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GAA Betting

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Comments

  • Registered Users Posts: 68 ✭✭Bookie Bashing


    K-9 wrote: »
    Mayo did score 3 against Galway.

    I'm not seeing where the love for Roscommon is coming from, they didn't get promoted in a league with Cavan, Fermanagh, Monaghan and Meath, tight league but that's about their level.

    Fermanagh at 6/4 looks a decent punt, not that much between them in Division 3 and home advantage might swing it.

    Rossies league form has to considered relatively good they beat mon and Cavan to close out the league. Remember they have struggled with injury Mannion & Senan are massive players also along with Cregg they missed most of the league. Cillian O Connor is massive loss for Mayo. Galway showed up expecting to beat mayo playing 1 on 1? Galway need to take a reality check. They are miles off the pace and need to adapt a style of play that will stop other teams when they realise that they can compete in those games.


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 5,851 ✭✭✭Mountainlad


    Right, I was greedy last week and went for Wexford to win rather than on the handicap. I feel I was unlucky at the same time but lesson learnt (I hope). Wrong on Kilkenny too, but it just shows that hurling is a funny old game. A couple of events go your way and it alters the result dramatically. Who really could haven seen Offaly scoring 4 goals more than Kilkenny, and Kilkenny not even scoring a goal?

    This weekend, I really do feel Laois could beat the 13 point head start they're being given. Compared to their previous meeting, it would actually appear quite small but there's plenty of factors in their favour.

    First of all, we'll start from the start and that's the preparation of the team. This is not the Laois setup we've come to expect, with the yearly complaints about low numbers at training and things like bad quality or lack of sliotars present.

    They've taken a very professional approach to matters this year and it's paid dividends thus far. Training six days a week in the off season, things like being tested on speed and power by NADA (National Athlete Devlopment Academy) and their best players committing to the cause. Ger Cunningham, coach of UL and helping out with Waterford this year (coach off Thurles Sars in 2010, and Newtownshandrum when they won the all-ireland in 2004) has been with them since January. The mood is positive in the camp, which is not something I've ever heard people say of a Laois hurling camp.

    They won the League comfortably in the end, and they've beaten Antrim and Carlow thus far. When did Laois last win to championshop games in a season? Regardless of the opposition, this winning mentality will stand them in good stead and they will be raring to have a craic at Galway.

    Worth remembering that Galway have had a few less than perfect encounters with minnows. Westmeath in particular have given them enough of it on a few occasions for long periods of games.

    I believe that Galway won't be 100% focused, or fully sharp in Portlaoise tomorrow, all the teams I have so far in the championship out for the first time have looked rusty. Pauric Joyce spoke of how one of his friends on the panel said they were training with September in mind on championship matters. Always a dangerous thing. Laois are very much so focused on Sunday, and Semus Plunkett has them right on track.

    Being involved in a setup for the first time that is comparable to thos that the top County teams have, that a Liam McCarthy team should have is making a world of difference to Laois hurling which has plenty of talented players, believe it or not. They also have home advantage tomorrow.


    I really do hope Laois give it everything they have and make a compelling game of it tomorrow, for hurling first and foremost. I'm taking Laois 13+ at evens on PP, Ladbrokes, Boyles and Coral.

    Best priced at 21/20 or 2.05 on Bet 365.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 6,734 ✭✭✭Fowler87


    Mayo v Roscommon - going through everything and the likely plan from the rossies in particular to foul most likely in 40 - 65 area and hope in the absence of o Connor mayo won't capitalise the no Goalscorer price is absolutely massive here at 11/2. Neither team have been firing in goals in the league and I don't see what changes and with regards to the Galway game, irrelevant in my opinion Gal tactically inept.

    I tend to agree Mayo' chances in creating goals will be down dramatically due to the absence of COC. He was involved in creating ALL of them against Galway and I've seen enough of this Mayo team during the league campaign that (for all his good contributions) a lack of creativeness from Richie Feeney at 11 should bring down the goal chances somewhat. Hope I'm proved wrong:pac: but I've gone for a Mayo win and no goals in the match @ 7/1 but might throw few quid on your tip as that looks great value too.


