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Horseboxos road to profit - NCAA/NFL

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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 5,341 ✭✭✭El Horseboxo


    Also gone for

    Mid Tenn @ Arkansas (Under 28.5 1st half) @ 1.83

    Both one dimensional teams in their own respect. Mid Tenn will look to get their running game going while Arkansas will look to get their passing game going. I just see this game taking a while to get going until each team figures each other out. Can't really see more than 4 td's in the half. Expecting a quick first quarter with some time consuming drives and maybe 2 td's in the second half. Tuesday night games have been quite low scoring in the past so i'm hoping the trend continues.

    Stake 20

    EDIT

    I posted that bet here and then went to do it on Paddy Power. But they had moved the game to live betting before the 23:10 game kick off. So i couldn't take it. That's fecking ridiculous.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 5,341 ✭✭✭El Horseboxo


    Get in there Boston. 13 point lead at the half. And just as well that college game went to live betting and the first half bet was gone. Only noticed that it's something like 40 points in the first half. Totally read that game wrong. The 76ers game had a big first half. But thank God the 3rd quarter has been low so far. Hope that keeps up.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 5,341 ✭✭✭El Horseboxo


    Just wanna try something out. Checked a few sites and cross referenced them and came up with a list of horses that seem to come up a lot. I haven't bet on any of them yet. And i may not do so. Just an experiment for now.


    Cheptow

    1:05 Sonofvic
    1:35 Prince Massini
    2:10 Teshali ew
    2:10 Gurtacrue
    2:45 Dunkelly Castle
    2:45 Just about
    3:20 Pavillon Bleu
    3:55 Oscar gogo


    Fairy House

    1:20 Venalmar
    1:50 First Lieutenant
    4:05 Alderwood


    Nottingham

    1:15 Madison Square
    1:45 Circus act
    2:20 Sahara kingdom
    3:30 Oriental girl
    4:05 Dream in waiting


    Warwick

    12:55 Goat castle
    1:25 Pantxoa
    2:35 Dan Breen
    2:35 Shakalakaboomboom
    3:10 Cotswold charmer
    3:40 Chico time


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 5,341 ✭✭✭El Horseboxo


    Never bet on any of the below and if i was going to bet i wouldn't have too all of them. The 5 that won are ones i would have took as i seen them ones mentioned multiple times. But i would have taken some losers as well. Might keep this up for the rest of the week just to see if there are any patterns or worth betting on daily. Seems to be what Coughlan is doing and it's been working for him. I'm just not overly into horses and i struggle to put money on them though. So it will be at small odds if i take any next week.

    Cheptow

    1:05 Sonofvic Won
    1:35 Prince Massini Won
    2:10 Teshali ew NP
    2:10 Gurtacrue 2nd
    2:45 Dunkelly Castle 3rd
    2:45 Just about NP
    3:20 Pavillon Bleu 2nd
    3:55 Oscar gogo


    Fairy House

    1:20 Venalmar NP
    1:50 First Lieutenant 3rd
    4:05 Alderwood Cancelled


    Nottingham

    1:15 Madison Square NP
    1:45 Circus act NP
    2:20 Sahara kingdom NP
    3:30 Oriental girl NP
    4:05 Dream in waiting


    Warwick

    12:55 Goat castle 2nd
    1:25 Pantxoa Won
    2:35 Dan Breen 2nd
    2:35 Shakalakaboomboom NP
    3:10 Cotswold charmer Won
    3:40 Chico time Won


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 5,341 ✭✭✭El Horseboxo


    Oh yeah the Lakers game went way over last night too. And Boston covered the spread as mentioned above. So minute profit last night. 2 bleeding yoyo's or so.

    Balance 3485.39


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 5,341 ✭✭✭El Horseboxo


    Going against a rule i normally follow in not having the same bet in another bet. i.e. a single placed in a double or treble. However i feel that there is great value in this and the 2 teams are far supererior. Motivation is the only thing i question regardless of them both being away from home. Both managers have said they will be playing to win and even with some absences they should have the talent to prevail. A win tonight for both teams leaves them with 2 games to play without any pressure on them. Of course i am talking about Arsenal and Real Madrid. 2 teams that won this fixture comfortably at home 2 weeks ago. And the reason i am siding with them tonight is because quite frankly i expect a similar performance tonight. Maybe not the same scorelines but away wins none the less. Arsenal have been without players for many games so far and they have coped and got the job done. They aren't great at the back and should attack in this game. They missed a lot of chances at the weekend but eventually took the 3 points. I expect them to be a bit more clinical tonight. They have been so far in Europe. And Real have been coming together nicely under Mourinho. They started with defense which is rock solid and then they eventually clicked on the attacking front. A complete team that can be lazy on occassion. So i do fear the draw. I fear it in both these games actually. But i'll risk it at good odds.


