GAA Betting

Sir Vival

Nothing attractive looking in the dublin championship this weekend.. dont' know too much about cork football so maybe someone else might spot something.

Roscommon championship starts weekend after this one, should be a few nice bets then...

Sir Vival

The following is the reason that I love club gaa betting.

Western Gaels v St. Aidans @4/5

The odds on this game are way off, western gaels should be 1/3 perhaps even 1/4. Every football follower in Roscommon rate western gaels very highly and are definitely second favourites if not even joint favourites to win the championship outright.

Here's the reasons why they're going to beat Aidans by 5+ points.

(1) They boast four of the counties best players,(1) Cathal Cregg (prob best player in roscommon), mom in connaught final last year and one of the only players to perform well against longford in the league final. (2) Kevin Higgins, strong powerful midfielder/centre forward who was roscommon's second top scorer in the nfl scoring 2 goals and 20+ points (3) Seanie McDermott, Roscommon captain for a few years and a fantastic man marker who rarely puts in an average performance. The gaels also have a couple of members of the county u-21 team who made the connaught final this year. (4) Donal Warde, he's only broken into the county team this year but has already cemented a place getting mom against new york a couple of weeks ago.

(2) Aidans are relegation fodder. They play div. 2 league and although they're unbeaten at the top of this league, they've struggled past a lot of the teams in this division who are junior teams at best. There's certainly nowhere near the standard of teams like western gaels in it... Furthermore Aidans struggled to safety last year so they're on a bit of a slippery slope.

(3) The venue. The game is taking place in Kiltoom, easily Roscommon's best club pitch and it's big and open which will suit the Gaels down to a tee as they have lots of fast powerful expansive players.

Once I seen the price I put €50 straight down on it and am considering putting another fifty on it now. 4/5 will definitely be gone by the weekend, if the bookies have any sense it will be anyways.

Get on now, I'm still shocked at the price...

Clubmad

… It won’t be all plain sailing for Western Gaels… Elphin beat them by 8 points in the first round last year and they were odds on favourites to beat them… They should definitely win, but Aidan’s are a good championship team.. Western Gaels don’t have a great defence… I would have WG’s to win….But not by much:)

Sir Vival

Clubmad wrote: »

… It won’t be all plain sailing for Western Gaels… Elphin beat them by 8 points in the first round last year and they were odds on favourites to beat them… They should definitely win, but Aidan’s are a good championship team.. Western Gaels don’t have a great defence… I would have WG’s to win….But not by much:)

The gaels were down at least 3 regulars that day and the game was played in Elphin who have a strong home record. As well as that Elphin went all the way to the final which shows their pedigree.

I really wouldn't draw to much into a result that happened over a year ago, a lot of their players have progressed including ward and higgins. Furthermore they're doing well in the league which they mostly played minus their 4 county lads..

Clubmad

That's good enough for me, Sure where would ye be if I wasnt pulling ye up on something

Sir Vival

Western Gaels into 4/7 already... that was quick. I can see them shortening at least to 1/2 by the weekend, still a bit of value there in my opinion.

Will have my thoughts on other games that I like later...

Clubmad

I spotted that Price move alright, you must have gone strong on them At 1/2 if they go to that I'll still be happy to take them.

The 3 in Ros I intend taking are W.Geals, St.Faith and Elphin

In Meath which I;ve always found hard to get right there's 4 very short but pretty much sure things. We have Navan O Mahoneys at 2/7, Summerhill at 1/4, Skryne at 1/2 and Senchestown at 1/4. Funnily my banker in this group is Skryne and there the bigger of the odds.

In Galway there looks like a hell of a lot of close games, 4 in particular that could go either way. Hence, Im staying clear of them games and going with the certs again. Corofin at 1/6 look sure things but at 1/6, prob not worth it. Mountbellew at 1/2 and Milltown at 2/5 looks good prices while the nap and once again biggest price is Claregalway @ 8/11. I really fancy them to have a good championship.

In Wexford which I dont know much about but was told the St.Annes and Shemalier both at 1/4 will win, so accum prices available there.

Finally, Donegal half time full time against Antrim at 4/9 is hard to pass up..

dotsflan

Sir Vival wrote: »

Western Gaels into 4/7 already... that was quick. I can see them shortening at least to 1/2 by the weekend, still a bit of value there in my opinion.