  • Registered Users Posts: 9,351 ✭✭✭magherakid


    Single
    Dublin -4 11/10


  • Moderators, Category Moderators, Recreation & Hobbies Moderators, Sports Moderators Posts: 33,246 CMod ✭✭✭✭ShamoBuc


    magherakid wrote: »
    Single
    Dublin -4 11/10

    Dubs up by 4 and Wexford down to 14 ( Shore sent off ) will certainly help a lot.


  • Registered Users Posts: 1,937 ✭✭✭Radonman


    Looking foward to tomorrow's matches regarding the goals market
    Great price for Cork over 1.5 goals @ 11/10 - Cork nearly always put away weak opposition with no mercy and I honestly don't believe that the team named is the team that will line out , easy victory for Cork here and I fully expect them to score at least 2 and ill also have a smaller stake of over 2.5 @ 3's
    As highlighted before goals are the order of the day in the Galway v Laois game, C Cooney @ 13/8 anytime goal scorer looks good to me- he was a constant goal threat last year and now that's he's a year older hopefully he will deliver. Over 3.5 and over 4.5 goals are options here that I'll take @ 4/6 & 11/8.
    Double if Cork over 1.5 and Galway/Laois over 3.5


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 5,851 ✭✭✭Mountainlad


    Radonman wrote: »
    Looking foward to tomorrow's matches regarding the goals market
    Great price for Cork over 1.5 goals @ 11/10 - Cork nearly always put away weak opposition with no mercy and I honestly don't believe that the team named is the team that will line out , easy victory for Cork here and I fully expect them to score at least 2 and ill also have a smaller stake of over 2.5 @ 3's

    Nice spot, definitely going on that!


  • Registered Users Posts: 68 ✭✭Bookie Bashing


    Radonman wrote: »
    Looking foward to tomorrow's matches regarding the goals market
    Great price for Cork over 1.5 goals @ 11/10 - Cork nearly always put away weak opposition with no mercy and I honestly don't believe that the team named is the team that will line out , easy victory for Cork here and I fully expect them to score at least 2 and ill also have a smaller stake of over 2.5 @ 3's
    As highlighted before goals are the order of the day in the Galway v Laois game, C Cooney @ 13/8 anytime goal scorer looks good to me- he was a constant goal threat last year and now that's he's a year older hopefully he will deliver. Over 3.5 and over 4.5 goals are options here that I'll take @ 4/6 & 11/8.
    Double if Cork over 1.5 and Galway/Laois over 3.5

    A word of warning for you I wouldn't be surprised if cooney and d Burke swap positions Burke is a much bigger goal threat for Galway I know it's vice versa at st Thomas


  • Registered Users Posts: 1,937 ✭✭✭Radonman


    A word of warning for you I wouldn't be surprised if cooney and d Burke swap positions Burke is a much bigger goal threat for Galway I know it's vice versa at st Thomas

    Totally agree with you there BB, but I liked what i saw of him last year he seems to get in a lot of goal scoring positions plus the way Galway rotated their fowards (ala Kilkenny) last year its a real gamble either way, remember how Canning ended up in midfield a few times:confused: - Word of note i found much better value on him to score - C Cooney to score anytime and Galway to win 17/10 with P/P, that is now my bet. I'm also going to take Mayo on the Handicap (-5) @ evens with P/P, Mayo are all ireland contenders where as Roscommom are well not, most see this as a close game and I agree (Evans will have Roscommon flying) but I think Mayo may just shade the Handicap here.
    Interesting bet here i spotted in the Mayo game - A red card in the game is 11/8 but a red for Mayo is 5/1 and Roscommon is 4/1:eek: gonna have a small bet on a Red for Roscommon @ 5/1:pac:


  • Registered Users Posts: 1,937 ✭✭✭Radonman


    Sorry for clogging up the Thread but it's pissing rain down here in Kerry at the minute so i presume its the same in Clare which can't be good for the goal betting in the Clare Cork game:( - hope i'm wrong though


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  • Moderators, Category Moderators, Recreation & Hobbies Moderators, Sports Moderators Posts: 33,246 CMod ✭✭✭✭ShamoBuc


    Radonman wrote: »
    Sorry for clogging up the Thread but it's pissing rain down here in Kerry at the minute so i presume its the same in Clare which can't be good for the goal betting in the Clare Cork game:( - hope i'm wrong though

    You'd never know - it might help it.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 738 ✭✭✭MikeyGorse


    Radonman wrote: »
    Sorry for clogging up the Thread but it's pissing rain down here in Kerry at the minute so i presume its the same in Clare which can't be good for the goal betting in the Clare Cork game:( - hope i'm wrong though

    Ya it's raining here in Ennis :(


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 39,579 ✭✭✭✭KevIRL


    Right, I was greedy last week and went for Wexford to win rather than on the handicap. I feel I was unlucky at the same time but lesson learnt (I hope). Wrong on Kilkenny too, but it just shows that hurling is a funny old game. A couple of events go your way and it alters the result dramatically. Who really could haven seen Offaly scoring 4 goals more than Kilkenny, and Kilkenny not even scoring a goal?