    AC Milan vs Real Madrid @ 2.30

    Stake 50


    Shakhtar Donetsk vs Arsenal @ 2.62

    Stake 50


    Shakhtar Donetsk v Arsenal
    AC Milan vs Real Madrid

    Double total odds 6.04

    Stake 30


    So i'll either be down a lot of rolling in profit. Let's just say i'm hoping the double comes off. ;)


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 5,341 ✭✭✭El Horseboxo


    Typical. 130 down the drain. Motivation was something i was worried about and neither Arsenal or Real Madrid played like they wanted to win. Although Real were unlucky. That donkey Pepe fúcking up and then a horrible decision from the lines man and the extra officials watching. A clear offside.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 5,341 ✭✭✭El Horseboxo


    Yesterday was disasterous in the soccer. I put down a few quid on a risky set up of the same singles in doubles and they both failed. The fact that Madrid drew made it even worse given that Inzaghi was clearly offside when the linesman was level with play. Anyways after that i took a few basketball games but i never posted them up here. A mix of me being too pissed about the earlier loss and being too lazy.

    Well here's the screenshot of all the NBA bets i put on. Just all small stakes as i didn't wanna be chasing by going big.

    Balance prior to these bets = 3355.39

    bbgames.png

    The Rockets covered the first half handicap. But then went on to lose and ruined my overs in the last second by scoring a bucket which bobbled around the rim. Well that resulted in a push and i got the 18 back even though it says win for some reason. The overs double came in as did the GSW one. The Hawks went under but they didn't cover the first half spread. So a slight profit of 40 odd.


    Balance 3391.73
    Profit 2841.73


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 5,341 ✭✭✭El Horseboxo


    Continuing on with the horses. This is what i would/may bet on today.


    Haydock

    1:30 King Fingal
    2:05 Ernst Blofeld
    3:15 Our Bob
    3:50 Lively Baron


    Kempton

    5:00 Entitled
    6:30 Queen of cash


    Lingfield

    12:45 War painter
    1:20 Rule of nature
    1:55 Al Gillani
    2:30 Ritual


    Thurles

    1:05 Bob lingo
    1:40 Glencove marina
    2:15 Splurge
    3:15 Style of campile


    Towcester

    1:45 Holiday cocktail
    2:20 Aztec treasure
    2:55 Mister hyde


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 927 ✭✭✭turbobaby


    would you have posted those basketball bets if they had of lost?


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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 5,341 ✭✭✭El Horseboxo


    turbobaby wrote: »
    would you have posted those basketball bets if they had of lost?

    Yeah. I had 7 bets and 5 won. So i posted up 2 that lost. And i've done it a few times in this thread where i'd have an in play bet that i didn't post straight away and then posted when it lost. I wanna keep my balance in PP the same as the balance here which is why i allow after timing in my thread with screenshots.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 5,341 ✭✭✭El Horseboxo


    Continuing on with the horses. This is what i would/may bet on today.


    Haydock

    1:30 King Fingal @ 7.00
    2:05 Ernst Blofeld @ 3.50
    3:15 Our Bob @ 2.75


    Kempton

    6:30 Queen of cash @ 5.00


    Lingfield

    12:45 War painter @ evens
    1:20 Rule of nature @ 5.00
    1:55 Al Gillani @ 10.00
    2:30 Ritual @ evens


    Towcester

    1:45 Holiday cocktail @ 3.75
    2:20 Aztec treasure @ 3.75

    Feck it. I stuck on fiver on each of the above. So 50 total stakes. Have work being done in the house and limited in my movement. So might as well make it a bit interesting and pass the time.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 12,046 ✭✭✭✭L'prof


    Feck it. I stuck on fiver on each of the above. So 50 total stakes. Have work being done in the house and limited in my movement. So might as well make it a bit interesting and pass the time.

    Maybe try using the dutching calculator to decide how much your stakes should be next time? It would mean equal return on all winners.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 6,028 ✭✭✭TheMilkyPirate


    L'prof wrote: »
    Maybe try using the dutching calculator to decide how much your stakes should be next time? It would mean equal return on all winners.

    Never knew about that, Thanks.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 5,341 ✭✭✭El Horseboxo


    L'prof wrote: »
    Maybe try using the dutching calculator to decide how much your stakes should be next time? It would mean equal return on all winners.