Will have my thoughts on other games that I like later...

their still avaliable @ 8/13 with ladbrokes. im on at 4/5 thanks to you sir vival

Sir Vival

Clubmad wrote: »

I spotted that Price move alright, you must have gone strong on them At 1/2 if they go to that I'll still be happy to take them.

The 3 in Ros I intend taking are W.Geals, St.Faith and Elphin

In Meath which I;ve always found hard to get right there's 4 very short but pretty much sure things. We have Navan O Mahoneys at 2/7, Summerhill at 1/4, Skryne at 1/2 and Senchestown at 1/4. Funnily my banker in this group is Skryne and there the bigger of the odds.

In Galway there looks like a hell of a lot of close games, 4 in particular that could go either way. Hence, Im staying clear of them games and going with the certs again. Corofin at 1/6 look sure things but at 1/6, prob not worth it. Mountbellew at 1/2 and Milltown at 2/5 looks good prices while the nap and once again biggest price is Claregalway @ 8/11. I really fancy them to have a good championship.

In Wexford which I dont know much about but was told the St.Annes and Shemalier both at 1/4 will win, so accum prices available there.

Finally, Donegal half time full time against Antrim at 4/9 is hard to pass up..

hmmm not so sure myself about claregalway... St. James are a good side and are underestimated around the county, I reckon they'll sneak a win in this match. I don't know a lot about Meath gaa so i'll keep my mouth shut there.

I'd advise staying away from Elphin at that price. They'll probably win but 4/11 isn't a true reflection of their chances. I'd say 1/2. St. Croans are a spirited team and Elphin haven't been playing the best football of late, think they might be suffering a bit from second championship season woes after failing to win the final last year.

As for St. Faithleachas v Kilmore, it's a hard one to call as Faithleachas aren't going well in the league but this is more to do with lads away and county lads not playing but @ evens with some bookies Faithleachas are a good value bet. At home they're strong and would expect to win by 2/3 points. I'll prob include them in a small double/treble or something.

Castlerea @8/13 with Boyles is a good price also. They're battle hardened and are a real force at home while clan are short one of their best forwards in Dunning. I wouldn't take anything less than 8/13 though as castlerea are always involved in games which can go either way by 1/2 points regardless of who they play.

In the other games in Roscommon, Brigids will beat Ros gaels but no value whatsoever available, and Strokestown on paper should beat kilbride but they're odds are a little on the slim side.

In Galway there is one game I really like the look of. Mountbellew @1/2 to beat annaghdown. I go to college with a few lads from the surrounding area of mountbellew and they reckon they'll give galway a good go this year. They're a young strong team with county seniors bergin and kenny and 3 county u-21's, two of which have been called into senior panel recently. They're playing Annaghdown who'll never be too far from relegation.

Sir Vival

dotsflan wrote: »

their still avaliable @ 8/13 with ladbrokes. im on at 4/5 thanks to you sir vival

It really is a smashing price, was talking to one of the western gaels players today and he and a couple of the other players were talking about going to the bookies to lump on themselves. Don't think he realised the price has shortened. I kept my mouth shut and never mentioned my bet.

Out of interest what other bookies do club gaa...? PP, ladbrokes, Boyles, that it?

It's probably the right time to set up a few accounts to get best prices if I intend to bet a little bigger this season.

storykid

Things didnt go to plan last week with De La Salle drawing in a surprise result, we'l hope for better luck this weekend! thanks for the other tips lads

1st round of the sfc in waterford this weekend

Gaultier evens vs Ballinameela evens represents good value imo, Gaultier should be around 1/2 in my eyes, Both teams reached the semi finals last year, Ballinameela surprising everyone on what was their first season in the top grade after promotion, but i feel they will fall victim of second season syndrome as they overachieved massively and that is why they are evens for this game.
They will be missing their best player and scoring forward which will be a big blow. Gaultier have a massive pick and have some talented payers in their ranks, and on their day are a good side, if they continue on from the run of form that lead them to the semis last year, i cant see past a Gaultier win. They possess better quality players throughout the field. Im expecting them to get off to a winning start here.

