EPL / CL / La Liga & Bundesliga Betting Log

gnolan

I've decided to start up a betting log; the main reason being to drill some discipline into myself. I'll be betting on the above leagues, primarily Premier League football. I don't like betting on leagues i know nothing about so thats why it will mostly be Premier League.

In this log i will also be including Pyro's horse bets, not the lays as i don't have the bankroll. As well as this I'll include Archimedes' NFL bets because i enjoy watching NFL (and he seems to know what he's doing!).

I plan on sticking to a points system of 1-5 but the first bet i'm going for is a €5 accumulator. For the sake of this log i'm going to call it 5 points.

I will try to give some reasoning for each bet but theres not much reasoning for the following. In fact West Brom are looking particularly strong at the moment, Birmingham are no pushovers, Chelsea are missing Alex and Drogba and Emile Heskey is on a good run of form (never thought i'd say that).

4-Fold - 5pts @ 4.28

1 16/10/2010 Man Utd v West Brom
2 16/10/2010 Arsenal v Birmingham
3 16/10/2010 Aston Villa v Chelsea
4 15/10/2010 Cologne v Borussia Dortmund

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Another one i'm going for is Bolton vs Stoke. Bolton are on a fairly awful run of form at the moment with Stoke the opposite. Stoke have won 4 of their last 5, and Bolton have won 0 of their last 5 including 2 losses. I'm hoping Kevin Davies won't be fit for tomorrow and hoping that Sorenson will be ok after a hip injury.

I'm a little worried that Stoke's winning form will come to an abrupt end tomorrow. I want to take Stoke at a great value 5/2, but i'll play safe and go for Stoke DNB @ 11/8.

Stoke DNB - 2 pts @ 11/8

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Archimedes' Football Bets - 10.75pts

Hope you don't mind me putting this in my log, just want to keep track of all bets i'm placing...

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Pyro's horse bets - 5.5pts

Same goes for yourself Pyro....

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Stake: 23.25pts
Cumulative P/L: -23.25pts

rossit

best of luck nice start hope it goes on for yeah

gnolan

4-Fold - 5pts @ 4.28

1 16/10/2010 Man Utd v West Brom
2 16/10/2010 Arsenal v Birmingham
3 16/10/2010 Aston Villa v Chelsea
4 15/10/2010 Cologne v Borussia Dortmund

Return - 0pts
Utd give away a two goal lead to draw 2-2

gnolan wrote: »

Stoke DNB - 2 pts @ 11/8

Return - 0pts
Last minute winner from Bolton

Pyro's horse bets - 5.5pts

Return - 16.5pts
Ha! Deadly!

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Villa vs Chelsea
Florent Malouda to score first 21-45 - 0.5pts @ 16/1

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Villa vs Chelsea
Villa DNB in play at half-time - 1.5pts @ 12.5

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Bad day from my own betting perspective, dulled somewhat by Pyro's good day.

Staked - 25.25pts
In play - 12.75pts
Return - 16.5pts
Cumulative P/L - -8.75pts

gnolan

gnolan wrote: »

Villa vs Chelsea
Florent Malouda to score first 21-45 - 0.5pts @ 16/1

Return - 0pts

Villa vs Chelsea
Villa DNB in play at half-time - 1.5pts @ 12.5

Return - 1.5pts

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I think i will leave these two following bets as the last of the weekend. It will no doubt take some time to get into a decent stride but hopefully not too long.

Everton vs Liverpool
Was planning on staying away from this one originally but i think there's some value to be found. Both teams are on a terrible run at the moment and both will see this game as the perfect opportunity to knock themselves out of the daze they're currently in. There have been two huge boosts for Liverpool this week and one devastating and crushing disappointment; the latter being the contract extension of Jamie Carragher. Aside from this, the club has been sold and it looks like Torres has been declared fit for tomorrow afternoon. Dirk Kuyt is out and its hard to know how the midfield will be set out tomorrow, with the worst case scenario for Liverpool being a partnership of Poulsen and Lucas. Its no great wonder that Liverpool are in the plight that they are, considering that partnership, the poor backup for Torres, the lack of a consistently solid CB partnership, and the chopping and changing at left back. Along with this we have Johnson, who had been looking so good, underperforming hugely (or performing to his below par capabilities some might say). HOWEVER, I am thinking that the positive news off the pitch and the presence of Torres in the starting lineup will be enough for Liverpool to scrape a win by 1 goal. These games are often hard to call, hence throwing some caution to the wind and being selective about what factors to include in deciding upon a selection. Also, lets hope for a dirty game!