    This weekend, I really do feel Laois could beat the 13 point head start they're being given. Compared to their previous meeting, it would actually appear quite small but there's plenty of factors in their favour.

    First of all, we'll start from the start and that's the preparation of the team. This is not the Laois setup we've come to expect, with the yearly complaints about low numbers at training and things like bad quality or lack of sliotars present.

    They've taken a very professional approach to matters this year and it's paid dividends thus far. Training six days a week in the off season, things like being tested on speed and power by NADA (National Athlete Devlopment Academy) and their best players committing to the cause. Ger Cunningham, coach of UL and helping out with Waterford this year (coach off Thurles Sars in 2010, and Newtownshandrum when they won the all-ireland in 2004) has been with them since January. The mood is positive in the camp, which is not something I've ever heard people say of a Laois hurling camp.

    They won the League comfortably in the end, and they've beaten Antrim and Carlow thus far. When did Laois last win to championshop games in a season? Regardless of the opposition, this winning mentality will stand them in good stead and they will be raring to have a craic at Galway.

    Worth remembering that Galway have had a few less than perfect encounters with minnows. Westmeath in particular have given them enough of it on a few occasions for long periods of games.

    I believe that Galway won't be 100% focused, or fully sharp in Portlaoise tomorrow, all the teams I have so far in the championship out for the first time have looked rusty. Pauric Joyce spoke of how one of his friends on the panel said they were training with September in mind on championship matters. Always a dangerous thing. Laois are very much so focused on Sunday, and Semus Plunkett has them right on track.

    Being involved in a setup for the first time that is comparable to thos that the top County teams have, that a Liam McCarthy team should have is making a world of difference to Laois hurling which has plenty of talented players, believe it or not. They also have home advantage tomorrow.


    I really do hope Laois give it everything they have and make a compelling game of it tomorrow, for hurling first and foremost. I'm taking Laois 13+ at evens on PP, Ladbrokes, Boyles and Coral.

    Best priced at 21/20 or 2.05 on Bet 365.


    Looking like a fantastic shout so far MountainLad. Laois ahead by a point 0-8 to 0-7 at HT


  • Moderators, Category Moderators, Recreation & Hobbies Moderators, Sports Moderators Posts: 33,246 CMod ✭✭✭✭ShamoBuc


    Cork won 1-20 v 1-11....no second goal unfortunately.


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 5,851 ✭✭✭Mountainlad


    KevIRL wrote: »
    Looking like a fantastic shout so far MountainLad. Laois ahead by a point 0-8 to 0-7 at HT

    Winner in the end 2-17 to 01-14. Glad to see it come off, fairplay to Laois. Pity there was as much as 0-7 in it though, they deserved better.

    Also depressed about the Cork footballers. For the record, they always seem to screw me out of it :(


  • Moderators, Category Moderators, Recreation & Hobbies Moderators, Sports Moderators Posts: 33,246 CMod ✭✭✭✭ShamoBuc


    Mayo v Roscommon - going through everything and the likely plan from the rossies in particular to foul most likely in 40 - 65 area and hope in the absence of o Connor mayo won't capitalise the no Goalscorer price is absolutely massive here at 11/2. Neither team have been firing in goals in the league and I don't see what changes and with regards to the Galway game, irrelevant in my opinion Gal tactically inept.
    Fowler87 wrote: »
    I tend to agree Mayo' chances in creating goals will be down dramatically due to the absence of COC. He was involved in creating ALL of them against Galway and I've seen enough of this Mayo team during the league campaign that (for all his good contributions) a lack of creativeness from Richie Feeney at 11 should bring down the goal chances somewhat. Hope I'm proved wrong:pac: but I've gone for a Mayo win and no goals in the match @ 7/1 but might throw few quid on your tip as that looks great value too.