Clashmore 13/8 vs Ardmore 8/13

Clashmore are good value here where i feel they should be slight favourites. Clashmore were relegated 2 years ago which was a big surprise to many as they are a decent side, and bounced straight back up last year to the top grade, Ardmore are a poor ageing side with a small pick and were very poor in last years championship losing nearly all their games if i recall correctly, and I cant see any improvement coming in a hurry this year. I feel Clashmore will get off to a winning start here in what is a very winnable game for them. There is not much to choose between the sides but the value lies with Clashmore and i feel they can scrape a win here.

The Nire 1/6 vs Rathgormack i cannot see past Nire. They are many peoples favourite fo the championship along with current champions Stradbally. The Nire have been paired in the same group as Stradbally so to qualify this is a must win game. Id be amazed if they slipped up.

Stradbally 1/4 vs Kilrossanty, again id be very surprised if county champions Stradbally slipped up here, knowing they have to win to get out of what is a tough group. This is a local derby and Kilrossanty can be dangerous on their day, so it wont be so straightforward for a Stradbally win, but even so, Kilrossanty have tried and failed in the championship trying to beat Stradbally in the last few years and i cant see that changing the weekend.

dotsflan

Sir Vival wrote: »

It really is a smashing price, was talking to one of the western gaels players today and he and a couple of the other players were talking about going to the bookies to lump on themselves. Don't think he realised the price has shortened. I kept my mouth shut and never mentioned my bet.

Out of interest what other bookies do club gaa...? PP, ladbrokes, Boyles, that it?

It's probably the right time to set up a few accounts to get best prices if I intend to bet a little bigger this season.

yeah it just those 3 bookies that do the club prices i think but boyles dont seem to give odds for club games in the smaller counties

mjp

William hill also offer prices on all club games and are making a big effort on Gaa this year. They don't just copy powers prices either as can be a good variation in prices between them. Betpack also offer prices but id advise to stay away from them as they are a useless operation. Need get everyone on here with accounts with them all and get the info up as early in week as possible so to snap up the value prices. Doesn't take much to shorten a team n these matches.

dotsflan

mjp wrote: »

William hill also offer prices on all club games and are making a big effort on Gaa this year. They don't just copy powers prices either as can be a good variation in prices between them. Betpack also offer prices but id advise to stay away from them as they are a useless operation. Need get everyone on here with accounts with them all and get the info up as early in week as possible so to snap up the value prices. Doesn't take much to shorten a team n these matches.

cheers for that, i didnt even think to check william hill, just presumed that since they were an english firm they wouldnt go too deep into gaa betting

Sir Vival

Results from today's Roscommon games:

St. Faithleachs 0-10 Kilmore 0-11
St. Brigids 0-10 Roscommon Gaels 0-5

User Friendly

Smith O briens should beat Killanena today

Hills price SoB @4/6 this is a good bet imo

Sir Vival

User Friendly wrote: »

Smith O briens should beat Killanena today

Hills price SoB @4/6 this is a good bet imo

Gonna need more info than that...

Western gaels into 1/3 with pp now.

User Friendly

Sir Vival wrote: »

Gonna need more info than that...

Western gaels into 1/3 with pp now.

like what?

dotsflan

User Friendly wrote: »

like what?

team information maybe? will the pitch suit their style? local derby? etc

User Friendly

dotsflan wrote: »

team information maybe? will the pitch suit their style? local derby? etc

The venue is neutral although both teams will be very familar with it,Smith o briens have been going well in the Hurling league,played 4 won 3,while their oppononts have only 1 point to show from 3 games played in the league. Killanena are new to senior hurling,just promoted from intermediate last year and rely on 1 player for the majority of their scores.

The league is the only form we have to go on,but im combining this with the fact Obriens have been senior a while now and know what senior chamionship is all about,i believe they are good things today at a decent price.

GL if you play!!

A19B1C12

Is it me or are Antrim far too under-rated today?

5/1 for a team that were in the Ulster Final two years ago is a bit much in my opinion.

7/1 on Antrim by 1-3 points looks tasty.

Sir Vival

johnb03 wrote: »

Is it me or are Antrim far too under-rated today?

5/1 for a team that were in the Ulster Final two years ago is a bit much in my opinion.

7/1 on Antrim by 1-3 points looks tasty.

A lot can change in two years... Remember when fermanagh had that great run in the qualifiers and looked like they'd be very competitive in ulster, now look at them.

