US Open Golf Betting

eldrickwoods

Let's get the ball rolling early this week. The US Open is back at Pebble Beach this week. Tiger won it by 15 strokes last time it was here in 2000.

It's a fader's course and, being the US Open, the roughs will be v thick so keeping the ball straight off the tee is a must. The greens are apparently going to be set up to be extremely quick. Weather forescast is good with winds expected not to exceed 10 mph.

As ever expect Ladbroke and Hills to offer better prices on wednesday morning as they do for every major. They do it so it looks good in the racing post as far as i can see and then it's back to normal by about midday on Wednesday.

In my US Open Betting Tips article I am plumping for:
Luke Donald at 40/1 - great form. straight hitter. might lack a bit of distance but is a super scrambler and doesn't make too many bogeys.
K.J. Choi at 66/1 - Good distance. Fades the ball. Good form.
Ryan Moore at 100/1 - Accurate driver and another who doesn't waste too many shots. He's in decent form this year.

Prices are current. Like I say Wednesday morning tends to be the best time to strike for top price on the majors.

Who are you chaps on?

ValueSeeker

Like you, Donald is the standout pick for me. Got him at 50's a while back and he's been cut down to about 30's now.

Premium this week is most definitely on a solid and accurate tee to green game as the rough is supposed to be seriously penal both along the fairways and around the greens and wind is also usually a factor at Pebble Beach (all going by what's been said on the golf channels in the last couple of weeks). The course will play at just over 7,000 yards so Donald (and other short hitters won't be at a disadvantage.

Anyone interested can catch my full US Open Preview here

Rhys Davies is my sleeper and can be backed at huge odds or 6/1 top 20.

fonda

Also liked the look of Donald and Choi, picked both of them the other day in the US open prediction competition thread over on the golf forum!

Will definitley back one of them if not both.

Brian Gay could be a good e/w bet too if his price is good (cant check now cause gambling sites are blocked in work) Very straight driver of the ball and good putter as well.

Speak Now

I'll be going for my usual small stakes scatter gun approach in the majors.

As ever with the U.S open driving straight will be the key so the players below are obvious ones to hit that criteria

J.Furyk
H.Slocum
R.Moore
Z.Johnson
B.Crane

A few key points for this years open.

1. Being long off the tee is not so important this time around.
2. These are near enough the smallest greens on major championship rota.
3. Greens will not be set as lightening fast as they can be in other open years. Last thing they want is wind getting up (not forecast) and play being halted due to the exposed greens.

ValueSeeker

Yes, good point. Just to take it a little bit further - At Pebble earlier in the year (on Sunday when the greens firmed up but still nowhere near as fast as expected this week), it was vitally important to hit the right part of the greens on your approach shots on certain holes a sto avoid impossible up and downs.

The main hole I have in mind was the par 5 14th ( many players missed it in the wrong areas and carded 8's and 9's and I think 1 player even had an 11). Goydos was 1 of those and he was contending for the tournament at the time.

I can only imagine what it may be like this time round with the thick rough also adding to the scrambling difficulty.

RocketRonnie

Jerry Seinfeld wrote: »

I'll be going for my usual small stakes scatter gun approach in the majors.

As ever with the U.S open driving straight will be the key so the players below are obvious ones to hit that criteria

J.Furyk
H.Slocum
R.Moore
Z.Johnson
B.Crane

A few key points for this years open.

1. Being long off the tee is not so important this time around.
2. These are near enough the smallest greens on major championship rota.
3. Greens will not be set as lightening fast as they can be in other open years. Last thing they want is wind getting up (not forecast) and play being halted due to the exposed greens.

Would agree with all those picks! Another i would add to that list would be M.Kucher...

FortuneChip

Rhys Davies e/w @ 125, might have a go at that top 20 bet mentioned on him too.