    Well in !!

    Not sure how Feeney didn't score near the end though - super save.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 6,734 ✭✭✭Fowler87


    ShamoBuc wrote: »
    Well in !!

    Not sure how Feeney didn't score near the end though - super save.

    Haha I had a word from the stand :pac: Couldn't believe Mayo didn't score a goal, were terrible finishing last 3rd of the game. But they did well overall after shaky start


  • Registered Users Posts: 1,937 ✭✭✭Radonman


    ShamoBuc wrote: »
    Cork won 1-20 v 1-11....no second goal unfortunately.

    yup, disgusted with that I'm sure the weather had a big effect on it as it was teaming down for the whole game, overall a bad day but Mayo covering the handicap and a few in running bets on the same game made the day bearable, great tipping elsewhere, well done lads


  • Registered Users Posts: 68 ✭✭Bookie Bashing


    Ok Well a round up of the weekend's action -

    1/2 No Red Card Winner (Laois v Galway) = Winner

    Over 2.5 Galway Goals 1/1 or bigger = No Bet 8/11 was best i saw and it was a loser this is the best thing when you believe in only backing something when the price is right

    Meath -3pts 10/11 = Winner

    Fermanagh 6/4 = Loser (Still think it was a good bet though)

    Shane McCabe 16/1 = Loser but i couldn't resist Eugene Keating at 16's with Boyles and when i was backing McCabe (Thought he would be 9/1) so hopeful more than expecting come on McStay be nice!

    Dublin -3pts 4/5 Ladbrokes = Winner

    Mayo v Roscommon No Goalscorer @ 11/2 Boyles = Winner

    Happy days talk to you guys next week with a run down on my thoughts for the championship games.

    Also for the ante post punters among you Boyles had a tasty 26/1 up about Richie Hogan becoming Hurler of the year KK were not in action at the weekend and the price was still there after i backed so if it's back up tomorrow get stuck in.

    I'd work out his price like so KK's price to win McCarthy Cup & Multiply it by his chance of getting it out of the tipp players it's very unlikely that a player on the losing side will get in the hurling this year. I make him no bigger than 7/2 if KK win it which works out at less than 10's obviously this is my opinion and the 7/2 is on the short side but he is the only KK forward guaranteed a starting place in my opinion so that's why i'm not any bigger Richie Power is the other certain starter. I reckon Larkin loses his place when Henry is back and i think HS has no chance having missed most of the year. TJ Fennelly Taggy all to be in and out of the team. Midfield will have a good chance and BH TW in the half back along with Murphy in the backs i don't think anyone else can win it for KK.


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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,668 ✭✭✭Zimmerframe


    Cork over 1.5 goals with Galway over 2.5 goals.
    C Cooney to score anytime.
    C Cooney to score anytime and Galway to win.


    Only Justin Rose can save me now. :D


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 39,579 ✭✭✭✭KevIRL


    Leitrim -2 @ 5/4 and Clare -2 @ 5/4 for me this weekend

    Can see both winning by 4+


  • Moderators, Category Moderators, Recreation & Hobbies Moderators, Sports Moderators Posts: 33,246 CMod ✭✭✭✭ShamoBuc


    Clare to win both halves at 5/2 or Cork ht Clare ft 4/1.....not sure which one I'll go with, probably the latter.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,380 ✭✭✭The Reservoir Dubs Anchorman


    KevIRL wrote: »
    Leitrim -2 @ 5/4 and Clare -2 @ 5/4 for me this weekend

    Can see both winning by 4+


    I'm on the opposite so one of us will be happy!


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 5,851 ✭✭✭Mountainlad


    Like Kev, taking Clare. Gonna go -1 though, which can be had at 11/10 on Ladbrokes/William Hill or 17/10 for -2.

    Two main reasons

    1. Cork are missing three big players in Paudi O Sullivan, Pa Cronin and Lorcan McLoughlin. They've also lost Eoin Cadogan, Niall McCarthy, Sean Og, Damien Cahalane and Darren Sweetnam all from last year's team. Still have a strong looking full forward line but lacking options on the bench and a similar problem with the half forward line that Waterford had. They also don't have a half back line of the same calibre, and while he is talneted Brian Murphy is small to be facing someone like Darach Honan.