    Yeah i was thinking about that but this was more so just for the craic and wasn't in the humor for entering the odds. Anyways after the start so far i would have needed a psychic calculator.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 5,341 ✭✭✭El Horseboxo


    3 winners today in Queen of cash, Ritual and Aztec Treasure. 53.75 returned. At least my first attempt at the horses wasn't a loss. With a duching calculator and being able to read form and build up a bit of knowledge i can see how you can have very profitble days in this game.

    Balance 3395.48


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 5,341 ✭✭✭El Horseboxo


    Regal FC Barcelona (1st quarter -3.5) v Fenerbahce Ulker @ 1.83

    Stake 15.48

    This lost. They could even beat them let alone cover the spread.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 5,341 ✭✭✭El Horseboxo


    Steaua Bucharest v FC Utrecht DNB @ 2.75

    Stake 15


    Porto (-1) v Besiktas @ 2.10

    Stake 15



    Porto v Besiktas (Over 2.5 goals) @ 1.66
    Odense v Young Boys (Over 2.5 goals) @ 1.66

    Stake 20



    Sevilla v Karpaty Lviv (+2) @ evens
    Hajduk Split v Zenit St Petersburg (Over 2.5 goals) @ evens
    AEK Athens v Anderlecht (Over 2.5 goals) @ 2.10

    Stake 5

    Don't know why i took that Karpaty +2. I was thinking of Metalist who are a much stronger defensive unit. Got the two teams mixed up. Lucky it's only a fiver.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 5,341 ✭✭✭El Horseboxo


    In play bet.

    Willie casey to win against Paul Hyland @ 1.72

    Stake 100


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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 5,341 ✭✭✭El Horseboxo


    That was quick. Ref stopped it in the next round and odds had dropped from 1.66 to 1.14 in seconds. Needed that as i've had a few losses lately. Mostly down to me not having the same interest lately and not researching or thinking bets out.

    Balance 3397


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 5,341 ✭✭✭El Horseboxo


    In play bet

    Alabama at LSU (Under 44.5)

    Stake 27


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 5,341 ✭✭✭El Horseboxo


    In play bet

    Alabama at LSU (Under 44.5)

    Stake 27

    Got this stake back after being on to PP live help. They had the score as 14-13 and i checked CBS site and they had the same score with 7 mins left in the 4th. But the actual score was 14-24. So they refunded my money as i said i placed the bet based on the score they had displayed which was wrong.

    EDIT

    **** are after taking the money back after they took it as void and the new person on live help is saying they are not a live score service. Time for a withdrawal and take my business elsewhere if they don't sort this out. No way would i have bet for less than 8 points to be scored with 7 odd minutes on the clock. And the line was actually 42.5. It's only 27 euro but it's the principle.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 5,341 ✭✭✭El Horseboxo


    PP gave me the 27 back. Took a lot of arguing through typing and telling them that i wouldn't be treated like that over at bet365 and i'd be taking my business there. Once that bomb was dropped it was hang on and i'll see what i can do. Money back. Although i might move to bet365 anyways since they offer more variety on American sports. On pretty much everything actually.


    Los Angeles Clippers at Utah Jazz (Utah over 107 points) @ 1.90
    New Orleans Hornets at Milwaukee Bucks (Over 186.5 points) @ 1.90
    Memphis Grizzlies at Sacramento Kings (Over 211 points) @ 1.90

    Stake 15 on each and 5 on the treble.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 5,341 ✭✭✭El Horseboxo


    EDITED in bets as mentioned earlier.

    All Archi's bets for the most part. Added one or two of my own and some spreads changed slightly.


    Buffalo Bills (+9 pts) @ 1.38
    6 Point Teaser
    Chicago Bears At Buffalo Bills (Toronto)

    Indianapolis Colts (+9 pts) @ 1.38
    6 Point Teaser
    Indianapolis Colts At Philadelphia Eagles

    Seattle Seahawks (+12.5 pts) @ 1.38
    6 Point Teaser
    New York Giants At Seattle Seahawks

    Over @ 1.90
    Total Points in Game(43.5)
    New England Patriots At Cleveland Browns

    Over @ 1.90
    Total Points in Game(41.0)
    Arizona Cardinals At Minnesota Vikings

    Over @ 1.90
    Total Points in Game(41.0)
    Kansas City Chiefs At Oakland Raiders

    Stake 5



    Jacob Tamme @ 1.90
    Any Time Touchdown Scorer
    Indianapolis Colts At Philadelphia Eagles

    Marques Colston @ 2.30
    Any Time Touchdown Scorer
    New Orleans Saints At Carolina Panthers

    Mike Williams @ 3.10
    Any Time Touchdown Scorer
    Tampa Bay Buccaneers At Atlanta Falcons

