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Horseboxos road to profit - NCAA/NFL

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    #962
    El Horseboxo
    Registered Users Posts: 5,339 ✭✭✭El Horseboxo


    Derek! wrote: »
    Just checked my account to see I'm after bettin on the losin team by mistake :(
    Nice win though, well done.

    Hard luck man. Robbie down the same thing the other night with Ohio. If ya usually bet soccer the way the spread is layed out on some sites can be confusing.


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    #963
    El Horseboxo
    Registered Users Posts: 5,339 ✭✭✭El Horseboxo


    2 bets for tomorrow in the soccer thanks to stingerro.

    Slask to win @ 2.50.

    Stake 20

    Slask -1 Asian handicap @ 4.25

    Stake 30


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    #964
    El Horseboxo
    Registered Users Posts: 5,339 ✭✭✭El Horseboxo


    As posted while i was half asleep Arizona win to bring in my highest stake bet on the basketball so far. Game played out how i pretty much thought in the closing minutes but if Lindsey hadn't of fouled out for St. John's i think it would have been closer. He was their spark and St. John's are thread thin on the bench. Only 2 players to rotate in. So that's a nice 5-0 start in the ncaab.

    Buying out of the Jets bet only cost me 2 euro. Great thing about taking an in play lower spread than the pre game one is that you can nearly always get the same amount of points for the other team later in the game if it's still close to cancel out your earlier bet if you don't like how the game is going. The spread swings so much depending on who has the ball and field position.


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    #965
    El Horseboxo
    Registered Users Posts: 5,339 ✭✭✭El Horseboxo


    El Horseboxo wrote: »
    2 bets for tomorrow in the soccer thanks to stingerro.

    Slask to win @ 2.50.

    Stake 20

    Slask -1 Asian handicap @ 4.25

    Stake 30


    The above is wrong. I only have 10 euro on the -1 AH handicap. I had 30 in my head due to the total stake. 20 + 10 = 30.


    Jagiellonia Bialystok vs Slask Wroclaw @ 2.50

    Stake 20


    Jagiellonia Bialystok vs Slask Wroclaw (-1 AH) @ 4.25

    Stake 10

    Took 150 away from balance to use as per other charity thread.

    Balance 2020.61 (30 in play)


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    #966
    El Horseboxo
    Registered Users Posts: 5,339 ✭✭✭El Horseboxo


    Wichita State at Alabama (-2.5) @ 1.91 (William Hill still has this at -2.5. -3.5 most places)

    This game is part of the Puerto Rico classic and is on neutral ground. I'll stick up the reasoning soon.

    Stake 110


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    #967
    yesno1234
    Registered Users Posts: 2,338 ✭✭✭yesno1234


    El Horseboxo wrote: »
    Wichita State at Alabama (-2.5) @ 1.91 (William Hill still has this at -2.5. -3.5 most places)

    This game is part of the Puerto Rico classic and is on neutral ground. I'll stick up the reasoning soon.

    Stake 110

    Alabama is -2.0 with Bet365 at 10/11. Does this mean if they win by two I get refunded? I know if they were -1.5 they'd have to beat that and there'd be no chance of a refund.


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    #968
    kryogen
    Closed Accounts Posts: 25,953 ✭✭✭✭kryogen


    The line was -2 with paddypower earlier too mate. Since i know nothing about college basketball ill wait till your write up to decide what to do..... Cheers for the tip last night


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    #969
    El Horseboxo
    Registered Users Posts: 5,339 ✭✭✭El Horseboxo


    yesno1234 wrote: »
    Alabama is -2.0 with Bet365 at 10/11. Does this mean if they win by two I get refunded? I know if they were -1.5 they'd have to beat that and there'd be no chance of a refund.


    Yeah if you take -2 and Alabama win by 2 points you will get your stake returned. Unlike soccer all even numbered spreads that fall on the number result in a push. All are basically asian handicap bets.