    2. Clare have the league form against them, but more importantly have had a championship game under their belts. I think we'll see how important that is Sunday, it's been a problem for several teams so far.



    I also like Jake Dillon as 9/5 to score a goal anytime for Waterford tomorrow. He took his chance against Clare brilliantly and has improved beyond recognition this year. Confidence is up and I heard he will start full forward in a direct swap with Maurice Shanahan, which I think means the bookies have given slightly more value on him then they should be.


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 8,101 ✭✭✭Rightwing


    I don't think Clare v Cork will be a high scoring game, that's the bet of the day imo.


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  • Registered Users Posts: 68 ✭✭Bookie Bashing


    Is it just me or does anyone else think ladbrokes gaa product has gone to pot? it would bore you to tears if i'm being honest they are generally in between powers and boyles on the main markets and never offer good extra markets either they are too short on all the likely players for goalscorers etc they would just sicken your hole!!!


  • Registered Users Posts: 68 ✭✭Bookie Bashing


    Championship Bets for the weekend
    I'll start off with the Donegal v Down game as it's the match that i have spotted the most value in -

    Ambrose Rogers Over 0.5pts @ 1/1 BOYLES - Folks fill your boots pockets mouths with this because it is beyond doubt the top tip for the weekend. Ambrose is named in midfield fair enough but king sits and the other 2 are let off the leash. Ambrose has scored in his last 10 matches in a row for Down add to this the fact that he is a contender to take long range frees and will definitely take frees if O'Hare is substituted.

    Next best is No Red Card 8/11 BOYLES - Donegal are one of the most disciplined teams in the Championship they hardly give frees away never mind get yellows and reds. I can see Down picking up a few Yellows no problem but Tyrone are by far and way the dirtiest team in Ulster this is how i'd price it Donegal Red Card 7/1 Down Red Card 7/2 = Combined Price is 15/8 for the Red Card i accept this does sound on the big side but i still think 8/13 would nearly be a bet.

    In the Goalscorer Markets Leo McLoone 16/1 1st 15/2 Anytime BET365 - Ok on recent form i understand this price, but that's where it ends sitting at home watching the Derry Down game i remember saying to myself Donegal are going to go to town on Down if they line up with the same backline. The donegal full forward line are going to win a lot of primary possesion here and i think your going to see a lot of early ball into the full forward line and Mcloone is brilliant running off defenders from deep i can see him getting more than 1 goalscoring opportunity in this game. He scored 2 goals in the championship last season and should have scored a goal in the league this season against down. Benny McArdle must be having nightmares about Sunday good player but not a full back for my money he's going to get gangraped by McFadden and co.

    Donegal -4pts @ 8/11 General - Once again everyone keeps harping back to last year Down should have been this and should have been that. Folks you need to remember Mark McHugh was missing last year and for me he is the player that makes Donegal tick. You have the other big names that do the damage but similar to Donncha Walsh the whole unit for Kerry works so much better when he plays. Also looking back at the Derry game Down lost all shape and were in big trouble when derry got on top in the 1st half the HT whistle saved down but it was extremely worrying to see the shape of the team collapse in the space of ten minutes. Donegal are going to be on top of Down for much longer periods than derry were and Donegal will punish Down big time if they lose their shape like they did against Derry.

    Clare Cork -
    Clare 10/11 LADBROKES - Assuming the teams line out as expected or in Corks case as named i'd fancy Clare to win this. Tom Kenny at midfield against 2 nippers great player but he doesn't have the legs anymore (does He). Also very dissapointed not to see Cussen start i would have fancied Cork to upset Clare possibly i thought it was so obvious the damage that Cussen could do on the Clare full back line McInerney would have been in big trouble but i think he will do fine against O'Farrell. Joyce and O'Neill good players for Cork but Egan is a weak link and you can see conlon or Kelly getting plenty of joy off him. Price is too big based on all the info currently available.

    KK v Dubs
    Kilkenny -8pts 4/5 General - Folks Dublin have gone stale and have been over hyped out of all proportion over the last 3 years they have found there level watching the highlights of the replay their touch is off apart from Keaney Michael Carton and Sutcliffe they are a very ordinary team, Peter Kelly and Gary Maguire are top players also apologies. They have absolutely no scoring threat to compete with a team like KK. I thought KK were poor enough the last day against Offaly but they will be up for this as fortunately for us they respect the Dubs ability which isn't a kick in the arse away from what Offaly bring. The Dublin team is basically the same team for the last 3 years and the likes of Rushe, O'Dwyer have not played to near the level they did in 2011. Also the performance against Tipp needs to be taken with a pinch of salt tipp got absolutely beaten up a stick in the AI final.

