Waterford Election 2011

AdMMM

Halligan topping every box that I've been tallying so far. Ryan not too far behind. Labour and Fg vote going everywhere.

MitchKoobski

AdMMM wrote: »

Halligan topping every box that I've been tallying so far. Ryan not too far behind. Labour and Fg vote going everywhere.

BIASED.....:pac:

Sully

Indications so far..
Deasy, Coffey, Kennealy, and Halligan.

All independents, bar Halligan, doing poorly.

A lot done. A lot more todo

ziedth

jmcc wrote: »

Later today - candidates have to get eliminated from the count.

Regards...jmcc

So would I be right in saying it could go all over the place once they start?

I'm amazed and a little saddened by Keneally doing so well.

Gardner

halligan topping poll in ballygunner, st martins and parnell street

AdMMM

I'm tallying city votes. Explains the bias

jmcc

ziedth wrote: »

So would I be right in saying it could go all over the place once they start?

I'm amazed and a little saddened by Keneally doing so well.

Yep. But that's only on 15% of the boxes. There still another 85% so it could change dramatically over the next few hours.

Regards...jmcc

jmcc

@RTEWaterford

1/3 boxes open: tallies show FG DEASY 20%, FG COFFEY17%, FF KENNEALLY15%, LAB CONWAY 9.7 % LAB RYAN 9.6, SF CULLINANE9.5% IND Halliagan10%

Regards...jmcc

AdMMM

I'm tallying city votes. Explains the bias

nkay1985

"Early tallies show Independent John Halligan is polling very well in the city but not as well in the county with a third of boxes open."
from RTE Waterford on Twitter.

AdMMM

Another box with John toppIng the poll. I'm in the right wrong place if I didnt want to be getting excited! FG vote isn't transferring to FG, lots of 1 Coffey, 2 Halligan for example. Surprising number of 1 kenneally and 2 Tobin or Halligan, which is strange!

nkay1985

jmcc wrote: »

@RTEWaterford

1/3 boxes open: tallies show FG DEASY 20%, FG COFFEY17%, FF KENNEALLY15%, LAB CONWAY 9.7 % LAB RYAN 9.6, SF CULLINANE9.5% IND Halliagan10%

Regards...jmcc

A lot depends on what boxes that tally is from but if it was right, Cullinane would be going out before any of the other big names, which should keep Halligan ahead of the Labour candidates for one of them to be eliminated. But the other would jump him after that and 5% would be a very big gap to make up on Kenneally.

nkay1985

AdMMM wrote: »

Another box with John toppIng the poll. I'm in the right wrong place if I didnt want to be getting excited! FG vote isn't transferring to FG, lots of 1 Coffey, 2 Halligan for example. Surprising number of 1 kenneally and 2 Tobin or Halligan, which is strange!

Is that all over the city Adam or certain parts?

jmcc

nkay1985 wrote: »

A lot depends on what boxes that tally is from but if it was right, Cullinane would be going out before any of the other big names, which should keep Halligan ahead of the Labour candidates for one of them to be eliminated.

It may be the reverse. Halligan may not have support outside the city and the city boxes may have been much of those tallied. This will be a war of transfers.

But the other would jump him after that and 5% would be a very big gap to make up on Kenneally.

But if he doesn't get transfers, he will be gone.

Regards...jmcc

AdMMM

They're picked at random from the pile. Im just standing in the same place and tallying!

nkay1985

AdMMM wrote: »

They're picked at random from the pile. Im just standing in the same place and tallying!

Oh right you're just writing down the box number and someone else is pulling the info on what box it is. Sounds very good for John.

dark crystal

MitchKoobski wrote: »

Kenneally 14%?

I CALL SHENANIGANS

This figure made my heart sink.

Whilst Dublin voters have FF at a mere 8% so far, Waterford voters really don't seem to have the same appetite for change.

I despair, I really, really despair

I can only hope against hope that the transfers will see him ousted....

fitzcoff

I would be very surprised if the Halligan vote remained high in the county, he doesn't have much of a profile.