    I don't have much time at the moment to give a detailed write up but i'll try get to it before the 2 am tip. Basically i'm going against Wichita because i think they are overrated and i don't think too highly of them. Last year they had good height but this year they have lost that. They are pretty good at the guard position but overall the team doesn't have much depth or experience. Alabama are very defensive and don't go out and destroy teams although they won very convincingly yesterday against another overrated team. Maryland. Wichita can score so i expect a slightly more offensive showing from Alabama tonight. I trust them on defense and i think this is what will win it for them. It will increase the number of shooting chances as they should win the turnover battle. There is also a bit of revenge in mind for Alabama. Seeing the line coming back down is something i expected as once Alabama's spread rose there were going to be a lot of people jumping on Wichita. I'll try touch on more later. Just on my phone now and it slows right down the more i type.


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    #970
    El Horseboxo
    Registered Users Posts: 5,339 ✭✭✭El Horseboxo


    Wichita State at Alabama (-2.5) @ 1.91

    Line opened at -1.5. Jumps as high as -4.5. Back to -2 and now settling at -2.5. Money coming in on Wichita but yet it moves back the other way. That's always a good sign. This is a big game for Alabama. They have a big revenge angle. I know in most sports that doesn't matter. But in basketball teams with a revenge angle come out strong. Wichita ended the hopes of Alabama going into a championship game last season. And they have been bitter about it. The players and coaching staff have been putting this game on high priority. This year Wichita has weakened. They've lost their big men. They have little depth. Their best player, scorer and rebounder is gone. He was their floor general. Whereas Alabama bring back their 2 best players. And add a season's experience onto that. They have a strong defense and will turn teams over. Their point guard that was also double digits in scoring is back too. They just look deeper and more experienced. As mentioned briefly, Alabama don't blow teams away. But they play strong defense and score on the break. They control the tempo. Going back to Wichita's games so far. They struggled against Colorado right to the end. And they are not a good team. Really have to fancy Alabama based on what i've seen and read. Defense that should reduce perimeter scoring, they don't give up much free throws, they defend well against 3 pointers. Only allowing 19%. They grab rebounds and they force turn overs. Just so much going for them. Their defense will create the extra scoring opportunities. They won't score on every possession but with their talent they should get it done as they win the match ups as far as i can see.

    Stake 110


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    #971
    Derek!
    Registered Users Posts: 2,103 ✭✭✭Derek!


    Sorry for my noobness, but how long does a basketball game go on for?


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    #972
    stingerro
    Registered Users Posts: 1,687 ✭✭✭stingerro


    Derek! wrote: »
    Sorry for my noobness, but how long does a basketball game go on for?
    2x20 minutes (in case of NCAAB). In real time - around 2 hours.


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    #973
    El Horseboxo
    Registered Users Posts: 5,339 ✭✭✭El Horseboxo


    20 minutes each of the 2 halves. Including time outs, halftime and fouls most games are close to the 2 hours mark. It's the last 3 minutes that take the longest if it's a close game.


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    #974
    Derek!
    Registered Users Posts: 2,103 ✭✭✭Derek!


    stingerro wrote: »
    2x20 minutes (in case of NCAAB). In real time - around 2 hours.
    Thanks, but how come it takes 2 hours?


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    #975
    El Horseboxo
    Registered Users Posts: 5,339 ✭✭✭El Horseboxo


    Derek! wrote: »
    Thanks, but how come it takes 2 hours?

    The clock only runs while the ball is in play. Each half a team gets 5 timeouts. One 60 second one and four 30 second ones. That is for televised games.

    Non televised games get 6 timeouts for the total game. Four 75 second ones and two 30 second ones. In televised games there are also media timeouts to allow ads. (ridiculous i know). Then you factor in fouls which stop the clock for the entire duration of the free throws. Also reviewing who tipped the ball last before going outta play, fouls etc stop the clock. And of course half time.


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    #976
    kryogen
    Closed Accounts Posts: 25,953 ✭✭✭✭kryogen


    Can't watch anymore...Everytime i flick back on to it im seeing alabama miss a basket!


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    #977
    Derek!
    Registered Users Posts: 2,103 ✭✭✭Derek!