    Outside bet 20/1 No Goalscorer Boyles & Stans - Ok lets start off by explaining this in the most simple terms if Clare & Cork play 20 times do we think that there would no goals in only of those games? The way both teams play it just doesn't scream goals at you Clare scored 2 against waterford but you wouldn't exactly say they peppered the Waterford in the relegation game Clare got no goals and Cork's were well taken but they didn't have a glut of chances.

    In the other games i thought the 8/11 that was available on Leitrim early doors was too big but i'll be honest in saying that i don't know enough about the replacements and the current price of 8/13 looks no bet for me. In the Offaly Waterford game i can see why Offaly are popular but i think they are skinny enough. I'd be extremely interested in backing waterford if they drift out to 4/6.



    Finally folks i don't know if many of you read this guy's blog on Live gaelic but you won't go broke backing his tips, his logic is excellent and very rarely wide of the mark

    http://www.livegaelic.com/features/the-proper-punter/the-proper-punter/


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 8,101 ✭✭✭Rightwing


    Championship Bets for the weekend
    I'll start off with the Donegal v Down game as it's the match that i have spotted the most value in -

    Ambrose Rogers Over 0.5pts @ 1/1 BOYLES - Folks fill your boots pockets mouths with this because it is beyond doubt the top tip for the weekend. Ambrose is named in midfield fair enough but king sits and the other 2 are let off the leash. Ambrose has scored in his last 10 matches in a row for Down add to this the fact that he is a contender to take long range frees and will definitely take frees if O'Hare is substituted.

    Next best is No Red Card 8/11 BOYLES - Donegal are one of the most disciplined teams in the Championship they hardly give frees away never mind get yellows and reds. I can see Down picking up a few Yellows no problem but Tyrone are by far and way the dirtiest team in Ulster this is how i'd price it Donegal Red Card 7/1 Down Red Card 7/2 = Combined Price is 15/8 for the Red Card i accept this does sound on the big side but i still think 8/13 would nearly be a bet.

    In the Goalscorer Markets Leo McLoone 16/1 1st 15/2 Anytime BET365 - Ok on recent form i understand this price, but that's where it ends sitting at home watching the Derry Down game i remember saying to myself Donegal are going to go to town on Down if they line up with the same backline. The donegal full forward line are going to win a lot of primary possesion here and i think your going to see a lot of early ball into the full forward line and Mcloone is brilliant running off defenders from deep i can see him getting more than 1 goalscoring opportunity in this game. He scored 2 goals in the championship last season and should have scored a goal in the league this season against down. Benny McArdle must be having nightmares about Sunday good player but not a full back for my money he's going to get gangraped by McFadden and co.

    Donegal -4pts @ 8/11 General - Once again everyone keeps harping back to last year Down should have been this and should have been that. Folks you need to remember Mark McHugh was missing last year and for me he is the player that makes Donegal tick. You have the other big names that do the damage but similar to Donncha Walsh the whole unit for Kerry works so much better when he plays. Also looking back at the Derry game Down lost all shape and were in big trouble when derry got on top in the 1st half the HT whistle saved down but it was extremely worrying to see the shape of the team collapse in the space of ten minutes. Donegal are going to be on top of Down for much longer periods than derry were and Donegal will punish Down big time if they lose their shape like they did against Derry.

    Clare Cork -
    Clare 10/11 LADBROKES - Assuming the teams line out as expected or in Corks case as named i'd fancy Clare to win this. Tom Kenny at midfield against 2 nippers great player but he doesn't have the legs anymore (does He). Also very dissapointed not to see Cussen start i would have fancied Cork to upset Clare possibly i thought it was so obvious the damage that Cussen could do on the Clare full back line McInerney would have been in big trouble but i think he will do fine against O'Farrell. Joyce and O'Neill good players for Cork but Egan is a weak link and you can see conlon or Kelly getting plenty of joy off him. Price is too big based on all the info currently available.