The transfers will be extremely interesting based on what ye are seeing at the count. Sounds like it'll be a long night

nkay1985

jmcc wrote: »

But if he doesn't get transfers, he will be gone.

Regards...jmcc

Transfers can play a massive part but 5% would be a massive gap to make up. I think I out Kennally at 13%. At that, Halligan would almost certainly catch him. Not so sure about 15% though.

MitchKoobski

From RTEWaterford twitter

15pc boxes tallied: FG Deasy 21%, FGCoffey 17%, FF Kenneally 14%, Lab Conway 11%, Lab Ryan 9%, SFCullinae 11%, IND Halligan 9% #ge11 #wd

Early tallies show Ind John Halligan polling very well iin the city but not as well in the county with a third of boxes open #wd #ge11

1/3 boxes open: tallies show FG DEASY 20%, FG COFFEY17%, FF KENNEALLY15%, LAB CONWAY 9.7 % LAB RYAN 9.6, SF CULLINANE9.5% IND Halliagan10%

Might be repeating, but I'll just update every hour or so for anyone not following the Twitter feed.

mike65

Labour have ****ed up royally! Yes they should get a seat but had they run one he/she would have been a shoe-in.

AdMMM

Latest tally has 5 candidates scarily close!

MagicMcGrath

With the boxes left to come, I can safely say Halligan will be eliminated before Cullinane and probably before both Labour. Halligan has no chance. If vote holds Kenneally retains seat in 3rd. County boxes will favor him more than others.

nkay1985

MagicMcGrath wrote: »

With the boxes left to come, I can safely say Halligan will be eliminated before Cullinane and probably before both Labour. Halligan has no chance. If vote holds Kenneally retains seat in 3rd. County boxes will favor him more than others.

Have they not tallied any county boxes at all? If so, you're right about Halligan.

Margarmur

MagicMcGrath wrote: »

With the boxes left to come, I can safely say Halligan will be eliminated before Cullinane and probably before both Labour. Halligan has no chance. If vote holds Kenneally retains seat in 3rd. County boxes will favor him more than others.

Tell us more.

MagicMcGrath

nkay1985 wrote: »

Have they not tallied any county boxes at all? If so, you're right about Halligan.

45/64 City
21/30 D'Garvan
13/23 Comeragh
11/21 Lismore
19/29 Tramore

They're boxes open thus far. Double amount of boxes in county to come.

MagicMcGrath

Halligan topping city poll. Kenneally ahead of Cullinane in city.

D'Garvan: 1) Deasy 2) Kenneally
Lismore: 1) Deasy 2) Kenneally
Comeragh: 1) Coffey 2) Kenneally

Coffey got huge vote in portlaw understandably. You've all underestimated my accuracy to the outcome. Kenneally is by far a stronger candidate than Ye think. Still a bit to go but he's going in the right direction. Halligan 4th atm but will drop as they are opening county boxes now.

Deise Tom

savina10 wrote: »

lots of us women folk voted ciara conway 1st pref. Very poor choice of other candidates if you dont support fine gael so the transfers will be reduced significantly in this poll.

People should be voting for who they believe to be the best person to be ruling the country, not whhether they are a man or a woman, what their party is, what their colour is or what they had for their breakfast last thursday week or anything else.

MitchKoobski

MagicMcGrath wrote: »

You've all underestimated my accuracy to the outcome. Kenneally is by far a stronger candidate than Ye think.

No we just really hate the thought of Kenneally winning.

nkay1985

MagicMcGrath wrote: »

Halligan topping city poll. Kenneally ahead of Cullinane in city.

D'Garvan: 1) Deasy 2) Kenneally
Lismore: 1) Deasy 2) Kenneally
Comeragh: 1) Coffey 2) Kenneally

Coffey got huge vote in portlaw understandably. You've all underestimated my accuracy to the outcome. Kenneally is by far a stronger candidate than Ye think. Still a bit to go but he's going in the right direction. Halligan 4th atm but will drop as they are opening county boxes now.

I don't think any of us didn't fear that this might happen. If he hangs on around 15% he'll hold the seat.