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Archie's NFL/NCAA Tips Log
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To be honest, I really can't rank one above the other. That's not to say they're sure things or anything, I just feel they all have an equal chance of coming through. What you could do to maybe give yourself a bit more breathing room is just mix and match, and take the two home teams in Virginia Tech and Idaho, with obviously placing an added emphasis on the boost a team gets playing at home in front of their own fans! Or whatever works for you, that's just an option
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Preseason: 6 wins, 5 losses, + 6.6% profit
Week One: 5 wins, 4 losses, - 3.4% loss
Week Two: 8 wins, 3 losses, + 38.3% profit
Week Three: 6 wins, 4 losses, + 24.3% profit
Week Four: 9 wins, 7 losses, + 6.23% profit
Week Five: 3 wins, 2 losses, + 16.25% profit
Week Six: 7 wins, 7 losses, + 2.32% profit
Week Seven: 4 wins, 4 losses, + 89.1% profit
That's what I'm talkin' bout baby! These are the weekends I had in mind when I started this bloody thing, and I must say I was getting pretty damn disillusioned having success making the majority of the correct picks, but not making a worthwhile profit due to poor weighting of stakes on my part. Delighted the new doubles system worked this weekend, I really should have switched a few weeks earlier! Oh well, onwards and upwards. I'm bloody delighted - bring on next weekend!
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I was looking at that earlier. It's a tricky one alright. It's looking pretty likely that he'll play. Funny thing is, my biggest doubt is always a superstitious one. Big time player like Nicks carrying an injury into a nationally televised MNF game - I can just hear the commentators yelling now "Injury? What injury! Nicks has been on fire!". It always happens like that
Hamstring injuries can be tricky, but I doubt the Giants would risk Nicks if they thought he wasn't over it.
Silly superstitious me aside, I wouldn't bet on it myself. The Cowboys do rank highly against the pass, but they give up a lot of yards per catch to receivers which always favours a deep threat like Nicks. The Cowboys have also had a lot of trouble with pass interference calls this year which won't have gone unnoticed, so there could be an extra motive for Eli Manning to pump some deep balls down the field, and Nicks will always be his target in that case. Manning is also getting some of the best protection he's seen from his o-line in the past few games, so he'll have plenty of time in the pocket.
Personaly, I wouldn't bet on it - I certainly wouldn't bet anything more than a small 1 point bet but I can see plenty of arguments as to why Nicks would be limited (Dallas defence, niggling injury etc.) so whatever feels right for you. There's one more thing I want to research, so I'll edit this post in a few minutes.
Edit: I just wanted to check how Dallas did against opponents number one receivers, and it was pretty inconclusive. Whereas they kept Andre Johnson and Randy Moss under 70, Johnson did have a sore ankle and Moss still hasn't completely settled in with Brett Favre. On the other hand, Kenny Britt (who I would liken to Nicks) and Santana Moss eclipsed the 70, although again they didn't have the slight injury concern Nicks has. I'd still ever so slightly lean towards Nicks going over 70, but that's just my view.0 -
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