Also gonna do a treble or trixie on Els, F Molinari & Stenson in their respective 3 ball groups. Trixie pays about 9/1, just the treble pays 16/1

heavyballs

RocketRonnie wrote: »

Would agree with all those picks! Another i would add to that list would be M.Kucher...

i'm struggling big time this week,was thinkin of Kucher but this course favours a fade,Kucher draws nearly all the time
I'm going for a few Top 20 bets
Lehman @8/1
Kelly @9/1
not with a lot of confidence it must be said
will pick out a few e/w bets tomorrow

don't forget Powers are paying first 6 places

one point to keep in mind,driving the ball straight is very important this week,we all know that,but i think it's important not to discount the long inacurate hitters whose stats from 200-250 yards(see pgatour.com)are good as the big hitters won't need driver on a lot of holes

the groutch

my 2 for this week are

Els 33/1, playing as good as he ever has, and loves links courses

and

Jaidee 250/1, ultra consistent, been in the top 10 five times this year and a course where par is a good score may suit

YohanCabeye7

Just to clarify, several firms are paying 6 places, at the bottom of this list you can see who is and who's not :mad:

http://www.oddschecker.com/golf/us-open/win-market

Silver-Tiger

Tiger gone to 10s in Laddies. Wow



I'm as good as finished with the world cup till the business end. I'd much rather lose money on something that is guaranteed to be entertaining and epic.



20 on Phil at 8s in laddies. 5 time runner up in US open and 3 time winner on this course(although it is practically a different course this week) Major winner this year and and few places to boot. Phil will want this one so bad. I don't think 8s is short at all, I reckon if ya play this tournie 4 or 5 times he'd win it once.



Already stupidly have a 10er on Tiger @ 6s and ill just have another in laddies. Its Tiger F%^&&ng Woods.



10er e/w on Luke Donald 33s. One of the form players of the world. a lot of experts say if he's gonna win a major then a US open is for him as he hits it so straight and good with the long irons he need find a course thats not too long and this could be it. There is 3 par 5s which you think would go against him but he had a ridiculous amount of eagles in Wales and Portugal.



5er e/w on Bo Van Pelt. Form player on the Pga Tour, 6 top tens in seven starts or something similar. Including 4 top 4s. He's knocking on the door. Prob not major potential yet but this is the last time you'll see him over 40s on the Tour. 60 or 66s can be got and that has to be worth a shout for the place.



2.50 E/W Ricky Barnes. 125/1 The guy has USGA pedigree winning the US Amateur before and Runner up at the last Open in Bethpage. Also a good showing at memorial a couple of weeks ago. William Hill with the price



2.50 e/w Davis Love III 200/1 Hills. Twice a winner @ pebble in the early 00s. Hit the post twice in previous US Opens albeit a long time ago. Not played a lot this year but showed a lil bit of for placing in the players Championship.

okidoki987

Lads online 5 places - shops 6 places!
At 10/1 must be worth a look.

okidoki987

Back to 8/1 now.
9/1 in Powers 6 places.

the groutch

8's with paddy now

can't believe westie is only 12/1

Degag

Have gone with Michelson as my big bet.

Also have small e/w bets on;

Love
Duval
Kelly
Goosen
Khan
Mediate

Have one bet left. Thinking either Poulter, Yang, Jimenez or Mahan. Any thoughts?

SirDelboy18

Also interested in peoples thoughts on Goosen, Mahan, Kaymer, and each way chances for Leishman and Ollie Wilson..?

The Recliner

I stuck a tenner on Villegas, no real reason other than he always tends to feature and was at 51/1

My more sensible gf went for Jim Furyk to place top 5

eldrickwoods

I have placed the bets indicated on thread opener.

getting tempted looking at that Poulter price though. He's been in bad form of late but 80/1 for a guy who hits the ball as straight as anyone and putts well. it's a teaser.

Kod-box

In the top 5/10/20 bets is it dead heat rules if they're tied for position at the end?

Orion

Mickleson my main bet - win only at 8.8.
Sidebets are Westwood for top European and Choi and McIlroy to finish top 5.

Yes that does mean I've backed 3 non-US to finish in the top 5 essentially. It's going to be an interesting tournament.

Speak Now

McDowell 3/1 to be leading Irishman. Only 4 horse race.

heavyballs

Team Casey,i'm not a big fan and he hasn't good course form,still struggling with injury but i backed him today @45/1 e/w

His driving has gone off the boil a bit but he's as good as anyone with the 3 wood off the tee which he will use a lot,have a sneaky feeling he'll do the biz,he's sooo big headed if he gets in contention i'm hopin he doesn't schit himself like he did in the masters 2 years ago

bullmccabe2010

€200 double on Uruguay to beat South Africa at 7/5 and Tiger to win at 8/1

Return of €4320. Not a bad return and half way there.

