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Ken Ring predictions
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What a very odd thing to say. You're having me on, surely. You post a link showing counties and in the same sentence say ME don't do counties????Emm well the ME do only do regional forecast by Province except for Dublin, have a look at http://www.met.ie/forecasts/regional.asp
This is just feedback.
Look to the right of your link, where it says County Forecasts (Midday), and use the drop down menu to select the county. All of them are there.
www.predictweather.com0 -
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What a very odd thing to say. You're having me on, surely. You post a link showing counties and in the same sentence say ME don't do counties????
Look to the right of your link, where it says County Forecasts (Midday), and use the drop down menu to select the county. All of them are there.
I wouldn't call that a forecast its just computer generated icons, the regional forecast with text is what I was referring to0 -
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Just in case it is misunderstood by some, the closure of Kilkenny is nothing to do with finance, but to do with development near the site, same happened with Rosslare and Clones.:(thetonynator wrote: »When the kilkenny station was closed down recently, met eireann relocated to oak park in carlow, a teagasc site which already had a good climatological station. Shame kilkenny is gone.
The finance aspect with some stations is nothing to do with Met Eireann but with 3rd party such as NPWS. Things like relocating staff can mean no one to take the readings.
As for Kilkenny, there is continuity of climatological record because a climate station was installed at a nearby site before the synoptic station closed.0 -
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Ken, just as a matter of interest, what is the percentage of positive/negative responses (roughly) you get for your long-term forecasts? Are comments/criticisms on weather forums such as this one representatve of the whole/general view or just a portion of them?
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Overwhelmingly positive. It is only meteorologists and astronomers who look for fault and of course find it. They cannot get past their own criteria which gives them a bias. I only care about the responses from farmers. I am on ski blogs, surf forums, all sorts, and the scene is the same as here. The people on the ground support what I am trying to provide and then along comes a 'regular' meteorologist who endeavours to shut me down. Sometimes it gets so heated the thread gets closed by the moderators. I think that is often the agenda of those who want to deflect attention away from their own lack of a good track record. Anyone is entitled to an opinion in this world - except when it comes to weather and when it comes to me, it seems..:)Deep Easterly wrote: »Ken, just as a matter of interest, what is the percentage of positive/negative responses (roughly) you get for your long-term forecasts? Are comments/criticisms on weather forums such as this one representatve of the whole/general view or just a portion of them?0 -
Dew and frost can occur overnight on new and full moons and dump quite a bit of water in a rain gauge. 0.2mm-0.4mm around here is usually referred to as nonrecordable. But it could also be fine drizzle.
Non-recordable is called Trace, and is <0.05mm, much less than your figure. Rain guages can read as low as 0.1mm.
For me right is when someone says it will rain and it does rain. Wrong is when someone says it will rain, but it doesn't. Simple.I think this 'right' and 'wrong' is something that you need to change your perception of. I only ever claim potential.I'm glad you watch my blogs! My understanding, from regular meteorolgy textbooks is that cirrus slowly descend and form cumulonimbus. The process is about 36 hours. Are you saying this doesn't happen?
Absolutely, it's the opposite. I don't know where you read that but it wasn't from a meteorology textbook. Cumulonimbus form from the lower atmosphere and rise throughout its depth to the tropopause, where they can spread out and form a cirrus anvil. This can happen in the space of less than 30 minutes. Though maybe in the southern hemisphere things happen the opposite way!! :pac:
Maybe the fact that your negative feedback comes primarily from meteorologists is that they can see the flaws in what you say, unlike the general public. I've no doubt that you may be gifted in predicting lunar and planetary cycles, my hat goes off to you for that, but I just cannot take what you say about weather seriously, and hence your forecasts are worthless imo. But you've a right to do what you do, fair play to you, and as long as people keep paying for your forecasts, you'll continue to do it. And for what it's worth, I'll keep watching your blogs, if not just for the way they make me smile!
PS Do you ever sleep??!!0 -
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Sorry, I had no rain for Carlow on those days.I was actually talking about the 18th, 19th, 20th and 21st i.e. the weekend just gone, one of the best June weekends in years with record hours of sunshine. The rain distribution chart that was included in the forecast I bought shows the whole country and it has rain in areas for those days..
Well that's odd, it's not in my forecast for Carlow. Maybe there are two Carlows and you live in the other oneif I had based it on your forecast I would have told him to expect rain on Monday, Tuesday Wednesday and Sunday and not many hours of sunshine (something you include in your forecast)...
But very sunny days on either side. Once again, the 24-hr error either side. So I'd say pretty good:)You had 2 hours of sunshine forecast for last Saturday and 4 hours on Sunday, the best days sunshine I have ever seen.)...
So you should if you're looking from a day away and using all the technology for that purpose. How is your accuracy from two years away?So now along with we have 80%-85% overall accuracy as well!..
I would never ever say I am always correct. You could have saved yourself the expense because I could have easily answered that for nothing!Just to be clear I have no agenda here or wish to shut you down in any way, I have praised you privately and publicly in the past but I had several people asking me if you were always correct and how accurate you actually were so I decided to buy your forecast and see for myself and the feedback I'm giving is based on the forecast I purchased.
www.predictweather.com0 -
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I'm not just talking Carlow in my feedback, the rain distribution charts you provided show the whole country, do you need me to post one for you to see what I mean?Sorry, I had no rain for Carlow on those days.Well that's odd, it's not in my forecast for Carlow. Maybe there are two Carlows and you live in the other one Your forecast shows:
Monday 14th 14mm rain
Tuesday 15th Trace of rain
Wednesday 16th 3mm
Sunday the 20th 1mm
So do you mean when that happens you shift all days 24hrs? bescause if you move the 2hrs forecast for Saturday and 4hrs for Sunday it was still wrong?But very sunny days on either side. Once again, the 24-hr error either side. So I'd say pretty good:)
LOL where did I say a day away was what I forecast?? I forecast 5-7 days ahead and I didn't charge a penny for it.So you should if you're looking from a day away and using all the technology for that purpose. How is your accuracy from two years away?
No but you don't seem to want to accept any negative feedback, or admit that with so many error ranges its not that hard to look correct.I would never ever say I am always correct. You could have saved yourself the expense because I could have easily answered that for nothing!0
This discussion has been closed.
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