    Stake 5



    Greg Jennings @ 2.20
    Any Time Touchdown Scorer
    Dallas Cowboys At Green Bay Packers

    Calvin Johnson @ 1.90
    Any Time Touchdown Scorer
    New York Jets At Detroit Lions

    Roddy White @ 2.00
    Any Time Touchdown Scorer
    Tampa Bay Buccaneers At Atlanta Falcon

    Stake 5



    San Diego Chargers @ 2.00
    Handicap Betting(-3.0)
    San Diego Chargers At Houston Texans

    Over @ 1.90
    Total Points in Game(42.0)
    New York Jets At Detroit Lions

    Stake 10



    Over @ 1.90
    Total Points in Game(41.0)
    Miami Dolphins At Baltimore Ravens

    Carolina Panthers @ 1.90
    Handicap Betting(+6.5)
    New Orleans Saints At Carolina Panthers

    Stake 10



    Arizona Cardinals @ 1.90
    Handicap Betting(+7.5)
    Arizona Cardinals At Minnesota Vikings

    Tampa Bay Buccaneers @ 1.90
    Handicap Betting(+9.0)
    Tampa Bay Buccaneers At Atlanta Falcons

    Stake 10



    Buffalo Bills @ 1.86
    Handicap Betting(+3.0)
    Chicago Bears At Buffalo Bills (Toronto)

    Indianapolis Colts @ 1.86
    Handicap Betting(+3.0)
    Indianapolis Colts At Philadelphia Eagles

    Stake 10



    Also

    Chelsea to win @ 2.10

    Stake 40


    Cluj vs D bucharest (Over 2.5 goals) @ evens

    Stake 20


    Nuestadt vs Salzburg (Over 2.5 goals) @ evens

    Stake 20


    Also done that in a treble

    Stake 10


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 18,335 ✭✭✭✭UrbanSea


    I'd boom over to 365. Double your deposit up to 200 bean too.


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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 5,341 ✭✭✭El Horseboxo


    I already have an account with them and i wasted that offer by only sticking 20 euro in it. I didn't realize at the time that they would only double your first deposit. But reckon i'm gonna at least transfer a grand of my balance over there this week.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 5,341 ✭✭✭El Horseboxo


    In play bet.

    Colts (+8) at Eagles @ 1.90

    Stake 50


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 5,341 ✭✭✭El Horseboxo


    Haven't totaled up in a few bets. Mainly down to a lot of losers so not much motivation to do so. Anyways...


    Just the one winner in the basketball the other night. And that was only thanks to overtime as it finished well under at the end of the 4th.

    All the soccer from today lost. Can't believe how shíte Chelsea played.

    A few winners in the NFL. The big accumulator at the top would have came in except for the Seahawks not turning up whatsoever at home. Chargers and Jets over came in. As did the Cards and Buccs double. The Bills and Colts one was a push on the Bills and became a single on the Colts. And the in play bet on the colts won too.


    Balance 3369.32
    Profit 2819.32

    I'd seen the balance in my account but with bets in play i was expecting it to be a bit lower. Thanks to Archi i had some luck on his plays and one or two i added myself. Still chasing the 3 grand profit mark.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 5,341 ✭✭✭El Horseboxo


    Cowboys at Packers (Greg Jennings anytime TD) @ 2.20

    With Driver out i expect Jennings to have another big game and keep up being targeted. Should have a good chance to get into the end zone.

    Stake 19.32


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 5,341 ✭✭✭El Horseboxo


    Get in there Jennings ye good thing.


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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 5,341 ✭✭✭El Horseboxo


    In play bet

    Over 54.5 in the Packers game @ 1.83

    Can see there being 3 more TD's in this one. Cowboys have shown a bit of fight in the last 2 quarters in their past few games. 4 td's in the 4th quarter alone in the last 2 games. Hoping for a repeat and Green Bay to put one more up themselves.

    Stake 15


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 5,341 ✭✭✭El Horseboxo


    So close on the over 55. One thing i hate in this sport is when there is a blow out teams don't run up the score to rub it in. 4th and goal for the Packers and they decide to run it instead of taking the easy field goal. Talk about fúckin mercy. And when a back up QB comes in you'd think he'd be anxious to get some throws under his belt. Especially considering the score line and they were plays without reprecussion.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 5,341 ✭✭✭El Horseboxo


    Steelers at Bengals (Over 40.5 points) @1.90

    Stake 20


    Mendenhall (Over 85.5 rushing yards) @ 1.83

    Stake 15


    T Owens (first team touchdown) @ 4.50

    Stake 5


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 1,899 ✭✭✭coughlan08


    i like the look of your mendalhall bet..
    would of taken it but i dosed off for a while,,wrecked..:p
    any quality stream mate.

    thanks


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 5,341 ✭✭✭El Horseboxo


    I was gonna take Mendenhall first team TD at 3/1. But since i already had his yardage bet i went with TO. The way the Bengals are playing so far they'll be lucky to get outta their own half.