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Liverpool @ 15/8 - 1.5pts

Over 6.5 cards @ 11/10 - 2pts

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As it stands:

In play: 14.25pts
Cumulative P/L: -10.75

gnolan

Blackpool vs Man City

Man City and Over 2.5 goals @ 5/4 - 2pts

gnolan

gnolan wrote: »

Liverpool @ 15/8 - 1.5pts

Over 6.5 cards @ 11/10 - 2pts

Return - 0

gnolan wrote: »

Blackpool vs Man City

Man City and Over 2.5 goals @ 5/4 - 2pts

Return - 4.5pts

Some consolation for several crappy selections on my part


Week 1:

My selections:
Stake: 14.5pts
Return: 6pts
P/L: -8.5pts

Pyro's selections:
Stake: 6.5pts
Return: 19pts
P/L: 12.5pts

Archimedes' selections:
Stake: 6.25pts
Return: 8.72pts
P/L: 2.47pts

Week 1 P/L: +6.47pts

8-10

gnolan wrote: »

Blackpool vs Man City

Man City and Over 2.5 goals @ 5/4 - 2pts

Nice one. Always tough getting these things started, keep it up!

gnolan

8-10 wrote: »

Nice one. Always tough getting these things started, keep it up!

Thanks. Hopefully i can start coming out with some profit from my own selections, but you're right, it'll take some time.

gnolan

So, two early bets for two of tomorrows Champions League games. There may be more to follow after team news.

Spartak Moscow vs Chelsea

Either side not to score @ 5/6 - 1.5pts

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Arsenal vs Shaktar

Over 2.5 goals @ 4/5 - 2.5pts

gnolan

Blackburn vs Sunderland

Both sides to score @ 19/20 - 1.5pts

gnolan

Blackburn vs Sunderland

In play: Over 4.5 cards @ 8/11 - 1.5pts

gnolan

Hercules vs Villareal

In play: Villareal or Draw @ 8/11 - 1.5pts

gnolan

gnolan wrote: »

Blackburn vs Sunderland

Both sides to score @ 19/20 - 1.5pts

LOST Return : 0pts

gnolan wrote: »

Blackburn vs Sunderland

In play: Over 4.5 cards @ 8/11 - 1.5pts

WON Return : 2.59pts

gnolan wrote: »

Hercules vs Villareal

In play: Villareal or Draw @ 8/11 - 1.5pts

WON Return : 2.59pts

Today's P/L : +0.6pts

gnolan

Titans @ Jaguars

Over 43.5 points @ 10/11 - 2pts

gnolan

gnolan wrote: »

Titans @ Jaguars

Over 43.5 points @ 10/11 - 2pts

LOST - Return : 0pts


Three more bets for tonight:

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Bayern vs Cluj

CFR Cluj (+2) @ 20/21 - 1.5pts

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Roma vs Basel

Francesco Totti first goalscorer @ 9/2 - 1pt EW

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Real Madrid vs AC Milan

HT-FT : Draw - Real Madrid @ 3/1 - 0.75pts

gnolan

Last one:

Arsenal & Over 2.5 goals
Roma to win
Double @ 2.61/1 - 1.5pts

gnolan

Results:

Spartak Moscow vs Chelsea

Either side not to score @ 5/6 - 1.

WON

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Arsenal vs Shaktar

Over 2.5 goals @ 4/5 - 2.5pts

WON

gnolan wrote: »

Bayern vs Cluj

CFR Cluj (+2) @ 20/21 - 1.5pts

WON

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Roma vs Basel

Francesco Totti first goalscorer @ 9/2 - 1pt EW

LOST

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Real Madrid vs AC Milan

HT-FT : Draw - Real Madrid @ 3/1 - 0.75pts

LOST

gnolan wrote: »

Last one:

Arsenal & Over 2.5 goals
Roma to win
Double @ 2.61/1 - 1.5pts

LOST

Today's P/L : -1.5pts

Pretty pissed off with that i have to say, Roma let me down big time, would be looking at a nice profit otherwise

gnolan

Man United vs Bursaspor

Man United -1 @ 4/6 - 5pts

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Treble

Man United -1, Schalke to win, Over 2.5 goals Barcelona vs Copenhagen @ 2.37/1 - 1pt