    KK v Dubs
    Kilkenny -8pts 4/5 General - Folks Dublin have gone stale and have been over hyped out of all proportion over the last 3 years they have found there level watching the highlights of the replay their touch is off apart from Keaney Michael Carton and Sutcliffe they are a very ordinary team, Peter Kelly and Gary Maguire are top players also apologies. They have absolutely no scoring threat to compete with a team like KK. I thought KK were poor enough the last day against Offaly but they will be up for this as fortunately for us they respect the Dubs ability which isn't a kick in the arse away from what Offaly bring. The Dublin team is basically the same team for the last 3 years and the likes of Rushe, O'Dwyer have not played to near the level they did in 2011. Also the performance against Tipp needs to be taken with a pinch of salt tipp got absolutely beaten up a stick in the AI final.

    Outside bet 20/1 No Goalscorer Boyles & Stans - Ok lets start off by explaining this in the most simple terms if Clare & Cork play 20 times do we think that there would no goals in only of those games? The way both teams play it just doesn't scream goals at you Clare scored 2 against waterford but you wouldn't exactly say they peppered the Waterford in the relegation game Clare got no goals and Cork's were well taken but they didn't have a glut of chances.

    In the other games i thought the 8/11 that was available on Leitrim early doors was too big but i'll be honest in saying that i don't know enough about the replacements and the current price of 8/13 looks no bet for me. In the Offaly Waterford game i can see why Offaly are popular but i think they are skinny enough. I'd be extremely interested in backing waterford if they drift out to 4/6.



    Finally folks i don't know if many of you read this guy's blog on Live gaelic but you won't go broke backing his tips, his logic is excellent and very rarely wide of the mark

    http://www.livegaelic.com/features/the-proper-punter/the-proper-punter/[/QUOTE]

    I notice you are a new poster - have you a good record with you tips?

    Where's the clare v cork match on?


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 6,016 ✭✭✭Hulk Hands


    Finally folks i don't know if many of you read this guy's blog on Live gaelic but you won't go broke backing his tips, his logic is excellent and very rarely wide of the mark

    http://www.livegaelic.com/features/the-proper-punter/the-proper-punter/

    Dont go getting a big head now Keane2097 :)


  • Registered Users Posts: 68 ✭✭Bookie Bashing


    It's on in the Gaelic Grounds, i'm not a professional tipster i'm just posting my thought and opinions it's up to yourself whether you want to follow them in. I'd like to think they will be profitable but there are no guarantees


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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 6,016 ✭✭✭Hulk Hands


    No sorry bookie bashing, that site you linked features a writer that also posts regularly on this thread. I was jokingly telling him not to get a big head. On your posts, they are full of logic and ive been impressed by them the last 2 weeks, especially the no red card bets which I completely agree with. Keep posting your stuff up. I'm fairly certain you'll be profitable as there looks to be plenty of positive margin in your selections so far


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 8,101 ✭✭✭Rightwing


    Hulk Hands wrote: »
    No sorry bookie bashing, that site you linked features a writer that also posts regularly on this thread. I was jokingly telling him not to get a big head. On your posts, they are full of logic and ive been impressed by them the last 2 weeks, especially the no red card bets which I completely agree with. Keep posting your stuff up. I'm fairly certain you'll be profitable as there looks to be plenty of positive margin in your selections so far

    Some of the rugby chaps post how they are getting on in their bets, something about units, but most of them haven't have a bulls about rugby, but it makes for good reading nonetheless.


  • Registered Users Posts: 461 ✭✭kerosene


    Ambrose Rodgers at evens to score with boylesports is fantastic value. Someone already tipped it so Im not taking credit for it. But he will start in the half forward line and could possibly feature at ff for periods as well, switching with Coulter. Definitley stand out bet of the week for me.


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 8,101 ✭✭✭Rightwing


    kerosene wrote: »
    Ambrose Rodgers at evens to score with boylesports is fantastic value. Someone already tipped it so Im not taking credit for it. But he will start in the half forward line and could possibly feature at ff for periods as well, switching with Coulter. Definitley stand out bet of the week for me.

    I usually go €200/300 a go, I'll stick €100 on him so, don't know anything about gaa football.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 6,734 ✭✭✭Fowler87


    Gonna get on that over 0.5 Ambrose points @ evens too. Cheers lads!


