Wanadrums Whacky Merit Placing Prediction Table (Completely without prejudice!)

wanadrum

I was sitting at the computer waiting for people to post on this forum (sad I know) and decided to have a go at predicting merit placings based on the first 30 ac feedback scores that have bees posted.
Note that the formatting will probably be all screwed up, so give me a while to sort it out after I first post it please.

Below are my predictions:
AC.......Predicted
Score...Merit Placing
69+.......0 > 3
68.......4 > 9
67.......10 > 18
66.......19 > 30
65.......31 > 49
64.......50 > 64
63.......65 > 108
62.......109 > 151
61.......152 > 204
60.......205 > 268
59.......269 > 341
58.......342 > 423
57.......424 > 511
56.......512 > 601
55.......602 > 692
54.......693 > 779
53.......780 > 859
52.......860 > 932
51.......933 > 994
50.......995 > 1046
49.......1047 > 1088
48.......1089 > 1120
47.......1121 > 1144
46.......1145 > 1162
45.......1163 > 1174
44.......1175 > 1182
43.......1183 > 1187
42.......1188 > 1191

Kizwiz

Hi wanadrum, in Jan on previous thread, person with ac score 58 got merit score 80-100. This was page 15 of C15 waiting for the call thread. Surely this years placings couldnt be so radically different (I hope:eek:)

triple-M

is there a seperate list for rc and nrc? or do we all get put on the same one?

triple-M

triple-M wrote: »

is there a seperate list for rc and nrc? or do we all get put on the same one?

Same one...although I think it would make alot more sense to have two, would maybe stop some of the uproar about people with merits of 600 or 700 getting in over 300 or 400, would be more clearer in my opinion...but then again when has this process ever made sense?!

cesc77

Deleted User wrote: »

Same one...although I think it would make alot more sense to have two, would maybe stop some of the uproar about people with merits of 600 or 700 getting in over 300 or 400, would be more clearer in my opinion...but then again when has this process ever made sense?!

plugin,Ithink they are treading a fine line as it is with the present system,so to impliment a separate league table for each background would be a step too far.

wanadrum,do you have an algorithm to work out the places in the merit list or are you going by the data provided on this forum?If the latter is the case,bear in mind that the other contributors details will more than likely not be a fair representation.There will be many people viewing this forum who have chosen not to get involved in the publishing of results due to a variety of reasons...most likely poor AC results...I sypmpathise,believe me.

There are also those on Becas list who havent posted yet.Again,this could be due to disappointing scores or tardy posties:)

Delancey

Good effort wanadrum though take account of the following - one guy last year got 59 at AC and got a merit under 70 , people with 58 ended up with merits between approx 90 - 145.
Obviously a lot of folks had the same AC scores and then the IST scores started kicking in.

I have to agree with Cesc that the raw data coming in is probably not truly representative.

wanadrum

Hello all.

As I said when posting - I was just messing around with some numbers.

What I did was use the data we had to get a mean and standard deviation, then applied a normal distribution.

I know it isn't going to be accurate - and I will redo it when we've got a load more scores posted (please everyone post....).

I would be delighted if a score of 59 would get you into the 100's - but going by what some people have been told, they are vetting 600, look at the scores posted and if they have recieved vetting forms - it would suggest that the scores are a bit higher.

Again - don't take this list too seriously - was just having a play about with some numbers (the first 30 random scores posted).

Perhaps wee have all the assessment centre geeks (naming no names) here on the forum showing us all up.

Anyone else care to post their idea as to AC score and merit placings?

wanadrum

It would appear that there are a few geeks on the forum who performed so well at ac it screwed up my predictions (well that's my excuse).

Gee-22

Think my scores mess your table up.
AC - 57
Merit - 295/305

Sorry.

wanadrum

no mate - it was the number of people who performed very well (62+) screwed up my standard deviation!

rookie_boarder

your not too far away, i landed ac 64, merit 20 - 30!

SJAG

merit placing 240-260 with ac score of 57 so you can amend the predictions a lil bit...

btw were did you get the '59.......269 > 341 .................290-300' confirmed info from?

rookie_boarder

what was your ist sjag? maybe that gained you a few marks?

SJAG

i cant remember the ist score, can't find the letter here neither. musta been alright though.

wanadrum

Well, I think it would be cheating to edit the predictions too much.

What I will do is repeat what I did when a few more people post their ac score up.

As for the confirmed range, I'm just collecting all the placings that people are putting up, obviously there are still a lot of blanks because there haven't been that many results posted.

Jay_Man

59 in A/C and below 155 in Merit Pool. Seen someone else got 59 in A/C also but approx 20 places below me. IST to blame there so..

wanadrum

This thing won't let me edit for some reason......


AC.......Predicted ...............Confirmed
Score...Merit Placing...........Merit Range (note this will keep evolving)
69+.......0 > 3
68.......4 > 9
67.......10 > 18
66.......19 > 30....................1-7
65.......31 > 49....................8-10
64.......50 > 64....................20-24
63.......65 > 108..................25 - Well<50
62.......109 > 151
61.......152 > 204 .................50-70
60.......205 > 268 .................70-120
59.......269 > 341 .................115-199
58.......342 > 423 ..................200
57.......424 > 511 ..................240-350
56.......512 > 601 ..................350-380
55.......602 > 692 ..................420-480
54.......693 > 779 ..................495-600
53.......780 > 859 ..................610-620
52.......860 > 932..................700-780
51.......933 > 994..................850-870
50.......995 > 1046................930-940
49.......1047 > 1088
48.......1089 > 1120...............1140
47.......1121 > 1144
46.......1145 > 1162
45.......1163 > 1174
44.......1175 > 1182
43.......1183 > 1187
42.......1188 > 1191