The bubble in Antrim gaa has completely burst and donegal on a big upward curve and at home in ballyboffey they'll stroll to a win. 4/5 points minimum.

Stay away from Antrim...

EDIT: Just had a quick look at PP website, western gaels into 2/7 now.. must be a fair bit of money going on them.

User Friendly

A couple of hundred euros is more than enough to move prices in club championship games

mjp

Am waiting on Western gaels for over €1,600 in an accum. Have also backed them @ 4/5 in powers on their own but be foolish not to have few quid on Aidans @ 3/1 and a saver on the draw aswell. Anyone know will this be on any radio online?

dotsflan

was looking good for western gaels at half time anyway http://twitter.com/#!/gaaroscommon

no sign of a result though

result in, western gaels win easily. good man sir vival, nice one

glanman

Result from Kiltoom: western Gaels 1-13 St Aidans 0-5

Great call, think a lot of us were on this thanks to your spot...

mjp

Winner alright, Winner alright !!!!

1- 13 to 5 points win for Western Gaels. Good start to the season for this forum and long may it continue

Sir Vival

Good stuff, routine 11 point victory for the Gaels.

Congrats all round if ye won a bit of cash... there's another round of Roscommon championship next weekend, so i'll be checking all the club gaa bookies websites regularly from tomorrow on for the early prices and posting up anything interesting I see here.

Any other results from around, dont'd be afraid to post them up. Tis a bit of a hardship scouring all the county gaa websites when half of them aren't up to date.

Sir Vival

http://www.paddypower.com/bet/gaa-sports

Odds on the games are up on PP if anyone wants a look.

Unfortunately no penalty kicks like there was last week.

Strokestown @9/4 are worth a tenner though purely as a good value bet because as i've said before castlerea tend to be consistently involved in games that go either way by only a point or two (they drew last week...). Strokestown are at home and need to win to have a chance of progressing.

They're odds will probably drift a bit come the weekend so i'll have a tenner on at 9/4 now and maybe another tenner if they drift to 3/1

I'd advise holding onto your money if your looking for a solid bet though.

rodmn2377

i was looking at the odds for the roscommon champ and i taught the double of clann 4/9 v kilbride and kilmore 2/5 v st croans whichs pays around even is a good bet,if the 2 of these win that as good as secures there passage through.would like to see the teams first but think it could be worth a punt....

paul08

Like the look of tipperary minors tonight vs Kerry. 3/1 with powers looks too long for a team that came through the first round easily and also has the benefit of home advantage. Kerry are missing one of their dangermen Thomas Hickey who scored 1-5 in the first round, and also from what i hear tipp have been going well in challenge games recently beating a well regarded galway team. Id be pricing them around 7/4 so 3/1 looks good value in this instance

rodmn2377

Great call on the tipp minors yesterday thanks for that......

keane2097

+1, very good call, fair play.

User Friendly

Great call!

was it 10pts down at half time? well done backers!

glanman

Thinking of going with small accum of:

Castlerea (v strokestown) 2/5
Four Masters (v bundoran) 2/7
Kildare 2/9
Laois 2/5

thoughts?? I know the weather isn't great on Saturday so a little catious over the two club games...

mjp

Anyone have any views on Donegal club matches this weekend? Prices up from powers since yesterday evening @ http://www.paddypower.com/bet/gaa-sports/gaa-matches/donegal-club-football-matches

Hoping to get a write up on few matches before sunday as waiting to get hold of few local papers from up there and waiting to hear back from a few Donegal boys i went to college with.

Boyles Ladbrokes and William hill yet to price up weekend's matches so be interesting see if theres much of a difference in their prices to powers

Hesh's Umpire

I believe Laois are something like 5/2 to beat Wexford this weekend in the Leinster MHC.
Think the price is a bit big myself if it's accurate. A very good Westmeath team this year beat Laois narrowly enough in the first round and I don't think it's one of Wexford's better teams in recent years.

patmac

glanman wrote: »

Thinking of going with small accum of:

Castlerea (v strokestown) 2/5
Four Masters (v bundoran) 2/7
Kildare 2/9
Laois 2/5

thoughts?? I know the weather isn't great on Saturday so a little catious over the two club games...