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gnolan

Inter Milan vs Spurs

Anytime goalscorer - Eto'o @ 20/21 - 2pts

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To score two or more goals - Eto'o @ 9/2 - 0.5pt

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gnolan

Schalke vs Hapoel

Anytime goalscorer - Huntelaar @ 5/6 - 1.5pts

gnolan

Resulys:

gnolan wrote: »

Man United vs Bursaspor

Man United -1 @ 4/6 - 5pts


C**NTY F**KIN C*UNTS, USELESS

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Treble

Man United -1, Schalke to win, Over 2.5 goals Barcelona vs Copenhagen @ 2.37/1 - 1pt

LOST

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gnolan wrote: »

Inter Milan vs Spurs

Anytime goalscorer - Eto'o @ 20/21 - 2pts

WON

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To score two or more goals - Eto'o @ 9/2 - 0.5pt

WON

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gnolan wrote: »

Schalke vs Hapoel

Anytime goalscorer - Huntelaar @ 5/6 - 1.5pts

LOST

I feel sick. ****ing united ****ing hairy ballsacks!

Today's P/L: -3.35pts

gnolan

Europa League Treble

Atletico, Man City, Dortmund @ 1.71/1 - 2pts

gnolan

Dortmund vs PSG

Anytime GS - Shinji Kagawa @ 11/5 - 1pt

gnolan

gnolan wrote: »

Europa League Treble

Atletico, Man City, Dortmund @ 1.71/1 - 2pts

LOST

gnolan wrote: »

Dortmund vs PSG

Anytime GS - Shinji Kagawa @ 11/5 - 1pt

LOST

The word you're looking for is clusterfuck!

Today's P/L = -3pts

Guess i'll go look at the weekend fixtures, time to start lumping on me thinks. To console myself, i'm gonna say that i've been unlucky so far.

gnolan

Saturday's Premier League

Chelsea to win to nil @ 8/11 - 2.5pts
Chelsea to score in both halves @ 1/2 - 4pts
Over 2.5 goals - Birmingham vs Blackpool @ 3/4 - 2pts
Everton to win vs Spurs @ 11/4 - 1pt

gnolan

gnolan wrote: »

Saturday's Premier League

Chelsea to win to nil @ 8/11 - 2.5pts WON
Chelsea to score in both halves @ 1/2 - 4pts WON
Over 2.5 goals - Birmingham vs Blackpool @ 3/4 - 2pts LOST
Everton to win vs Spurs @ 11/4 - 1pt LOST

Beginning to think that i'm not very good at this. Tiny profit today. Think i may have to reconsider how i place my bets with respect to the size of the stake.

Today's P/L: +0.83pts

Thank god for Pyro and his horses

x PyRo

Chin up mate, Rome wasn't built in a day. The football is tough to call at the moment and any day with profit is a damn good one! Keep the faith and it'll pay off.

Thanks for the mention too. :pac:

gnolan

Thanks for that Pyro. Great day for yourself, and consequently for me!

It's funny, my own bets have been pretty crap so far, yet i'll probably have another week of small profit thanks to yourself. Makes me wonder why i bother putting on my own bets!

x PyRo

I'm happy with it anyways, pity the my max max bet was awful! Can't get them all though.

It's no fun if you don't select your own selections and it's the only way to learn too, I certainly wouldn't stop doing it or it'll make the gambling less fun for you. Perfection takes time and if you keep posting your own stuff you'll be so surprised what you'll learn, I've learnt a hell of a lot and I still am learning. Long may it continue.

gnolan

Sunday's Premier League

Treble
Stoke or Draw
Blackburn or Draw
Man City to win

@ 10.55 - 0.5pt

gnolan

gnolan wrote: »

Sunday's Premier League

Treble
Stoke or Draw
Blackburn or Draw
Man City to win

@ 10.55 - 0.5pt

LOST

Aftertiming!* Sorry, first time in this log. Was out watching the game and put the bet on on the mobile after the sending off.

Arsenal to beat Man City (In play) @ 4/5 - 2.5pts

WON

Today's P/L: +1.5pts


*screenshot attached