    El Horseboxo wrote: »
    The clock only runs while the ball is in play. Each half a team gets 5 timeouts. One 60 second one and four 30 second ones. That is for televised games.

    Non televised games get 6 timeouts for the total game. Four 75 second ones and two 30 second ones. In televised games there are also media timeouts to allow ads. (ridiculous i know). Then you factor in fouls which stop the clock for the entire duration of the free throws. Also reviewing who tipped the ball last before going outta play, fouls etc stop the clock. And of course half time.
    Thanks, it's all very clear now, although that must be very annoyin when you have a bet on a game.


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    #978
    El Horseboxo
    Registered Users Posts: 5,339 ✭✭✭El Horseboxo


    Derek! wrote: »
    Thanks, it's all very clear now, although that must be very annoyin when you have a bet on a game.

    Sure is. Especially when you just want the game to end so you can get some sleep. Stupid time zones.


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    #979
    El Horseboxo
    Registered Users Posts: 5,339 ✭✭✭El Horseboxo


    kryogen wrote: »
    Can't watch anymore...Everytime i flick back on to it im seeing alabama miss a basket!

    Yeah their offense ain't great. Their defense makes them effective. That's all they are.


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    #980
    kryogen
    Closed Accounts Posts: 25,953 ✭✭✭✭kryogen


    El Horseboxo wrote: »
    kryogen wrote: »
    Can't watch anymore...Everytime i flick back on to it im seeing alabama miss a basket!

    Yeah their offense ain't great. Their defense makes them effective. That's all they are.


    They coveredbthe half time spread, that means its freeroll for me in the second half basically so i can get some sleep! Big weekend of football action ahead


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    #981
    yesno1234
    Registered Users Posts: 2,338 ✭✭✭yesno1234


    Cheers mate, made me €80 last night and tonight. Keep 'em comin':D


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    #982
    Derek!
    Registered Users Posts: 2,103 ✭✭✭Derek!


    Yea thanks man, great call :D


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    #983
    Hulk Hands
    Registered Users Posts: 6,016 ✭✭✭Hulk Hands


    yesno1234 wrote: »
    Cheers mate, made me €80 last night and tonight. Keep 'em comin':D

    Same. Legend


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    #984
    El Horseboxo
    Registered Users Posts: 5,339 ✭✭✭El Horseboxo


    Not listing the name of the teams. It's on the off site forum that a lot of people know about and will verify. You'll probably see it talked about in live betting thread if it's on.


    Team A vs Team B (Over 3.5 goals) @ 2.37

    Stake 50


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    #985
    El Horseboxo
    Registered Users Posts: 5,339 ✭✭✭El Horseboxo


    Another win in the college basketball yesterday. That's 6-0 so far. 7-0 if you include the LeHigh win in the other thread. Must have a loss coming soon. The 2 Polish league bets came in too thanks to the info from Stingerro.

    Balance 2163.11 (50 in play)


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    #986
    El Horseboxo
    Registered Users Posts: 5,339 ✭✭✭El Horseboxo


    Good info on the tip in the Romanian league. Just couldn't get the chance for one more goal. 2 penos were needed as these teams usually end up very low scoring. So the info looked right. Ah well first loss in a while. Thanks regardless netnerd.


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    #987
    MikeyGorse
    Registered Users Posts: 738 ✭✭✭MikeyGorse


    Cheers for another great basketball tip :)


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    #988
    El Horseboxo
    Registered Users Posts: 5,339 ✭✭✭El Horseboxo


    No problem. Good to see others make money off them too.


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    #989
    Yardie
    Closed Accounts Posts: 1,317 ✭✭✭Yardie


    Great tipping. I followed blindly last night. Long may it continue.


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    #990
    El Horseboxo
    Registered Users Posts: 5,339 ✭✭✭El Horseboxo


    Oklahoma (-16) at Baylor @ 1.90

    Stake 33


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    #991
    El Horseboxo
    Registered Users Posts: 5,339 ✭✭✭El Horseboxo


    Mississippi State at Arkansas (-13.5) @ 1.90

    Stake 33


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