The Castlerea odds look very poor they lost a seven point lead against Clan na Gael last week who were beaten by Strokestown by 10 points the week before in the league, where did you get the odds for this game?

patmac

I think 9/4 Strokestown to beat Castlerea are great odds on PP!

Clubmad

Four Masters let me down bad last year, twice if I recall right with bloody draws at very short pirces so hence I'm putting them on my black list for this year. Waiting for one of the Donegal players to mail me info for weekend games so once he does I'll send on his views.

As for Roscommon, I think Clann and Kilmore are the two bankers @ 4/9 & 2/5. I'd be also thinking Ros Gaels against Aidens are good value at 11/10. As for the other games I think it's way to tight to call. Very catious over the Castlerea v S/Town game meself............

In the SFC this weekend I reckon theres value in the handicap betting. Tipp at +8 and Leitrim at +5 stand out to me. Kerry dont seem to kick teams off the pitch like they used to in early round games and I reckon Leitrim are going good against an over rated Sligo team..........I think the other games are a lot harder to call.

rodmn2377

I'd be thinking the same about s/town game wouldnt like to chance it,I think kilmore and clan are a great bet and your right I'd say Ross Gaels will beat aidens they seem to be In bad shape.<br />
<br />
Like the look of Leitrim +5 like you I think Sligo very over rated and with out a couple of there top forwards but not to sure on Kerry I think they have a lot to prove this summer so they could come out all systems go.<br />
<br />
That would be great if ya get some info from the Donegal lad let us know...

Clubmad

Right, the Final word...............

I've decided in the SFC the best bests are as follows.........

Longford +5 @ 4/9 ....should be a tight enough game
Tipp +11 : 2/5 ....Simply think if Kerry are 7/8 points up they wont push on
Clare +14 @ 1/2 ..14 is a huge margin, my reasoning is once again if a team is 10 points up and further champo to come they may not kick on
Leitrim +5 @ 8/11 ..Reckon they may even sneak a draw here

In Club Champo i've gone for the following in Ros , Clann, Kilmore and ROs Geals, there 11/10 which I thnk is a great price, reasons outlined already.

In Donegal i've been told there's not much to go on, with a lot of the games going to be pretty dam close. Another reason for staying away from Four Masters. The two picks are Glenswilly, that;s Murphys team, also Neil Gallagher in Midfield for them. There 11/8 and the other team I've been recommended to with it is Kilcar, mate reckons they could win by 6/7 points ,,,,,there at 8/11


Finally, tip for Galway Hurling, Breagh @ 11/10 .....That's purley on word, know nothing about it!

All in All I'm pretty happy with those Selections @ 123/1 or so, haha

Sir Vival

glanman wrote: »

Thinking of going with small accum of:

Castlerea (v strokestown) 2/5
Four Masters (v bundoran) 2/7
Kildare 2/9
Laois 2/5

thoughts?? I know the weather isn't great on Saturday so a little catious over the two club games...

Kilmore offer a more solid bet @2/5 vs Croans in my opinion. Croans are aren't a traditional senior team and tend to yo-yo between senior and inter. Plus Kilmore are notorious for being near impossible to beat at home where they draw huge local crowds and there's a surface on that pitch like no other... almost bog like.

A lot of people expect castlerea to win but playing away from home and with the weather they way it's supposed to be, 11/4 for Strokestown with WH is massive. Castlerea definitely aren't value @2/5

Sir Vival

patmac wrote: »

I think 9/4 Strokestown to beat Castlerea are great odds on PP!

11/4 with WH

funnyname

Clubmad wrote: »

Right, the Final word...............


Clare +14 @ 1/2 ..14 is a huge margin, my reasoning is once again if a team is 10 points up and further champo to come they may not kick on

Also consider that this Cork team don't score a lot of goals so looks like a very good bet.

docmartin

mjp wrote: »

Anyone have any views on Donegal club matches this weekend? Prices up from powers since yesterday evening @ http://www.paddypower.com/bet/gaa-sports/gaa-matches/donegal-club-football-matches

Hoping to get a write up on few matches before sunday as waiting to get hold of few local papers from up there and waiting to hear back from a few Donegal boys i went to college with.

