GAA Betting

djPSB

Mountainlad wrote: »

I don't see anybody getting hammered at this stage of the year. The weather and pitches are in such a state that if you are anyway tactically astute you should be able to keep scores well down.

Just on the Munster games, I'd give Cratloe the nod just about on account of the strength of their forwards but The Nire are not a 2/1 shot for this game. The gaa.ie saying a potential Nire win "would be a massive shock" is ludicrous. Clare and Waterford teams have met 3 times since 2009, 2-1 to Clare on account of last year but there has never been more than 3 in it. Going back to 2005 Stradbally drew with Kilmurry before losing the replay by a point. In 2006, they Nire lost by a goal to Crokes and Ballinacourty made the final in 2007. The Nire didn't get a chance to compete in 2008 because of the all-Ireland final delaying the championship.

Point is the Munster club championship is notoriously competitive even if the record outside of Munster is poor enough in recent years. The Nire scored an impressive win against Ballylanders and have home advantage, combined with the dual factor and Id be very surprised if this isn't a close game.


The other game, and it's a case of can Ballincollig limit Donaghys impact? The fact that Stacks have had more match practice, with Ballincollig waiting about 4 weeks for a game I think, and that it was their first ever win in Cork would make Stacks justifiable favourites. But again, really can't see the Cork side are 9/4 outsiders. It's not a Gooch led Crokes they're playing.

Both tight games going to extra time.

Good call.

Slattsy

ShamoBuc wrote: »

Didn't put a bet on, not because of the tip per say but ' licence to go mad'..... Printing money.....lump ...free money....etc....all the phrases that should be banned in my opinion.

Why didnt you say that before the result? The post is up almost 24 hours. Convenient enough. Doubt you'd have mentioned it if they won.

The lad has 4 posts, anyone that backed Clontibret on the back of that post deserves to lose money.

Boom__Boom

djPSB wrote: »

Both tight games going to extra time.

Good call.

will be interesting to see what the odds are for the Nire Stacks final.

I wouldnt be surprised if the value bet is with the Nire again.

Stacks are a decent team, but they are no world-beaters.

They might win Munster but I'd be gobsmacked if they do much beyond that.

I think that Ballintubber at 9/4 is another game where the odds are out of skew.

djPSB

Boom__Boom wrote: »

will be interesting to see what the odds are for the Nire Stacks final.

I wouldnt be surprised if the value bet is with the Nire again.

Stacks are a decent team, but they are no world-beaters.

They might win Munster but I'd be gobsmacked if they do much beyond that.

I think that Ballintubber at 9/4 is another game where the odds are out of skew.

Corofin have won their last 3 games by 20 points so that'll skew the odds somewhat.

Corofin haven't played a proper team in months so Ballintubber will be a good test for them.

Mountainlad

djPSB wrote: »

Both tight games going to extra time.

Good call.

Sound yeah, would have been a loser backing anyone though. The draws are the peril for any gambler.

I reckon after today that the Nire will win Munster, as Boom Boom says they will likely be a good price.

Boom__Boom

The Nire 21/10 Stacks 1/2

Definitely think the Nire are worth a small punt at those odds.

Mountainlad

Boom__Boom wrote: »

The Nire 21/10 Stacks 1/2

Definitely think the Nire are worth a small punt at those odds.

Waiting for the other books to come up. How long would that take do you think?

EDIT: Just seen 5/2 with Boyles

djPSB

Any thoughts on the International Rules.

I expect a win for the Aussies.

They have picked a strong squad and home advantage. The new kick out rule meaning they cannot be taken short should suit them.

keane2097

I reckon Australia will destroy Ireland if they're taking it seriously TBH.

Dots1982

keane2097 wrote: »

I reckon Australia will destroy Ireland if they're taking it seriously TBH.

I'd be shocked if they did. Very few of the Oz team will have played the sport before I'd imagine.

"Home advantage" is dubious to say the least given it allows ireland to train more professionally.

My worries would be Paul Earley comes across as uninspiring to say the least and the squad looked better last year.

djPSB

australia HT/FT @6/4 with Boyles seems like decent value.

keane2097

Dots1982 wrote: »

I'd be shocked if they did. Very few of the Oz team will have played the sport before I'd imagine.

I don't think that's accurate.

razorhead

djPSB wrote: »

Any thoughts on the International Rules.

I expect a win for the Aussies.

They have picked a strong squad and home advantage. The new kick out rule meaning they cannot be taken short should suit them.