Tim Clark at 55/1 is also a good each way.

badbrian

Kod-box wrote: »

In the top 5/10/20 bets is it dead heat rules if they're tied for position at the end?

Extrabet pay are the only firm that pay out to full odds.


For the record (and I haven't had an outright winner on golf in a while)

Backed Els 28/1 ew 6 places (in good form this year)
Backed Gay 125/1 ew 6 places (he is no. 1 in driving accuracy)
Backed Casey 40/1 6 places (Good game - bound to come good sometime)

Nuri Sahin

Mickelson, Phil @ 8/1
Win Only Betting
US Open Win Only

Mcilroy, Rory @ 5/1
Place Only - 5 Places
US Open Place Only Betting

Johnson, Dustin @ 33/1 E/W
Outright Betting
US Open 2010 Outright Betting

Clark, Tim @ 55/1 E/W
Outright Betting
US Open 2010 Outright Betting

Love, Davis @ 12/1
To Finish in the Top 10
US Open Who will Finish in the Top 10?

Degag

Gone with Poulter at 66/1. Big price for him. Plays very well in majors generally. Seems more motivated for them.

mailburner

went with zach johnson at 66s
mahan 60s
furyk 28s
davies 125/1
gay 100/1

Speak Now

Jerry Seinfeld wrote: »

McDowell 3/1 to be leading Irishman. Only 4 horse race.

5 horse race now as Phelan has got the Irish flag against his name.
Wonder will betfair amend

Speak Now

Degag wrote: »

Gone with Poulter at 66/1. Big price for him. Plays very well in majors generally. Seems more motivated for them.

He talks a good game alright, this will be his 30th major and he would have only landed the place money once so far.

ValueSeeker

Degag wrote: »

Have one bet left. Thinking either Poulter, Yang, Jimenez or Mahan. Any thoughts?

SirDelboy18 wrote: »

Also interested in peoples thoughts on Goosen, Mahan, Kaymer, and each way chances for Leishman and Ollie Wilson..?

Hi lads,

Bit of info as requested. Poulter showed some good form in round 1 last week only to fall in the second but he has certainly the game to do well around here.

Mahan is long and straight off the tee and good with his irons, the reason he is usually up there in big events although he struggled at Memorial. His problems lie in his chipping and if he is wayward with his approaches this week, he could struggle.

The Betting Zone have gone with Jiminez and being a short course you never know, he certainly has the head for a big event.

Goosen I'm not sure is ever worth the prices he is at, it all depends on his putting this week. He is a bit of a bottler. He often leads at the half way stage or after 3 rounds but his roun d 4 performance over the past couple of seasons is shocking.

Kaymer has had a change of Caddy recently and seems a little out of sorts but when he's on, he's on and has a fantastic all round game with no weaknesses.

Wilson has been undergoing some swing changes ala Harrington and that explains his poor form this year. He's beginning to show signs now that it's working though with some decent finishes.

Bun Junior

McDowell an interesting e/w bet?

Jaysoose

HAve gone 50 ew @ 12/1 on westwood, i think a lot of people are ignoring the fact that he is essentially the best golfer in the world at this moment in time.

Generally a super solid tee to green man and his putting has improved in the last few years from 8ft and in. Its gonna boil down to who hits the fairways and makes the least mistakes and i put him firmly in this category.

Will chuck a tenner ew on mcilroy aswell as has had his couple of average tournies after hiw win and he is due a few rounds in the low 60's.

Good luck all hope somebody clicks for the winner.

Aidric

I've gone with Mickelson to win (7/1), Casey e/w (40/1) & Slocum e/w (90/1).

okidoki987

Tiger done to 7/1 for the lay on the Fair, thinking of part hedging my Tiger bet at 10/1, thoughts?

DK224

I think its set up to be a cracking tournament and i think Mickelson in his home state and knowing a win here sees him taking over the No 1 spot in the rankings will be hard to stop So €20 on Phil at 7/1

With a pair of small e/w bets on Davis Love showed glimpses of form so far this season and has won here twice before 150/1 and David Duval hard to be very confident but he really saves his best form for the US Open 15th and 2nd in his last two and played well here earlier this year, 200/1

And a sneaky euro on Tom Watson to be leading after the 1st Round at 125/1 on pp!