  • Registered Users Posts: 68 ✭✭Bookie Bashing


    Offaly v Waterford Team To Score the 1st Goal Offaly @ 1/1 Stan James - I notice that most firms are alive to this everyone else is basically pick em despite waterford being favourites, but i would definitely be of the opinion that Offaly's goal ratio is higher than waterford's. On that basis the Evs about them to score the 1st Goal of the game looks to be worth small interest. I'd definitely be favouring Offaly in a 2 way market and i don't think there is much if any margin for the bookie at that price


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 17,776 ✭✭✭✭keane2097


    Finally folks i don't know if many of you read this guy's blog on Live gaelic but you won't go broke backing his tips, his logic is excellent and very rarely wide of the mark

    http://www.livegaelic.com/features/the-proper-punter/the-proper-punter/

    Thanks very much for the kind words. To be honest I don't have as much time to look at all the markets this year between a full time job and editing the site so I almost exclusively only get to look at match odds and handicaps. Because of that I obviously probably miss a lot of great bets on the other markets like you point out so I try to make up for that as much as I can by posting decent theory, which is pretty hard to find in my experience.

    As Hulk Hands said your posts have been terrific these last two weeks as well fair play to you.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 573 ✭✭✭Local_Chap


    I fancy Clarinbridge to run Portumna close today. At 13/2 with Stan James there definetly overpriced. I'm going to put a small bit on it. If I find a handicap market I will be more keen


  • Registered Users Posts: 68 ✭✭Bookie Bashing


    I was under the impression that Clarinbridge are missing players is Barry Daly and Kerins brothers available for the match. I would agree that it's a big price if they are all playing in the game. If they are missing Portumna are going to cruise it


  • Registered Users Posts: 1,937 ✭✭✭Radonman


    Rory Jacob goal anytime @ 11/8 Boyles - he's always a goal threat and he should have grabbed one in the drawn game v Dublin


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  • Registered Users Posts: 1,937 ✭✭✭Radonman


    Ambrose line shifted to over 1.5 @ 5/6 - I missed the value, good luck to those who got on it


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 8,101 ✭✭✭Rightwing


    Radonman wrote: »
    Ambrose line shifted to over 1.5 @ 5/6 - I missed the value, good luck to those who got on it

    I stuck €200 on him. Hope he doesn't get an early injury now!


  • Registered Users Posts: 1,937 ✭✭✭Radonman


    Radonman wrote: »
    Rory Jacob goal anytime @ 11/8 Boyles - he's always a goal threat and he should have grabbed one in the drawn game v Dublin

    Happy days :)


  • Registered Users Posts: 1,937 ✭✭✭Radonman


    Radonman wrote: »
    Rory Jacob goal anytime @ 11/8 Boyles - he's always a goal threat and he should have grabbed one in the drawn game v Dublin

    Same bet and price - this time SDooley against Waterford, he was strangely quiet against KK and I fully expect him to notch a goal here - he takes all the frees and peno's too


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 5,851 ✭✭✭Mountainlad


    Radonman wrote: »
    Same bet and price - this time SDooley against Waterford, he was strangely quiet against KK and I fully expect him to notch a goal here - he takes all the frees and peno's too

    Normally a good bet, certainly is a classy player wouldn't be surprised. He is marking Noel Connors though.


  • Registered Users Posts: 1,937 ✭✭✭Radonman


    Normally a good bet, certainly is a classy player wouldn't be surprised. He is marking Noel Connors though.

    Can't mark him when he's taking frees or peno's ;)


  • Registered Users Posts: 68 ✭✭Bookie Bashing


    Clarinbridge are up by 4pts 20 minutes left and they are missing Kerins and Billy Lane also big performance and big shout by local chap regardless of the result at this stage


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 5,851 ✭✭✭Mountainlad


    Radonman wrote: »
    Can't mark him when he's taking frees or peno's ;)

    This is true :p


  • Registered Users Posts: 68 ✭✭Bookie Bashing


    Clarinbridge beat Portumna Local lad i would have backed them if you just had have told me even a lie that they had a full team! happy for you though good picking


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  • Closed Accounts Posts: 5,851 ✭✭✭Mountainlad


    Radonman wrote: »
    Same bet and price - this time SDooley against Waterford, he was strangely quiet against KK and I fully expect him to notch a goal here - he takes all the frees and peno's too

    Didn't take long. Horrible mistake apparently :( Congrats


This discussion has been closed.
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