    Looks good here

    http://www.firstrow.net/watch/36212/2/watch-cincinnati-bengals-vs-pittsburgh-steelers.html


    And this is an okay enough back up one.

    http://www.firstrow.net/watch/36212/3/watch-cincinnati-bengals-vs-pittsburgh-steelers.html


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 5,341 ✭✭✭El Horseboxo


    Get in TO. Looking decent for all 3 bets to come in.


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 1,899 ✭✭✭coughlan08


    ya its lookin good for the overs now,hopefully it will stay that way.
    nice call with TO..


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 5,341 ✭✭✭El Horseboxo


    Brilliant. This was the quarter i expected Mendenhall to pick up a lot of yardage. When the Steelers were most likely gonna be up and wanting to run down the clock. He just picked up around 40 odd yards in 5 carries and brings him up to 99 yards.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 5,341 ✭✭✭El Horseboxo


    Stuck a fiver on the Bengals to win straight up at 4.50.


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 16,658 ✭✭✭✭Peyton Manning


    Nice work man. Looks like the three resident NFL gamblers had a good night :D


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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 5,341 ✭✭✭El Horseboxo


    Yeah was a good night for us all right. And a Thursday game this week too that hopefully can be taken advantage of.

    Balance 3420.68
    Profit 2870.60


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 5,341 ✭✭✭El Horseboxo


    Spurs vs Sunderland (Gyan anytime scorer) @ 3.30

    Spurs looking venerable at the back with first team players missing and Van Der Vaart most likely out whom has been instrumental for them i think Sunderland should score. Especially on the counter as Spurs are an attacking team by nature and should be even more so tonight as they look to put the weekends loss behind them and win in front of the home crowd. Gyan looked impressive at the weekend and should be Sunderlands biggest goal threat. Over 2.5 looks like a good possibility also.

    Stake 10.60


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 5,341 ✭✭✭El Horseboxo


    Also went for the following. Stakes used with dutching calculator.

    Tottenham v Sunderland (Over 2.5) @ 1.72

    Stake 10.49


    Portsmouth v QPR (Over 2.5) @ 1.90

    Stake 9.49


    Leeds v Hull @ 1.80

    Stake 10.02


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 5,341 ✭✭✭El Horseboxo


    Gyan scores and all the others fail to come in. Leeds are some shower of gob****es though. winning 2-1 with 5 minutes left against 10 men and go and score an OG.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 5,341 ✭✭✭El Horseboxo


    Denver Nuggets At Indiana Pacers (+1.5) @ 1.90

    Stake 25


    Minnesota Timberwolves At Los Angeles Lakers (-5 1st quarter) @ 1.83

    Stake 15



    Toledo (+11.5) At Northern Illinois

    Stake 10


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 5,341 ✭✭✭El Horseboxo


    Wow 54 points in the 3rd quarter for the Pacers. The first big bookie trap of the NBA season. Can't believe they had Denver as -1.5 favorite road dogs. Pacers run out 31 point winners in the end. Just need the Lakers to do the business later.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 5,341 ✭✭✭El Horseboxo


    Poxy Lakers. Blow an 8 point lead with 5 left in the first after a Minny time out. Minny also go 6/6 on 3 pointers which is rare for them considering they have one of the worst offences and the worst defense in the NBA.

    Balance 3412.79
    Profit 2862.79


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 5,341 ✭✭✭El Horseboxo


    Los Angeles Clippers At San Antonio Spurs (Under 194.5) @ 1.90

    Stake 15


    Philadelphia 76ers At Oklahoma City Thunder (under 201.5) @ 1.90

    Stake 15


    Minnesota Timberwolves At Sacramento Kings (Over 212) @ 1.90

    Stake 15


    Utah Jazz At Orlando Magic (-9) (In play bet) @ 1.90

    Stake 20


  • Posts: 0 [Deleted User]


    Bad night there. I think the NBA results are so hard to predict. Magic losing was surely a major shock, but then again there's bound to be shocks with such a long season.


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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 5,341 ✭✭✭El Horseboxo


    Yeah Magic letting a 17 point lead slip and then went about 5 or 6 missed shots in a row. The overs/unders can be a lot of luck. They are lines that the bookies hate too and sometimes you can get a good sweep on a few games. It's a long season and usually ends up profitable at the end.


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