Boyles Ladbrokes and William hill yet to price up weekend's matches so be interesting see if theres much of a difference in their prices to powers

this is just my opinion
Ardara vs Cloughaneely
both in good form in the league, ardara consistently strong but i have an outside fancy for Cloughaneely here, they are a better team than the 11/4 suggests, very young side not unlike the naomh conaill team of 2005, on the whole its hard to fancy ardara @ 3/10
Bundoran vs Four masters
Four masters should be way way to strong for Bundoran 2/7 a good price considering the gulf in the 2 sides, bundoran did win intermediate championship last year but shouldnt be fit to match Four masters who have quality players all over the field
Dungloe vs St eunans
donegal midfielder Rory kavanagh a major doubt for Eunans who havent been performing in the league. I'd have to give the vote here to dungloe as the are very hard to beat on their home turf.
Gaoth Dobhair vs termon
hard to fancy termon here, a division 2 side up against a powerful division one side containg 3 mc gee's and kevin cassidy
Glenswilly vs Naomh conaill
glenswilly a massive price here at 11/8 against a naomh conail side who reached the ulster senior final least year, Naomh conaill massivly injury hit this weekend losing ciaran boyle, johnny bonner, anthony thompson, leo mc loone and a few others. head says glenswilly but pride of the parish says Naomh conaill so no bet here for me
Killybegs vs Kilcar
Killybegs, last years beaten county finalists, relegated from division one last year, hard to fancy as they have no major scoring power, Kilcar for me are a steadily improving outfit and victory in the local derby shouyld provide the stepping stones for a long summer football wise, Kilcar look like buying money @ 8/11
Malin vs Glenfin - mo major knowledge of either of these sides, glenfin perennial under achievers against a malin side with some big men and a few handy enough footballers, no bet here for me.
Mac cumhails vs St micheals, fancy Mac cumhails at home to spring a surprise against a st micheals side who like st Eunans have striuggled in their league campaign this year. only a very small bet on mac cumhals here though on these grounds as i see 5/2 as quite a value bet,

so thats my round up on the donegal senior championship fixtures. Good luck all
Docmartin

mjp

Cheers for that Update Doc Martin.

My main bet for the weekend is going to be Under 29.5 points in Sligo v Leitrim match tomorrow with Ladbrokes. Looks like powers have taken bit of money on this as it has been shortened from 28.5 down to 27.5 and is now currently @ 26.5. Boylesports still go 28.5 for those of you who dont have an a/c with ladbrokes.

My reasoning???
Looking at head to head games over the last 10 years these sides have met 5 times with game going over the mark only once and under 4 times with avarage total standing @ 24 points.

Neither teams have been putting up big cores in this years league with Letrim averaging 12 points(Taking Kilkenny game out of the reckoning as was only a training session for them.

Sligo are missing their two main scoring threats from last years championship in David Kelly and Mark Brehony so cant see them putting up a huge score in what will be a difficult test for this sligo side.

If sligo get the poor weather thats promised for tomorrow i expect this to be a nailed on certainty to finish under 29.5 so this is a max bet for me.


Another Value bet to me is in the Laois V Longford game where Ladbrokes go 8/11 for Brian Kavanagh( Longford full forward) to score over 1.5 points. He is always good for a few scores and has been the fulcrum of Longford's attack over the last number of year. He will see plenty of ball and will be marked by Kevin Meaney who is a midfielder converted to wearing the number 3 jersey and doesn't look comfortable in this position. He should see the full 70 minutes aswell and if Longford are going to put in a big performance tomorrow i expect Kavanagh to get his name on the scoreboard more than once atleast.

Interestingly Paddy power go over 2.5 for the same player

Sir Vival

Look like two nice bets mjp...

Really interested in the Kavanagh over 1.5pts @8/11. He's a real class act on his day and will definitely get the oppurtunites to score. Hopefully Longford turn up. Looking into setting up an account with Ladbrokes today.

rodmn2377

That Brian kavannagh bet on lad is now 8/13 so there must be a bit of interest in it,have to say I'd be very surprised if that doesn't come good....

Sir Vival

Results from Roscommon:

Kilmore 0-9 St. Croans 0-6
Strokestown 0-15 Castlerea 2-9. Supposedly last minute peno for castlerea..
Clann na Gael vs Kilbride was a draw as well
Elphin 0-9 St. Faithleachs 1-4