Also the new hand pass rule,you would imagine, would slightly benefit the home side.

keane2097

razorhead wrote: »

Also the new hand pass rule,you would imagine, would slightly benefit the home side.

What is the new hand pass rule?

razorhead

keane2097 wrote: »

What is the new hand pass rule?

You now can have 6 instead of 4 before you have to play the ball

djPSB

Local bookies in Galway have priced Ballintubber at 7/4. Available at 5/2 with Boyles.

CD-R 80

djPSB wrote: »

Local bookies in Galway have priced Ballintubber at 7/4. Available at 5/2 with Boyles.

Whys that?

Any locals got any info. "Home" advantage for BT. BT have the better group of forwards.

How will the midfield battle fare out.

Pity it's not live on the box :mad:

keane2097

keane2097 wrote: »

I reckon Australia will destroy Ireland if they're taking it seriously TBH.

Yep

Strongbow10

CD-R 80 wrote: »

Whys that?

Any locals got any info. "Home" advantage for BT. BT have the better group of forwards.

How will the midfield battle fare out.

Pity it's not live on the box :mad:

don't get sucked in by those odds, Corofin will win this game. Not by a wide margin but they will win it.

shmeee

Strongbow10 wrote: »

don't get sucked in by those odds, Corofin will win this game. Not by a wide margin but they will win it.

1-4 to 2-11 and still not over, many got sucked in at tasty odds I say.

CD-R 80

At first glance, I like the look of Omagh this weekend

Strongbow10

Anyone fancy the Nire against Austin Stacks?

Mountainlad

Strongbow10 wrote: »

Anyone fancy the Nire against Austin Stacks?

Yes. But then to be fair I'm not impartial.

I would certainly say the odds are very skewed. I'll give as balanced an argument as I can:

The Nire have 10 players that were involved in 2006 if I'm right. Of those 10, 7 of those have played Senior football for Waterford. Shane Walsh and Liam Lawlor intermittently as they have been on the hurling panel consistently since 2004. Brian Wall and the O Gorman twins have been mainstays on the team for a long team, with Wall having played v Tipp in the hurling in 2004. I don't think there is a player that will start that hasn't been involved in a County panel. And there is some very good young players in Barron, Shane Ryan and Gleeson.

They will have that athleticism and skill to match. Though Kerry teams have a strong record v Waterford teams win wise, most of those games have been very close since around 2005 with a few exceptions. And I do think Dr Crokes were an exceptional team thought they never won an all Ireland to back that up.

I don't know an awful lot about Stacks but from what Ive read the consensus doesn't seem to suggest they are the best team to come out of Kerry. They'll be battle hardened and this game will certainly be that kind of a battle. With a team led by a player of Donaghys class and no doubt inherent confidence, I can see why theyd be favourites. Also, there was no real talk of the Nire before the Cratloe game where a plausibly tired team came to an ambush in Dungarvan.

There is a lot more talk about the Nire now and maybe a bit more pressure. But probably not anymore than what Stacks have to contend with, especially with the big following they bring who will no doubt be expectant.

Would not surprise me if this was the 6th weekend in a row that the live game on Tg4 was a draw, but reckon all things being equal the Nire are a good value punt for this one.

Deco99

Where's it on?

Mountainlad

Deco99 wrote: »

Where's it on?

Pairc Ui Chaoimh

djPSB

The Nire not helping themselves with the soft goals.

CD-R 80

That was one poisonous game of ball.

Rasputin11

Vincents -1 and McDonaghs in the Tipp football, just over 11/10.

Hesh's Umpire

The reverse of aftertiming - thought Rhode were a great bet at 4/1 yesterday!
Can't believe how much they flopped.

mjp

Football season starting back tomorrow so plenty of punting opportunities from now till next September. Can be tough to pick out teams in early pre season competitions but there is a chance to get an edge over bookies if you have good info on team selections which can be tough to find at this stage especially with the colleges involved.

Fancy galway(4/9)and ucd(8/15)tomorrow to take sligo and Carlow in respective games. Sligo and Carlow both have a lot of newcomers in named sides.

Also worth noting that st Mary's college Belfast have been punted from 9/4 yesterday in powers to even money against Antrim who have only 3 starters from last years championship in named side. Wouldn't take huge money to move this I would suspect but the students must fancy themselves.St Mary's got to ryan cup final this year where they lost to dcu in final so would be decent enough.

Be good to hear people's thoughts if they have any strong views on weekends matches