Good luck all!

Degag

Decided to go with Jiminez also.

Just saw a bet on PP, Woods is 25/1 to win both the US Open and British Open. Took a bit of it because if he does manage to win this week, his odds for the British Open will be really short!

Speak Now

Degag wrote: »

Decided to go with Jiminez also.

Just saw a bet on PP, Woods is 25/1 to win both the US Open and British Open. Took a bit of it because if he does manage to win this week, his odds for the British Open will be really short!

If you take it he's 8/1 to win this week it means you're taking about 15/8 for the open.

abouttobebanned

I love this

I've gone for Scott Verplank at a fairly massive 150-1...he placed for me a couple of weeks ago at 66-1 and think he's coming into form at just the right time.

Was good to read this afterwards too

Speculative each ways on Brian Davis and Rory SAbbatini at 200-1 each.

abouttobebanned

Also, how anyone could back Tiger Woods at the moment is absolutely beyond me. He's almost as bad as Harrington off the tee. And you won't win at Pebble Beach if you can't find the fairway. In fact you'll find yourself in the ocean more often than not. A lot of those fairways dont have any thick rough to stop the ball from trundeling off a cliff.

Degag

Jerry Seinfeld wrote: »

If you take it he's 8/1 to win this week it means you're taking about 15/8 for the open.

Yeah, and that's the price he may likely be if he wins this week. However i had no intention of backing him this week but if he does, i have a tenner on him at 25s for the British Open. (Not in theory but in practise)

Degag

Although if i placed a double on him to win both at current prices i'd be getting almost 40/1:eek:

(Although PP won't let me place it)

TheFatControlle

A few quid on betfair. I thought these bets, although unlikely to come in, offered good value for money.

Padraig Harrington €10.00 at 40's
Tim Clark €5.00 at 65's
Sergio Garcia €5.00 at 150's
Ross Fisher €2.00 at 150's
Ben Curtis €2 at 310's
Jerry Kelly €2.00 at 490's

thoughts lads?

Nuri Sahin

TheFatControlle wrote: »

A few quid on betfair. I thought these bets, although unlikely to come in, offered good value for money.

Padraig Harrington €10.00 at 40's
Tim Clark €5.00 at 65's
Sergio Garcia €5.00 at 150's
Ross Fisher €2.00 at 150's
Ben Curtis €2 at 310's
Jerry Kelly €2.00 at 490's

thoughts lads?

Harrington's driving has been very poor and is sadly prone to imploding once every couple of rounds it seems.

Garcia's putting is horrendous. Would love for him to win a Major but tbh I've given up hope in him since.

Kelly, no idea about his form or anything. So can't say much on him.

Clark and Curtis are solid bets. I have Clark myself.. solid from tee to green and won at Sawgrass with the strongest field in golf this year! Looked at Curtis myself admittedly but had 5 bets going already and that's the most I go with.

TheFatControlle

I would totally agree with you on Sergio but i just thought 150-1 was too big not to take a bite out of!
I think that harrington might do something. he is shocking off the tee sometimes and his propensity to go in the water on closing rounds is worrying.
God i love the majors!!

okidoki987

though if i placed a double on him to win both at current prices i'd be getting almost 40/1
(Although PP won't let me place it)

Nope like backing a horse for the Guineas & Derby - related bets so lower price applies.

abouttobebanned

unreal opening day for Choi so far. Was +3 and now -2. That really is incredible.

Dave147

I've only got Choi for this, 66/1. Did the bet 12th April and thought his price would come in a bit, he's 20's now but that's in play. Have 25 on him so hopefully he can do the biz!

Dave147

Jesus, leader is -2. How hard is this course lol.

superfurry1

Extremely hard but not as hard as pitch & putt:D.Just look at all the big names getting absolutely hammered by the course, Not as Pretty but much better than 23 under makes the birdies and eagles(:eek:) much more special.

superfurry1

Oh went for peter hanson not sure if he's out yet but get on board!

heavyballs

superfurry1 wrote: »

Oh went for peter hanson not sure if he's out yet but get on board!

he'll have a chance......if he brings that leather wedge with him,:D