no/satellitt/europa_animasjon.html


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    #803
    Storm 10
    Registered Users Posts: 5,934 ✭✭✭Storm 10


    What about this stuff moving down from the North towards Galway are we likely to see anything happen here.

    http://www.sat24.com/gb

    Its been a terrible morning here with torrential rain and flooding reported in Gort again.


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    #804
    owenc
    Banned (with Prison Access) Posts: 5,524 ✭✭✭owenc


    maquiladora wrote: »
    New strike in Kildare area. Starting to pick up now.

    Theres no strikes ANYWHERE in the british isles!! How are you picking this up! Sure that boy said that his friend from the met office has shown him just that, were did you find this strike.


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    #805
    Noffles
    Registered Users Posts: 1,549 ✭✭✭Noffles


    Looking grim in Gorey...


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    #806
    owenc
    Banned (with Prison Access) Posts: 5,524 ✭✭✭owenc


    Storm 10 wrote: »
    What about this stuff moving down from the North towards Galway are we likely to see anything happen here.

    http://www.sat24.com/gb

    Its been a terrible morning here with torrential rain and flooding reported in Gort again.

    Yeah i was thinking that, aswell it looks pretty strong, most of the stuff coming over here and scotland is by passing us and going on down to you!:mad:


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    #807
    WolfeIRE
    Closed Accounts Posts: 2,667 ✭✭✭WolfeIRE


    owenc wrote: »
    Theres no strikes ANYWHERE in the british isles!!

    That's correct. but there was a strike in the republic of ireland.
    http://andvari.vedur.is/athuganir/el...i_dag_na.html?


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    #808
    WolfeIRE
    Closed Accounts Posts: 2,667 ✭✭✭WolfeIRE


    Noffles wrote: »
    Looking grim in Gorey...
    great shot noffles. to my untrained eye that looks like the beginnings of a funnel cloud


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    #809
    maquiladora
    Registered Users Posts: 11,134 ✭✭✭✭maquiladora


    owenc wrote: »
    Theres no strikes ANYWHERE in the british isles!! How are you picking this up! Sure that boy said that his friend from the met office has shown him just that, were did you find this strike.



    http://www.irlweather.com/wxStormVue.php

    http://andvari.vedur.is/athuganir/eldingar/i_dag_na.html?

    http://www.meteox.com/h.aspx?r=&jaar=-3&soort=lightning


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    #810
    owenc
    Banned (with Prison Access) Posts: 5,524 ✭✭✭owenc


    Noffles wrote: »
    Looking grim in Gorey...

    Are you foreal?:confused: Its raining like hell here and its misty, i think you know fine well that that is not grim!


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    #811
    owenc
    Banned (with Prison Access) Posts: 5,524 ✭✭✭owenc


    WolfeIRE wrote: »
    That's correct. but there was a strike in the republic of ireland.
    http://andvari.vedur.is/athuganir/el...i_dag_na.html?

    thats in the british isles.:rolleyes: Why is it not showing up in this? http://www.blitzortung.org/Webpages/index.php?lang=en&page=1&subpage_0=4&subpage_3=3 it updates every second.


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