GAA Betting

Hulk Hands

Galway have comfortably beaten Mayo the last 2 years at minor, and were the better team when losing the year previous. That and home advantage dictating the prices id say

spurshero

Hulk Hands wrote: »

Galway have comfortably beaten Mayo the last 2 years at minor, and were the better team when losing the year previous. That and home advantage dictating the prices id say

is this match not in castlebar

spurshero

spurshero wrote: »

Hulk Hands wrote: »

Galway have comfortably beaten Mayo the last 2 years at minor, and were the better team when losing the year previous. That and home advantage dictating the prices id say

is this match not in castlebar

Apologies I see now that match is in tuam.

robbiezero

Westmeath getting lashed out of it in the football. Still a bit of 5/6 and 10/11 with Stan and BetVictor etc.

1/3 in Boyles etc.

Same As

Well spotted, big move across the board. 9/10 still with Bwin, doubling up with Armagh 1/5 to do the business vs Antrim is around 5/4 mark.

ciaran1988

What do u guys think about Armagh -5 can get it at 10/11 with local bookies

thelad95

ciaran1988 wrote: »

What do u guys think about Armagh -5 can get it at 10/11 with local bookies

Armagh have been a class above in their previous two against Louth and Offaly, I think they'll walk that handicap.

robbiezero

ciaran1988 wrote: »

What do u guys think about Armagh -5 can get it at 10/11 with local bookies

Antrim +6 is 6/4 with Boyles. So you could lump on that and cover your bet with Boyles.
But I agree with above poster. I'd go for a straight bet.

ciaran1988

Jennings picks for today are as follows

Roscommon +9
2pts Evs BoyleSports, Ladbrokes
Roscommon over 12.5 points
2pts 11-10 Paddy Power
Armagh -6
2pts 11-10 general

thelad95

Will Dublin have their Cuala players back for tomorrow's game against Kilkenny?

ahlookit

ciaran1988 wrote: »

Jennings picks for today are as follows

Roscommon +9
2pts Evs BoyleSports, Ladbrokes
Roscommon over 12.5 points
2pts 11-10 Paddy Power
Armagh -6
2pts 11-10 general

I'm a roscommon supporter....but can't see us being within 10 points of Dublin tonight. Gorgeous day in Dublin and they have named a strong team

robbiezero

Anyone fancy Wexford minus 8 in the hurling. They have named quite a strong side.

Same As

Dublin & Armagh to win tonight by 5 or more at Even money enhanced looks very good value - the double of -4 on both is around 8/13.

80s Child

Thinking Dublin -5 and Armagh -5. I don't have a clue about Armagh though!

Only spotted your's now Same As. Any thoughts on Armagh?

80s Child

Armagh 8 wides in the first 20 min

Same As

80s Child wrote: »

Armagh 8 wides in the first 20 min

11 wides and 4 dropped short. Oh dear.

thelad95

I think the whole country is on Armagh -6 and they decide to leave their shooting boots at home :rolleyes:

80s Child

thelad95 wrote: »

I think the whole country is on Armagh -6 and they decide to leave their shooting boots at home :rolleyes:

Don't ****ing talk to me. I'm starting to think I'm the magpie!!!

ciaran1988

Bad start to the weekend thanks to Armagh. I suppose that's what I get for backing against my own county

Same As

ciaran1988 wrote: »

Bad start to the weekend thanks to Armagh. I suppose that's what I get for backing against my own county

Armagheddon you could say

ciaran1988

Jennings picks for those interested.

Football Recommendations
Tyrone -1
3pts 11-10 Paddy Power
Under 13.5 Mayo points
1pt 10-11 Paddy Power
Under 14.5 Cavan points
3pts 8-11 Paddy Power
Monaghan
1pt 11-5 Coral, Ladbrokes
Meath -2
2pts Evs BoyleSports

Hurling Recommendations
Cork -1
2pts 13-5 Paddy Power
Galway -2
2pts 13-10 Paddy Power
Westmeath
1pt 6-4 bet365

robbiezero

robbiezero wrote: »

Westmeath getting lashed out of it in the football. Still a bit of 5/6 and 10/11 with Stan and BetVictor etc.

1/3 in Boyles etc.

Looking good.

ShamoBuc

Following their atrocious performance v donegal I am fully expecting tyrone to pull out all the stops today and Mayo are Mayo, not really sure what they will do. Conditions look good.

Large on Tyrone-1 at 11/10
Also on tyrone-2 at 6/4
And tyrone -3 at 21/10

Of all the days for tyrone to kick 15 wides Mayo knowing at HT that Cavan drew put an extra pep in their step too.

Django99

ShamoBuc wrote: »

Following their atrocious performance v donegal I am fully expecting tyrone to pull out all the stops today and Mayo are Mayo, not really sure what they will do. Conditions look good.

Large on Tyrone-1 at 11/10
Also on tyrone-2 at 6/4
And tyrone -3 at 21/10



Of all the days for tyrone to kick 15 wides Mayo knowing at HT that Cavan drew put an extra pep in their step too.

Hard luck, even in retrospect those look like they were good bets. Mayo were a different team to what they've been all year, and Tyrone underperformed.

The Reservoir Dubs Anchorman

The Reservoir Dubs Anchorman wrote: »

Draw Donegal and Monaghan

Not easy, but draws in Gaelic rarely are!

keane2097

laoisman11 wrote: »

Thanks for the suggestions - I've had a look in detail and it's actually worse than I thought. Basically, with the limit of 3 points difference that I've set, I've had 1 winner from 6 (1/2 cover the spread; 0/4 beat the spread). If I extend this to 2 points difference, I get a total of 9/22 (6/14 cover the spread; 3/8 beat the spread). At 1 point difference between the prediction and the spread, I'm at 24/46 (13/29 cover the spread; 11/17 beat the spread).

For info, 3 out of 5 home underdogs came through, as in the prediction model output was closer to the actual result than the bookies spread.

I'm particularly pissed off because it was going fairly well during the championship and was a small gold mine towards the end of last year's league (I was even putting on accumulators which is very unusual for me).

I'll put up this weekend's predictions, but I've lost faith in the output. Just Antrim to cover the spread against Waterford.

Team A|Team B|Model output|PP spread
Down | Dublin |

-7.8

| -8
Fermanagh | Cavan |

-0.4

| -1
Limerick | Westmeath |

-1.3

| -1
Cork | Monaghan |

0.7

| 2
Mayo | Kerry |

0.0

| 1
Donegal | Roscommon |

2.9

| 2
Laois | Derry |

-2.8

| -1
Meath | Tyrone |

-2.3

| -2
Armagh | Galway |

-1.9

| -2
Kildare | Sligo |

7.1

| 6
Longford | Tipperary |

0.2

| -1
Offaly | Clare |

1.2

| 1
London | Leitrim |

-3.0

| -3
Antrim | Waterford |

7.8

| 4
Carlow | Louth |

-4.6

| -3
Wexford | Wicklow |

4.9

| 5

Have you continued to track this laoisman?

ciaran1988

Anyone on anything in tonight's U21 games. Cork +3 looks good to me at Evens.

ShamoBuc

ciaran1988 wrote: »

Anyone on anything in tonight's U21 games. Cork +3 looks good to me at Evens.

Considering their record at home at u21 level , it looks good.

Rasputin11

Boyles have Dublin 21s -8 21/20, PP -10 evens. Dublin lead by 10-5 at ht and have the wind for the second half.

Edit: Gone in 5 minutes

ShamoBuc

While Kerry were good, cork were truly woeful.